{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,29]],"date-time":"2026-05-29T10:22:05Z","timestamp":1780050125887,"version":"3.53.1"},"update-to":[{"DOI":"10.1002\/14651858.cd013491","type":"new_version","label":"New version","source":"publisher","updated":{"date-parts":[[2021,5,5]],"date-time":"2021-05-05T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1620172800000}}],"reference-count":103,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"5","content-domain":{"domain":["wiley.com","cochranelibrary.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":[],"DOI":"10.1002\/14651858.cd013491.pub2","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,5,6]],"date-time":"2021-05-06T16:44:08Z","timestamp":1620319448000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":19,"title":["Prognostic models for predicting relapse or recurrence of major depressive disorder in adults"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"2021","author":[{"given":"Andrew S","family":"Moriarty","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Mental Health and Addiction Research Group, Department of Health Sciences; University of York; York UK"},{"name":"Hull York Medical School; University of York; York UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Nicholas","family":"Meader","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre for Reviews and Dissemination; University of York; York UK"},{"name":"Cochrane Common Mental Disorders; University of York; York UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Kym IE","family":"Snell","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Medicine; Keele University; Keele UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Richard D","family":"Riley","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Medicine; Keele University; Keele UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Lewis W","family":"Paton","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Mental Health and Addiction Research Group, Department of Health Sciences; University of York; York UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Carolyn A","family":"Chew-Graham","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Medicine; Keele University; Keele UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Simon","family":"Gilbody","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Mental Health and Addiction Research Group, Department of Health Sciences; University of York; York UK"},{"name":"Hull York Medical School; University of York; York UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Rachel","family":"Churchill","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre for Reviews and Dissemination; University of York; York UK"},{"name":"Cochrane Common Mental Disorders; University of York; York UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Robert S","family":"Phillips","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre for Reviews and Dissemination; University of York; York UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Shehzad","family":"Ali","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Mental Health and Addiction Research Group, Department of Health Sciences; University of York; York UK"},{"name":"Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Schulich School of Medicine & Dentistry; Western University; London Canada"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Dean","family":"McMillan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Mental Health and Addiction Research Group, Department of Health Sciences; University of York; York UK"},{"name":"Hull York Medical School; University of York; York UK"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,5,5]]},"reference":[{"issue":"1-2","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0001|cit1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"60\u20137","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jad.2009.11.015","article-title":"An evaluation of an integrated model of relapse in depression","volume":"124","author":"Backs-Dermott","year":"2010","journal-title":"Journal of Affective Disorders"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0002|cit2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"376","DOI":"10.1176\/ps.50.3.376","article-title":"Personality and clinical predictors of recurrence of depression","volume":"50","author":"Berlanga","year":"1999","journal-title":"Psychiatric Services"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0003|cit3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"407\u201317","DOI":"10.1007\/s11126-015-9341-y","article-title":"12-month outcome and predictors of recurrence in psychiatric treatment of depression: a retrospective study","volume":"86","author":"Johansson","year":"2015","journal-title":"Psychiatric Quarterly"},{"issue":"11","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0004|cit4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1140\u20136","DOI":"10.1176\/appi.ajp.2016.15111462","article-title":"A brief clinical tool to estimate individual patients\u2019 risk of depressive relapse following remission: proof of concept","volume":"173","author":"Judd","year":"2016","journal-title":"American Journal of Psychiatry"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0005|cit5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2018.06.006","article-title":"Development and validation of a clinical prediction tool to estimate the individual risk of depressive relapse or recurrence in individuals with recurrent depression","volume":"104","author":"Klein","year":"2018","journal-title":"Journal of Psychiatric Research"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0006|cit6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"463","DOI":"10.1016\/j.pnpbp.2009.01.008","article-title":"Prediction of relapse in melancholic depressive patients in a 2-year follow-up study with corticotropin releasing factor test","volume":"33","author":"Pintor","year":"2009","journal-title":"Progress in Neuro-Psychopharmacology and Biological Psychiatry"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0007|cit7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.3389\/fpsyt.2019.00145","article-title":"Emotional biases and recurrence in major depressive disorder. Results of 2.5 years follow-up of drug-free cohort vulnerable for recurrence","volume":"10","author":"Ruhe","year":"2019","journal-title":"Frontiers in Psychiatry"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0008|cit8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"52","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jad.2015.03.045","article-title":"Multiple risk factors predict recurrence of major depressive disorder in women","volume":"180","author":"Van Loo","year":"2015","journal-title":"Journal of Affective Disorders"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0009|cit9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1685\u201393","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291717003178","article-title":"Sex similarities and differences in risk factors for recurrence of major depression","volume":"48","author":"Van Loo","year":"2018","journal-title":"Psychological Medicine"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0010|cit10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"945","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jad.2020.07.098","article-title":"Data mining algorithm predicts a range of adverse outcomes in major depression","volume":"276","author":"Van Loo","year":"2020","journal-title":"Journal of Affective Disorders"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0011|cit11","first-page":"S392015","article-title":"#2477: Development and validation of a risk prediction algorithm for recurrence of major depression","volume":"1","author":"Wang","year":"2015","journal-title":"Journal of Mental Health Policy and Economic"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0012|cit12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"451","DOI":"10.1002\/da.22215","article-title":"Development and validation of a prediction algorithm for use by health professionals in prediction of recurrence of major depression","volume":"31","author":"Wang","year":"2014","journal-title":"Depression and Anxiety"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0013|cit13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"855","DOI":"10.1176\/appi.ajp.2008.07081340","article-title":"Empirically derived decision trees for the treatment of late-life depression","volume":"165","author":"Andreescu","year":"2008","journal-title":"American Journal of Psychiatry"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0014|cit14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"281","DOI":"10.3122\/jabfm.2017.03.160313","article-title":"Prediction of primary care depression outcomes at six months: validation of DOC-6 \u00a9","volume":"30","author":"Angstman","year":"2017","journal-title":"Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine"},{"issue":"10 Supplement","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0015|cit15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S266","DOI":"10.1016\/j.biopsych.2019.03.675","article-title":"A combined reinforcement-learning drift-diffusion model to understand choice behaviour in remitted depression and relapse after antidepressant discontinuation","volume":"85","author":"Berwian","year":"2019","journal-title":"Biological Psychiatry"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0016|cit16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"513","DOI":"10.1001\/jamapsychiatry.2019.4971","article-title":"Computational mechanisms of effort and reward decisions in patients with depression and their association with relapse after antidepressant discontinuation","volume":"77","author":"Berwian","year":"2020","journal-title":"JAMA Psychiatry"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0017|cit17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"747","DOI":"10.4088\/JCP.v67n0508","article-title":"Prediction of recurrence in recurrent depression and the influence of consecutive episodes on vulnerability for depression: a 2-year prospective study","volume":"67","author":"Bockting","year":"2006","journal-title":"Journal of Clinical Psychiatry"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0018|cit18","first-page":"48","article-title":"Dysfunctional attitudes or extreme response style as predictors of depressive relapse and recurrence after mobile cognitive therapy for recurrent depression","volume":"243","author":"Brouwer","year":"2019","journal-title":"Journal of Affective\u00a0Disorder"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0019|cit19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"298","DOI":"10.4088\/JCP.v58n0703","article-title":"Predicting the short-term outcome of first episodes and recurrences of clinical depression: a prospective study of life events, difficulties, and social support networks","volume":"58","author":"Brugha","year":"1997","journal-title":"Journal of Clinical Psychiatry"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0020|cit20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"243","DOI":"10.1016\/S2215-0366(15)00471-X","article-title":"Cross-trial prediction of treatment outcome in depression: a machine learning approach","volume":"3","author":"Chekroud","year":"2016","journal-title":"Lancet Psychiatry"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0021|cit21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"682","DOI":"10.1002\/da.20486","article-title":"Risk factors for relapse after remission with repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation for the treatment of depression","volume":"26","author":"Cohen","year":"2009","journal-title":"Depression and Anxiety"},{"issue":"17","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0022|cit22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1969","DOI":"10.1503\/cmaj.110676","article-title":"Predictors of long-term prognosis of depression","volume":"183","author":"Colman","year":"2011","journal-title":"Canadian Medical Association Journal"},{"issue":"1-3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0023|cit23","first-page":"267","article-title":"Prediction of the three-year course of recurrent depression in primary care patients: different risk factors for different outcomes","volume":"105","author":"Conradi","year":"2008","journal-title":"Journal of Affective\u00a0Disorders"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0024|cit24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"658","DOI":"10.1002\/da.22772","article-title":"Predictors of recurrence in remitted late-life depression","volume":"35","author":"Deng","year":"2018","journal-title":"Depression and Anxiety"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0025|cit25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"141","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291710000437","article-title":"Estimating probability of sustained recovery from mild to moderate depression in primary care: evidence from the THREAD study","volume":"41","author":"Dowrick","year":"2011","journal-title":"Psychological Medicine"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0026|cit26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"263","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jad.2008.05.023","article-title":"Predictors of relapse in a study of duloxetine treatment in patients with major depressive disorder","volume":"113","author":"Fava","year":"2009","journal-title":"Journal of Affective Disorders"},{"issue":"6","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0027|cit27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"764","DOI":"10.1176\/ajp.146.6.764","article-title":"Clinical predictors of recurrence in depression","volume":"146","author":"Giles","year":"1989","journal-title":"American Journal\u00a0of\u00a0Psychiatry"},{"issue":"1-3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0028|cit28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"225","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jad.2012.11.008","article-title":"Recurrence of major depressive disorder across different treatment settings: results from the NESDA study","volume":"147","author":"Hardeveld","year":"2013","journal-title":"Journal of Affective Disorders"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0029|cit29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"39","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291712002395","article-title":"Recurrence of major depressive disorder and its predictors in the general population: results from the Netherlands Mental Health Survey and Incidence Study (NEMESIS)","volume":"43","author":"Hardeveld","year":"2013","journal-title":"Psychological Medicine"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0030|cit30","first-page":"59","article-title":"Predicting relapse in major depressive disorder using patient-reported outcomes of depressive symptom severity, functioning, and quality of life in the Individual Burden of Illness Index for Depression (IBI-D)","volume":"151","author":"Ishak","year":"2013","journal-title":"Journal of Affective\u00a0Disorders"},{"issue":"2-3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0031|cit31","first-page":"97","article-title":"Major depressive disorder: a prospective study of residual subthreshold depressive symptoms as predictor of rapid relapse","volume":"50","author":"Judd","year":"1998","journal-title":"Journal of Affective\u00a0Disorders"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0032|cit32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"839","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291703007827","article-title":"Time to recurrence after recovery from major depressive episodes and its predictors","volume":"33","author":"Kanai","year":"2003","journal-title":"Psychological Medicine"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0033|cit33","first-page":"94","article-title":"Early symptom change prediction of remission in depression treatment","volume":"42","author":"Katz","year":"2009","journal-title":"Psychopharmacology Bulletin"},{"issue":"24","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0034|cit34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3299","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.1983.03340240025024","article-title":"Predictors of relapse in major depressive disorder","volume":"250","author":"Keller","year":"1983","journal-title":"JAMA"},{"issue":"1-3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0035|cit35","first-page":"139","article-title":"Predictors of recurrence in affective disorder--analyses accounting for individual heterogeneity","volume":"57","author":"Kessing","year":"2000","journal-title":"Journal of Affective\u00a0Disorders"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0036|cit36","first-page":"153","article-title":"Severity of depressive episodes according to ICD-10: prediction of risk of relapse and suicide","volume":"184","author":"Kessing","year":"2004","journal-title":"British Journal\u00a0of\u00a0Psychiatry"},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0037|cit37","first-page":"112","article-title":"Factors predicting the relapse of depression in old age","volume":"15","author":"Kivela","year":"2000","journal-title":"International Journal\u00a0of\u00a0Geriatric Psychiatry"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0038|cit38","first-page":"413","article-title":"Factors predicting the long-term illness course in a cohort of depressed inpatients","volume":"263","author":"Kuehner","year":"2013","journal-title":"European\u00a0Archives of\u00a0Psychiatry\u00a0and\u00a0Clinical Neuroscience"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0039|cit39","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"Article number","DOI":"10.1186\/s12888-019-2382-2","article-title":"Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: An explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approach","volume":"19","author":"Kumagai","year":"2019","journal-title":"BMC Psychiatry"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0040|cit40","first-page":"443","article-title":"Relapse of depression in primary care. Rate and clinical predictors","volume":"7","author":"Lin","year":"1998","journal-title":"Archives of\u00a0Family Medicine"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0041|cit41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"19","DOI":"10.1080\/10503307.2020.1733127","article-title":"Dynamic prediction and identification of cases at risk of relapse following completion of low-intensity cognitive behavioural therapy","volume":"31","author":"Lorimer","year":"2021","journal-title":"Psychotherapy Research"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0042|cit42","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1000","DOI":"10.1176\/ajp.156.7.1000","article-title":"Recurrence after recovery from major depressive disorder during 15 years of observational follow-up","volume":"156","author":"Mueller","year":"1999","journal-title":"American Journal\u00a0of\u00a0Psychiatry"},{"issue":"1-3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0043|cit43","first-page":"263","article-title":"Eighteen months of drug treatment for depression: predicting relapse and recovery","volume":"114","author":"Mulder","year":"2009","journal-title":"Journal of Affective\u00a0Disorders"},{"issue":"1-3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0044|cit44","first-page":"159","article-title":"Remission onset and relapse in depression. An 18-month prospective study of course for 100 first admission patients","volume":"57","author":"O'Leary","year":"2000","journal-title":"Journal of Affective\u00a0Disorders"},{"issue":"1-3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0045|cit45","first-page":"221","article-title":"Onset of remission and relapse in depression: testing operational criteria through course description in a second Dublin cohort of first-admission participants","volume":"125","author":"O'Leary","year":"2010","journal-title":"Journal of Affective\u00a0Disorders"},{"issue":"11","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0046|cit46","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"955","DOI":"10.1002\/da.20894","article-title":"Incidence and predictors of relapse during continuation treatment of major depression with SSRI, interpersonal psychotherapy, or their combination","volume":"28","author":"Rucci","year":"2011","journal-title":"Depression and Anxiety"},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0047|cit47","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"984","DOI":"10.4088\/JCP.08m04858blu","article-title":"Prediction of recurrence in recurrent depression: a 5.5-year prospective study","volume":"71","author":"Ten Doesschate","year":"2010","journal-title":"Journal of Clinical Psychiatry"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0048|cit48","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"252","DOI":"10.1002\/da.22868","article-title":"A prognostic index for long-term outcome after successful acute phase cognitive therapy and interpersonal psychotherapy for major depressive disorder","volume":"36","author":"Van Bronswijk","year":"2019","journal-title":"Depression and Anxiety"},{"issue":"12","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0049|cit49","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1270","DOI":"10.1038\/s41398-017-0020-7","article-title":"Inter and intra-hemispheric structural imaging markers predict depression relapse after electroconvulsive therapy: a multisite study","volume":"7","author":"Wade","year":"2017","journal-title":"Translational Psychiatry"},{"issue":"Supplement 1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0050|cit50","first-page":"S517","article-title":"Biobehavioral prediction of relapse in major depression: a prospective, multicenter, observational study","volume":"41","author":"Trivedi","year":"2016","journal-title":"Neuropsychopharmacology"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0051|cit51","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1016\/j.brat.2017.04.006","article-title":"How durable is the effect of low intensity CBT for depression and anxiety? Remission and relapse in a longitudinal cohort study","volume":"94","author":"Ali","year":"2017","journal-title":"Behaviour Research and Therapy"},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0052|cit52","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"696","DOI":"10.1016\/j.biopsych.2005.09.008","article-title":"Glucocorticoids and relapse of major depression (Dexamethasone\/Corticotropin-Releasing Hormone test in relation to relapse of major depression)","volume":"56","author":"Appelhof","year":"2006","journal-title":"Biological Psychiatry"},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0053|cit53","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1349","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cpr.2011.09.003","article-title":"Relapse and recurrence prevention in depression: current research and future prospects","volume":"31","author":"Beshai","year":"2011","journal-title":"Clinical Psychology Review"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0054|cit54","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"16e26","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cpr.2015.02.003","article-title":"A lifetime approach to major depressive disorder: The contributions of psychological interventions in preventing relapse and recurrence","volume":"41","author":"Bockting","year":"2015","journal-title":"Clinical Psychology Review"},{"issue":"12","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0055|cit55","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013299.pub2","article-title":"Pharmacy-based management for depression in adults","author":"Brown","year":"2019","journal-title":"Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0056|cit56","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cpr.2018.07.005","article-title":"Risk factors for relapse and recurrence of depression in adults and how they operate: a four-phase systematic review and meta-synthesis","volume":"64","author":"Buckman","year":"2018","journal-title":"Clinical Psychology Review"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0057|cit57","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"959","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cpr.2007.02.005","article-title":"Risk for recurrence in depression","volume":"27","author":"Burcusa","year":"2007","journal-title":"Clinical Psychology Review"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0058|cit58","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1093\/oso\/9780195341591.001.0001","volume-title":"Campbell's psychiatric dictionary","author":"Campbell","year":"2009"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0059|cit59","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"58\u201370","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cpr.2015.04.002","article-title":"Can non-pharmacological interventions prevent relapse in adults who have recovered from depression? A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials","volume":"39","author":"Clarke","year":"2015","journal-title":"Clinical Psychology Review"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0060|cit60","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2288-14-40","article-title":"External validation of multivariable prediction models: a systematic review of methodological conduct and reporting","volume":"14","author":"Collins","year":"2014","journal-title":"BMC Medical Research Methodology"},{"issue":"10181","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0061|cit61","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1577\u20139","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(19)30037-6","article-title":"Reporting of artificial intelligence prediction models","volume":"393","author":"Collins","year":"2019","journal-title":"The Lancet"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0062|cit62","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"i6460","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.i6460","article-title":"A guide to systematic review and meta-analysis of prediction model performance","volume":"356","author":"Debray","year":"2017","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0063|cit63","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Debray TP Damen JA Riley RD Snell K Reitsma JB Hooft L A framework for meta-analysis of prediction model studies with binary and time-to-event outcomes Statistical Methods in Medical Research 2019 28 9 2768 86 doi.org\/10.1177\/0962280218785504","DOI":"10.1177\/0962280218785504"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0064|cit64","first-page":"13","article-title":"SCL-90: an outpatient psychiatric rating scale: preliminary report","volume":"9","author":"Derogatis","year":"1973","journal-title":"Psychopharmacol Bull"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0065|cit65","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1155\u201370","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.2016.2643","article-title":"Overcoming algorithm aversion: People will use imperfect algorithms if they can (even slightly) modify them","volume":"64","author":"Dietvorst","year":"2018","journal-title":"Management Science"},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0066|cit66","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"802","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.1992.01820100046009","article-title":"Differential relapse following cognitive therapy and pharmacotherapy for depression","volume":"49","author":"Evans","year":"1992","journal-title":"Archives of General Psychiatry"},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0067|cit67","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"14","DOI":"10.1176\/ajp.155.10.1443","article-title":"Six-year outcome for cognitive behavioral treatment of residual symptoms in major depression","volume":"155","author":"Fava","year":"1998","journal-title":"American Journal of Psychiatry"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0068|cit68","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"62","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jclinepi.2019.12.023","article-title":"GRADE Guidelines 28: Use of GRADE for the assessment of evidence about prognostic factors: rating certainty in identification of groups of patients with different absolute risks","volume":"121","author":"Foroutan","year":"2020","journal-title":"Journal of Clinical Epidemiology"},{"issue":"9","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0069|cit69","first-page":"851\u20135","article-title":"Conceptualization and rationale for consensus definitions of terms in major depressive disorder: remission, recovery, relapse, and recurrence","volume":"48","author":"Frank","year":"1991","journal-title":"JAMA Psychiatry"},{"issue":"9358","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0070|cit70","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"653","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(03)12599-8","article-title":"Relapse prevention with antidepressant drug treatment in depressive disorders: a systematic review","volume":"361","author":"Geddes","year":"2003","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0071|cit71","first-page":"184\u201391","article-title":"Prevalence and predictors of recurrence of major depressive disorder in the adult population","volume":"122","author":"Hardeveld","year":"2010","journal-title":"Acta Pyschiatrica Scandinavica"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0072|cit72","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e5595","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.e5595","article-title":"Prognosis research strategy (PROGRESS) 1: A framework for researching clinical outcomes","volume":"346","author":"Hemingway","year":"2013","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0073|cit73","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"71","DOI":"10.1186\/2046-4053-2-71","article-title":"Judging the quality of evidence in reviews of prognostic factor research: adapting the GRADE framework","volume":"2","author":"Huguet","year":"2013","journal-title":"Systematic Reviews"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0074|cit74","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"h870","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.h870","article-title":"Use of GRADE for assessment of evidence about prognosis: rating confidence in estimates of event rates in broad categories of patients","volume":"350","author":"Iorio","year":"2015","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"issue":"12","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0075|cit75","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1368","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.65.12.1368","article-title":"Development and validation of an international risk prediction algorithm for episodes of major depression in general practice attendees","volume":"65","author":"King","year":"2010","journal-title":"Archives of General Psychiatry"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0076|cit76","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"83","DOI":"10.1002\/jrsm.1316","article-title":"A comparison of heterogeneity variance estimators in simulated random - effects meta - analyses","volume":"10","author":"Langan","year":"2019","journal-title":"Research Synthesis Methods"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0077|cit77","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013383","article-title":"Interventions for helping people recognise early signs of recurrence in depression [Protocol]","author":"Lenora","year":"2019","journal-title":"Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews"},{"issue":"6","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0078|cit78","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"809","DOI":"10.1097\/00004583-199407000-00006","article-title":"Major depression in community adolescents: Age at onset, episode duration, and time to recurrence","volume":"33","author":"Lewinsohn","year":"1994","journal-title":"Journal of the Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0079|cit79","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"892","DOI":"10.1016\/j.psyneuen.2011.10.005","article-title":"Longitudinal hypothalamic\u2013pituitary\u2013adrenal axis trait and state effects in recurrent depression","volume":"37","author":"Lok","year":"2012","journal-title":"Psychoneuroendocrinology"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0080|cit80","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"6","DOI":"10.1186\/s41512-020-00075-2","article-title":"Logistic regression has similar performance to optimised machine learning algorithms in a clinical setting: application to the discrimination between type 1 and type 2 diabetes in young adults","volume":"4","author":"Lynam","year":"2020","journal-title":"Diagnostic and Prognostic Research"},{"issue":"9","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0081|cit81","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"691","DOI":"10.1136\/heartjnl-2011-301247","article-title":"Risk prediction models: II. External validation, model updating, and impact assessment","volume":"98","author":"Moons","year":"2012","journal-title":"Heart"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0082|cit82","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"W1\u2013W73","DOI":"10.7326\/M14-0698","article-title":"Transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD): Explanation and elaboration","volume":"162","author":"Moons","year":"2015","journal-title":"Annals of Internal Medicine"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0083|cit83","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"W1\u2013W33","DOI":"10.7326\/M18-1377","article-title":"PROBAST: A tool to assess risk of bias and applicability of prediction model studies: Explanation and elaboration","volume":"170","author":"Moons","year":"2019","journal-title":"Annals of Internal Medicine"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0084|cit84","first-page":"2154","article-title":"When and how to use data from randomised trials to develop or validate prognostic models","volume":"365","year":"2019","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0085|cit85","first-page":"999\u20131010","article-title":"Transduction of psychosocial stress into the neurobiology of recurrent affective disorder","volume":"149","author":"Post","year":"1992","journal-title":"American Journal of Psychiatry"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0086|cit86","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1093\/med\/9780198796619.001.0001","volume-title":"Prognosis Research in Healthcare: Concepts, Methods, and Impact","author":"Riley","year":"2019"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0087|cit87","first-page":"1276\u201396","article-title":"Minimum sample size for developing a multivariable prediction model: Part II - binary and time-to-event outcomes","volume":"38","author":"Riley","year":"2019","journal-title":"Statistics in Medicine"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0088|cit88","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"m441","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.m441","article-title":"Calculating the sample size required for developing a clinical prediction model","volume":"368","author":"Riley","year":"2020","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0089|cit89","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1049","DOI":"10.1176\/ps.2007.58.8.1049","article-title":"Predicting outcomes of primary care patients with major depression: development of a depression prognosis index","volume":"58","author":"Rubenstein","year":"2007","journal-title":"Psychiatric Services"},{"issue":"9","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0090|cit90","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1841","DOI":"10.1038\/sj.npp.1301131","article-title":"Report by the ACNP Task Force on response and remission in major depressive disorder","volume":"31","author":"Rush","year":"2006","journal-title":"Neuropsychopharmacology"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0091|cit91","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-030-28954-6","volume-title":"Explainable AI: Interpreting, Explaining and Visualizing Deep Learning. Lecture Notes in Computer Science","volume":"11700","author":"Samek","year":"2019"},{"issue":"11","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0092|cit92","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3505\u201322","DOI":"10.1177\/0962280217705678","article-title":"Meta-analysis of prediction model performance across multiple studies: which scale helps ensure between-study normality for the C-statistic and calibration measures?","volume":"27","author":"Snell","year":"2018","journal-title":"Statistical Methods in Medical Research"},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0093|cit93","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e10","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1001381","article-title":"Prognosis Research Strategy (PROGRESS) 3: Prognostic model research","volume":"10","author":"Steyerberg","year":"2013","journal-title":"PLoS MED"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0094|cit94","volume-title":"Using Multivariate Statistics","author":"Tabachnick","year":"1996"},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0095|cit95","first-page":"1046\u201352","article-title":"Relapse after cognitive behavior therapy of depression: potential implications for longer courses of treatment","volume":"149","author":"Thase","year":"1992","journal-title":"American Journal of Psychiatry"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0096|cit96","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"509\u201310","DOI":"10.1192\/bjp.2018.105","article-title":"Rise of the machines? Machine learning approaches and mental health: opportunities and challenges","volume":"213","author":"Tiffin","year":"2018","journal-title":"British Journal of Psychiatry"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0097|cit97","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2288-14-137","article-title":"Modern modelling techniques are data hungry: a simulation study for predicting dichotomous endpoints","volume":"14","author":"Van Der Ploeg","year":"2014","journal-title":"BMC Medical Research Methodology"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0098|cit98","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1186\/s12874-016-0267-3","article-title":"No rationale for 1 variable per 10 events criterion for binary logistic regression analysis","volume":"16","author":"Van Smeden","year":"2016","journal-title":"BMC Medical Research Methodology"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0099|cit99","first-page":"3","article-title":"Net benefit approaches to the evaluation of prediction models, molecular markers, and diagnostic tests","volume":"352","author":"Vickers","year":"2016","journal-title":"BMJ (Online)"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0100|cit100","unstructured":"World Health Organization Depression Available at www.who.int\/news-room\/fact-sheets\/detail\/depression"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0101|cit101","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"514","DOI":"10.1017\/S1352465819000080","article-title":"Predictors of depression relapse and recurrence after cognitive behavioural therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"47","author":"Wojnarowski","year":"2019","journal-title":"Behavioural and Cognitive Psychotherapy"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0102|cit102","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"51","DOI":"10.7326\/M18-1376","article-title":"PROBAST: A tool to assess the risk of bias and applicability of prediction model studies","volume":"170","author":"Wolff","year":"2019","journal-title":"Annals of Internal Medicine"},{"key":"10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2-BIB0103|cit103","unstructured":"Prognostic models for predicting relapse or recurrence of depression Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2019 12 10.1002\/14651858.CD013491"}],"container-title":["Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,12]],"date-time":"2025-05-12T02:18:10Z","timestamp":1747016290000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/14651858.CD013491.pub2"}},"subtitle":[],"editor":[{"name":"Cochrane Common Mental Disorders Group","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"editor"}]}],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2021,5,5]]},"references-count":103,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,5]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/14651858.cd013491.pub2","relation":{},"ISSN":["1465-1858"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1465-1858","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2021,5,5]]}}}