{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,8]],"date-time":"2026-04-08T16:41:00Z","timestamp":1775666460704,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":45,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"4","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,15]],"date-time":"2020-12-15T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1607990400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Intl J Eating Disorders"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2021,4]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Objective<\/jats:title><jats:p>To assess the ability of psychotherapists to predict the future outcome for inpatients with anorexia nervosa (AN) and bulimia nervosa (BN).<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Method<\/jats:title><jats:p>Psychotherapists rated the prognosis of the patient's eating disorder on a five point Likert scale on several dimensions at the end of inpatient treatment. Actual outcome was assessed about 10\u2009years after treatment. The sample comprised 1,065 patients treated for AN, and 1,192 patients treated for BN.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results<\/jats:title><jats:p>Psychotherapists' rating of their patient's prognosis was not better than chance for good outcome in AN and BN and for poor outcome in BN. Prediction of poor outcome in AN was somewhat better with approximately two thirds of correct predictions. In logistic regression analysis, psychotherapists' rating of the patients' prognosis for AN contributed to the explained variance of long\u2010term outcome, increasing the variance explained from 7% (by conventional predictors) to 8% after including psychotherapists' prognosis. In BN, there was no significant contribution of psychotherapists' prognosis to overall prediction.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Discussion<\/jats:title><jats:p>Our current knowledge of risk and protective factors for the course of eating disorders is unsatisfying. More specialized research is urgently needed.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1002\/eat.23443","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,16]],"date-time":"2020-12-16T00:32:22Z","timestamp":1608078742000},"page":"535-544","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":5,"title":["How precisely can psychotherapists predict the long\u2010term outcome of anorexia nervosa and bulimia nervosa at the end of inpatient treatment?"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"54","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8788-4878","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Manfred M.","family":"Fichter","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Ludwig\u2010Maximilians\u2010University (LMU), Munich, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy  Munich Germany"},{"name":"Schoen Klinik Roseneck affiliated with the Medical Faculty of the University of Munich (LMU)  Prien Germany"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6252-3315","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Norbert","family":"Quadflieg","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Ludwig\u2010Maximilians\u2010University (LMU), Munich, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy  Munich Germany"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,12,15]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_9_2_1","first-page":"e1","article-title":"The outcome of Japanese anorexia nervosa patients treated with an inpatient therapy in an internal medicine unit","volume":"17","author":"Amemiya N.","year":"2012","journal-title":"Eating & Weight Disorders"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_3_1","volume-title":"Diagnostic and statistical manual for mental disorders","author":"American Psychiatric Association","year":"1994"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(00)04406-8"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0010-440X(98)90062-1"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/PSY.0b013e31820a1838"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1159\/000329358"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/eat.22156"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_9_1","volume-title":"Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences","author":"Cohen J.","year":"1988"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291700048017"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/10503307.2016.1210834"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s40519-015-0211-2"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_13_1","first-page":"272","article-title":"Outcome and clinical course in inpatient bulimic women: A 2\u2010 to 9\u2010year follow\u2010up study","volume":"52","author":"Fallon B. 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