{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,16]],"date-time":"2026-02-16T18:01:29Z","timestamp":1771264889779,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":34,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"7","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,7,17]],"date-time":"2024-07-17T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1721174400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":16,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100014940","name":"Chinese Polar Environment Comprehensive Investigation and Assessment Programmes","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["2020YFC1200101"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2020YFC1200101"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100014940","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Ecology and Evolution"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,7]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title><jats:p><jats:italic>Pulex simulans<\/jats:italic> and <jats:italic>Polygenis gwyni<\/jats:italic> are vectors of many flea\u2010borne diseases. They were widely recorded in the United States and Mexico between 1970 and 2000. Maximum entropy models were used to explore the habitats of both fleas under different climate scenarios to provide the scientific basis for the surveillance and control of flea\u2010borne diseases. We screened climate variables by principal component analysis and Pearson's correlation test and evaluated model performance by ROC curve. ArcMap was used to visualize expressions. Under current climatic conditions, the medium and highly suitable areas for <jats:italic>P.\u2009simulans<\/jats:italic> are estimated to be 9.16\u2009\u00d7\u200910<jats:sup>6<\/jats:sup>\u2009km<jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup> and 4.97\u2009\u00d7\u200910<jats:sup>6<\/jats:sup>\u2009km<jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>, respectively. These regions are predominantly located in South America, along the Mediterranean coast of Europe, the southern part of the African continent, the Middle East, North China, and Australia. For <jats:italic>P.\u2009gwyni<\/jats:italic>, the medium and highly suitable areas under current climatic conditions are approximately 4.01\u2009\u00d7\u200910<jats:sup>6<\/jats:sup> and 2.04\u2009\u00d7\u200910<jats:sup>6<\/jats:sup>\u2009km<jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>, respectively, with the primary distribution in North China extending to the Himalayas, near the Equator in Africa, and in a few areas of Europe. Under future climate scenarios, in the SSP3\u20107.0 scenario for the years 2081\u20132100, the area of high suitability for <jats:italic>P.\u2009simulans<\/jats:italic> is projected to reach its maximum. Similarly, in the SSP2\u20104.5 scenario for 2061\u20132080, the area of high suitability for <jats:italic>P.\u2009gwyni<\/jats:italic> is expected to reach its maximum. Under global climate change, there is a large range in the potential distribution for both fleas, with an overall upward trend in the area of habitat under future climate scenarios. Governments should develop scientific prevention and control measures to prevent the invasive alien species flea.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.11621","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,7,18]],"date-time":"2024-07-18T02:59:04Z","timestamp":1721271544000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of <i>Pulex simulans<\/i> and <i>Polygenis gwyni<\/i>"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"14","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0008-2957-1225","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Zihao","family":"Wang","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Public Health Nanjing Medical University  Nanjing Jiangsu China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Nan","family":"Chang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Public Health Nanjing Medical University  Nanjing Jiangsu China"},{"name":"National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention  Beijing China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Hongyun","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Infectious Diseases Heze Center for Disease Control and Prevention  Heze Shandong China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Xiaohui","family":"Wei","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Public Health Nanjing Medical University  Nanjing Jiangsu China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Yuan","family":"Shi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention  Beijing China"},{"name":"School of Public Health, Cheeloo College Medicine Shandong University  Jinan China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Ke","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention  Beijing China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jinyu","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention  Beijing China"},{"name":"School of Public Health, Cheeloo College Medicine Shandong University  Jinan China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Chenran","family":"Guo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Public Health Nanjing Medical University  Nanjing Jiangsu China"},{"name":"National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention  Beijing China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Qiyong","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Public Health Nanjing Medical University  Nanjing Jiangsu China"},{"name":"National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention  Beijing China"},{"name":"School of Public Health, Cheeloo College Medicine Shandong University  Jinan China"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,7,17]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_11_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-2486.2002.00451.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijid.2009.11.011"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cvsm.2009.07.001"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/su12072671"},{"issue":"2","key":"e_1_2_11_6_1","first-page":"171","article-title":"The fleas (Siphonaptera) of South Carolina with an assessment of their vectorial importance","volume":"24","author":"Durden L. 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