{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,20]],"date-time":"2026-08-20T09:27:43Z","timestamp":1787218063291,"version":"build-2736575974"},"reference-count":63,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"7","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,1]],"date-time":"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1782864000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,1]],"date-time":"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1782864000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Ecology and Evolution"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,7]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>ABSTRACT<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>\n                    <jats:italic>Taverniera abyssinica<\/jats:italic>\n                    A. Rich. is one of the most important and well\u2010known medicinal plants used by local communities in Ethiopia. This critically endangered shrub is traditionally used to treat stomach ulcers, fever, soreness, and pain, and it is widely valued for its antipyretic and analgesic properties. In this study, we applied ensemble species distribution models using four algorithms (BRT, RF, GAM, GLM), 10\u2010fold cross\u2010validation, and three model replicates to predict the current and future distribution of\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>T. abyssinica<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    across Ethiopia. Suitable habitats were mapped at the district level to facilitate conservation planning and practical applications. Model performance was consistently high, with mean AUC values of 0.90\u20130.93 and TSS values exceeding 0.8, indicating strong predictive accuracy. Under current climatic conditions, the potential distribution of\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>T. abyssinica<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    is primarily concentrated in the central highlands, with additional suitable areas in the northern and eastern highlands. However, future climate projections indicate substantial range contraction, with approximately 85.9% (114,868\u2009km\n                    <jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>\n                    ) of currently suitable habitat projected to become unsuitable, while only 2.7% (3573\u2009km\n                    <jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>\n                    ) of new habitat is expected to become suitable. This represents a net habitat loss of 83.2% (111,295\u2009km\n                    <jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>\n                    ). These findings indicate the vulnerability of\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>T. abyssinica<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    to climate change and underscore the urgent need for adaptive conservation strategies. Although model performance was robust, predictions are based on a relatively small number of occurrence records, meaning they capture only what is represented in the data. We therefore recommend that both current and projected future suitable areas be given conservation priority to safeguard this species.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.73950","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,1]],"date-time":"2026-07-01T16:21:36Z","timestamp":1782922896000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Severe Climate\u2010Driven Range Contraction of\n                    <i>Taverniera abyssinica<\/i>\n                    A. Rich, an Endangered and Locally Popular Medicinal Plant in Ethiopia"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"16","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0291-3666","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Liyew","family":"Birhanu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biological Sciences, Faculty of Science, Royal Holloway University of London  Egham UK"},{"name":"Department of Biology Debre Markos University  Debre Markos Ethiopia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Nigussie","family":"Amsalu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biology Debre Markos University  Debre Markos Ethiopia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Dabash","family":"Tamir","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biology Debre Markos University  Debre Markos Ethiopia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Gerefa","family":"Sefu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Jiangsu University  Zhenjiang China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8045-6950","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Desalegn","family":"Chala","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Natural History Museum University of Oslo  Oslo Norway"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,1]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_11_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.4314\/ajtcam.v8i5S.5"},{"issue":"9","key":"e_1_2_11_3_1","first-page":"61","article-title":"Traditional Medicine in Ethiopia: The Attempts Being Made to Promote It for Effective and Better Utilization","volume":"9","author":"Abebe D.","year":"1986","journal-title":"SINET: Ethiopian Journal of Science"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/1746\u20104269\u201010\u201040"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12862\u2010023\u201002173\u20103"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/ecog.01132"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-030-23969-5_1"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598\u2010025\u201029297\u20104"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ppees.2012.05.002"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tree.2006.09.010"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.9734\/ejmp\/2022\/v33i11903"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.14719\/pst.2017.4.2.302"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.2041\u2010210X.2011.00172.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.5897\/AJMR2015.7507"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.2424"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s00035\u2010017\u20100184\u2010z"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s13020\u2010016\u20100108\u20107"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12862\u2010023\u201002177\u2010z"},{"issue":"4","key":"e_1_2_11_19_1","first-page":"155","article-title":"Preliminary Studies on Antipyretic and Analgesic Properties of Taverniera abyssinica","volume":"28","author":"Dagne E.","year":"1990","journal-title":"Ethiopian Medical Journal"},{"issue":"1","key":"e_1_2_11_20_1","first-page":"36","article-title":"Isoflavonoids From Taverniera abyssinica","volume":"1","author":"Duddeck H.","year":"1987","journal-title":"Bulletin of the Chemical Society of Ethiopia"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_21_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0266467422000104"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.5086"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_23_1","unstructured":"GBIF.2025.\u201cGBIF Occurrence Download.\u201dhttps:\/\/doi.org\/10.15468\/dl.vvk2eq."},{"key":"e_1_2_11_24_1","unstructured":"Gelan B.2015.\u201cIn Vitro Propagation ofTaverniera abyssinicaA. 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