{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,8]],"date-time":"2026-10-08T03:52:19Z","timestamp":1791431539285,"version":"4.3.3"},"reference-count":49,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"9","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,26]],"date-time":"2026-08-26T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1787702400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,26]],"date-time":"2026-08-26T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1787702400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Ecology and Evolution"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,9]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>ABSTRACT<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>\n                    Climate change poses an increasing threat to rare medicinal plants, yet the response mechanisms of many endangered species remain poorly understood.\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>Cibotium barometz<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    (L.) J. Sm., listed in the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES), is a typical example of this conservation challenge due to its overexploitation for traditional medicinal use in China. In this study, the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS software were used to predict the potential suitable habitats for\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>C. barometz<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    in China under current and future climate scenarios (from SSP1\u20102.6 to SSP5\u20108.5). The results showed that precipitation of the driest quarter (bio17) contributed the most to model construction, with an optimal precipitation range of 50\u2013150\u2009mm. The species distribution model indicated that under current climatic conditions, the national high\u2010suitability zone encompasses 24,410\u2009km\n                    <jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>\n                    , predominantly located in Guangdong, Guangxi, and southwestern Guizhou. Under future climate scenarios, the suitable habitat area of\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>C. barometz<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    shows an increasing trend under the low\u2010emission pathway (SSP1\u20102.6), but faces a continuous decline risk under medium\u2010emission pathways (SSP2\u20104.5 and SSP3\u20107.0). Under the high\u2010emission scenario (SSP5\u20108.5), the area of high\u2010suitability habitat expands to 279,800\u2009km\n                    <jats:sup>2<\/jats:sup>\n                    , with its centroid shifting significantly southward by 148.95\u2009km. Consequently, this study identifies priority areas for in\u00a0situ conservation (southwestern Guizhou and southern Guangdong) and key regions for ex situ conservation (central Guizhou), providing a crucial reference for the sustainable utilization of this endangered medicinal fern.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.74203","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,27]],"date-time":"2026-08-27T06:43:12Z","timestamp":1787812992000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["The Current and Future Distribution Areas of the Rare and Endangered Fern\n                    <i>Cibotium barometz<\/i>\n                    (Cibotiaceae) in Guizhou, China, Based on the\n                    <scp>MaxEnt<\/scp>\n                    Model and\n                    <scp>ArcGIS<\/scp>"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"16","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2298-1220","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Fulin","family":"Yan","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine  Guiyang China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Songsong","family":"Wu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine  Guiyang China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Wenxi","family":"Xiang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine  Guiyang China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Qingwen","family":"Sun","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine  Guiyang China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Shenghua","family":"Wei","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Guizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine  Guiyang China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,26]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_11_2_1","volume-title":"Guanling Successfully Cultivated Over 12 Million Seedlings of Cibotium barometz","author":"Anshun Forestry Bureau","year":"2025"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365\u20102699.2010.02300.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/S00382\u2010022\u201006151\u20101"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.13287\/j.1001\u20109332.2010.0431"},{"issue":"12","key":"e_1_2_11_6_1","first-page":"122","article-title":"Research Progress on Resource Status and Conservation of Endangered Medicinal Plant \n                     Cibotium barometz","volume":"50","author":"Chen D. 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