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However, ongoing climate change poses a serious threat to the distribution and persistence of many wild species, including\n                    <jats:italic>Allium<\/jats:italic>\n                    . In this study, we applied Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) modeling to assess the current and future potential distributions of\n                    <jats:italic>Allium karataviense<\/jats:italic>\n                    Regel and\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>A. turkestanicum<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    Regel under three climate change scenarios (ssp126, ssp245, ssp585) and three time periods (2030s, 2070s, and 2090s). The models demonstrated high predictive performance, with AUC values of 0.957 for\n                    <jats:italic>A. karataviense<\/jats:italic>\n                    and 0.935 for\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>A. turkestanicum<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    . Results of environmental variable contributions showed that\n                    <jats:italic>A. karataviense<\/jats:italic>\n                    adapted to mountainous environments, while\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>A. turkestanicum<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    adapted to arid lowland habitats. Future distribution areas revealed contrasting responses to climate change.\n                    <jats:italic>A. karataviense<\/jats:italic>\n                    is expected to maintain or moderately expand its suitable habitats, whereas\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>A. turkestanicum<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    shows a consistent decline in total suitable area across all scenarios. Centroid migration analysis confirmed the stability of\n                    <jats:italic>A. karataviense<\/jats:italic>\n                    and the sensitivity of\n                    <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">\n                      <jats:italic>A. turkestanicum<\/jats:italic>\n                    <\/jats:styled-content>\n                    to climatic changes. The overlap between highly suitable habitats and existing protected areas remains limited. Based on the modeling results, the Western Tien Shan, including the Karatau and Chu\u2010Ili Mountains, is identified as a potential Important Plant Area (IPA), where suitable habitats of both species overlap. Overall, this study highlights the diverse responses of plant species to climate change and emphasizes the need for targeted, climate\u2010informed conservation strategies to protect Central Asian wild plant diversity.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.74315","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,10]],"date-time":"2026-09-10T00:43:24Z","timestamp":1789001004000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Current and Future Distributions of\n                    <i>Allium karataviense<\/i>\n                    and\n                    <i>A. turkestanicum<\/i>\n                    in Central Asia Using\n                    <scp>MaxEnt<\/scp>\n                    Modeling"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"16","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0007-1244-5209","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Alan","family":"Ibraimov","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Plant Biology and Biotechnology  Almaty Kazakhstan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0000-4712-6047","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Aruzhan","family":"Alikhanova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Plant Biology and Biotechnology  Almaty Kazakhstan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9748-507X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Saule","family":"Abugalieva","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Plant Biology and Biotechnology  Almaty Kazakhstan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6079-264X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Shyryn","family":"Almerekova","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Plant Biology and Biotechnology  Almaty Kazakhstan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,9]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_11_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12870\u2010017\u20101194\u20100"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/ecog.01132"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1186\/s12870\u2010026\u201009260\u20109"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_5_1","unstructured":"Baitulin I. 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