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We examined recruitment dynamics in the Olympia oyster (<jats:italic>Ostrea lurida<\/jats:italic>), a species occurring almost entirely in estuaries. We investigated spatial scales of interannual synchrony across 37 sites in eight estuaries along 2,500\u00a0km of Pacific North American coastline, predicting that high vs. low recruitment years would coincide among neighboring estuaries due to shared exposure to regional oceanographic factors. Such synchrony in recruitment has been found for many marine species and some migratory estuarine species, but has never been examined across estuaries in a species that can complete its entire life cycle within the same estuary. To inform ongoing restoration efforts for Olympia oysters, which have declined in abundance in many estuaries, we also investigated predictors of recruitment failure. We found striking contrasts in absolute recruitment rate and frequency of recruitment failure among sites, estuaries, and years. Although we found a positive relationship between upwelling and recruitment, there was little evidence of synchrony in recruitment among estuaries along the coast, and only limited synchrony of sites within estuaries, suggesting recruitment rates are affected more strongly by local dynamics within estuaries than by regional oceanographic factors operating at scales encompassing multiple estuaries. This highlights the importance of local wetland and watershed management for the demography of oysters, and perhaps other species that can complete their entire life cycle within estuaries. Estuaries with more homogeneous environmental conditions had greater synchrony among sites, and this led to the potential for estuary\u2010wide failure when all sites had no recruitment in the same year. Environmental heterogeneity within estuaries may thus buffer against estuary\u2010wide recruitment failure, analogous to the portfolio effect for diversity. Recruitment failure was correlated with lower summer water temperature, higher winter salinity, and shorter residence time: all indicators of stronger marine influence on estuaries. Recruitment failure was also more common in estuaries with limited networks of nearby adult oysters. Large existing oyster networks are thus of high conservation value, while estuaries that lack them would benefit from restoration efforts to increase the extent and connectivity of sites supporting oysters.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/ecy.1602","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2016,10,7]],"date-time":"2016-10-07T11:57:13Z","timestamp":1475841433000},"page":"3503-3516","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":34,"title":["Coast\u2010wide recruitment dynamics of Olympia oysters reveal limited synchrony and multiple predictors of failure"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"97","author":[{"given":"Kerstin","family":"Wasson","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Elkhorn Slough National Estuarine Research Reserve  1700 Elkhorn Road Royal Oaks California 95064 USA"},{"name":"Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University of California  100 Shaffer Road Santa Cruz California 95060 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Brent B.","family":"Hughes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University of California  100 Shaffer Road Santa Cruz California 95060 USA"},{"name":"Division of Marine Science and Conservation Nicholas School of the Environment Duke University  Beaufort North Carolina 28516 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"John S.","family":"Berriman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Schmid College of Science and Technology Department of Biological Sciences Chapman University  Orange California 92866\u20101005 USA"},{"name":"Department of Biological Science (MH\u2010282) California State University  P.O. Box 6850 Fullerton California 92834\u20106850 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Andrew L.","family":"Chang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Smithsonian Environmental Research Center  3152 Paradise Drive Tiburon California 94920 USA"},{"name":"San Francisco Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve  3152 Paradise Drive Tiburon California 94920 USA"},{"name":"Department of Environmental Science and Policy University of California  One Shields Avenue Davis California 95616 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Anna K.","family":"Deck","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"San Francisco Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve  3152 Paradise Drive Tiburon California 94920 USA"},{"name":"Department of Environmental Science and Policy University of California  One Shields Avenue Davis California 95616 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Paul A.","family":"Dinnel","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Skagit County Marine Resources Committee  1800 Continental Place Mount Vernon Washington 98273 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Charlie","family":"Endris","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Elkhorn Slough National Estuarine Research Reserve  1700 Elkhorn Road Royal Oaks California 95064 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Michael","family":"Espinoza","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biological Science (MH\u2010282) California State University  P.O. Box 6850 Fullerton California 92834\u20106850 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Sarah","family":"Dudas","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Vancouver Island University  900 Fifth Street Nanaimo British Columbia V9R\u20095S5 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Matthew C.","family":"Ferner","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"San Francisco Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve  3152 Paradise Drive Tiburon California 94920 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Edwin D.","family":"Grosholz","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Environmental Science and Policy University of California  One Shields Avenue Davis California 95616 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"David","family":"Kimbro","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Marine and Environmental Sciences Marine Science Center Northeastern University  Nahant Massachusetts 01908 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jennifer L.","family":"Ruesink","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biology University of Washington  Seattle Washington 98195\u20101800 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Alan C.","family":"Trimble","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biology University of Washington  Seattle Washington 98195\u20101800 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Dick","family":"Vander Schaaf","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"The Nature Conservancy  821 SE 14th Avenue Portland Oregon 97214 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Chela J.","family":"Zabin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Smithsonian Environmental Research Center  3152 Paradise Drive Tiburon California 94920 USA"},{"name":"Department of Environmental Science and Policy University of California  One Shields Avenue Davis California 95616 USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Danielle C.","family":"Zacherl","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Biological Science (MH\u2010282) California State University  P.O. 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