{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,19]],"date-time":"2026-09-19T04:43:55Z","timestamp":1789793035317,"version":"4.0.1"},"reference-count":51,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"9","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,8,6]],"date-time":"2024-08-06T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1722902400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100020595","name":"National Science and Technology Council","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["111\u20102628\u2010M\u2010002\u2010007\u2010MY3"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["111\u20102628\u2010M\u2010002\u2010007\u2010MY3"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100020595","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100006477","name":"National Taiwan University","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["NTU\u2010CDP\u2010113L7739"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["NTU\u2010CDP\u2010113L7739"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100006477","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Ecology"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,9]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title><jats:p>Demographic processes that ensure the recovery and resilience of marine populations are critical as climate change sends an increasing proportion on a trajectory of decline. Yet for some populations, recovery potential remains high. We conducted annual monitoring over 9\u2009years (2012\u20132020) to assess the recovery of coral populations belonging to the genus <jats:italic>Pocillopora<\/jats:italic>. These populations experienced a catastrophic collapse following a severe typhoon in 2009. From the start of the monitoring period, high initial recruitment led to the establishment of a juvenile population that rapidly transitioned to sexually mature adults, which dominated the population within 6\u2009years after the disturbance. As a result, coral cover increased from 1.1% to 20.2% during this time. To identify key demographic drivers of recovery and population growth rates (\u03bb), we applied kernel\u2010resampled integral projection models (IPMs), constructing eight successive models to examine annual change. IPMs were able to capture reproductive traits as key demographic drivers over the initial 3\u2009years, while individual growth was a continuous key demographic driver throughout the entire monitoring period. IPMs further detected a pulse of reproductive output subsequent to two further Category 5 typhoon events during the monitoring period, exemplifying key mechanisms of resilience for coral populations impacted by disturbance. Despite rapid recovery, (i.e., increased coral cover, individual colony growth, low mortality), IPMs estimated predominantly negative values of \u03bb, indicating a declining population. Indeed, while \u03bb translates to a change in the number of individuals, the recovery of coral populations can also be driven by an increase in the size of surviving colonies. Our results illustrate that accumulating long\u2010term data on historical dynamics and applying IPMs to extract demographic drivers are crucial for future predictions that are based on comprehensive and robust understandings of ecological change.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/ecy.4368","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,8,6]],"date-time":"2024-08-06T22:48:41Z","timestamp":1722984521000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":12,"title":["Natural coral recovery despite negative population growth"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"105","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3957-7125","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Aziz J.","family":"Mulla","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Biodiversity Research Center, Academia Sinica  Taipei Taiwan"},{"name":"Biodiversity Program Taiwan International Graduate Program, Academia Sinica  Taipei Taiwan"},{"name":"Department of Life Science National Taiwan Normal University School  Taipei Taiwan"},{"name":"Institute of Oceanography National Taiwan University  Taipei Taiwan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0914-5586","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Vianney","family":"Denis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Oceanography National Taiwan University  Taipei Taiwan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7940-9703","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Che\u2010Hung","family":"Lin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Biodiversity Research Center, Academia Sinica  Taipei Taiwan"},{"name":"Department of Aquatic Biosciences National Chiayi University  Chiayi City 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Taiwan"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6124-6045","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Yoko","family":"Nozawa","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Biodiversity Research Center, Academia Sinica  Taipei Taiwan"},{"name":"Biodiversity Program Taiwan International Graduate Program, Academia Sinica  Taipei Taiwan"},{"name":"Department of Life Science National Taiwan Normal University School  Taipei Taiwan"},{"name":"Tropical Biosphere Research Center, University of the Ryukyus  Okinawa Japan"},{"name":"Department of Marine Science, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Science Universitas Diponegoro  Semarang 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