{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,7]],"date-time":"2026-10-07T05:51:38Z","timestamp":1791352298435,"version":"4.3.1"},"reference-count":16,"publisher":"Wiley","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,6]],"date-time":"2026-10-06T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1791244800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,6]],"date-time":"2026-10-06T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1791244800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Intl Journal of Cancer"],"abstract":"<jats:title>ABSTRACT<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>\n                    GLOBOCAN is the most widely used source of national cancer statistics, yet users routinely treat the difference between two releases as real epidemiological change. We quantified how far estimates move between the 2022 and 2024 cycles and whether this depends on development level. Age\u2010standardised incidence and mortality rates for eight cancers were paired between GLOBOCAN 2022 and 2024 for 185 countries common to both cycles. Agreement was assessed by Bland\u2013Altman analysis and Lin's concordance correlation coefficient (CCC); per\u2010country revision magnitude was related to the Human Development Index (HDI) using rank and robust regression, with partial correlation adjusting for baseline incidence. Pooled concordance was high (CCC 0.97 for incidence, 0.95 for mortality) with negligible mean bias, but limits of agreement were wide and the tail heavy: 62.4%, 40.3%, 28.1% and 13.4% of country\u2013cancer\u2013sex cells were revised by more than 10%, 20%, 30% and 50%. Revision magnitude was inversely related to HDI (Spearman\n                    <jats:italic>\u03c1<\/jats:italic>\n                    \u2009=\u2009\u22120.62 for incidence and \u22120.62 for mortality; both\n                    <jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\n                    \u2009&lt;\u20090.001), falling from 23.3% in low\u2010HDI to 8.1% in very\u2010high\u2010HDI countries and persisted after adjustment for baseline incidence (partial\n                    <jats:italic>\u03c1<\/jats:italic>\n                    \u2009=\u2009\u22120.36); the development gradient is thus only partly explained by lower, more volatile baseline rates. Thyroid cancer showed the largest revisions. These findings provide, to our knowledge, the first quantitative benchmark for interpreting apparent differences between successive GLOBOCAN releases and support more cautious interpretation of single\u2010cycle estimates from lower\u2010HDI settings.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.70773","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,7]],"date-time":"2026-10-07T05:46:16Z","timestamp":1791351976000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Stability of\n                    <scp>GLOBOCAN<\/scp>\n                    Estimates Across Consecutive Releases: A Quantitative Benchmark for Global Cancer Epidemiology"],"prefix":"10.1002","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-5549-4023","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Mehmet Zafer","family":"Sabuncuo\u011flu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine Akdeniz University  Antalya T\u00fcrkiye"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2133-2106","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"\u0130smail","family":"Zihni","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine Akdeniz University  Antalya T\u00fcrkiye"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1665-3607","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Bilal","family":"Turan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of General Surgery, Faculty of Medicine S\u00fcleyman Demirel University  Isparta T\u00fcrkiye"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-5552-9759","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Serdar","family":"Acar","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of General Surgery, Faculty of Medicine S\u00fcleyman Demirel University  Isparta T\u00fcrkiye"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1813-9687","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"\u0130sa","family":"Karaca","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of General Surgery, Faculty of Medicine S\u00fcleyman Demirel University  Isparta T\u00fcrkiye"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,6]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_12_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3322\/caac.70090"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_3_1","volume-title":"Global Status Report on Cancer 2026","author":"World Health Organization","year":"2026"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jamaoncol.2021.6987"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.31937"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3322\/caac.21660"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.35278"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3322\/caac.21834"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S1470\u20102045(12)70211\u20105"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.18356\/9789211542639","volume-title":"Human Development Report 2025: Statistical Annex, Table\u00a01 (Human Development Index and Its Components)","author":"United Nations Development Programme","year":"2025"},{"issue":"8476","key":"e_1_2_12_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"307","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(86)90837-8","article-title":"Statistical Methods for Assessing Agreement Between Two Methods of Clinical Measurement","volume":"1","author":"Bland J. M.","year":"1986","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"issue":"1","key":"e_1_2_12_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"255","DOI":"10.2307\/2532051","article-title":"A Concordance Correlation Coefficient to Evaluate Reproducibility","volume":"45","author":"Lin L. I.","year":"1989","journal-title":"Biometrics"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ejca.2008.11.032"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ejca.2008.11.033"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_15_1","volume-title":"Planning and Developing Population\u2010Based Cancer Registration in Low\u2010 and Middle\u2010Income Settings","author":"Bray F.","year":"2014"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/epirev\/mxx003"},{"key":"e_1_2_12_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMp1604412"}],"container-title":["International Journal of Cancer"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1002\/ijc.70773","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1002\/ijc.70773","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1002\/ijc.70773","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,7]],"date-time":"2026-10-07T05:46:18Z","timestamp":1791351978000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1002\/ijc.70773"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,6]]},"references-count":16,"alternative-id":["10.1002\/ijc.70773"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/ijc.70773","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{},"ISSN":["0020-7136","1097-0215"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0020-7136","type":"print"},{"value":"1097-0215","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,6]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2026-07-19","order":0,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2026-09-24","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2026-10-06","order":3,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}],"article-number":"ijc.70773"}}