{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,6]],"date-time":"2026-03-06T03:15:14Z","timestamp":1772766914899,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":36,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"10","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,2,22]],"date-time":"2024-02-22T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1708560000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":144,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,23]],"date-time":"2023-08-23T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1692748800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100008530","name":"European Regional Development Fund","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100008530","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100004587","name":"Instituto de Salud Carlos III","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100004587","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100008530","name":"European Regional Development Fund","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100008530","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100004587","name":"Instituto de Salud Carlos III","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100004587","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["asbmr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2023,10,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>People with HIV have a higher risk of fracture than the general population. Because of the low performance of the existing prediction tools, there is controversy surrounding fracture risk estimation in this population. The aim of the study was to develop a model for predicting the long-term risk of fragility fractures in people with HIV. We included 11,899 individuals aged \u226530\u2009years from the Spanish HIV\/AIDS research network cohort. We identified incident fragility fractures from medical records, defined as nontraumatic or those occurring after a casual fall, at major osteoporotic sites (hip, clinical spine, forearm, proximal humerus). Our model accounted for the competing risk of death and included 12 candidate predictors to estimate the time to first fragility fracture. We assessed the discrimination and calibration of the model and compared it with the FRAX tool. The incidence rate of fragility fractures was 4.34 (95% CI 3.61 to 5.22) per 1000 person-years. The final prediction model included age, chronic kidney disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease as significant predictors. The model accurately predicted the 5- and 10-year risk of fragility fractures, with an area under the receiving operator characteristic curve of 0.768 (95% CI 0.722 to 0.814) and agreement between the observed and expected probabilities. Furthermore, it demonstrated better discrimination and calibration than the FRAX tool, improving the classification of over 35% of individuals with fragility fractures compared to FRAX. Our prediction model demonstrated accuracy in predicting the long-term risk of fragility fractures. It can assist in making personalized intervention decisions for individuals with HIV and could potentially replace the current tools recommended for fracture risk assessment in this population. \u00a9 2023 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/jbmr.4894","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,7]],"date-time":"2023-08-07T00:40:24Z","timestamp":1691368824000},"page":"1443-1452","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":7,"title":["A Risk Assessment Tool for Predicting Fragility Fractures in People with HIV: Derivation and Internal Validation of the FRESIA Model"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"38","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8553-6995","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Pilar","family":"Vizcarra","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Universidad de Alcal\u00e1, Hospital Universitario Ram\u00f3n y Cajal Madrid Spain"},{"name":"CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC) Instituto de Salud Carlos III Madrid Spain"},{"name":"Department of Infectious Diseases Hospital Universitario Ram\u00f3n y Cajal, IRyCIS Madrid Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Ana","family":"Moreno","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC) Instituto de Salud Carlos III Madrid Spain"},{"name":"Department of Infectious Diseases Hospital Universitario Ram\u00f3n y Cajal, IRyCIS Madrid Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Mar\u00eda J.","family":"Vivancos","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC) Instituto de Salud Carlos III Madrid Spain"},{"name":"Department of Infectious Diseases Hospital Universitario Ram\u00f3n y Cajal, IRyCIS Madrid Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Alfonso","family":"Muriel Garc\u00eda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Unit of Biostatistics, Hospital Universitario Ram\u00f3n y Cajal, Centro de Investigaci\u00f3n Biom\u00e9dica en Red, Epidemiolog\u00eda y Salud P\u00fablica (CIBERESP) Universidad de Alcal\u00e1 Madrid Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Margarita","family":"Ramirez Schacke","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Unit of Infectious Diseases \u2013 HIV, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Mara\u00f1\u00f3n Instituto de Investigaci\u00f3n Sanitaria Gregorio Mara\u00f1\u00f3n Madrid Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Juan","family":"Gonz\u00e1lez-Garcia","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Unit of VIH, Department of Internal Medicine II Hospital Universitario La Paz, IdiPaz Madrid Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Adri\u00e1n","family":"Curran","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Infectious Diseases Department Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Vall d'Hebron Research Institute Barcelona Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Rosario","family":"Palacios","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Unit of Infectious Diseases Hospital Universitario Virgen de la Victoria Malaga Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Antonio Jes\u00fas","family":"S\u00e1nchez Guirao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Hospital General Universitario Santa Luc\u00eda Cartagena Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Sergio","family":"Reus Ba\u00f1uls","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Unit of Infectious Diseases ISABIAL, Hospital General Universitario Dr. Balmis Alicante Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Santiago","family":"Moreno Guill\u00e9n","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Universidad de Alcal\u00e1, Hospital Universitario Ram\u00f3n y Cajal Madrid Spain"},{"name":"CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC) Instituto de Salud Carlos III Madrid Spain"},{"name":"Department of Infectious Diseases Hospital Universitario Ram\u00f3n y Cajal, IRyCIS Madrid Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Jos\u00e9 L.","family":"Casado","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC) Instituto de Salud Carlos III Madrid Spain"},{"name":"Department of Infectious Diseases Hospital Universitario Ram\u00f3n y Cajal, IRyCIS Madrid Spain"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"name":"on behalf of the Spanish HIV Research Network (CoRIS)","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,10,1]]},"reference":[{"key":"2024022211041617500_jbmr4894-bib-0001","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"455","DOI":"10.1097\/QAD.0000000000002082","article-title":"Frailty predicts fractures among women with and at-risk for 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