{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,5]],"date-time":"2026-10-05T04:28:59Z","timestamp":1791174539055,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":18,"publisher":"Oxford University Press (OUP)","issue":"2","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[1996,2,1]],"date-time":"1996-02-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":823132800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/journals\/pages\/open_access\/funder_policies\/chorus\/standard_publication_model"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001320","name":"Wolfson Foundation","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001320","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"crossref"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[1996,2,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>In a prospective population-based cohort study, we assessed whether bone mineral density (BMD) measurements of perimenopausal women and other risk factors for osteoporosis are predictive of subsequent fracture. Women aged 47-51 years chosen randomly from a population register who underwent a bone density measurement 2 years previously were followed up by questionnaire to assess the 2-year incidence of any self-reported fractures. We found that 44 women, out of 1857 who completed the questionnaire, sustained at least one fracture within a 2-year follow-up period. After adjustment for covariates, the odds ratio of sustaining a fracture was 1.6 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16-2.34) for every standard deviation reduction in BMD at the spine, for women with a prior history of fracture the odds ratio of a subsequent fracture was approximately 2 (95% CI 1.31\u20133.03), a family history of hip fracture (maternal grandmother) carried an odds ratio of 3.7 (95% CI 1.55-8.85), while being postmeno-pausal or having a hysterectomy resulted in an odds ratio of 1.98 (1.02-3.56). This study has shown that BMD measurements at the hip and spine and other risk factors predict any nonhip and nonspine perimenopausal fractures. Further follow-up is required to assess the predictive performance of BMD measurements and other risk factors for hip and spine fractures.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/jbmr.5650110219","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2010,2,3]],"date-time":"2010-02-03T15:31:10Z","timestamp":1265211070000},"page":"293-297","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":94,"title":["Prediction of perimenopausal fractures by bone mineral density and other risk factors"],"prefix":"10.1093","volume":"11","author":[{"given":"D.J.","family":"Torgerson","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Health Services Research Unit (HSRU), University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom"},{"name":"Health Economics Research Unit (HERD), University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"M.K.","family":"Campbell","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Health Services Research Unit (HSRU), University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom"},{"name":"Health Economics Research Unit (HERD), University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"R.E.","family":"Thomas","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Health Services Research Unit (HSRU), University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom"},{"name":"Health Economics Research Unit (HERD), University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"D.M.","family":"Reid","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Rheumatology, Aberdeen Royal Hospitals' Trust, Aberdeen, United Kingdom"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"286","published-online":{"date-parts":[[1996,2,1]]},"reference":[{"key":"2024013114231998400_bib1","first-page":"459","author":"Cooper","year":"1993"},{"key":"2024013114231998400_bib2","first-page":"111","article-title":"Prediction of osteoporotic fractures by postural instability 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