{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,21]],"date-time":"2026-08-21T12:27:27Z","timestamp":1787315247587,"version":"build-2736575974"},"reference-count":44,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"3","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,3,24]],"date-time":"2023-03-24T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1679616000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":23,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Journal of Medical Virology"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2023,3]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>\n                    An ongoing outbreak of monkeypox virus (MPXV) was first reported in the United Kingdom on 6 May 2022. As of 17 November, there had been a total of 80\u2009221 confirmed MPXV cases in over 110 countries. Based on data reported between 6 May and 30 June 2022 in the United Kingdom, Spain, and Germany, we applied a deep learning approach using convolutional neural networks to evaluate the parameters of the 2022 MPXV outbreak. The basic reproduction number (\n                    <jats:italic>R<\/jats:italic>\n                    <jats:sub>0<\/jats:sub>\n                    ) of MPXV was estimated to be 2.32 in the United Kingdom, which indicates the active diffusion of MPXV since the beginning of the outbreak. The data from Spain and Germany produced higher median\n                    <jats:italic>R<\/jats:italic>\n                    <jats:sub>0<\/jats:sub>\n                    values of 2.42 and 2.88, respectively. Importantly, the estimated\n                    <jats:italic>R<\/jats:italic>\n                    <jats:sub>0<\/jats:sub>\n                    of MPXV in the three countries tends to the previously calculated\n                    <jats:italic>R<\/jats:italic>\n                    <jats:sub>0<\/jats:sub>\n                    of smallpox (3.50 to 6.00). Furthermore, the incubation (1\/\u03b5) and infectious (1\/\u03b3) period was predicted between 9 and 10 days and 4\u22125 days, respectively. The\n                    <jats:italic>R<\/jats:italic>\n                    <jats:sub>0<\/jats:sub>\n                    value derived from MPXV is consistent with the significantly increasing number of cases, indicating the risk of a rapid spread of MPXV worldwide, which would provide important insights for the prevention and control of MPXV epidemic.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/jmv.28683","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,3,17]],"date-time":"2023-03-17T08:29:02Z","timestamp":1679041742000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":14,"title":["Anticipating the transmissibility of the 2022 mpox outbreak"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"95","author":[{"given":"Tuoyu","family":"Liu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Shan","family":"Yang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Boyu","family":"Luo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Xinyue","family":"Fan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yingtan","family":"Zhuang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"George F.","family":"Gao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CAS Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Microbiology, Center for Influenza Research and Early\u2010warning (CASCIRE), CAS\u2010TWAS Center of Excellence for Emerging Infectious Diseases (CEEID) Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China"},{"name":"University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yuhai","family":"Bi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"CAS Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Microbiology, Center for Influenza Research and Early\u2010warning (CASCIRE), CAS\u2010TWAS Center of Excellence for Emerging Infectious Diseases (CEEID) Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China"},{"name":"University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1566-9685","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Yue","family":"Teng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,3,24]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_9_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3389\/fpubh.2018.00241"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0007791"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/infdis\/jiaa559"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/v13010043"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/jmv.27902"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2807\/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.22.2200422"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/jmv.27894"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2807\/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.22.2200421"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2807\/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.22.2200411"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_11_1","unstructured":"MinhajFS. 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