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It is currently ranked the third greatest threat to Australia on the National Priority Plant Pest (NPPP) list (2024). Various CLIMEX, MaxEnt and mechanistic models of the potential global distribution of\n                      <jats:italic>D<\/jats:italic>\n                      .\n                      <jats:italic>suzukii<\/jats:italic>\n                      have not included irrigation effects. Here, we model the potential global distribution of\n                      <jats:italic>D<\/jats:italic>\n                      .\n                      <jats:italic>suzukii<\/jats:italic>\n                      using CLIMEX, mapped as a composite of natural rainfall and irrigation. For Australia, we overlay the composite potential distribution with host crops to identify commercial areas at risk.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>RESULTS<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      The potential distribution of\n                      <jats:italic>D<\/jats:italic>\n                      .\n                      <jats:italic>suzukii<\/jats:italic>\n                      includes all Australian commercial host growing regions. The global projected range extent changes by 6% when irrigation is included, and mean within\u2010range global cell suitability increases by 5 Ecoclimatic Index points. Globally, the CLIMEX results indicate potential range expansion in South America, sub\u2010Saharan Africa, South East Asia and Oceania.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>\n                  <jats:sec>\n                    <jats:title>CONCLUSION<\/jats:title>\n                    <jats:p>\n                      We have demonstrated a straightforward assessment of the overlap between host production and the potential distribution of a priority pest. This method can be applied to other NPPPs in Australia as part of a broader modelling framework, or to similar cases in other regions. \u00a9 2026 The Author(s).\n                      <jats:italic>Pest Management Science<\/jats:italic>\n                      published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.\n                    <\/jats:p>\n                  <\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1002\/ps.71366","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,8]],"date-time":"2026-10-08T04:36:28Z","timestamp":1791434188000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["The potential global distribution of\n                    <scp>\n                      <i>Drosophila suzukii<\/i>\n                    <\/scp>\n                    , including consideration of irrigation and Australian host cropping areas"],"prefix":"10.1002","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6471-5529","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jessica Mae","family":"Kriticos","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Research School of Biology Australian National University  Canberra Australia"},{"name":"Australian Research Council Training Centre in Plant Biosecurity  Canberra Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Elle","family":"Saber","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Research School of Biology Australian National University  Canberra Australia"},{"name":"Australian Research Council Training Centre in Plant Biosecurity  Canberra Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Eric","family":"Stone","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Research School of Biology Australian National University  Canberra Australia"},{"name":"Australian Research Council Training Centre in Plant Biosecurity  Canberra Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,7]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_8_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"301","DOI":"10.1002\/9781444329988.ch23","volume-title":"Fifty Years of Invasion Ecology","author":"Hulme PE","year":"2010"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/ncomms14435"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_4_1","unstructured":"CresswellIandMurphyH Australia State of the Environment 2016: Biodiversity Independent Report to the Australian Government Minister for the Environment and Energy(2017).https:\/\/doi.org\/10.4226\/94\/58b65ac828812."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.14527"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_6_1","unstructured":"CamacJ BaumgartnerJ RobinsonAet al. 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