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Biol."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,12]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>Estimating the transmission fitness of SARS\u2010CoV\u20102 variants and understanding their evolutionary fitness trends are important for epidemiological forecasting. Existing methods are often constrained by their parametric natures and do not satisfactorily align with the observations during COVID\u201019. Here, we introduce a sliding\u2010window data\u2010driven pairwise comparison method, the differential population growth rate (DPGR) that uses viral strains as internal controls to mitigate sampling biases. DPGR is applicable in time windows in which the logarithmic ratio of two variant subpopulations is approximately linear. We apply DPGR to genomic surveillance data and focus on variants of concern (VOCs) in multiple countries and regions. We found that the log\u2010linear assumption of DPGR can be reliably found within appropriate time windows in many areas. We show that DPGR estimates of VOCs align well with regional empirical observations in different countries. We show that DPGR estimates agree with another method for estimating pathogenic transmission. Furthermore, DPGR allowed us to construct viral relative fitness landscapes that capture the shifting trends of SARS\u2010CoV\u20102 evolution, reflecting the relative changes of transmission traits for key genotypic changes represented by major variants. The straightforward log\u2010linear regression approach of DPGR may also facilitate its easy adoption. This study shows that DPGR is a promising new tool in our repertoire for addressing future pandemics.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/qub2.70003","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,4,22]],"date-time":"2025-04-22T00:19:40Z","timestamp":1745281180000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["A data\u2010driven sliding\u2010window pairwise comparative approach for the estimation of transmission fitness of SARS\u2010CoV\u20102 variants and construction of the evolution fitness landscape"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"13","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0002-8874-8154","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Md Jubair","family":"Pantho","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Computer Science and Engineering University of Tennessee at Chattanooga  Chattanooga Tennessee USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Richard","family":"Annan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Computer Science North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University  Greensboro North Carolina USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Landen Alexander","family":"Bauder","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Computer Science and Engineering University of Tennessee at Chattanooga  Chattanooga Tennessee USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Sophia","family":"Huang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Thomas Jefferson High School for Science and Technology  Alexandria Virginia USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Letu","family":"Qingge","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Computer Science North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University  Greensboro North Carolina USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1060-6722","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Hong","family":"Qin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Computer Science and Engineering University of Tennessee at Chattanooga  Chattanooga Tennessee USA"},{"name":"School of Data Science Department of Computer Science Old Dominion University  Norfolk Virginia USA"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,4,21]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_11_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.molmed.2020.02.008"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3389\/fmicb.2022.890590"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41576-023-00610-z"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3349\/ymj.2021.62.11.961"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1177\/20499361211024372"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3390\/v16071150"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_8_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3201\/eid2501.171901"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_9_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijid.2020.04.069"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pcbi.1008409"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1128\/mbio.00135-22"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/molbev\/msaa314"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-021-87713-x"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1038\/d41586-022-00215-2"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.abm1208"},{"key":"e_1_2_11_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"AbousamraE FigginsM BedfordT.Fitness models provide accurate short\u2010term forecasts of SARS\u2010CoV\u20102 variant frequency;2024. 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