{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,12,13]],"date-time":"2025-12-13T06:42:00Z","timestamp":1765608120864},"reference-count":19,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"19-20","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2006,10,15]],"date-time":"2006-10-15T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1160870400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":4383,"URL":"http:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/termsAndConditions#vor"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Statistics in Medicine"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[1994,10,15]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title><jats:p>The per\u2010sexual\u2010act probability of transmission of the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV) from an infected person to a susceptible sex partner can be determined from a simple model if the number of contacts each study participant has with infected partners is known. The unusual epidemiologic situation in the emerging HIV epidemic in Thailand allowed this quantity to be estimated from a cross\u2010sectional study of young men conscripted into the Thai military in 1991. Although the simple model does not fit the data, an errors\u2010in\u2010variables approach provides a model with adequate fit. Other sources of lack of fit, including heterogeneity of the transmission probability, are discussed. With adjustment for measurement error, the per\u2010act probability is estimated to be 0.056, an order of magnitude higher than similar estimates in North America. Because data indicate that recently infected persons may be more infectious, and because extensive HIV transmission in Thailand began in 1988, this difference may be due, in part, to a higher proportion of recently infected individuals in the emerging Thai epidemic from 1988 to 1991.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.4780131918","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2007,4,28]],"date-time":"2007-04-28T14:16:36Z","timestamp":1177769796000},"page":"2097-2106","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":28,"title":["Modelling the female\u2010to\u2010male per\u2010act HIV transmission probability in an emerging epidemic in Asia"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"13","author":[{"given":"Glen A.","family":"Satten","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Timothy D.","family":"Mastro","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"suffix":"Jr.","given":"Ira M.","family":"Longini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2006,10,15]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_1_2_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/oxfordjournals.aje.a115832"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_3_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/00002030-199309000-00013"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_4_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(94)90990-3"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_5_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/00002030-199101001-00011"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_6_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.4780080110"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_7_2","first-page":"55","article-title":"Modeling HIV infectivity: must sex acts be counted?","volume":"3","author":"Kaplan E. H.","year":"1990","journal-title":"Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_8_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/2532454"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_9_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.270.8.955"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_10_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/01621459.1983.10477920"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_11_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/00002030-199105000-00017"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_12_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.4780080109"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_13_2","unstructured":"Sirisopana N. Torugsa K. McNeil J. Jugsudee A. Phalasin P. Chuenchitra C. Supapongse T. Singharaj P. Sangkharomya S. Songkumarn S. Intarapreecha S. Burke D.andBosiego J.\u2018The temporal trend of HIV seroprevalence among young men entering the Royal Thai army: 1989\u20101991\u2019 VIII International Conference on AIDS Amsterdam The Netherlands July 1992 Abstract PoC 4084."},{"key":"e_1_2_1_14_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-642-93454-4_5"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_15_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJM199104043241404"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_16_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJM199104043241405"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_17_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1093\/infdis\/164.1.72"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_18_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/0140-6736(93)91001-3"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_19_2","volume-title":"Human Retroviruses and AIDS 1992: A Compilation and Analysis of Nucleic Acid and Amino Acid Sequences","author":"Myers G.","year":"1992"},{"key":"e_1_2_1_20_2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.4780120309"}],"container-title":["Statistics in Medicine"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.wiley.com\/onlinelibrary\/tdm\/v1\/articles\/10.1002%2Fsim.4780131918","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1002\/sim.4780131918","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,31]],"date-time":"2023-08-31T13:13:48Z","timestamp":1693487628000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1002\/sim.4780131918"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[1994,10,15]]},"references-count":19,"journal-issue":{"issue":"19-20","published-print":{"date-parts":[[1994,10,15]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1002\/sim.4780131918"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/sim.4780131918","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{},"ISSN":["0277-6715","1097-0258"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0277-6715","type":"print"},{"value":"1097-0258","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[1994,10,15]]}}}