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The longitudinal process is defined in terms of a proportional\u2010odds cumulative logit model. Time\u2010to\u2010event is modeled through a left\u2010truncated proportional\u2010hazards model, which incorporates information of the longitudinal marker as well as baseline covariates. Both longitudinal and survival processes are connected by means of a common vector of random effects.<\/jats:p><jats:p>General inferences are discussed under the Bayesian approach and include the posterior distribution of the probabilities associated to each longitudinal category and the assessment of the impact of the baseline covariates and the longitudinal marker on the hazard function. The flexibility provided by the joint model makes possible to dynamically estimate individual event\u2010free probabilities and predict future longitudinal marker values.<\/jats:p><jats:p>The model is applied to the assessment of breast cancer risk in women attending a population\u2010based screening program. The longitudinal ordinal marker is mammographic breast density measured with the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI\u2010RADS) scale in biennial screening exams. \u00a9 2016 The Authors. <jats:italic>Statistics in Medicine<\/jats:italic> Published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.7065","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2016,8,15]],"date-time":"2016-08-15T02:56:41Z","timestamp":1471229801000},"page":"5267-5282","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":23,"title":["Bayesian joint ordinal and survival modeling for breast cancer risk assessment"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"35","author":[{"given":"C.","family":"Armero","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Statistics and Operational Research Universitat de Val\u00e8ncia  Doctor Moliner, 50 46100 Burjassot Spain"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"C.","family":"Forn\u00e9","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Basic Medical Sciences Universitat de Lleida\u2010IRBLleida  Avda. 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