{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,18]],"date-time":"2026-03-18T21:00:10Z","timestamp":1773867610058,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":22,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,15]],"date-time":"2026-02-15T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1771113600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":14,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,1]],"date-time":"2026-02-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1769904000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/doi.wiley.com\/10.1002\/tdm_license_1.1"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["rsnz.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,2]]},"abstract":"<jats:p>Using nationally representative survey data collected in February 2025, this article examines how New Zealand households perceive food price inflation. We find that perceived food price inflation significantly exceeds the official rate, with respondents estimating food price inflation to be over seven times higher than reported figures. Perceptions vary by age and gender: women report higher inflation estimates than men, and perceived inflation decreases with age. Quantile regressions suggest that these differences are concentrated around the median and the upper quantile of the distribution of inflation perceptions. These findings highlight a misalignment between statistical reporting and lived experience, with implications for nutrition, wellbeing,\u00a0and communication of economic data.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/snz2.70018","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,15]],"date-time":"2026-02-15T19:54:43Z","timestamp":1771185283000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["The Inflation Illusion: How New Zealand Households Overestimate Increases in Food Prices"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"56","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9239-4446","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Puneet","family":"Vatsa","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Business and Creative Industries University of the Sunshine Coast  Sippy Downs Australia"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4756-5709","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Alan","family":"Renwick","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Faculty of Agribusiness and Commerce Lincoln University  Lincoln New Zealand"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,15]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_9_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/aepp.13378"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Anesti N. V.Esady andM.Naylor.2025. \u201cFood Prices Matter Most: Sensitive Household Inflation Expectations.\u201d (Bank of England Staff Working Paper No. 1125).","DOI":"10.2139\/ssrn.5303596"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jmacro.2018.08.006"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1162\/rest_a_00944"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1257\/mac.20130306"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_7_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/B978-0-12-822927-9.00012-4"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_8_1","volume-title":"The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2025 \u2013 Addressing High Food Price Inflation for Food Security and Nutrition. FAO","author":"FAO","year":"2025"},{"issue":"5","key":"e_1_2_9_9_1","first-page":"961","article-title":"Perceived and Expected Rates of Inflation in Sweden","volume":"71","author":"Jonung L.","year":"1981","journal-title":"American Economic Review"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/jmcb.12944"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/jae.2911"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eneco.2022.106228"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.4337\/9781035327768.00032"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-642-57984-4_29"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_15_1","volume-title":"Quantile Regression","author":"Koenker R.","year":"2010"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_16_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/1913643"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1126\/science.185.4157.1124"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/00036846.2025.2473115"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eneco.2024.107939"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_20_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/00779954.2025.2562988"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_21_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/1467\u20108454.12388"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_22_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/03036758.2024.2368788"},{"key":"e_1_2_9_23_1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Weber M. Y.Gorodnichenko andO.Coibion.2022. \u201cThe Expected Perceived and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic.\u201d National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 29640.https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3386\/w29640.","DOI":"10.3386\/w29640"}],"container-title":["Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/rsnz.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1002\/snz2.70018","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/rsnz.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1002\/snz2.70018","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/rsnz.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1002\/snz2.70018","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,18]],"date-time":"2026-03-18T13:50:22Z","timestamp":1773841822000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/rsnz.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1002\/snz2.70018"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026,2]]},"references-count":22,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,2]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1002\/snz2.70018"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/snz2.70018","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{},"ISSN":["0303-6758","1175-8899"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0303-6758","type":"print"},{"value":"1175-8899","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2026,2]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2025-09-29","order":0,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2026-01-08","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2026-02-15","order":3,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}],"article-number":"e70018"}}