{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,30]],"date-time":"2026-09-30T20:43:16Z","timestamp":1790800996953,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":59,"publisher":"Wiley","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,6,1]],"date-time":"2022-06-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1654041600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["obgyn.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Ultrasound in Obstet &amp; Gyne"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,6]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>ABSTRACT<\/jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Objective<\/jats:title><jats:p>To estimate the cost\u2010effectiveness of strategies to prevent spontaneous preterm delivery (PTD) in asymptomatic singleton pregnancies, using prevalence and healthcare cost data from the Swedish healthcare context.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods<\/jats:title><jats:p>We designed a decision analytic model based on the Swedish CERVIX study to estimate the cost\u2010effectiveness of strategies to prevent spontaneous PTD in asymptomatic women with a singleton pregnancy. The model was constructed as a combined decision\u2010tree model and Markov model with a time horizon of 100\u2009years. Four preventive strategies, namely \u2018Universal screening\u2019, \u2018High\u2010risk\u2010based screening\u2019 (i.e. screening of high\u2010risk women only), \u2018Low\u2010risk\u2010based screening\u2019 (i.e. treatment of high\u2010risk population and screening of remaining women) and \u2018Nullipara screening\u2019 (i.e. treatment of high\u2010risk population and screening of nulliparous women only), included second\u2010trimester cervical length (CL) screening by transvaginal ultrasound followed by vaginal progesterone treatment in the case of a short cervix. A fifth preventive strategy involved vaginal progesterone treatment of women with previous spontaneous PTD or late miscarriage but no CL screening (\u2018No screening, treat high\u2010risk group\u2019). For comparison, we used a sixth strategy implying no specific intervention to prevent spontaneous PTD, reflecting the current situation in Sweden (\u2018No screening\u2019). Probabilities for a short cervix (CL \u2264\u200925\u2009mm; base\u2010case) and for spontaneous PTD at &lt;\u200933\u2009+\u20090\u2009weeks and at 33\u2009+\u20090 to 36\u2009+\u20096\u2009weeks were derived from the CERVIX study, and probabilities for stillbirth, neonatal mortality and long\u2010term morbidity (cerebral palsy) from Swedish health data registers. Costs were based on Swedish data, except costs for cerebral palsy, which were based on Danish data. We assumed that vaginal progesterone reduces spontaneous PTD before 33\u2009weeks by 30% and spontaneous PTD at 33\u201336\u2009weeks by 10% (based on the literature). All analyses were from a societal perspective. We expressed the effectiveness of each strategy as gained quality\u2010adjusted life years (QALYs) and presented cost\u2010effectiveness as average (ACER; average cost per gained QALY compared with \u2018No screening\u2019) and incremental (ICER; difference in costs divided by the difference in QALYs for each of two strategies being compared) cost\u2010effectiveness ratios. We performed deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. The results of the latter are shown as cost\u2010effectiveness acceptability curves. Willingness\u2010to\u2010pay was set at a maximum of 500\u2009000 Swedish krona (56\u2009000 US dollars (USD)), as suggested by the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results<\/jats:title><jats:p>All interventions had better health outcomes than did \u2018No screening\u2019, with fewer screening\u2010year deaths and more lifetime QALYs. The best strategy in terms of improved health outcomes was \u2018Low\u2010risk\u2010based screening\u2019, irrespective of whether screening was performed at 18\u2009+\u20090 to 20\u2009+\u20096\u2009weeks (Cx1) or at 21\u2009+\u20090 to 23\u2009+\u20096\u2009weeks (Cx2). \u2018Low\u2010risk\u2010based screening\u2019 at Cx1 was cost\u2010effective, while \u2018Low\u2010risk\u2010based screening\u2019 at Cx2 entailed high costs compared with other alternatives. The ACERs were 2200 USD for \u2018Low\u2010risk\u2010based screening\u2019 at Cx1 and 36\u2009800 USD for \u2018Low\u2010risk\u2010based screening\u2019 at Cx2. Cost\u2010effectiveness was particularly sensitive to progesterone effectiveness and to productivity loss due to sick leave during pregnancy. The probability that \u2018Low\u2010risk\u2010based screening\u2019 at Cx1 is cost\u2010effective compared with \u2018No screening\u2019 was 71%.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusion<\/jats:title><jats:p>Interventions to prevent spontaneous PTD in asymptomatic women with a singleton pregnancy, including CL screening with progesterone treatment of cases with a short cervix, may be cost\u2010effective in Sweden. \u00a9 2022 The Authors. <jats:italic>Ultrasound in Obstetrics &amp; Gynecology<\/jats:italic> published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.<\/jats:p><\/jats:sec>","DOI":"10.1002\/uog.24884","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2022,2,23]],"date-time":"2022-02-23T12:04:33Z","timestamp":1645617873000},"page":"778-792","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":20,"title":["Cost\u2010effectiveness of cervical length screening and progesterone treatment to prevent spontaneous preterm delivery in Sweden"],"prefix":"10.1002","volume":"59","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4208-8667","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"T.","family":"Wikstr\u00f6m","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre of Perinatal Medicine and Health, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg  Gothenburg Sweden"},{"name":"Region V\u00e4stra G\u00f6taland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Department of Obstetrics  Gothenburg Sweden"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9915-1201","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"P.","family":"Kuusela","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"S\u00f6dra \u00c4lvsborg Hospital  Bor\u00e5s Sweden"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5079-2374","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"B.","family":"Jacobsson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre of Perinatal Medicine and Health, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg  Gothenburg Sweden"},{"name":"Region V\u00e4stra G\u00f6taland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Department of Obstetrics  Gothenburg Sweden"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"H.","family":"Hagberg","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre of Perinatal Medicine and Health, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg  Gothenburg Sweden"},{"name":"Region V\u00e4stra G\u00f6taland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Department of Obstetrics  Gothenburg Sweden"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5493-3402","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"P.","family":"Lindgren","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institutet  Stockholm Sweden"},{"name":"Centre for Fetal Medicine Karolinska University Hospital  Stockholm Sweden"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"M.","family":"Svensson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine University of Gothenburg  Gothenburg Sweden"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"U.\u2010B.","family":"Wennerholm","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Centre of Perinatal Medicine and Health, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg  Gothenburg Sweden"},{"name":"Region V\u00e4stra G\u00f6taland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Department of Obstetrics  Gothenburg Sweden"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3830-6414","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"L.","family":"Valentin","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology Sk\u00e5ne University Hospital  Malm\u00f6 Sweden"},{"name":"Department of Clinical Sciences Malm\u00f6 Lund University  Malm\u00f6 Sweden"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"311","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2022,6]]},"reference":[{"key":"e_1_2_8_2_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1471-0528.2003.00012.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_3_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMoa0706475"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_4_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.299.12.1429"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_5_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.2011.1331"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_6_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S2214-109X(18)30451-0"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_7_1","unstructured":"Socialstyrelsen.se:. https:\/\/www.socialstyrelsen.se\/globalassets\/sharepoint\u2010dokument\/artikelkatalog\/statistik\/2020\u20102\u20106622\u2010tabeller.xls [Accessed 23 May2021]."},{"issue":"204","key":"e_1_2_8_8_1","first-page":"e1","article-title":"Risk of singleton preterm birth after prior twin preterm birth: a systematic review and meta\u2010analysis","volume":"223","author":"Menzies R","year":"2020","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"issue":"131","key":"e_1_2_8_9_1","first-page":"e1","article-title":"The NICHD Consecutive Pregnancies Study: recurrent preterm delivery by subtype","volume":"210","author":"Laughon SK","year":"2014","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_10_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/uog.5333"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_11_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1471-0528.2011.03203.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_12_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/1471-0528.15566"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_13_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/1471-0528.16519"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_14_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJM199602293340904"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_15_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ajog.2017.11.576"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_16_1","first-page":"CD004947","article-title":"Prenatal administration of progesterone for preventing preterm birth in women considered to be at risk of preterm birth","volume":"7","author":"Dodd JM","year":"2013","journal-title":"Cochrane Database Syst Rev"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_17_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(21)00217-8"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_18_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ajog.2017.12.222"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_19_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1542\/peds.2008-1827"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_20_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/uog.8911"},{"issue":"554","key":"e_1_2_8_21_1","first-page":"e1","article-title":"Cost\u2010effectiveness of transvaginal ultrasound cervical length screening in singletons without a prior preterm birth: an update","volume":"213","author":"Werner EF","year":"2015","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"issue":"100","key":"e_1_2_8_22_1","first-page":"e1","article-title":"Cost\u2010effectiveness of risk\u2010based screening for cervical length to prevent preterm birth","volume":"215","author":"Einerson BD","year":"2016","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_23_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ajog.2009.12.004"},{"issue":"101","key":"e_1_2_8_24_1","first-page":"e1","article-title":"Revisiting the cost\u2010effectiveness of universal cervical length screening: importance of progesterone efficacy","volume":"215","author":"Jain S","year":"2016","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_25_1","unstructured":"Cdc.gov:. https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/nchs\/products\/databriefs\/db418.htm#section_4 [Accessed 23 May2021]."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_26_1","unstructured":"statista.com:. https:\/\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/184968\/us\u2010health\u2010expenditure\u2010as\u2010percent\u2010of\u2010gdp\u2010since\u20101960\/ [Accessed 18 December2021]."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_27_1","unstructured":"ec.europa.eu:. https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/eurostat\/en\/web\/products\u2010eurostat\u2010news\/\u2010\/ddn\u201020201202\u20101 [Accessed 18 December2021]."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_28_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.f1049"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_29_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.3109\/00016348509156368"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_30_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1002\/uog.1047"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_31_1","unstructured":"https:\/\/www.sfog.se\/media\/336451\/fetometri.pdf."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_32_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/aogs.14203"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_33_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.11613\/BM.2016.034"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_34_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2018.6085"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_35_1","unstructured":"https:\/\/www.socialstyrelsen.se\/en\/statistics\u2010and\u2010data\/registers\/national\u2010medical\u2010birth\u2010register\/."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_36_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0012162200001511"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_37_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/dmcn.12718"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_38_1","unstructured":"scb.se:. https:\/\/www.scb.se\/hitta\u2010statistik\/statistik\u2010efter\u2010amne\/priser\u2010och\u2010konsumtion\/konsumentprisindex\/konsumentprisindex\u2010kpi\/pong\/tabell\u2010och\u2010diagram\/konsumentprisindex\u2010kpi\/kpi\u2010faststallda\u2010tal\u20101980100\/ [Accessed 23 May 2021]."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_39_1","unstructured":"https:\/\/www.fass.se\/LIF\/product?userType=0&nplId=20181017000017#packages\u2010prices."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_40_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/aogs.13926"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_41_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/aogs.13895"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_42_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/AOG.0000000000001820"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_43_1","volume-title":"Methods for the Economic Evaluation of Health Care Programmes","author":"Drummond MF","year":"2015"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_44_1","unstructured":"scb.se:. https:\/\/www.scb.se\/hitta\u2010statistik\/statistik\u2010efter\u2010amne\/arbetsmarknad\/loner\u2010och\u2010arbetskostnader\/lonestrukturstatistik\u2010hela\u2010ekonomin\/pong\/tabell\u2010och\u2010diagram\/genomsnittlig\u2010manadslon\u2010efter\u2010sektor\/ [Accessed 23 May 2021]."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_45_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1469-8749.2008.03190.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_46_1","volume-title":"Livstidsomkostninger ved cerebral parese","author":"Kruse M","year":"2006"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_47_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1523-536x.1999.00178.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_48_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1471-0528.2003.02021.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_49_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1097\/00005650-200006000-00004"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_50_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1023\/A:1013171831202"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_51_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/s40273-015-0309-4"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_52_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1524-4733.2003.00234.x"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_53_1","unstructured":"TLV.se:.https:\/\/www.tlv.se\/download\/18467926b615d084471ac3396a\/1510316400272\/LAG\u2010lfnar\u20102003\u20102pdf [Accessed 18 December 2021]."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_54_1","unstructured":"Socialstyrelsen.se:. https:\/\/www.sbu.se\/globalassets\/ebm\/metodbok\/sbushandbok_kapitel11.pdf."},{"key":"e_1_2_8_55_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.319.7210.635"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_56_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1055\/s-0036-1584240"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_57_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1111\/ajo.13212"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_58_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.9778\/cmajo.20190014"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_59_1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1159\/000106486"},{"key":"e_1_2_8_60_1","unstructured":"Socialstyrelsen.se:. https:\/\/www.socialstyrelsen.se\/regler\u2010och\u2010riktlinjer\/foreskrifter\u2010och\u2010allmanna\u2010rad\/konsoliderade\u2010foreskrifter\/200915\u2010om\u2010abort2\/ [Accessed 11 December 2021]."}],"container-title":["Ultrasound in Obstetrics &amp; Gynecology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1002\/uog.24884","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full-xml\/10.1002\/uog.24884","content-type":"application\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/obgyn.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1002\/uog.24884","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,19]],"date-time":"2025-05-19T20:22:19Z","timestamp":1747686139000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/obgyn.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1002\/uog.24884"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2022,6]]},"references-count":59,"journal-issue":{"issue":"6","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,6]]}},"alternative-id":["10.1002\/uog.24884"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/uog.24884","archive":["Portico"],"relation":{},"ISSN":["0960-7692","1469-0705"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0960-7692","type":"print"},{"value":"1469-0705","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2022,6]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2021-12-29","order":0,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2022-02-11","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}},{"value":"2022-06-01","order":3,"name":"published","label":"Published","group":{"name":"publication_history","label":"Publication History"}}]}}