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But a research gap exists, as the ultimate causes are often not described with precision or mentioned at all. In this study, metrics of biodiversity, consumption, and pollution show extremely strong correlations when charted against human population size and its per capita impacts. We describe causal mechanisms for these correlations. Then, using available data, we show that slowing and gradually reversing population growth to \u223c4 billion or less by 2200, while moderating per capita impacts, is the path toward sustainability. Among the benefits are habitat recovery and conservation of wild species, reduced greenhouse gas emissions and other pollutants, reduced conflict over resources, and the reduction of global poverty.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1002\/sd.71358","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,26]],"date-time":"2026-07-26T14:05:48Z","timestamp":1785074748000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200"],"prefix":"10.1002","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-6706-9705","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Mark","family":"Keegan","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Teachers College Columbia University  New York New York USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4878-7861","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Anastasia","family":"Pseiridis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Institute of Urban Environment and Human Resources, Department of Economics and Regional Development Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences  Athens Greece"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2637-8979","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Philip","family":"Cafaro","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Philosophy Colorado State University  Fort Collins Colorado USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9762-6848","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jane","family":"O'Sullivan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Agriculture and Food Sustainability The University of Queensland  St. Lucia Australia"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1439-3162","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"William","family":"Rees","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"School of Community and Regional Planning University of British Columbia  Vancouver Canada"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1866-3905","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Estelle Monique","family":"Sidze","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"African Population and Health Research Center  Nairobi Kenya"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0148-4003","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Lawrence","family":"Whitmore","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Engineering and IT Carinthia University of Applied Sciences  Villach Austria"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8592-9569","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Enrique J.","family":"Derlindati","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Escuela de Biolog\u00eda Universidad Nacional de Salta  Salta Argentina"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-0937-5082","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Mohammad Mainul","family":"Islam","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Population Sciences University of Dhaka  Dhaka Bangladesh"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0009-1479-0203","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Khaoula","family":"Houssini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Division of Solid Waste Management Tsinghua University  Beijing China"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0990-5159","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"S. 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