{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,10]],"date-time":"2026-03-10T01:08:20Z","timestamp":1773104900353,"version":"3.50.1"},"publisher-location":"Cham","reference-count":34,"publisher":"Springer Nature Switzerland","isbn-type":[{"value":"9783031976537","type":"print"},{"value":"9783031976544","type":"electronic"}],"license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,28]],"date-time":"2025-06-28T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1751068800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,28]],"date-time":"2025-06-28T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1751068800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-031-97654-4_23","type":"book-chapter","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,5]],"date-time":"2025-07-05T09:18:06Z","timestamp":1751707086000},"page":"368-384","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Econometric Model for Forecasting Air Transport Demand: The Case of Cagliari \u2013 Elmas Airport"],"prefix":"10.1007","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1834-7139","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Nicoletta","family":"Rassu","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4907-0475","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Mauro","family":"Coni","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0001-3194-7809","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Riccardo","family":"Zedda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0000-5577-8555","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kevin","family":"Panetto","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3444-5115","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Francesca","family":"Maltinti","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,28]]},"reference":[{"key":"23_CR1","unstructured":"Lilliu, F.: Forecasting Air Transport Demand: a Multivariable Econometric Model. PhD Thesis, University of Palermo (1999)"},{"key":"23_CR2","unstructured":"Costa, A., Reitani, G.: Analysis and forecasting of air transport demand in the European Community: a multivariable econometric model. Tipografia pime EDITRICE Srl. (1994)"},{"key":"23_CR3","volume-title":"Introduction to Air Transport System Planning","author":"MN Postorino","year":"2009","unstructured":"Postorino, M.N.: Introduction to Air Transport System Planning. FrancoAngeli (2009)"},{"key":"23_CR4","volume-title":"Airport Strategic Planning; Master Planning: An Exploratory Research Project","author":"N Ramirez","year":"2019","unstructured":"N. Ramirez, \u2018Airport Strategic Planning; Master Planning: An Exploratory Research Project\u2019. 2019"},{"key":"23_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"42","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tranpol.2015.05.013","volume":"43","author":"N Itani","year":"2015","unstructured":"Itani, N., et al.: Towards realizing bestin-class civil aviation strategy scenarios. Transp. Policy. 43, 42\u201354 (2015)","journal-title":"Transp. Policy"},{"key":"23_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Kwakkel, J.H., et al.: Adaptive airport strategic planning. Eur. J. Transp. Infrastruct. Res. 10(3) (2010)","DOI":"10.18757\/EJTIR.2010.10.3.2891"},{"key":"23_CR7","unstructured":"I. N. C. A. Authority (ENAC): National Airport Plan. Policy and technical guidance document for the development of air transport and the airport system (2022). [Online]. Available: https:\/\/www.enac.gov.it\/"},{"key":"23_CR8","volume-title":"Planning and Design of Airports","author":"R Horonjeff","year":"1962","unstructured":"Horonjeff, R., et al.: Planning and Design of Airports, vol. 4. McGraw-Hill, New York (1962)"},{"issue":"1","key":"23_CR9","first-page":"90","volume":"11","author":"R Devoto","year":"2017","unstructured":"Devoto, R., Meloni, I., Rassu, N., Teulada, B.S.D.: Air travel demand forecasting in the presence of Public Service Obligation (PSO). J. Airpt. Manag. 11(1), 90\u2013103 (2017)","journal-title":"J. Airpt. Manag."},{"key":"23_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"79","DOI":"10.4324\/9780429299445-6","volume-title":"Air Transport Management","author":"RD Neufville","year":"2020","unstructured":"Neufville, R.D.: Airport systems planning, design, and management. In: Air Transport Management, pp. 79\u201396. Routledge (2020)"},{"key":"23_CR11","first-page":"669","volume-title":"Presented at the WIT Transactions on the Built Environment","author":"R Devoto","year":"2005","unstructured":"Devoto, R., Rassu, N.: A mathematical model for distribution of air transport demand: The case of the Sardinian network. In: Presented at the WIT Transactions on the Built Environment, pp. 669\u2013678 (2005)"},{"key":"23_CR12","first-page":"1869","volume-title":"2015 3rd International Conference on Machinery, Materials and Information Technology Applications","author":"X Zhao","year":"2015","unstructured":"Zhao, X., Zhao, H.: Empirical analysis and predictions of civil aviation passenger traffic based on ARIMA model. In: 2015 3rd International Conference on Machinery, Materials and Information Technology Applications, pp. 1869\u20131873. Atlantis Press (2015)"},{"key":"23_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"824","DOI":"10.4236\/ojs.2016.65068","volume":"965\u2013977","author":"X Tang","year":"2016","unstructured":"Tang, X., Deng, G.: Prediction of civil aviation passenger transportation based on ARIMA model. J. Stat. 965\u2013977, 824\u2013834 (2016). https:\/\/doi.org\/10.4236\/ojs.2016.65068","journal-title":"J. Stat."},{"key":"23_CR14","first-page":"238","volume":"1","author":"DP Bastola","year":"2017","unstructured":"Bastola, D.P.: Air passenger demand model (APDM): econometric model for forecasting demand in passenger air transports in Nepal. Int. J. Acad. Res. Psychol. 1, 238\u2013242 (2017)","journal-title":"Int. J. Acad. Res. Psychol."},{"key":"23_CR15","first-page":"1","volume-title":"Proceedings of the Association for European Transport and Contributors","author":"A Andreoni","year":"2006","unstructured":"Andreoni, A., Postorino, M.N.: A multivariate ARIMA model to forecast air transport demand. In: Proceedings of the Association for European Transport and Contributors, pp. 1\u201314 (2006)"},{"key":"23_CR16","volume-title":"Forecasting. Methods and Applications","author":"S Makridakis","year":"1998","unstructured":"Makridakis, S., et al.: Forecasting. Methods and Applications, 3rd edn. Wiley (1998)","edition":"3"},{"key":"23_CR17","volume-title":"Proceedings of Sustainable Planning and Development Conference","author":"MN Postorino","year":"2003","unstructured":"Postorino, M.N.: A comparison among different approaches for the evaluation of the air traffic demand elasticity. In: Proceedings of Sustainable Planning and Development Conference. WIT Press (2003)"},{"key":"23_CR18","volume-title":"Statistic: Methodologies for Economic and Social Sciences","author":"A di Ciaccio","year":"2021","unstructured":"di Ciaccio, A., Borra, S.: Statistic: Methodologies for Economic and Social Sciences. McGraw-Hill (2021)"},{"key":"23_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"75","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-319-52452-8_3","volume-title":"Time Series Analysis and Its Applications: With R Examples","author":"RH Shumway","year":"2017","unstructured":"Shumway, R.H., Stoffer, D.S.: ARIMA models. In: Time Series Analysis and Its Applications: With R Examples, pp. 75\u2013163. Springer International Publishing (2017)"},{"key":"23_CR20","volume-title":"Time-Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control","author":"GEP Box","year":"1970","unstructured":"Box, G.E.P., Jenkins, G.M.: Time-Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day, San Francisco (1970)"},{"key":"23_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"297","DOI":"10.1093\/biomet\/65.2.297","volume":"65","author":"MG Ljung","year":"1978","unstructured":"Ljung, M.G., Box, G.E.P.: On a measure of lack of fit in time series model. Biometrika. 65, 297\u2013303 (1978)","journal-title":"Biometrika"},{"key":"23_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"143","DOI":"10.1016\/S0969-6997(00)00043-0","volume":"7","author":"SY Abed","year":"2001","unstructured":"Abed, S.Y., et al.: An econometric analysis of international air travel demand in Saudi Arabia. J. Air Transp. Manag. 7, 143\u2013148 (2001)","journal-title":"J. Air Transp. Manag."},{"key":"23_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"301","DOI":"10.1016\/S0969-6997(02)00010-8","volume":"8","author":"DA Hensher","year":"2002","unstructured":"Hensher, D.A.: Determining passenger potential for a regional airline hub at Canberra International Airport. J. Air Transp. Manag. 8, 301\u2013311 (2002)","journal-title":"J. Air Transp. Manag."},{"key":"23_CR24","volume-title":"Statistic. Ediz. mylab","author":"P Newbold","year":"2021","unstructured":"Newbold, P., et al.: Statistic. Ediz. mylab. Pearson (2021)"},{"issue":"6","key":"23_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"716","DOI":"10.1109\/TAC.1974.1100705","volume":"19","author":"H Akaike","year":"1974","unstructured":"Akaike, H.: A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans. Autom. Control. 19(6), 716\u2013723 (1974)","journal-title":"IEEE Trans. Autom. Control"},{"key":"23_CR26","volume-title":"The Cagliari-Elmas Airport Development Plan - Land-Side Accessibility 2024\u20132039","author":"D Cinigeo","year":"2024","unstructured":"D. Cinigeo, \u2018The Cagliari-Elmas Airport Development Plan - Land-Side Accessibility 2024\u20132039\u2019. 2024"},{"issue":"4","key":"23_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2384","DOI":"10.3390\/app13042384","volume":"13","author":"B Chen","year":"2023","unstructured":"Chen, B., et al.: Evaluating prediction models for airport passenger throughput using a hybrid method. Appl. Sci. 13(4), 2384 (2023)","journal-title":"Appl. Sci."},{"key":"23_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.retrec.2020.100873","volume":"82","author":"G Solvoll","year":"2020","unstructured":"Solvoll, G., et al.: Forecasting air traffic demand for major infrastructure changes. Res. Transp. Econ. 82, 100873 (2020)","journal-title":"Res. Transp. Econ."},{"key":"23_CR29","volume-title":"Proceedings of the 7th WCTR, Sydney, Australia","author":"E Cascetta","year":"1995","unstructured":"Cascetta, E., et al.: Passenger and freight demand models for the Italian national transportation system. In: Proceedings of the 7th WCTR, Sydney, Australia (1995)"},{"key":"23_CR30","first-page":"062038","volume-title":"IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering","author":"X Zhang","year":"2020","unstructured":"Zhang, X.: Research on forecasting method of aviation traffic based on social and economic indicators. In: IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, p. 062038. IOP Publishing (2020)"},{"issue":"2","key":"23_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1237","DOI":"10.1109\/TITS.2020.2966498","volume":"22","author":"B Du","year":"2020","unstructured":"Du, B., et al.: Traffic demand prediction based on dynamic transition convolutional neural network. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 22(2), 1237\u20131247 (2020)","journal-title":"IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst."},{"key":"23_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.4324\/9781315566467","volume-title":"Airline Operations and Delay Management: Insights from Airline Economics, Networks and Strategic Schedule Planning","author":"CL Wu","year":"2016","unstructured":"Wu, C.L.: Airline Operations and Delay Management: Insights from Airline Economics, Networks and Strategic Schedule Planning. Routledge (2016)"},{"key":"23_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jairtraman.2019.101744","volume":"83","author":"F Jin","year":"2019","unstructured":"Jin, F., et al.: Forecasting air passenger demand with a new hybrid ensemble approach. J. Air Transp. Manag. 83, 101744 (2019)","journal-title":"J. Air Transp. Manag."},{"key":"23_CR34","unstructured":"\u2018ISTAT\u2019. [Online]. Available: https:\/\/www.istat.it\/"}],"container-title":["Lecture Notes in Computer Science","Computational Science and Its Applications \u2013 ICCSA 2025 Workshops"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/978-3-031-97654-4_23","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,5]],"date-time":"2025-07-05T09:18:12Z","timestamp":1751707092000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/978-3-031-97654-4_23"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,28]]},"ISBN":["9783031976537","9783031976544"],"references-count":34,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-3-031-97654-4_23","relation":{},"ISSN":["0302-9743","1611-3349"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0302-9743","type":"print"},{"value":"1611-3349","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,28]]},"assertion":[{"value":"28 June 2025","order":1,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ChapterHistory","label":"Chapter History"}},{"value":"ICCSA","order":1,"name":"conference_acronym","label":"Conference Acronym","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"International Conference on Computational Science and Its Applications","order":2,"name":"conference_name","label":"Conference Name","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"Istanbul","order":3,"name":"conference_city","label":"Conference City","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"T\u00fcrkiye","order":4,"name":"conference_country","label":"Conference Country","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"2025","order":5,"name":"conference_year","label":"Conference Year","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"30 June 2025","order":7,"name":"conference_start_date","label":"Conference Start Date","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"3 July 2025","order":8,"name":"conference_end_date","label":"Conference End Date","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"25","order":9,"name":"conference_number","label":"Conference Number","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"iccsa2025","order":10,"name":"conference_id","label":"Conference ID","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}},{"value":"https:\/\/iccsa.org\/","order":11,"name":"conference_url","label":"Conference URL","group":{"name":"ConferenceInfo","label":"Conference Information"}}]}}