{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,9]],"date-time":"2025-03-09T05:05:39Z","timestamp":1741496739232,"version":"3.38.0"},"publisher-location":"Berlin, Heidelberg","reference-count":43,"publisher":"Springer Berlin Heidelberg","isbn-type":[{"type":"print","value":"9783642221750"},{"type":"electronic","value":"9783642221767"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2011]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-642-22176-7_4","type":"book-chapter","created":{"date-parts":[[2011,8,9]],"date-time":"2011-08-09T07:04:21Z","timestamp":1312873461000},"page":"97-116","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":2,"title":["A Comprehensive Overview of Short Term Wind Forecasting Models Based on Time Series Analysis"],"prefix":"10.1007","author":[{"given":"Athanasios","family":"Sfetsos","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"297","reference":[{"issue":"7","key":"4_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1686","DOI":"10.1016\/j.renene.2009.01.001","volume":"34","author":"R.E. Abdel-Aal","year":"2009","unstructured":"Abdel-Aal, R.E., Elhadidy, M.A., Shaahid, S.M.: Modeling and forecasting the mean hourly wind speed time series using GMDH-based abductive networks. Renewable Energy\u00a034(7), 1686\u20131699 (2009)","journal-title":"Renewable Energy"},{"issue":"1","key":"4_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"61","DOI":"10.1016\/S0038-092X(98)00032-2","volume":"63","author":"M.C. Alexiadis","year":"1998","unstructured":"Alexiadis, M.C., Dokopoulos, P.S., Sahsamanoglou, H.S., Manousaridis, I.M.: Short term forecasting of wind speed and related electric power. Solar Energy\u00a063(1), 61\u201368 (1998)","journal-title":"Solar Energy"},{"key":"4_CR3","unstructured":"Argonne National Laboratory (ANL 2009), Wind Power Forecasting: State-of-the-Art, ANL\/DIS-10-1"},{"issue":"1","key":"4_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"273","DOI":"10.1109\/TEC.2005.847954","volume":"21","author":"T.G. Barbounis","year":"2006","unstructured":"Barbounis, T.G., Theocharis, J.B.: Long-term wind speed and power forecasting using local recurrent neural network models. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion\u00a021(1), 273\u2013284 (2006)","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion"},{"issue":"1","key":"4_CR5","first-page":"1","volume":"9","author":"E.. Bossanyi","year":"1985","unstructured":"Bossanyi, E.: Short-Term Wind Prediction Using Kalman Filters. Wind Engineering\u00a09(1), 1\u20138 (1985)","journal-title":"Wind Engineering"},{"issue":"3","key":"4_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1161","DOI":"10.1109\/59.119261","volume":"6","author":"G.A. Contaxis","year":"1991","unstructured":"Contaxis, G.A., Kabouris, J.: Short term scheduling in a wind\/diesel autonomous energy syste. IEEE Tr. on Power Systems\u00a06(3), 1161\u20131167 (1991)","journal-title":"IEEE Tr. on Power Systems"},{"key":"4_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1725","DOI":"10.1016\/j.rser.2007.01.015","volume":"12","author":"A. Costa","year":"2008","unstructured":"Costa, A., Crespo, A., Navarro, J., Lizcano, G., Madsen, H., Feitosa, E.: A review on the young history of the wind power short-term prediction. Renewable and Sustainable Energy\u00a012, 1725\u20131744 (2008)","journal-title":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy"},{"key":"4_CR8","unstructured":"Costa, A., Crespo, A., Migoya, E.: First results from a prediction project. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference, EWEC 2003, Madrid, Spain (2003)"},{"key":"4_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Damousis, I.G., Dokopoulos, P.: A fuzzy model expert system for the fore-casting of wind speed and power generation in wind farms. In: Proceedings of the IEEE Int. Conf. on Power Industry Computer Applications, PICA 2001, pp. 63\u201369 (2001)","DOI":"10.1109\/PICA.2001.932320"},{"issue":"2","key":"4_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"352","DOI":"10.1109\/TEC.2003.821865","volume":"19","author":"I.G. Damousis","year":"2004","unstructured":"Damousis, I.G., Alexiadis, M.C., Theocharis, J.B., Dokopoulos, P.: A fuzzy model for wind speed prediction and power generation in wind farms using spatial correlation. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion\u00a019(2), 352\u2013361 (2004)","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion"},{"key":"4_CR11","unstructured":"Dudhia, J., Grell, G., Stauffer, D.R.: A description of the fifth-generation Penn System\/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5), NCAR Tech. Note NCAR\/TN-39811A, p. 107 (1994)"},{"issue":"3","key":"4_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1450","DOI":"10.1109\/TPWRS.2006.879246","volume":"21","author":"T.H.M. El-Fouly","year":"2006","unstructured":"El-Fouly, T.H.M., El-Saadany, E.F., Salama, M.M.A.: Grey Predictor for Wind Energy Conversion Systems Output Power Prediction. IEEE Transactions on Power System\u00a021(3), 1450\u20131452 (2006)","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Power System"},{"key":"4_CR13","unstructured":"EWEA, Making 180 GW a reality by 2020, The European Wind Energy Association Position Paper (October 2007)"},{"key":"4_CR14","unstructured":"EWEA. Pure Power: Wind Energy Scenarios up to 2030, The European Wind Energy Association (March 2008)"},{"key":"4_CR15","first-page":"265","volume-title":"Dynamic Patterns in Complex Systems","author":"J.D. Farmer","year":"1988","unstructured":"Farmer, J.D., Sidorowich, J.J.: Predicting chaotic dynamics. In: Kelso, J.A.S., Mandell, A.J., Shlesinger, M.F. (eds.) Dynamic Patterns in Complex Systems, pp. 265\u2013292. World Scientific, Singapore (1988)"},{"key":"4_CR16","unstructured":"Fr\u00edas, L., Gast\u00f3n, M., Mart\u00ed, I.: A new model for wind energy forecasting focused in the intra-daily markets. In: Proceedings of European Wind Energy Conference, EWEC 2007, Milan, Italy (2007)"},{"key":"4_CR17","unstructured":"Fugon, F., Juban, J., Kariniotakis, G.: Data mining for Wind Power Forecasting. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference, EWEC 2008, Brussels, Belgium (2008)"},{"key":"4_CR18","unstructured":"Giebel, G., Kariniotakis, G., Brownsword, R.: State of the Art on Short-term Wind Power Prediction, ANEMOS Deliverable Report D1.1 (2003)"},{"key":"4_CR19","first-page":"1202","volume":"11","author":"H.R. Glahn","year":"1972","unstructured":"Glahn, H.R., Lowry, D.A.: The use of Model Output Statistics (MOS) in objective weather forecasting. Journal of Applied Meteorology\u00a011, 1202\u20131211 (1972)","journal-title":"Journal of Applied Meteorology"},{"key":"4_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"989","DOI":"10.1109\/72.329697","volume":"5","author":"M. Hagan","year":"1996","unstructured":"Hagan, M., Menhaj, M.: Training feedforward networks with the Marquardt algorithm. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks\u00a05, 989\u2013993 (1996)","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks"},{"key":"4_CR21","unstructured":"Jursa, R.: Wind power prediction with different artificial intelligence models. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference, EWEC 2007, Milan, Italy (2007)"},{"key":"4_CR22","unstructured":"Kariniotakis, G., et al.: ANEMOS: Development of a Next Generation Wind Power Forecasting System for the Large-Scale Integration of Onshore & Offshore Wind Farms. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference & Exhibition, EWEC 2003, Madrid, Spain, June 16-19 (2003)"},{"issue":"1","key":"4_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"125","DOI":"10.1109\/TEC.2008.2006552","volume":"24","author":"A. Kusiak","year":"2009","unstructured":"Kusiak, A., Zheng, H.-Y., Song, Z.: Short-Term Prediction of Wind Farm Power: A Data-Mining Approach. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion\u00a024(1), 125\u2013136 (2009)","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion"},{"issue":"5","key":"4_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1388","DOI":"10.1016\/j.renene.2008.09.006","volume":"34","author":"R.G. Kavasseri","year":"2009","unstructured":"Kavasseri, R.G., Seetharaman, K.: Day-ahead wind speed forecasting using f-ARIMA models. Renewable Energy\u00a034(5), 1388\u20131393 (2009)","journal-title":"Renewable Energy"},{"issue":"2","key":"4_CR25","first-page":"281","volume":"E84","author":"D.J. Kim","year":"2001","unstructured":"Kim, D.J., Park, Y.W., Park, D.J.: A Novel Validity Index for Determination of the Optimal Number of Clusters. IEICE Tr. on Information and Systems\u00a0E84(2), 281\u2013285 (2001)","journal-title":"IEICE Tr. on Information and Systems"},{"issue":"3","key":"4_CR26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"273","DOI":"10.1002\/we.96","volume":"6","author":"L. Landberg","year":"2003","unstructured":"Landberg, L., Giebel, G., Nielsen, H., Nielsen, T., Madsen, H.: Short-term Pre-diction \u2013 An Overview. Wind Energy\u00a06(3), 273\u2013280 (2003)","journal-title":"Wind Energy"},{"key":"4_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"915","DOI":"10.1016\/j.rser.2008.02.002","volume":"13","author":"M. Leia","year":"2009","unstructured":"Leia, M., Shiyana, L., Chuanwen, J., Honglinga, L., Yana, Z.: A review on the forecasting of wind speed and generated power. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews\u00a013, 915\u2013920 (2009)","journal-title":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews"},{"key":"4_CR28","series-title":"A neuro-fuzzy synergism to intelligent systems","volume-title":"Neural fuzzy systems","author":"C.T. Lin","year":"1996","unstructured":"Lin, C.T., Lee, C.S.: Neural fuzzy systems. A neuro-fuzzy synergism to intelligent systems. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs (1996)"},{"issue":"1","key":"4_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"115","DOI":"10.1016\/j.engappai.2004.08.019","volume":"18","author":"I. Maqsood","year":"2005","unstructured":"Maqsood, I., Khan, M., Huang, G., Abdalla, R.: Application of soft comput-ing models to hourly weather analysis in southern Saskatchewan, Canada. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence\u00a018(1), 115\u2013125 (2005)","journal-title":"Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence"},{"key":"4_CR30","unstructured":"McQueen, J.B.: Some Methods for Classification and Analysis of Multivari-ate Observations. In: Proc. of 5th Berkley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, pp. 281\u2013297 (1967)"},{"key":"4_CR31","unstructured":"NERC (North American Electric Reliability Corporation) Accommodating High Levels of Variable Generation, Special Report (April 2009), http:\/\/www.nerc.com\/news_pr.php?npr=283"},{"key":"4_CR32","unstructured":"Nielsen, T.S., Madsen, H., Nielsen, H., Landberg, L., Giebel, G.: Zephyr \u2013 The Prediction Models. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Con-ference, EWEC 2001, Copenhagen, Denmark, July 2-6, pp. 868\u2013871 (2001)"},{"issue":"12","key":"4_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2327","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jweia.2008.03.010","volume":"96","author":"P. Pinson","year":"2008","unstructured":"Pinson, P., Christensen, L.E.A., Madsen, H., S\u00f8rensen, P., Donovan, M.H., Jensen, L.E.: Regime-switching modelling of the fluctuations of offshore wind generation. Journal of Wind Engineering & Industrial Aerodynamics\u00a096(12), 2327\u20132347 (2008)","journal-title":"Journal of Wind Engineering & Industrial Aerodynamics"},{"issue":"20","key":"4_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3177","DOI":"10.1016\/S0196-8904(03)00108-0","volume":"14","author":"P. Poggi","year":"2003","unstructured":"Poggi, P., Muselli, M., Notton, G., Cristofi, C., Louche, A.: Forecasting and simulating wind speed in Corsica by using an autoregressive model. Energy Conversion and Management\u00a014(20), 3177\u20133196 (2003)","journal-title":"Energy Conversion and Management"},{"issue":"2","key":"4_CR35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"965","DOI":"10.1109\/TPWRS.2006.873421","volume":"21","author":"C.W. Potter","year":"2006","unstructured":"Potter, C.W., Negnevistky, M.: Very short-term wind forecasting for Tasmanian power generation. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems\u00a021(2), 965\u2013972 (2006)","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Power Systems"},{"key":"4_CR36","unstructured":"Ram\u00edrez-Rosado, I.J., Fern\u00e1ndez-Jim\u00e9nez, L.A.: Next-day wind farm electric energy generation forecasting using fuzzy time-series. In: Proceedings Int. Conf. on Modeling, Identification and Control, Innsbruck, Austria, pp. 237\u2013240 (2003)"},{"issue":"1","key":"4_CR37","first-page":"21","volume":"31","author":"I.J. Ram\u00edrez-Rosado","year":"2004","unstructured":"Ram\u00edrez-Rosado, I.J., Fern\u00e1ndez-Jim\u00e9nez, L.A.: An advanced model for short-term forecasting of mean wind speed and wind electric power. Control and Intelligent Systems\u00a031(1), 21\u201326 (2004)","journal-title":"Control and Intelligent Systems"},{"issue":"1","key":"4_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"23","DOI":"10.1016\/S0960-1481(99)00125-1","volume":"21","author":"A. Sfetsos","year":"2000","unstructured":"Sfetsos, A.: A comparison of various forecasting techniques applied to mean hourly wind speed time series. Renewable Energy\u00a021(1), 23\u201335 (2000)","journal-title":"Renewable Energy"},{"issue":"2","key":"4_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"163","DOI":"10.1016\/S0960-1481(01)00193-8","volume":"27","author":"A. Sfetsos","year":"2002","unstructured":"Sfetsos, A.: A novel approach for the forecasting of mean hourly wind speed time series. Renewable Energy\u00a027(2), 163\u2013174 (2002)","journal-title":"Renewable Energy"},{"key":"4_CR40","unstructured":"Skamarock, W.C., Klemp, J.B., Dudhia, J., Gill, D.O., Barker, D.M., Wang, W., Pow-ers, J.G.: A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 2, NCAR\/TN\u2013468 (2005)"},{"issue":"1","key":"4_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"65","DOI":"10.1016\/j.solener.2004.09.013","volume":"79","author":"J.L. Torres","year":"2005","unstructured":"Torres, J.L., Garc\u00eda, A., de Blas, M., de, F.: A Forecast of hourly av-erages wind speed with ARMA models in Navarre. Solar Energy\u00a079(1), 65\u201377 (2005)","journal-title":"Solar Energy"},{"key":"4_CR42","unstructured":"Vlachogiannis, D., Sfetsos, A., Andronopoulos, S., Gounaris, N., Yiotis, A., Stubos, A.K.: The Demokritos air quality web based system for the Greater Athens Area. In: iEMSs 2008, International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, Barcelona, Catalonia, July 7-10 (2008)"},{"key":"4_CR43","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Wu, Y.K., Hong, J.S.: A literature review of wind forecasting technology in the world. In: Proceedings of IEEE Power Tech Conference, Lausanne, Switzerland, July 1-5, pp. 504\u2013509 (2007)","DOI":"10.1109\/PCT.2007.4538368"}],"container-title":["Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing","Soft Computing in Green and Renewable Energy Systems"],"original-title":[],"link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/978-3-642-22176-7_4.pdf","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,8]],"date-time":"2025-03-08T11:53:00Z","timestamp":1741434780000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/978-3-642-22176-7_4"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2011]]},"ISBN":["9783642221750","9783642221767"],"references-count":43,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-3-642-22176-7_4","relation":{},"ISSN":["1434-9922","1860-0808"],"issn-type":[{"type":"print","value":"1434-9922"},{"type":"electronic","value":"1860-0808"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2011]]}}}