{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,25]],"date-time":"2026-03-25T14:30:18Z","timestamp":1774449018961,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":26,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,16]],"date-time":"2021-03-16T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1615852800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,16]],"date-time":"2021-03-16T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1615852800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Neural Comput & Applic"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,3]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/s00521-021-05827-9","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,16]],"date-time":"2021-03-16T03:03:23Z","timestamp":1615863803000},"page":"3495-3511","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":24,"title":["Price Prediction of Pu\u2019er tea based on ARIMA and BP Models"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"34","author":[{"given":"Zhi-wu","family":"Dou","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Ming-xin","family":"Ji","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Man","family":"Wang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Ya-nan","family":"Shao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,16]]},"reference":[{"issue":"1","key":"5827_CR1","first-page":"24","volume":"39","author":"YM Xu","year":"2012","unstructured":"Xu YM (2012) Investigation on Tea Farmers in Yunnan Province [J]. J Tea 39(1):24\u201327","journal-title":"J Tea"},{"key":"5827_CR2","unstructured":"Dou L (2014) Pu'er is Rising all the Way in this Year. Farm Staff, 40."},{"key":"5827_CR3","unstructured":"Drought has Reduced the Production of Yunnan Spring Tea and the Pu'er Tea Price Rose Sharply in 2012. China Agricultural Information, 2012(06):46\u201347."},{"key":"5827_CR4","volume-title":"Nonlinear Time Series\u2014Modeling, Forecasting and Applications[M]","author":"JQ Fan","year":"2005","unstructured":"Fan JQ, Yao QW (2005) Nonlinear Time Series\u2014Modeling, Forecasting and Applications[M]. Higher Education Press, Beijing"},{"issue":"2","key":"5827_CR5","first-page":"306","volume":"30","author":"ZB Xiong","year":"2011","unstructured":"Xiong ZB (2011) Research on GDP time series prediction based on ARIMA and neural network integration. Math Stat Manage 30(2):306\u2013314","journal-title":"Math Stat Manage"},{"key":"5827_CR6","first-page":"75","volume":"1","author":"P Wu","year":"2019","unstructured":"Wu P, Li ZM (2019) Pork price predict based on ARIMA-GM-RBF model. Price Theory Pract 1:75\u201378","journal-title":"Price Theory Pract"},{"key":"5827_CR7","first-page":"99","volume":"6","author":"JL Peng","year":"2019","unstructured":"Peng JL, Ding YY, Zuo XQ (2019) Research on freight index forecast of China road logistics\u2014based on ARIMA-Adam-LSTM model. Price Theory Pract 6:99\u2013102","journal-title":"Price Theory Pract"},{"key":"5827_CR8","first-page":"122","volume":"4","author":"YK Zheng","year":"2018","unstructured":"Zheng YK, Liu C (2018) Second-hand house price forecast based on ARIMA Model[J]. Comput Mod 4:122\u2013126","journal-title":"Comput Mod"},{"issue":"5","key":"5827_CR9","first-page":"588","volume":"25","author":"Y Jiang","year":"2006","unstructured":"Jiang Y (2006) ARIMA model application in fixed asset investment forecast of Guangxi[J]. Math Stat Manage 25(5):588\u2013592","journal-title":"Math Stat Manage"},{"key":"5827_CR10","first-page":"1","volume":"6","author":"YY He","year":"2020","unstructured":"He YY, Li P, Han JB (2020) Research on prediction modeling of stock market index based on CEEMDAN-LSTM. Stat Inf Forum 6:1\u201312","journal-title":"Stat Inf Forum"},{"issue":"39","key":"5827_CR11","first-page":"30","volume":"5","author":"WZ Cui","year":"2019","unstructured":"Cui WZ, Li BY, Yu DS (2019) Empirical analysis of stock price forecast based on GARCH Model and BP neural network model. J Tianjin Normal Univ (Nat Sci Ed) 5(39):30\u201334","journal-title":"J Tianjin Normal Univ (Nat Sci Ed)"},{"issue":"1","key":"5827_CR12","first-page":"1","volume":"41","author":"YF Ran","year":"2018","unstructured":"Ran YF, Jiang HX (2018) Research on stock price forecasting based on BPNN and SVR. J Shanxi Univ (Nat Sci Ed) 41(1):1\u201314","journal-title":"J Shanxi Univ (Nat Sci Ed)"},{"issue":"21","key":"5827_CR13","first-page":"127","volume":"6","author":"WD Qiao","year":"2019","unstructured":"Qiao WD (2019) Research on commercial housing price prediction based on BP neural network model. J Shijiazhuang Univ 6(21):127\u2013133","journal-title":"J Shijiazhuang Univ"},{"key":"5827_CR14","volume-title":"Research on Price Forecast of Second-hand Housing in Beijing based on BP Neural Network[M]","author":"YY Li","year":"2018","unstructured":"Li YY (2018) Research on Price Forecast of Second-hand Housing in Beijing based on BP Neural Network[M]. Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing"},{"issue":"27","key":"5827_CR15","first-page":"133","volume":"7","author":"HY Cui","year":"2018","unstructured":"Cui HY, Dou XS (2018) China carbon market price forecast based on EMD-GA-BP and EMD-PSO-LSSVM. Op Manage 7(27):133\u2013143","journal-title":"Op Manage"},{"issue":"17","key":"5827_CR16","first-page":"128","volume":"31","author":"H Zhu","year":"2017","unstructured":"Zhu H, Kong DQ, Qian X (2017) Shale gas production prediction method based on ATD-BP neural network. Sci Technol Eng 31(17):128\u2013132","journal-title":"Sci Technol Eng"},{"issue":"38","key":"5827_CR17","first-page":"54","volume":"2","author":"J Lin","year":"2017","unstructured":"Lin J, Gong Z (2017) Research on price forecast of Shanghai Zinc futures based on artificial neural network. Financial Theory Pract 2(38):54\u201357","journal-title":"Financial Theory Pract"},{"key":"5827_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"159","DOI":"10.1016\/S0925-2312(01)00702-0","volume":"50","author":"GP Zhang","year":"2003","unstructured":"Zhang GP (2003) Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model. Neurocomputing 50:159\u2013175","journal-title":"Neurocomputing"},{"key":"5827_CR19","first-page":"34","volume":"19","author":"FY Ma","year":"2014","unstructured":"Ma FY (2014) Comparison of inventory forecast based on bp neural network model and ARMA model. Stat Decision Making 19:34\u201337","journal-title":"Stat Decision Making"},{"issue":"34","key":"5827_CR20","first-page":"30","volume":"4","author":"XL Chen","year":"2017","unstructured":"Chen XL (2017) Stock price predict based on arima model and neural network model. Econ Math 4(34):30\u201334","journal-title":"Econ Math"},{"issue":"2","key":"5827_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"833","DOI":"10.12785\/amis\/080245","volume":"8","author":"KH Wu","year":"2014","unstructured":"Wu KH, Ye SC (2014) An information security threat assessment model based on bayesian network and OWA operator[J]. Appl Math Inf Sci 8(2):833\u2013838","journal-title":"Appl Math Inf Sci"},{"issue":"5","key":"5827_CR22","first-page":"631","volume":"52","author":"Y Fu","year":"2006","unstructured":"Fu Y, Wu XP, Yan CH (2006) An Information security risk assessment method based on bayesian networks. J Wuhan Univ (Sci Ed) 52(5):631\u2013634","journal-title":"J Wuhan Univ (Sci Ed)"},{"key":"5827_CR23","volume-title":"Econometric Model and Application of R language[M]","author":"BH Wang","year":"2015","unstructured":"Wang BH (2015) Econometric Model and Application of R language[M]. Jinan University Press, Guangzhou"},{"issue":"1","key":"5827_CR24","first-page":"83","volume":"34","author":"Y Zhu","year":"2020","unstructured":"Zhu Y, Chang JC (2020) Research on combinational factors that influence network consumption behavior. China Circul Econ 34(1):83\u201389","journal-title":"China Circul Econ"},{"key":"5827_CR25","first-page":"139","volume":"10","author":"Q Qu","year":"2007","unstructured":"Qu Q (2007) Asset price volatility and macro-economic policy dilemma. Manage World 10:139\u2013149","journal-title":"Manage World"},{"key":"5827_CR26","first-page":"140","volume":"1","author":"CS Zhang","year":"2014","unstructured":"Zhang CS, Liu ZH, Luo Y (2014) China commodity financialization stratification and inflation driving mechanism. Econ Res 1:140\u2013154","journal-title":"Econ Res"}],"container-title":["Neural Computing and Applications"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s00521-021-05827-9.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00521-021-05827-9\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s00521-021-05827-9.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,4,9]],"date-time":"2025-04-09T07:50:22Z","timestamp":1744185022000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s00521-021-05827-9"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,16]]},"references-count":26,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,3]]}},"alternative-id":["5827"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00521-021-05827-9","relation":{},"ISSN":["0941-0643","1433-3058"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0941-0643","type":"print"},{"value":"1433-3058","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2021,3,16]]},"assertion":[{"value":"24 October 2020","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"10 February 2021","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"16 March 2021","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"order":1,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declaration"}},{"value":"No conflict of interest.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Conflict of interest"}}]}}