{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,8,13]],"date-time":"2026-08-13T14:29:25Z","timestamp":1786631365041,"version":"3.56.0"},"reference-count":35,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2010,7,13]],"date-time":"2010-07-13T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1278979200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/www.springer.com\/tdm"}],"content-domain":{"domain":[],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Ann Oper Res"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2013,3]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/s10479-010-0771-5","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2010,7,12]],"date-time":"2010-07-12T15:35:45Z","timestamp":1278948945000},"page":"255-277","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":40,"title":["Characterization of demand for short life-cycle technology products"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"203","author":[{"given":"Berrin","family":"Aytac","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"S. David","family":"Wu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2010,7,13]]},"reference":[{"key":"771_CR1","unstructured":"Aytac, B., & Wu, S. D. (2010). Modelling high-tech product life cycles with short-term demand information: a case study (Working Paper 10W-002). Lehigh University."},{"issue":"1","key":"771_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"137","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2005.03.005","volume":"22","author":"A. Banerjee","year":"2006","unstructured":"Banerjee, A., & Marcellino, M. (2006). Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth?. International Journal of Forecasting, 22(1), 137\u2013151.","journal-title":"International Journal of Forecasting"},{"issue":"5","key":"771_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"215","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.15.5.215","volume":"15","author":"F. M. Bass","year":"1969","unstructured":"Bass, F. M. (1969). A new product growth for model consumer durables. Management Science, 15(5), 215\u2013226.","journal-title":"Management Science"},{"issue":"4","key":"771_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"451","DOI":"10.1057\/jors.1969.103","volume":"20","author":"J. M. Bates","year":"1969","unstructured":"Bates, J. M., & Granger, W. J. (1969). The combination of forecasts. Operational Research Quarterly, 20(4), 451\u2013468.","journal-title":"Operational Research Quarterly"},{"issue":"6","key":"771_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"769","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.47.6.769.9814","volume":"47","author":"J. S. Bonser","year":"2001","unstructured":"Bonser, J. S., & Wu, S. D. (2001). Procurement planning to maintain both short-term adaptiveness and long-term perspective. Management Science, 47(6), 769\u2013786.","journal-title":"Management Science"},{"issue":"2","key":"771_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"121","DOI":"10.1080\/07350015.1993.10509938","volume":"11","author":"C. Chatfield","year":"1993","unstructured":"Chatfield, C. (1993). Calculating interval forecasts. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 11(2), 121\u2013133.","journal-title":"Journal of Business and Economic Statistics"},{"issue":"8","key":"771_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1227","DOI":"10.1109\/9.533692","volume":"41","author":"C. H. Chen","year":"1996","unstructured":"Chen, C. H. (1996). A lower bound for the correct subset-selection probability and its application to discrete-event system simulations. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 41(8), 1227\u20131231.","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control"},{"issue":"1","key":"771_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"44","DOI":"10.1109\/70.744601","volume":"15","author":"C. H. Chen","year":"1999","unstructured":"Chen, C. H., Wu, S. D., & Dai, L. (1999). Ordinal comparison of heuristic algorithms using stochastic optimization. IEEE Transactions on Robotics and Automation, 15(1), 44\u201356.","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Robotics and Automation"},{"issue":"5","key":"771_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"960","DOI":"10.1109\/9.855560","volume":"45","author":"H. C. Chen","year":"2000","unstructured":"Chen, H. C., Chen, C. H., & Yucesan, E. (2000). Computing efforts allocation for ordinal optimization and discrete event simulation. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 45(5), 960\u2013964.","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control"},{"issue":"2","key":"771_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"253","DOI":"10.1057\/jors.1973.42","volume":"24","author":"J. P. Dickinson","year":"1973","unstructured":"Dickinson, J. P. (1973). Some statistical results in the combination of forecasts. Operational Research Quarterly, 24(2), 253\u2013260.","journal-title":"Operational Research Quarterly"},{"issue":"6","key":"771_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"805","DOI":"10.1287\/opre.45.6.805","volume":"45","author":"G. D. Eppen","year":"1997","unstructured":"Eppen, G. D., & Iyer, A. V. (1997). Improved fashion buying with Bayesian updates. Operations Research, 45(6), 805\u2013819.","journal-title":"Operations Research"},{"issue":"1","key":"771_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"87","DOI":"10.1287\/opre.44.1.87","volume":"44","author":"R. Fisher","year":"1996","unstructured":"Fisher, R., & Raman, A. (1996). Reducing the cost of demand uncertainty through accurate response to early sales. Operations Research, 44(1), 87\u201399.","journal-title":"Operations Research"},{"issue":"1","key":"771_CR13","first-page":"213","volume":"61","author":"J. C. Hause","year":"1971","unstructured":"Hause, J. C. (1971). Spectral analysis and the detection of lead-lag relations. The American Economic Review, 61(1), 213\u2013217.","journal-title":"The American Economic Review"},{"issue":"10","key":"771_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1007","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.26.10.1007","volume":"26","author":"R. M. Heeler","year":"1980","unstructured":"Heeler, R. M., & Hustad, T. P. (1980). Problems in predicting new product growth for consumer durables. Management Science, 26(10), 1007\u20131020.","journal-title":"Management Science"},{"key":"771_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"605","DOI":"10.1016\/S0169-2070(02)00073-0","volume":"18","author":"T. Islam","year":"2002","unstructured":"Islam, T., Fiebig, D. G., & Meade, N. (2002). Modelling multinational telecommunications demand with limited data. International Journal of Forecasting, 18, 605\u2013624.","journal-title":"International Journal of Forecasting"},{"key":"771_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"937","DOI":"10.1002\/nav.10097","volume":"50","author":"H. Kim","year":"2003","unstructured":"Kim, H. (2003). A Bayesian analysis on the effect of multiple supply options in a quick response environment. Naval Research Logistics, 50, 937\u2013952.","journal-title":"Naval Research Logistics"},{"key":"771_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"169","DOI":"10.1016\/S0040-1625(97)00102-9","volume":"57","author":"A. A. Kurawarwala","year":"1998","unstructured":"Kurawarwala, A. A., & Matsuo, H. (1998). Product growth models for medium-term forecasting of short life cycle products. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 57, 169\u2013196.","journal-title":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change"},{"key":"771_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"331","DOI":"10.1016\/0040-1625(86)90031-4","volume":"30","author":"V. Mahajan","year":"1986","unstructured":"Mahajan, V., & Sharma, S. (1986). A simple algebraic estimation procedure for innovation diffusion models of new product acceptance. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 30, 331\u2013345.","journal-title":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change"},{"key":"771_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.2307\/1252170","volume":"54","author":"V. Mahajan","year":"1990","unstructured":"Mahajan, V., Muller, E., & Bass, F. (1990). New product diffusion models in marketing: a review and directions for future research. Journal of Marketing, 54, 1\u201326.","journal-title":"Journal of Marketing"},{"key":"771_CR20","first-page":"239","volume":"21","author":"M. D. McKay","year":"1979","unstructured":"McKay, M. D., Beckman, R. J., & Conover, W. J. (1979). A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code. Technometrics, 21, 239\u2013244.","journal-title":"Technometrics"},{"issue":"12","key":"771_CR21","first-page":"1103","volume":"36","author":"N. Meade","year":"1985","unstructured":"Meade, N. (1985). Forecasting using growth curves\u2014an adaptive approach. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 36(12), 1103\u20131115.","journal-title":"Journal of the Operational Research Society"},{"key":"771_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"413","DOI":"10.1002\/for.3980140502","volume":"14","author":"N. Meade","year":"1995","unstructured":"Meade, N., & Islam, T. (1995). Prediction intervals for growth curve forecasts. Journal of Forecasting, 14, 413\u2013430.","journal-title":"Journal of Forecasting"},{"issue":"8","key":"771_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1115","DOI":"10.1287\/mnsc.44.8.1115","volume":"44","author":"N. Meade","year":"1998","unstructured":"Meade, N., & Islam, T. (1998). Technological forecasting\u2014model selection, model stability, and combining models. Management Science, 44(8), 1115\u20131130.","journal-title":"Management Science"},{"issue":"3","key":"771_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"519","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijforecast.2006.01.005","volume":"22","author":"N. Meade","year":"2006","unstructured":"Meade, N., & Islam, T. (2006). Modelling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation\u2014a 25-year review. International Journal of Forecasting, 22(3), 519\u2013545.","journal-title":"International Journal of Forecasting"},{"key":"771_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"65","DOI":"10.1109\/66.909656","volume":"14","author":"M. J. Meixell","year":"2001","unstructured":"Meixell, M. J., & Wu, S. (2001). Scenario analysis of demand in a technology market using leading indicators. IEEE Transactions on Semiconductor Manufacturing, 14, 65\u201375.","journal-title":"IEEE Transactions on Semiconductor Manufacturing"},{"key":"771_CR26","volume-title":"Subjective and objective Bayesian statistics: principles, models, and applications","author":"S. J. Press","year":"2003","unstructured":"Press, S. J. (2003). Subjective and objective Bayesian statistics: principles, models, and applications. New York: Wiley."},{"key":"771_CR27","unstructured":"Quinn, T., & Mawdsley, A. (1996). Forecasting Irish inflation: a composite leading indicator (Technical report). Economic Analysis, Research and Publications Department. Central Bank of Ireland."},{"issue":"1","key":"771_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"57","DOI":"10.1287\/mksc.1.1.57","volume":"1","author":"D. Schmittlein","year":"1982","unstructured":"Schmittlein, D., & Mahajan, V. (1982). Maximum likelihood estimation for an innovation diffusion model of new product acceptance. Marketing Science, 1(1), 57\u201378.","journal-title":"Marketing Science"},{"issue":"2","key":"771_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"169","DOI":"10.1287\/mksc.5.2.169","volume":"5","author":"V. Srinivasan","year":"1986","unstructured":"Srinivasan, V., & Mason, C. H. (1986). Nonlinear least squares estimation of new product diffusion models. Marketing Science, 5(2), 169\u2013178.","journal-title":"Marketing Science"},{"key":"771_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"70","DOI":"10.2307\/3172552","volume":"27","author":"F. Sultan","year":"1990","unstructured":"Sultan, F., Farley, J. U., & Lehmann, D. R. (1990). A meta-analysis of diffusion models. Journal of Marketing Research, 27, 70\u201377.","journal-title":"Journal of Marketing Research"},{"issue":"1","key":"771_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"97","DOI":"10.1287\/mksc.21.1.97.161","volume":"21","author":"D. Talukdar","year":"2002","unstructured":"Talukdar, D., Sudhir, K., & Ainslie, A. (2002). Investigating new product diffusion across products and countries. Marketing Science, 21(1), 97\u2013114.","journal-title":"Marketing Science"},{"key":"771_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"81","DOI":"10.2307\/1251475","volume":"45","author":"D. Tigert","year":"1981","unstructured":"Tigert, D., & Farivar, B. (1981). The Bass new product growth model: a sensitivity analysis for a high technology product. Journal of Marketing, 45, 81\u201390.","journal-title":"Journal of Marketing"},{"key":"771_CR33","volume-title":"Handbook of economic forecasting, Chap.: Forecast combination","author":"A. Timmermann","year":"2006","unstructured":"Timmermann, A. (2006). Handbook of economic forecasting, Chap.: Forecast combination. Amsterdam: North-Holland, p.p. 135\u2013196."},{"key":"771_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"234","DOI":"10.1287\/inte.1050.0195","volume":"36","author":"S. D. Wu","year":"2006","unstructured":"Wu, S. D., Aytac, B., Berger, R. T., & Armbruster, C. A. (2006). Managing short life-cycle technology products for agere systems. Interfaces, 36, 234\u2013247.","journal-title":"Interfaces"},{"issue":"5","key":"771_CR35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"633","DOI":"10.1002\/nav.10124","volume":"51","author":"K. Zhu","year":"2004","unstructured":"Zhu, K., & Thonemann, U. (2004). An adaptive forecasting algorithm and inventory policy for products with short life cycles. Naval Research Logistics, 51(5), 633\u2013653.","journal-title":"Naval Research Logistics"}],"container-title":["Annals of Operations Research"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s10479-010-0771-5.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10479-010-0771-5\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s10479-010-0771-5","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,3,28]],"date-time":"2024-03-28T07:47:27Z","timestamp":1711612047000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s10479-010-0771-5"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2010,7,13]]},"references-count":35,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2013,3]]}},"alternative-id":["771"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10479-010-0771-5","relation":{},"ISSN":["0254-5330","1572-9338"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0254-5330","type":"print"},{"value":"1572-9338","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2010,7,13]]}}}