{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,30]],"date-time":"2026-01-30T03:04:27Z","timestamp":1769742267794,"version":"3.49.0"},"reference-count":38,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,19]],"date-time":"2025-09-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1758240000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,19]],"date-time":"2025-09-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1758240000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Ann Oper Res"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,2]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/s10479-025-06845-9","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,19]],"date-time":"2025-09-19T08:39:48Z","timestamp":1758271188000},"page":"259-300","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":1,"title":["Bayesian network modeling for ROI simulation and scenario analysis: a case study on commercial aquaponics"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"357","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1803-4925","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Selin","family":"Karatepe","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-6905-3624","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Kenneth","family":"Corscadden","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4270-3068","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Nick","family":"Savidov","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"John","family":"Derksen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,19]]},"reference":[{"key":"6845_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Ahmed, A., Zulfiqar, S., Ghandar, A., Chen, Y., Hanai, M., & Theodoropoulos, G. (2019). Digital twin technology for aquaponics: Towards optimizing food production with dynamic data driven application systems. In: Methods and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems: 19th Asia Simulation Conference, AsiaSim 2019, Singapore, October 30\u2013November 1, 2019, Proceedings 19\u00a0(pp. 3\u201314). Springer Singapore.","DOI":"10.1007\/978-981-15-1078-6_1"},{"key":"6845_CR2","unstructured":"Alberta Agriculture and Forestry (2018). Economics of Production and Marketing of Greenhouse Crops in Alberta - A 2017 report on the costs and returns of greenhouse crop production in Alberta, October 2018. Online document retrieved August 10, 2022, from: https:\/\/open.alberta.ca\/publications\/1927-5714"},{"key":"6845_CR3","unstructured":"Bailey, D. S., Rakocy, J. E., Cole, W. M., Shultz, K. A., & St Croix, U. S. (1997, November). Economic analysis of a commercial-scale aquaponic system for the production of tilapia and lettuce. In: Tilapia aquaculture: proceedings of the fourth international symposium on Tilapia in aquaculture, Orlando, Florida\u00a0(pp. 603\u2013612)."},{"key":"6845_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"419","DOI":"10.1007\/s10479-022-04871-5","volume":"325","author":"P D\u2019Urso","year":"2023","unstructured":"D\u2019Urso, P., De Giovanni, L., & Vitale, V. (2023). A bayesian network to analyse basketball players\u2019 performances: A multivariate copula-based approach. Annals of Operations Research, 325, 419\u2013440. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10479-022-04871-5","journal-title":"Annals of Operations Research"},{"key":"6845_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2","DOI":"10.1016\/j.aquaeng.2012.11.008","volume":"53","author":"J Dalsgaard","year":"2013","unstructured":"Dalsgaard, J., Lund, I., Thorarinsdottir, R. I., Drengstig, A., Arvonen, K., & Pedersen, P. B. (2013). Farming different species in RAS in Nordic countries: Current status and future perspectives. Aquacultural Engineering, 53, 2\u201313. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.aquaeng.2012.11.008","journal-title":"Aquacultural Engineering"},{"key":"6845_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"29","DOI":"10.1016\/j.engappai.2017.07.003","volume":"65","author":"B Drury","year":"2017","unstructured":"Drury, B., Valverde-Rebaza, J., Moura, M. F., & de Andrade Lopes, A. (2017). A survey of the applications of Bayesian networks in agriculture. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 65, 29\u201342.","journal-title":"Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence"},{"key":"6845_CR7","unstructured":"Engle, C. R. (2015). Economics of aquaponics. Online document retrieved April 11, 2023, from https:\/\/shareok.org\/bitstream\/handle\/11244\/319796\/oksd_srac_5006_2016-07.pdf?sequence=1 (11\/04\/2023)."},{"key":"6845_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"35691","DOI":"10.1109\/ACCESS.2021.3061722","volume":"9","author":"A Ghandar","year":"2021","unstructured":"Ghandar, A., Ahmed, A., Zulfiqar, S., Hua, Z., Hanai, M., & Theodoropoulos, G. (2021). A decision support system for urban agriculture using digital twin: A case study with aquaponics. IEEE Access, 9, 35691\u201335708.","journal-title":"IEEE Access"},{"key":"6845_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-030-15943-6","volume-title":"Aquaponics Food Production Systems","author":"S Goddek","year":"2019","unstructured":"Goddek, S., Joyce, A., Kotzen, B., & Dos-Santos, M. (2019). Aquaponics and Global Food Challenges. In S. Goddek, A. Joyce, B. Kotzen, & G. M. Burnell (Eds.), Aquaponics Food Production Systems. Cham: Springer."},{"key":"6845_CR10","volume-title":"Aquaponics Food Production Systems","author":"A Joyce","year":"2019","unstructured":"Joyce, A., Goddek, S., Kotzen, B., & Wuertz, S. (2019). Aquaponics: Closing the Cycle on Limited Water, Land and Nutrient Resources. In S. Goddek, A. Joyce, B. Kotzen, & G. M. Burnell (Eds.), Aquaponics Food Production Systems. Cham: Springer."},{"issue":"3","key":"6845_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"182","DOI":"10.3390\/w9030182","volume":"9","author":"R Junge","year":"2017","unstructured":"Junge, R., K\u00f6nig, B., Villarroel, M., Komives, T., & Jijakli, M. H. (2017). Strategic points in aquaponics. Water (Basel), 9(3), 182. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/w9030182","journal-title":"Water (Basel)"},{"issue":"1","key":"6845_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"50","DOI":"10.4236\/iim.2021.131003","volume":"13","author":"D Karimanzira","year":"2021","unstructured":"Karimanzira, D., Na, C., Hong, M., & Wei, Y. (2021). Intelligent information management in aquaponics to increase mutual benefits. Intelligent Information Management, 13(1), 50\u201369.","journal-title":"Intelligent Information Management"},{"issue":"4","key":"6845_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"345","DOI":"10.1515\/auto-2020-0036","volume":"69","author":"D Karimanzira","year":"2021","unstructured":"Karimanzira, D., & Rauschenbach, T. (2021). An intelligent management system for aquaponics. At - Automatisierungstechnik, 69(4), 345\u2013350. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1515\/auto-2020-0036","journal-title":"At - Automatisierungstechnik"},{"key":"6845_CR14","volume-title":"Aquaponics Food Production Systems","author":"PR Kledal","year":"2019","unstructured":"Kledal, P. R., K\u00f6nig, B., & Matuli\u0107, D. (2019). Aquaponics: The Ugly Duckling in Organic Regulation. In S. Goddek, A. Joyce, B. Kotzen, & G. M. Burnell (Eds.), Aquaponics Food Production Systems. Cham: Springer."},{"key":"6845_CR15","first-page":"157","volume-title":"Sustainable Aquaculture","author":"PR Kledal","year":"2018","unstructured":"Kledal, P. R., & Thorarinsdottir, R. (2018). Aquaponics: A Commercial Niche for Sustainable Modern Aquaculture. In F. I. Hai, M. P. Dos-Santos, & R. F. Schneider (Eds.), Sustainable Aquaculture (pp. 157\u2013189). Springer."},{"issue":"1","key":"6845_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"26","DOI":"10.19040\/ecocycles.v2i1.50","volume":"2","author":"B Konig","year":"2016","unstructured":"Konig, B., Junge, R., Bittsanszky, A., Villarroel, M., & Komives, T. (2016). On the sustainability of aquaponics. Ecocycles, 2(1), 26\u201332. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.19040\/ecocycles.v2i1.50","journal-title":"Ecocycles"},{"key":"6845_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"475","DOI":"10.3303\/CET1863080","volume":"63","author":"C Li","year":"2018","unstructured":"Li, C., Tin Lee, C., Gao, Y., Hashim, H., Zhang, X., Wu, W.-M., & Zhang, Z. (2018). Prospect of aquaponics for the sustainable development of food production in urban. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 63, 475\u2013480. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3303\/CET1863080","journal-title":"Chemical Engineering Transactions"},{"issue":"1","key":"6845_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"195","DOI":"10.1007\/s10479-019-03247-6","volume":"311","author":"Y-F Li","year":"2022","unstructured":"Li, Y.-F., Huang, H.-Z., Mi, J., Peng, W., & Han, X. (2022). Reliability analysis of multi-state systems with common cause failures based on bayesian network and fuzzy probability. Annals of Operations Research, 311(1), 195\u2013209.","journal-title":"Annals of Operations Research"},{"issue":"11","key":"6845_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1552","DOI":"10.3390\/foods9111552","volume":"9","author":"B Melovi\u0107","year":"2020","unstructured":"Melovi\u0107, B., Cirovi\u0107, D., Backovic-Vuli\u0107, T., Dudi\u0107, B., & Gubiniova, K. (2020). Attracting green consumers as a basis for creating sustainable marketing strategy on the organic market\u2014Relevance for sustainable agriculture business development. Foods, 9(11), 1552.","journal-title":"Foods"},{"issue":"2","key":"6845_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"80","DOI":"10.3390\/w9020080","volume":"9","author":"V Milicic","year":"2017","unstructured":"Milicic, V., Thorarinsdottir, R. I., Santos, M. C. L. D., & Han\u010di\u010d, M. T. (2017). Commercial aquaponics approaching the European market: To consumers\u2019 perceptions of aquaponics products in Europe. Water (Basel), 9(2), 80. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/w9020080","journal-title":"Water (Basel)"},{"key":"6845_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Moustier P. (2017). Short urban food chains in developing countries: signs of the past or of the future?.\u00a0Natures Sciences Soci\u00e9t\u00e9s,\u00a025\u00a0(1), dossier L\u2019agriculture dans le syst\u00e8me alimentaire urbain : continuit\u00e9s et innovations\u00a0: pp. 7\u201320. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1051\/nss\/2017018","DOI":"10.1051\/nss\/2017018"},{"key":"6845_CR22","volume-title":"Aquaponics Food Production Systems","author":"HW Palm","year":"2019","unstructured":"Palm, H. W., Knaus, U., Appelbaum, S., Strauch, S. M., & Kotzen, B. (2019). Coupled Aquaponics Systems. In S. Goddek, A. Joyce, B. Kotzen, & G. M. Burnell (Eds.), Aquaponics Food Production Systems. Cham: Springer."},{"issue":"2","key":"6845_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"39","DOI":"10.3390\/horticulturae3020039","volume":"3","author":"G Pollard","year":"2017","unstructured":"Pollard, G., Ward, J., & Koth, B. A. (2017). Aquaponics in urban agriculture: Social acceptance and urban food planning. Horticulturae, 3(2), 39. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/horticulturae3020039","journal-title":"Horticulturae"},{"issue":"1","key":"6845_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1080\/10454438.2017.1414009","volume":"30","author":"KK Quagrainie","year":"2018","unstructured":"Quagrainie, K. K., Flores, R. L., Kim, H., & McClain, V. (2018). Economic analysis of aquaponics and hydroponics production in the U.S. Midwest. Journal of Applied Aquaculture, 30(1), 1\u201314. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/10454438.2017.1414009","journal-title":"Journal of Applied Aquaculture"},{"key":"6845_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.7717\/peerj-cs.55","volume":"2","author":"J Salvatier","year":"2016","unstructured":"Salvatier, J., Wiecki, T. V., & Fonnesbeck, C. (2016). Probabilistic programming in Python using PyMC3. PeerJ Computer Science, 2, Article e55. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.7717\/peerj-cs.55","journal-title":"PeerJ Computer Science"},{"key":"6845_CR26","unstructured":"Savidov, N. (2004). Evaluation and development of aquaponics production and product market capabilities in Alberta. Crop Diversification Centre South, Alberta Agriculture, Food and Rural Development."},{"key":"6845_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"209","DOI":"10.17660\/actahortic.2007.742.28","volume":"742","author":"N Savidov","year":"2007","unstructured":"Savidov, N., Hutchings, E., & Rakocy, J. (2007). Fish and plant production in a recirculating aquaponic system: A new approach to sustainable agriculture in Canada. Acta Horticulturae, 742, 209\u2013221. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.17660\/actahortic.2007.742.28","journal-title":"Acta Horticulturae"},{"issue":"3","key":"6845_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"358","DOI":"10.21273\/horttech03606-16","volume":"27","author":"G Short","year":"2017","unstructured":"Short, G., Yue, C., Anderson, N., Russell, C., & Phelps, N. A. (2017). Consumer perceptions of aquaponic systems. HortTechnology, 27(3), 358\u2013366. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.21273\/horttech03606-16","journal-title":"HortTechnology"},{"issue":"8","key":"6845_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"303","DOI":"10.3390\/chemosensors10080303","volume":"10","author":"MF Taha","year":"2022","unstructured":"Taha, M. F., ElMasry, G., Li, X., Zhou, L., Liang, N., Abdalla, A., Rousseau, D., & Qiu, Z. (2022). Recent advances of smart systems and internet of things (IoT) for aquaponics automation: A comprehensive overview. Chemosensors, 10(8), 303. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/chemosensors10080303","journal-title":"Chemosensors"},{"key":"6845_CR30","unstructured":"Willer, Helga;\u00a0Schlatter, Bernhard\u00a0and\u00a0Tr\u00e1vn\u00ed\u010dek, Jan\u00a0(Eds.) (2023) The World of Organic Agriculture. Statistics and Emerging Trends 2023. Research Institute of Organic Agriculture FiBL and IFOAM - Organics International, Frick and Bonn. Online document retrieved September 15, 2023, from https:\/\/www.organic-world.net\/yearbook\/yearbook-2023\/contents\/download.html"},{"key":"6845_CR31","unstructured":"The CMO Survey (2024) \u2013 Highlights and Insights Report, Fall 2024. https:\/\/cmosurvey.org\/results\/ (https:\/\/cmosurvey.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/The_CMO_Survey-Highlights_and_Insights_Report-Fall_2024.pdf)"},{"issue":"1","key":"6845_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"20","DOI":"10.1111\/jwas.12173","volume":"46","author":"K Tokunaga","year":"2015","unstructured":"Tokunaga, K., Tamaru, C. S., Ako, H., & Leung, P. (2015). Economics of small-scale commercial aquaponics in Hawai\u2018i. Journal of the World Aquaculture Society, 46(1), 20\u201332. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/jwas.12173","journal-title":"Journal of the World Aquaculture Society"},{"issue":"1","key":"6845_CR33","first-page":"5","volume":"16","author":"L Tomlinson","year":"2017","unstructured":"Tomlinson, L. (2017). Indoor aquaponics in abandoned buildings: A potential solution to food deserts. Sustainable Development Law and Policy, 16(1), 5\u201310.","journal-title":"Sustainable Development Law and Policy"},{"key":"6845_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"673","DOI":"10.1007\/s10479-023-05377-4","volume":"341","author":"K Topuz","year":"2024","unstructured":"Topuz, K., Davazdahemami, B., & Delen, D. (2024). A bayesian belief network-based analytics methodology for early-stage risk detection of novel diseases. Annals of Operations Research, 341, 673\u2013697. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10479-023-05377-4","journal-title":"Annals of Operations Research"},{"key":"6845_CR35","volume-title":"Aquaponics Food Production Systems","author":"M Turn\u0161ek","year":"2019","unstructured":"Turn\u0161ek, M., Morgenstern, R., Schr\u00f6ter, I., Mergenthaler, M., H\u00fcttel, S., & Leyer, M. (2019). Commercial Aquaponics: A Long Road Ahead. In S. Goddek, A. Joyce, B. Kotzen, & G. M. Burnell (Eds.), Aquaponics Food Production Systems. Cham: Springer."},{"key":"6845_CR36","unstructured":"Xie, K., & Rosentrater, K. (2015). Life cycle assessment (LCA) and Techno-economic analysis (TEA) of tilapia-basil aquaponics. In: 2015 ASABE Annual International Meeting\u00a0(p. 1). American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers."},{"key":"6845_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"141","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2016.05.005","volume":"60","author":"B Yet","year":"2016","unstructured":"Yet, B., Constantinou, A., Fenton, N., Neil, M., Luedeling, E., & Shepherd, K. (2016). A Bayesian network framework for project cost, benefit and risk analysis with an agricultural development case study. Expert Systems with Applications, 60, 141\u2013155. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eswa.2016.05.005","journal-title":"Expert Systems with Applications"},{"key":"6845_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jclepro.2022.132753","volume":"365","author":"N Zappernick","year":"2022","unstructured":"Zappernick, N., Nedunuri, K. V., Islam, K. R., Khanal, S., Worley, T., Laki, S. L., & Shah, A. (2022). Techno-economic analysis of a recirculating tilapia-lettuce aquaponics system. Journal of Cleaner Production, 365, Article 132753. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jclepro.2022.132753","journal-title":"Journal of Cleaner Production"}],"container-title":["Annals of Operations Research"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s10479-025-06845-9.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10479-025-06845-9","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s10479-025-06845-9.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,29]],"date-time":"2026-01-29T13:48:09Z","timestamp":1769694489000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s10479-025-06845-9"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,19]]},"references-count":38,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,2]]}},"alternative-id":["6845"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10479-025-06845-9","relation":{},"ISSN":["0254-5330","1572-9338"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0254-5330","type":"print"},{"value":"1572-9338","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,19]]},"assertion":[{"value":"29 September 2023","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"4 September 2025","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"19 September 2025","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"order":1,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}},{"value":"The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Conflict of interest"}}]}}