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Die Datenbasis stellt eine synthetische Grundgesamtheit der Bev\u00f6lkerung auf Basis der Zensusergebnisse 2011 dar, welche mit Hilfe von Zensusgitterzellen geografisch im Stadtgebiet verortet und modellbasiert in die Zukunft fortgeschrieben wurde. Au\u00dferdem liegen f\u00fcr Trier f\u00fcr die Jahre 2011 bis 2018 pr\u00e4zise Zahlen zu Sch\u00fclerinnen und Sch\u00fclern der Elementarstufe vor, an denen nicht nur die Simulationsgesamtheit konfiguriert werden kann, sondern die auch als zentrale Benchmarks f\u00fcr die Validit\u00e4t der Fortschreibungsmodule und \u2013Parameter dienen k\u00f6nnen.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1007\/s11943-022-00301-x","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2022,2,17]],"date-time":"2022-02-17T17:02:50Z","timestamp":1645117370000},"page":"51-77","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":2,"title":["Die zuk\u00fcnftige Entwicklung der Grundschulversorgung im Kontext ausgew\u00e4hlter Wanderungsszenarien","The future development of primary school demand in the context of selected migration scenarios"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"16","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5946-4633","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Sebastian","family":"Dr\u00e4ger","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Johannes","family":"Kopp","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Ralf","family":"M\u00fcnnich","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Simon","family":"Schmaus","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2022,2,17]]},"reference":[{"key":"301_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"269","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-030-28665-1_20","volume-title":"Workshop on Stochastic Models, Statistics and their Application","author":"JP Burgard","year":"2019","unstructured":"Burgard JP, Krause J, Merkle H, M\u00fcnnich R, Schmaus S (2019) Conducting a dynamic microsimulation for care research: data generation, transition probabilities and sensitivity analysis. 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