{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,23]],"date-time":"2026-07-23T09:01:45Z","timestamp":1784797305201,"version":"3.55.0"},"reference-count":26,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"7","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,1]],"date-time":"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1782864000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,1]],"date-time":"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1782864000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Int J Biometeorol"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,7]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/s00484-026-03270-w","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,6]],"date-time":"2026-07-06T10:51:06Z","timestamp":1783335066000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["Forecasting fractures: Weather-associated variability in hip fracture and isolated distal radius fracture incidence"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"70","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0001-3595-5646","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Harlene","family":"Kaur","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0009-4401-5144","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Emma","family":"Proffitt","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0009-7940-5476","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Samuel W.","family":"Rice","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0002-2515-7285","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Michael G.","family":"Flood","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8364-7069","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Scott","family":"Pascal","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,6]]},"reference":[{"key":"3270_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"0199463","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0199463","volume":"13","author":"NP Aspvik","year":"2018","unstructured":"Aspvik NP, Viken H, Ingebrigtsen JE et al (2018) Do weather changes influence physical activity level among older adults? - The Generation 100 study. PLoS ONE 13:0199463. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0199463","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"},{"key":"3270_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Bergh C, Wennergren D, M\u00f6ller M, Brisby H (2020) Fracture incidence in adults in relation to age and gender: A study of 27,169 fractures in the Swedish Fracture Register in a well-defined catchment area. Blank RD, ed. PLOS ONE. 15:0244291. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pone.0244291","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0244291"},{"key":"3270_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"739","DOI":"10.1080\/17453674.2021.1959003","volume":"92","author":"C Bergh","year":"2021","unstructured":"Bergh C, M\u00f6ller M, Ekelund J, Brisby H (2021) 30-day and 1-year mortality after skeletal fractures: a register study of 295,713 fractures at different locations. Acta Orthop 92:739\u2013745. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/17453674.2021.1959003","journal-title":"Acta Orthop"},{"key":"3270_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1225","DOI":"10.1007\/s00198-007-0364-6","volume":"18","author":"HA Bischoff-Ferrari","year":"2007","unstructured":"Bischoff-Ferrari HA, Orav JE, Barrett JA, Baron JA (2007) Effect of seasonality and weather on fracture risk in individuals 65 years and older. Osteoporos Int 18:1225\u20131233. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00198-007-0364-6","journal-title":"Osteoporos Int"},{"key":"3270_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1489","DOI":"10.2105\/AJPH.2015.302582","volume":"105","author":"PJ Clarke","year":"2015","unstructured":"Clarke PJ, Yan T, Keusch F, Gallagher NA (2015) The Impact of Weather on Mobility and Participation in Older US Adults. Am J Public Health 105:1489\u20131494. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2105\/AJPH.2015.302582","journal-title":"Am J Public Health"},{"key":"3270_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1397","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.2024.1416","volume":"331","author":"CS Col\u00f3n-Emeric","year":"2024","unstructured":"Col\u00f3n-Emeric CS, McDermott CL, Lee DS, Berry SD (2024) Risk Assessment and Prevention of Falls in Older Community-Dwelling Adults: A Review. JAMA 331:1397. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1001\/jama.2024.1416","journal-title":"JAMA"},{"key":"3270_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2618","DOI":"10.1002\/jcp.25001","volume":"230","author":"E Curtis","year":"2015","unstructured":"Curtis E, Litwic A, Cooper C, Dennison E (2015) Determinants of Muscle and Bone Aging. J Cell Physiol 230:2618\u20132625. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/jcp.25001","journal-title":"J Cell Physiol"},{"key":"3270_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1527","DOI":"10.1002\/jbmr.4628","volume":"37","author":"C Dahl","year":"2020","unstructured":"Dahl C, Madsen C, Omsland TK et al (2020) The Association of Cold Ambient Temperature With Fracture Risk and Mortality: National Data From Norway\u2014A Norwegian Epidemiologic Osteoporosis Studies (NOREPOS) Study. J Bone Min Res 37:1527\u20131536. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/jbmr.4628","journal-title":"J Bone Min Res"},{"key":"3270_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Das Gupta D, Kelekar U, Turner SC (2024) Older Adult Falls in the Community: Does Unsafe Home Environment Have a Risk Role Through the Mediating Effect of Functional Limitations? Gaugler JE, ed. The Gerontologist. 64:139. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/geront\/gnad139","DOI":"10.1093\/geront\/gnad139"},{"key":"3270_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"378","DOI":"10.1136\/ip-2022-044808","volume":"29","author":"E Eklund","year":"2023","unstructured":"Eklund E, Holmberg R, Svensson M, Gustavsson J, Bonander C (2023) Quasi-experimental evaluation of municipal ice cleat distribution programmes for older adults in Sweden. Inj Prev 29:378\u2013383. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1136\/ip-2022-044808","journal-title":"Inj Prev"},{"key":"3270_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Ganz DA, Latham NK (2020) Prevention of Falls in Community-Dwelling Older Adults. Solomon CG, ed. N Engl J Med. 382:734\u2013743. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1056\/NEJMcp1903252","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMcp1903252"},{"key":"3270_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"512","DOI":"10.1016\/j.bone.2018.12.014","volume":"120","author":"S Hayashi","year":"2019","unstructured":"Hayashi S, Noda T, Kubo S et al (2019) Variation in fracture risk by season and weather: A comprehensive analysis across age and fracture site using a National Database of Health Insurance Claims in Japan. Bone 120:512\u2013518. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.bone.2018.12.014","journal-title":"Bone"},{"key":"3270_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"539","DOI":"10.1136\/ip-2022-044681","volume":"28","author":"R Holmberg","year":"2022","unstructured":"Holmberg R, Gustavsson J, Svensson M, Bonander C (2022) Ice cleat distribution programmes and ice cleat use among older adults: repeated cross-sectional evidence from 63 municipal interventions in Sweden. Inj Prev 28:539\u2013544. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1136\/ip-2022-044681","journal-title":"Inj Prev"},{"key":"3270_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"16","DOI":"10.1038\/s44401-025-00019-2","volume":"2","author":"Y Hu","year":"2025","unstructured":"Hu Y, Chan CW, Dong J et al (2025) Implementing a prediction driven framework for emergency department nurse staffing to optimize real time decisions. Npj Health Syst 2:16. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s44401-025-00019-2","journal-title":"Npj Health Syst"},{"key":"3270_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Hung WW, Egol KA, Zuckerman JD, Siu AL (2012) Hip Fracture Management: Tailoring Care for the Older Patient. JAMA 307. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1001\/jama.2012.4842","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.2012.4842"},{"key":"3270_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"9467","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph19159467","volume":"19","author":"K Jedynasty","year":"2022","unstructured":"Jedynasty K, Zi\u0119ba M, Adamski J et al (2022) Seasonally Dependent Change of the Number of Fractures after 50 Years of Age in Poland\u2014Analysis of Combined. Health Care and Climate Datasets. Int J Environ Res Public Health 19:9467. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/ijerph19159467","journal-title":"Int J Environ Res Public Health"},{"key":"3270_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"136","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jht.2016.03.003","volume":"29","author":"NJ MacIntyre","year":"2016","unstructured":"MacIntyre NJ, Dewan N (2016) Epidemiology of distal radius fractures and factors predicting risk and prognosis. J Hand Ther 29:136\u2013145. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jht.2016.03.003","journal-title":"J Hand Ther"},{"key":"3270_CR18","unstructured":"Management of Distal Radius Fractures (2020) Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guideline. American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons"},{"key":"3270_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1097\/BOT.0000000000001063","volume":"32","author":"E Meinberg","year":"2018","unstructured":"Meinberg E, Agel J, Roberts C, Karam M, Kellam J (2018) Fracture and Dislocation Classification Compendium\u20142018. J Orthop Trauma 32:1\u201310. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1097\/BOT.0000000000001063","journal-title":"J Orthop Trauma"},{"key":"3270_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1952","DOI":"10.1093\/ageing\/afab137","volume":"50","author":"T Ogawa","year":"2021","unstructured":"Ogawa T, Schermann H, Kobayashi H, Fushimi K, Okawa A, Jinno T (2021) Age and clinical outcomes after hip fracture surgery: do octogenarian, nonagenarian and centenarian classifications matter? Age Ageing 50:1952\u20131960. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/ageing\/afab137","journal-title":"Age Ageing"},{"key":"3270_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1445","DOI":"10.1016\/j.injury.2018.06.028","volume":"49","author":"C Rogmark","year":"2018","unstructured":"Rogmark C, Kristensen MT, Viberg B, R\u00f6nnquist SS, Overgaard S, Palm H (2018) Hip fractures in the non-elderly\u2014Who, why and whither? Injury 49:1445\u20131450. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.injury.2018.06.028","journal-title":"Injury"},{"key":"3270_CR22","first-page":"675","volume":"106","author":"JD Schroeder","year":"2022","unstructured":"Schroeder JD, Turner SP, Buck E (2022) Hip Fractures: Diagnosis and Management. Am Fam Physician 106:675\u2013683","journal-title":"Am Fam Physician"},{"key":"3270_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1030","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2019.06.281","volume":"685","author":"T Shi","year":"2019","unstructured":"Shi T, Min M, Ye P et al (2019) Meteorological variables and the risk of fractures: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Sci Total Environ 685:1030\u20131041. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2019.06.281","journal-title":"Sci Total Environ"},{"key":"3270_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1131","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jos.2022.08.009","volume":"28","author":"K Shigemoto","year":"2023","unstructured":"Shigemoto K, Sawaguchi T, Higashikawa T, Okuro M (2023) Differences in age-related characteristics among elderly patients with hip fractures. J Orthop Sci 28:1131\u20131135. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jos.2022.08.009","journal-title":"J Orthop Sci"},{"key":"3270_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"326","DOI":"10.1007\/s00223-024-01182-8","volume":"114","author":"X Sur\u00eds","year":"2024","unstructured":"Sur\u00eds X, Rodr\u00edguez C, Llargu\u00e9s E, Pueyo-S\u00e1nchez MJ, Larrosa M (2024) Trend and Seasonality of Hip Fractures in Catalonia, Spain: Exploring the Influence of Climate. Calcif Tissue Int 114:326\u2013339. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00223-024-01182-8","journal-title":"Calcif Tissue Int"},{"key":"3270_CR26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2945","DOI":"10.1007\/s00198-016-3616-5","volume":"27","author":"M Von Friesendorff","year":"2016","unstructured":"Von Friesendorff M, McGuigan FE, Wizert A et al (2016) Hip fracture, mortality risk, and cause of death over two decades. Osteoporos Int 27:2945\u20132953. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00198-016-3616-5","journal-title":"Osteoporos Int"}],"container-title":["International Journal of Biometeorology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s00484-026-03270-w.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00484-026-03270-w","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s00484-026-03270-w.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,23]],"date-time":"2026-07-23T08:17:30Z","timestamp":1784794650000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s00484-026-03270-w"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026,7]]},"references-count":26,"journal-issue":{"issue":"7","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,7]]}},"alternative-id":["3270"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00484-026-03270-w","relation":{},"ISSN":["0020-7128","1432-1254"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0020-7128","type":"print"},{"value":"1432-1254","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2026,7]]},"assertion":[{"value":"3 December 2025","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"1 July 2026","order":2,"name":"revised","label":"Revised","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"2 July 2026","order":3,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"6 July 2026","order":4,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board. The IRB granted a waiver of informed consent.","order":1,"name":"Ethics","label":"Ethical approval","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}},{"value":"None.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","label":"Competing interests","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}}],"article-number":"204"}}