{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,1]],"date-time":"2026-05-01T09:27:39Z","timestamp":1777627659307,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":69,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"11","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,19]],"date-time":"2024-10-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1729296000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,19]],"date-time":"2024-10-19T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1729296000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Theor Appl Climatol"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,11]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/s00704-024-05213-0","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,19]],"date-time":"2024-10-19T06:02:22Z","timestamp":1729317742000},"page":"9767-9781","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":9,"title":["Climate vulnerability and adaptation strategies in the Zagora Oasis, southern Morocco: a time series analysis and projection to 2050"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"155","author":[{"given":"Rachid","family":"Amiha","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Belkacem","family":"Kabbachi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Mohamed","family":"Ait Haddou","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Khalid","family":"Hamma","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Youssef","family":"Bouchriti","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Hicham","family":"Gougueni","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,19]]},"reference":[{"issue":"6","key":"5213_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1741","DOI":"10.2166\/wcc.2023.339","volume":"14","author":"B Achag","year":"2023","unstructured":"Achag B, Mouhanni H, Bendou A (2023) Performance of municipal waste stabilization ponds in the Saharan desert (Morocco). J Water Clim Change 14(6):1741\u20131761. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2166\/wcc.2023.339","journal-title":"J Water Clim Change"},{"issue":"12","key":"5213_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"17981","DOI":"10.1007\/s11356-023-25498-4","volume":"31","author":"A Adraoui","year":"2024","unstructured":"Adraoui A, Jaafar M (2024) Sustainable management of water resources and assessment of the vulnerability of Moroccan oases to climate change. Environ Sci Pollut Res 31(12):17981\u201317993. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s11356-023-25498-4","journal-title":"Environ Sci Pollut Res"},{"key":"5213_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"07316","DOI":"10.1016\/j.actatropica.2024.107316","volume":"257","author":"A Aglagane","year":"2024","unstructured":"Aglagane A, Ravaioli V, Er-Rguibi O, Lavazza A, Carra E, Rabitti A, Frasnelli M (2024) Mole-cular investigation and infection patterns of seven viruses of honey bee (Apis mellifera L, 1758) populations from southeastern Morocco. Acta Trop 257:07316. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.actatropica.2024.107316","journal-title":"Acta Trop"},{"key":"5213_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2172","DOI":"10.3390\/w15122172","volume":"15","author":"A Ait Lemkademe","year":"2023","unstructured":"Ait Lemkademe A, El Ghorfi M, Zouhri L, Heddoun O, Khalil A, Maacha L (2023) Origin and Salini-Zation processes of Groundwater in the Semi-arid Area of Zagora Graben, Southeast Morocco. Water 15:2172. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/w15122172","journal-title":"Water"},{"key":"5213_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"639","DOI":"10.1007\/s00704-020-03442-7","volume":"143","author":"MJ Al Sayah","year":"2021","unstructured":"Al Sayah MJ, Abdallah C, Khouri M, Al-Rousan N, Akhra A (2021) A framework for climate change assessment in Mediterranean data-sparse watersheds using remote sensing and ARIMA modeling. Theor Appl Climatol 143:639\u2013658. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00704-020-03442-7","journal-title":"Theor Appl Climatol"},{"key":"5213_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"455","DOI":"10.1007\/s41748-020-00161-x","volume":"4","author":"M Almazroui","year":"2020","unstructured":"Almazroui M, Saeed F, Saeed S et al (2020) Projected change in temperature and precipitation over Africa from CMIP6. Earth Syst Environ 4:455\u2013475. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s41748-020-00161-x","journal-title":"Earth Syst Environ"},{"issue":"5","key":"5213_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1285","DOI":"10.3390\/w12051285","volume":"12","author":"AN Angelakis","year":"2020","unstructured":"Angelakis AN, Zaccaria D, Krasilnikoff J, Salgot M, Bazza M, Roccaro P, Fereres E (2020) Irrigation of world agricultural lands: evolution through the millennia. Water 12(5):1285. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/w12051285","journal-title":"Water"},{"key":"5213_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"309","DOI":"10.1007\/s00704-023-04636-5","volume":"155","author":"J Atayi","year":"2024","unstructured":"Atayi J, Anornu GK, Awotwi A et al (2024) Terrestrial water storage and climate variability study of the Volta River Basin, West Africa. Theor Appl Climatol 155:309\u2013325. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00704-023-04636-5","journal-title":"Theor Appl Climatol"},{"issue":"1","key":"5213_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"389","DOI":"10.1007\/s00382-021-05910-w","volume":"58","author":"S Balhane","year":"2022","unstructured":"Balhane S, Driouech F, Chafki O, Manzanas R, Chehbouni A, Moufouma-Okia W (2022) Changes in mean and extreme temperature and precipitation events from different weighted multi-model ensembles over the northern half of Morocco. Clim Dyn 58(1):389\u2013404. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00382-021-05910-w","journal-title":"Clim Dyn"},{"key":"5213_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"24","DOI":"10.1186\/s43238-022-00073-x","volume":"6","author":"M Beraaouz","year":"2022","unstructured":"Beraaouz M, Abioui M, Hssaisoune M et al (2022) Khettaras in the Tafilalet Oasis (Morocco): contri-bution to the promotion of tourism and sustainable development. Built Herit 6:24. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s43238-022-00073-x","journal-title":"Built Herit"},{"key":"5213_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"6515","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.7613","volume":"42","author":"J Bliefernicht","year":"2022","unstructured":"Bliefernicht J, Rauch M, Laux P, Kunstmann H (2022) Atmospheric circulation patterns that trigger heavy rainfall in West Africa. Int J Climatol 42:6515\u20136536. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joc.7613","journal-title":"Int J Climatol"},{"key":"5213_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"624","DOI":"10.1007\/s10661-023-11163-3","volume":"195","author":"A Boudellah","year":"2023","unstructured":"Boudellah A, Moustaine RE, Gharmali AE et al (2023) Groundwater quality in Zagora southeast of Mo-rocco by using physicochemical analysis and geospatial techniques. Environ Monit Assess 195:624. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10661-023-11163-3","journal-title":"Environ Monit Assess"},{"key":"5213_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"104691","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jafrearsci.2022.104691","volume":"196","author":"I Bouizrou","year":"2022","unstructured":"Bouizrou I, Aqnouy M, Bouadila A (2022) Spatio-temporal analysis of trends and variability in precipitation across Morocco: comparative analysis of recent and old non-parametric methods. J Afr Earth Sci 196:104691. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jafrearsci.2022.104691","journal-title":"J Afr Earth Sci"},{"key":"5213_CR15","unstructured":"Box GEP, Jenkins GM (1976) Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control; Holden-Day series in time series analysis and digital processing; Rev. ed.; Holden-Day: San Francisco, CA, USA, 1976; ISBN 978-0-8162-1104-3"},{"key":"5213_CR14","unstructured":"Box GE, Jenkins GM, Reinsel GC, Ljung GM (2015) Time Series Analysis: forecasting and control. Wiley"},{"issue":"1","key":"5213_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"66","DOI":"10.1016\/j.accre.2018.01.004","volume":"9","author":"E Bucchignani","year":"2018","unstructured":"Bucchignani E, Mercogliano P, Panitz HJ, Montesarchio M (2018) Climate change projections for the Middle East\u2013North Africa domain with COSMO-CLM at different spatial resolutions. Adv Clim Chang Res 9(1):66\u201380. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.accre.2018.01.004","journal-title":"Adv Clim Chang Res"},{"issue":"5","key":"5213_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1077","DOI":"10.21273\/HORTSCI.42.5.1077","volume":"42","author":"CT Chao","year":"2007","unstructured":"Chao CT, Krueger RR (2007) The date palm (Phoenix dactylifera L.): overview of biology, uses and cul-tivation. Hortic Sci 42(5):1077\u20131082. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.21273\/HORTSCI.42.5.1077","journal-title":"Hortic Sci"},{"key":"5213_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"100556","DOI":"10.1016\/j.wace.2023.100556","volume":"40","author":"A Chaqdid","year":"2023","unstructured":"Chaqdid A, Tuel A, El Fatimy A, El Mo\u00e7ayd N (2023) Extreme rainfall events in Morocco: spatial dependence and climate drivers. Weather Clim Extrem 40:100556. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.wace.2023.100556","journal-title":"Weather Clim Extrem"},{"key":"5213_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"119054","DOI":"10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2022.119054","volume":"277","author":"Y Che","year":"2022","unstructured":"Che Y, Yu B, Parsons K, Desha C, Ramezani M (2022) Evaluation and comparison of MERRA-2 AOD and DAOD with MODIS DeepBlue and AERONET data in Australia. Atmos Environ 277:119054. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.atmosenv.2022.119054","journal-title":"Atmos Environ"},{"issue":"2","key":"5213_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"17","DOI":"10.18848\/1835-7156\/CGP","volume":"5","author":"L Chelleri","year":"2014","unstructured":"Chelleri L, Minucci G, Ruiz A, Karmaoui A (2014) Responses to drought and desertification in the Moroccan Dr\u00e2a Valley Region: resilience at the expense of sustainability? Int J Clim Change: Impacts Responses 5(2):17. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.18848\/1835-7156\/CGP","journal-title":"Int J Clim Change: Impacts Responses"},{"key":"5213_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"7952","DOI":"10.3390\/en14237952","volume":"14","author":"E Chodakowska","year":"2021","unstructured":"Chodakowska E, Nazarko J, Nazarko L (2021) ARIMA models in electrical load forecasting and their robustness to noise. Energies 14:7952. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/en14237952","journal-title":"Energies"},{"key":"5213_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"72","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jafrearsci.2014.03.025","volume":"98","author":"S Clausen","year":"2014","unstructured":"Clausen S, Alvaro JJ, Zamora S (2014) Replacement of benthic communities in two Neoproterozoic-Cambrian subtropical-to-temperate rift basins, high Atlas and Anti-atlas, Morocco. J Afr Earth Sci 98:72\u201393. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jafrearsci.2014.03.025","journal-title":"J Afr Earth Sci"},{"issue":"6","key":"5213_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2302","DOI":"10.3390\/su16062302","volume":"16","author":"F Derouez","year":"2024","unstructured":"Derouez F, Ifa A (2024) Sustainable Food Security: Balancing Desalination, Climate Change, and Population Growth in five arab countries using ARDL and VECM. Sustainability 16(6):2302. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/su16062302","journal-title":"Sustainability"},{"issue":"3","key":"5213_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"125","DOI":"10.2478\/limre-2019-0011","volume":"19","author":"K Diani","year":"2019","unstructured":"Diani K, Kacimi I, Zemzami M, Tabyaoui H, Haghighi AT (2019) Evaluation of meteorological drought using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) in the high Ziz River basin, Morocco. Limnological Rev 19(3):125\u2013135. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2478\/limre-2019-0011","journal-title":"Limnological Rev"},{"key":"5213_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1007\/s12040-020-01408-x","volume":"129","author":"T Dimri","year":"2020","unstructured":"Dimri T, Ahmad S, Sharif M (2020) Time series analysis of climate variables using seasonal ARIMA approach. J Earth Syst Sci 129:1\u201316. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s12040-020-01408-x","journal-title":"J Earth Syst Sci"},{"issue":"3","key":"5213_CR26","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"581","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.3707","volume":"34","author":"MG Donat","year":"2014","unstructured":"Donat MG, Peterson TC, Brunet M, King AD, Almazroui M, Kolli RK, El Rhaz K (2014) Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. Int J Climatol 34(3):581\u2013592. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joc.3707","journal-title":"Int J Climatol"},{"issue":"1\u20132","key":"5213_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1016\/j.gloplacha.2010.03.004","volume":"72","author":"F Driouech","year":"2010","unstructured":"Driouech F, D\u00e9qu\u00e9 M, S\u00e1nchez-G\u00f3mez E (2010) Weather regimes\u2014Moroccan precipitation link in a regional climate change simulation. Glob Planet Change 72(1\u20132):1\u201310. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.gloplacha.2010.03.004","journal-title":"Glob Planet Change"},{"key":"5213_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"477","DOI":"10.1007\/s41748-020-00169-3","volume":"4","author":"F Driouech","year":"2020","unstructured":"Driouech F, ElRhaz K, Moufouma-Okia W et al (2020) Assessing future changes of Climate Extreme events in the CORDEX-MENA Region using Regional Climate Model ALADIN-Climate. Earth Syst Environ 4:477\u2013492. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s41748-020-00169-3","journal-title":"Earth Syst Environ"},{"key":"5213_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"101724","DOI":"10.1016\/j.rineng.2023.101724","volume":"21","author":"H El Hafdaoui","year":"2024","unstructured":"El Hafdaoui H, Khallaayoun A, Ouazzani K (2024) Long-term low carbon strategy of Mo-rocco: a review of future scenarios and energy measures. Results Eng 21:101724. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.rineng.2023.101724","journal-title":"Results Eng"},{"issue":"5","key":"5213_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"318","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jssas.2023.02.003","volume":"22","author":"MA El-houmaizi","year":"2023","unstructured":"El-houmaizi MA, Jdain K, Alla F, Parmar A (2023) Variations in physicochemical and microbiological characteristics of \u2018Mejhoul\u2019dates (Phoenix dactylifera L.) from Morocco and new countries of its expansion. J Saudi Soc Agric Sci 22(5):318\u2013326. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jssas.2023.02.003","journal-title":"J Saudi Soc Agric Sci"},{"issue":"14","key":"5213_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"4846","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.5127","volume":"37","author":"S Filahi","year":"2017","unstructured":"Filahi S, Tramblay Y, Mouhir L, Diaconescu EP (2017) Projected changes in temperature and precipitation indices in Morocco from high-resolution regional climate models. Int J Climatol 37(14):4846\u20134863. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joc.5127","journal-title":"Int J Climatol"},{"issue":"477","key":"5213_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"359","DOI":"10.1198\/016214506000001437","volume":"102","author":"T Gneiting","year":"2007","unstructured":"Gneiting T, Raftery AE (2007) Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. J Am Stat Assoc 102(477):359\u2013378. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1198\/016214506000001437","journal-title":"J Am Stat Assoc"},{"key":"5213_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Guendouzi K, Leblanc M, Cantin R (2021) Spatiotemporal variations of rainfall extremes and the relationship with circulation pattern in the Sahelian zone of West Africa. J Geophys Res-Atmos 126(1). https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2020JD034035. e2020JD034035","DOI":"10.1029\/2020JD034035"},{"key":"5213_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1871","DOI":"10.1007\/s00704-023-04363-x","volume":"151","author":"V Gumus","year":"2023","unstructured":"Gumus V, Dinsever LD, Avsaroglu Y (2023) Analysis of drought characteristics and trends during 1965\u20132020 in the Tigris River basin, Turkey. Theor Appl Climatol 151:1871\u20131887. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00704-023-04363-x","journal-title":"Theor Appl Climatol"},{"issue":"3","key":"5213_CR35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"895","DOI":"10.2166\/wcc.2020.234","volume":"12","author":"A Hadri","year":"2021","unstructured":"Hadri A, Saidi MEM, Saouabe T, El Fels A A (2021) Temporal trends in extreme temperature and precipitation events in an arid area: case of Chichaoua Mejjate region (Morocco). J Water Clim Change 12(3):895\u2013915. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2166\/wcc.2020.234","journal-title":"J Water Clim Change"},{"issue":"1","key":"5213_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"66","DOI":"10.1186\/s43141-023-00516-7","volume":"21","author":"M Ibrahimi","year":"2023","unstructured":"Ibrahimi M, Brhadda N, Ziri R, Fokar M, Iraqi D, Gaboun F, Diria G (2023) Analysis of genetic diversity and population structure of Moroccan date palm (Phoenix dactylifera L.) using SSR and DAMD molecular markers. J Genet Eng Biotechnol 21(1):66. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s43141-023-00516-7","journal-title":"J Genet Eng Biotechnol"},{"key":"5213_CR37","volume-title":"Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change","author":"IPCC","year":"2021","unstructured":"IPCC (2021) Climate Change 2021: the physical science basis. [Masson-. In: Delmotte V, Zhai P, Pirani A, Connors SL, Yu, Zhou B (eds) Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/"},{"issue":"8","key":"5213_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"313","DOI":"10.3390\/w8080313","volume":"8","author":"IM Johannsen","year":"2016","unstructured":"Johannsen IM, Hengst JC, Goll A, H\u00f6llermann B, Diekkr\u00fcger B (2016) Future of water supply and demand in the Middle Dr\u00e2a Valley, Morocco, under climate and land use change. Water 8(8):313. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/w8080313","journal-title":"Water"},{"key":"5213_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"110050","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2023.110050","volume":"148","author":"N Kaczmarek","year":"2023","unstructured":"Kaczmarek N, Mahjoubi I, Benlasri M, Nothof M, Sch\u00e4fer RB, Fr\u00f6r O, Berger E (2023) Water quality, biological quality, and human well-being: Water salinity and scarcity in the Draa River basin, Morocco. Ecol Indic 148:110050. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ecolind.2023.110050","journal-title":"Ecol Indic"},{"key":"5213_CR40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2","DOI":"10.1186\/s40677-019-0118-8","volume":"6","author":"A Karmaoui","year":"2019","unstructured":"Karmaoui A (2019) Drought and desertification in Moroccan Pre-sahara, Draa valleys: exploring from the perspective of young people. Geoenviron Disasters 6:2. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s40677-019-0118-8","journal-title":"Geoenviron Disasters"},{"issue":"5","key":"5213_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"64","DOI":"10.3390\/cli10050064","volume":"10","author":"R Kessabi","year":"2022","unstructured":"Kessabi R, Hanchane M, Guijarro JA, Krakauer NY, Addou R, Sadiki A, Belmahi M (2022) Homogenization and trends analysis of monthly precipitation series in the fez-meknes region, Morocco. Climate 10(5):64. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/cli10050064","journal-title":"Climate"},{"key":"5213_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Khomsi K, Mahe G, Tramblay Y, Sinan M, Snoussi M (2016) Regional impacts of global change: seasonal trends in extreme rainfall, run-off and temperature in two contrasting regions of Morocco, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst Sci. 16:1079\u20131090. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/nhess-16-1079-2016, 2016","DOI":"10.5194\/nhess-16-1079-2016"},{"issue":"3","key":"5213_CR43","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1151","DOI":"10.2166\/wcc.2022.368","volume":"13","author":"D Kwawuvi","year":"2022","unstructured":"Kwawuvi D, Mama D, Agodzo SK, Hartmann A, Larbi I, Bessah E, Yangouliba GI (2022) Spatiotemporal variability and change in rainfall in the Oti River Basin, West Africa. J Water Clim Change 13(3):1151\u20131169. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2166\/wcc.2022.368","journal-title":"J Water Clim Change"},{"issue":"2","key":"5213_CR44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2123","DOI":"10.1007\/s40808-021-01213-5","volume":"8","author":"R Lachgar","year":"2022","unstructured":"Lachgar R, Badri W, Chlaida M (2022) Assessment of future changes in downscaled temperature and precipitation over the Casablanca-Settat region (Morocco). Model Earth Syst Environ 8(2):2123\u20132133. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s40808-021-01213-5","journal-title":"Model Earth Syst Environ"},{"issue":"5","key":"5213_CR45","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"511","DOI":"10.1016\/j.pgeola.2020.05.002","volume":"131","author":"S Lahmidi","year":"2020","unstructured":"Lahmidi S, Lagnaoui A, Bahaj T, El Adnani A, Fadli D (2020) First inventory and as-sessment of the geoheritage of Zagora province from the project Bani Geopark (South-Eastern Morocco). Proc Geol Assoc 131(5):511\u2013527. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.pgeola.2020.05.002","journal-title":"Proc Geol Assoc"},{"issue":"14","key":"5213_CR46","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"4299","DOI":"10.1175\/JCLI-D-18-0630.1","volume":"32","author":"Y Lai","year":"2019","unstructured":"Lai Y, Dzombak DA (2019) Use of historical data to assess regional climate change. J Clim 32(14):4299\u20134320. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-18-0630.1","journal-title":"J Clim"},{"key":"5213_CR47","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"112287","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2024.112287","volume":"166","author":"W Leal Filho","year":"2024","unstructured":"Leal Filho W, Stojanov R, Matsoukas C, Ingrosso R, Franke JA, Pausata FS, Harrouni C (2024) An assessment of climate change impacts on oases in northern Africa. Ecol Ind 166:112287. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ecolind.2024.112287","journal-title":"Ecol Ind"},{"key":"5213_CR48","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"9029","DOI":"10.1007\/s00704-024-05170-8","volume":"155","author":"E Meskelu","year":"2024","unstructured":"Meskelu E, Ayana M, Birhanu D (2024) Analysis of long-term rainfall trend, variability, and drought in the Awash River Basin, Ethiopia. Theor Appl Climatol 155:9029\u20139050. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00704-024-05170-8","journal-title":"Theor Appl Climatol"},{"key":"5213_CR49","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e01766","DOI":"10.1016\/j.sciaf.2023.e01766","volume":"21","author":"MAEH Mohamed","year":"2023","unstructured":"Mohamed MAEH, Moursy FI, Darrag MH, El-Mahdy MES (2023) Assessment of long-term trends and mapping of drought events in Tunisia. Sci Afr 21:e01766. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.sciaf.2023.e01766","journal-title":"Sci Afr"},{"key":"5213_CR50","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"100745","DOI":"10.1016\/j.rsase.2022.100745","volume":"26","author":"A Moumane","year":"2022","unstructured":"Moumane A, Al Karkouri J, Benmansour A, El Ghazali FE, Fico J, Karmaoui A, Batchi M (2022) Monitoring long-term land use, land cover change, and desertification in the Ternata Oasis, Middle Draa Valley, Morocco. Remote Sens Appl: Soc Environ 26:100745. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.rsase.2022.100745","journal-title":"Remote Sens Appl: Soc Environ"},{"key":"5213_CR51","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"310","DOI":"10.1016\/j.earscirev.2018.12.005","volume":"190","author":"M Mudelsee","year":"2019","unstructured":"Mudelsee M (2019) Trend analysis of climate time series: a review of methods. Earth-Sci Rev 190:310\u2013322. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.earscirev.2018.12.005","journal-title":"Earth-Sci Rev"},{"issue":"4","key":"5213_CR52","first-page":"455","volume":"46","author":"R Ngoufo","year":"2022","unstructured":"Ngoufo R (2022) Symposium Climat et d\u00e9veloppement: Avant-propos. Geo-Eco-Trop 46(4):455\u2013456","journal-title":"Geo-Eco-Trop"},{"key":"5213_CR53","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"14","DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-023-02176-2","volume":"24","author":"V Ongoma","year":"2024","unstructured":"Ongoma V, Driouech F, Brouziyne Y et al (2024) Morocco\u2019s climate change impacts, adaptation and mitigation\u2014a stocktake. Reg Environ Change 24:14. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10113-023-02176-2","journal-title":"Reg Environ Change"},{"key":"5213_CR54","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"975","DOI":"10.1007\/s40710-017-0265-4","volume":"4","author":"S Ouhamdouch","year":"2017","unstructured":"Ouhamdouch S, Bahir M (2017) Climate Change Impact on Future Rainfall and temperature in semi-arid areas (Essaouira Basin, Morocco). Environ Process 4:975\u2013990. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s40710-017-0265-4","journal-title":"Environ Process"},{"issue":"3","key":"5213_CR55","first-page":"193","volume":"13","author":"IG Pechlivanidis","year":"2011","unstructured":"Pechlivanidis IG, Jackson BM, Mcintyre NR, Wheater HS (2011) Catchment scale hydrological modelling: a review of model types, calibration approaches and uncertainty analysis methods in the context of recent developments in technology and applications. Glob NEST J 13(3):193\u2013214","journal-title":"Glob NEST J"},{"key":"5213_CR57","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Ramezanian M, Haghdoost AA, Mehrolhassani MH, Abolhallaje M, Dehnavieh R, Najafi B, Fazaeli AA (2019) Forecasting health expenditures in Iran using the ARIMA model (2016\u20132020). Med J Islam Repub Iran 133: 25. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.34171\/mjiri.33.25","DOI":"10.34171\/mjiri.33.25"},{"key":"5213_CR58","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Richard A, Hallett Max R, Piana ML, Johnson LA, Brandt, Chap. 12 - Climate change and urban forests, (s): Steven G., McNulty (2024) Future Forests Elsevier, 2024, pp 243\u2013264","DOI":"10.1016\/B978-0-323-90430-8.00008-3"},{"key":"5213_CR59","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/978-3-031-58315-5_14","volume-title":"Natural resources Deterioration in MENA Region. Earth and Environmental Sciences Library","author":"AA Salami","year":"2024","unstructured":"Salami AA, Babatunde OR (2024) Environmental challenges, the impacts of Climate Change in North Africa Region: a review. In: Al-Quraishi AMF, Mustafa YT (eds) Natural resources Deterioration in MENA Region. Earth and Environmental Sciences Library. Springer, Cham. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-3-031-58315-5_14"},{"key":"5213_CR60","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"100860","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envc.2024.100860","volume":"15","author":"W Sawadogo","year":"2024","unstructured":"Sawadogo W, Neya T, Semde I, Korahir\u00e9 JA, Combass\u00e9r\u00e9 A, Traor\u00e9 DE, Kunstmann H (2024) Potential impacts of climate change on the sudan-sahel region in West Africa\u2013insights from Burkina Faso. Envion Challenges 15:100860. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.envc.2024.100860","journal-title":"Envion Challenges"},{"key":"5213_CR61","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"12","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agee.2012.04.021","volume":"156","author":"J Schilling","year":"2012","unstructured":"Schilling J, Freier KP, Hertig E, Scheffran J (2012) Climate change, vulnerability and adaptation in North Africa with focus on Morocco. Agr Ecosyst Environ 156:12\u201326. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.agee.2012.04.021","journal-title":"Agr Ecosyst Environ"},{"issue":"2","key":"5213_CR56","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"e2016","DOI":"10.1002\/pa.2016","volume":"20","author":"B Praveen","year":"2020","unstructured":"Praveen B, Sharma P (2020) Climate variability and its impacts on agriculture production and future prediction using autoregressive integrated moving average method (ARIMA). J Public Aff 20(2):e2016. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/pa.2016","journal-title":"J Public Aff"},{"key":"5213_CR62","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1805","DOI":"10.1007\/s00704-023-043-04358-8","volume":"151","author":"JD Silva","year":"2023","unstructured":"Silva JD, Cabral Jonior JB, Rodrigues DT et al (2023) Climatologie et tendances significatives de la temp\u00e9rature de l\u2019air \u00e0 Alagoas, Au nord-est du Br\u00e9sil. Theor Appl Climatol 151:1805\u20131824. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00704-023-043-04358-8","journal-title":"Theor Appl Climatol"},{"key":"5213_CR63","unstructured":"Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK, Alexander LV, Allen SK, Bindoff NL, Xie SP (2013) Technical summary. In Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, pp 33\u2013115"},{"key":"5213_CR64","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3235","DOI":"10.5194\/nhess-13-3235-2013","volume":"13","author":"Y Tramblay","year":"2013","unstructured":"Tramblay Y, El Adlouni S, Servat E (2013) Trends and variability in extreme precipitation indices over maghreb countries. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 13:3235\u20133248. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/nhess-13-3235-2013","journal-title":"Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci"},{"key":"5213_CR66","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2655","DOI":"10.1007\/s11269-015-0962-6","volume":"29","author":"WC Wang","year":"2015","unstructured":"Wang WC, Chau KW, Xu DM, Chen XY (2015) Improving forecasting accuracy of annual runoff time series using ARIMA based on EEMD decomposition. Water Resour Manag 29:2655\u20132675. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s11269-015-0962-6","journal-title":"Water Resour Manag"},{"key":"5213_CR65","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"107763","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2021.107763","volume":"127","author":"J Wang","year":"2021","unstructured":"Wang J, Xue L, Liu Y, Ni T, Wu Y, Yang M, Han Q, Bai Q, Li X (2021) The analytical indicators to explain the distribution of oases in arid zones using the oases Integrated Analysis Model. Ecol Indic 127:107763. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ecolind.2021.107763","journal-title":"Ecol Indic"},{"key":"5213_CR67","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"16","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecoleng.2018.07.014","volume":"122","author":"H Yen","year":"2018","unstructured":"Yen H, Wang R, Feng Q, Young CC, Chen ST, Tseng WH, Arnold JG (2018) Input uncertainty on watershed modeling: evaluation of precipitation and air temperature data by latent variables using SWAT. Ecol Eng 122:16\u201326. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ecoleng.2018.07.014","journal-title":"Ecol Eng"},{"key":"5213_CR68","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Yongqiang Liu S, Goodrick M, Williams A, Zhang (2024) Chap. 2 - Climate change and variability overview, Editor(s): Steven G. McNulty, Future Forests, Elsevier, PP 7\u201348. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/B978-0-323-90430-8.00010-1","DOI":"10.1016\/B978-0-323-90430-8.00010-1"},{"key":"5213_CR69","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1207","DOI":"10.1007\/s00704-017-2333-0","volume":"134","author":"G Zittis","year":"2018","unstructured":"Zittis G (2018) Observed rainfall trends and precipitation uncertainty in the vicinity of the Mediterranean, Middle East and North Africa. Theor Appl Climatol 134:1207\u20131230. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00704-017-2333-0","journal-title":"Theor Appl Climatol"}],"container-title":["Theoretical and Applied Climatology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s00704-024-05213-0.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00704-024-05213-0\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s00704-024-05213-0.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,28]],"date-time":"2024-10-28T21:24:49Z","timestamp":1730150689000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s00704-024-05213-0"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,19]]},"references-count":69,"journal-issue":{"issue":"11","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2024,11]]}},"alternative-id":["5213"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00704-024-05213-0","relation":{},"ISSN":["0177-798X","1434-4483"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0177-798X","type":"print"},{"value":"1434-4483","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2024,10,19]]},"assertion":[{"value":"23 August 2024","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"7 October 2024","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"19 October 2024","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"order":1,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}},{"value":"The authors declare no competing interests.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Competing interests"}}]}}