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The predictive capacity for future myocardial infarction (MI) was compared with that of established quantitative coronary angiography (QCA)-derived predictors. Angiography-based computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations were performed on 80 human coronary lesions culprit of MI within 5 years and 108 non-culprit lesions for future MI. Blood flow energy transformations were assessed in the converging flow segment of the lesion as ratios of kinetic and rotational energy values (KER and RER, respectively) at the QCA-identified minimum lumen area and proximal lesion sections. The anatomical and functional lesion severity were evaluated with QCA to derive percentage area stenosis (%AS), vessel fractional flow reserve (vFFR), and translesional vFFR (\u0394vFFR). Wall shear stress profiles were investigated in terms of topological shear variation index (TSVI). KER and RER predicted MI at 5 years (AUC\u2009=\u20090.73, 95% CI 0.65\u20130.80, and AUC\u2009=\u20090.76, 95% CI 0.70\u20130.83, respectively; <jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\u2009&lt;\u20090.0001 for both). The predictive capacity for future MI of KER and RER was significantly stronger than vFFR (<jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\u2009=\u20090.0391 and <jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\u2009=\u20090.0045, respectively). RER predictive capacity was significantly stronger than %AS and \u0394vFFR (<jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\u2009=\u20090.0041 and <jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\u2009=\u20090.0059, respectively). The predictive capacity for future MI of KER and RER did not differ significantly from TSVI. Blood flow kinetic and rotational energy transformations were significant predictors for MI at 5 years (<jats:italic>p<\/jats:italic>\u2009&lt;\u20090.0001). The findings of this study support the hypothesis of a biomechanical contribution to the process of plaque destabilization\/rupture leading to MI.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1007\/s10439-023-03362-3","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,21]],"date-time":"2023-09-21T14:03:48Z","timestamp":1695305028000},"page":"226-238","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":15,"title":["Blood Flow Energy Identifies Coronary Lesions Culprit of Future Myocardial Infarction"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"52","author":[{"given":"Maurizio","family":"Lodi Rizzini","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Alessandro","family":"Candreva","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Valentina","family":"Mazzi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mattia","family":"Pagnoni","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Claudio","family":"Chiastra","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jean-Paul","family":"Aben","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Stephane","family":"Fournier","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Stephane","family":"Cook","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Olivier","family":"Muller","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Bernard","family":"De Bruyne","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Takuya","family":"Mizukami","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Carlos","family":"Collet","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Diego","family":"Gallo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9854-1619","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Umberto","family":"Morbiducci","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2023,9,21]]},"reference":[{"key":"3362_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"67","DOI":"10.1161\/CIR.0000000000000558","volume":"137","author":"EJ Benjamin","year":"2018","unstructured":"Benjamin, E. 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