{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,23]],"date-time":"2026-04-23T01:44:38Z","timestamp":1776908678501,"version":"3.51.2"},"reference-count":42,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"3","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,16]],"date-time":"2021-08-16T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1629072000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springer.com\/tdm"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,16]],"date-time":"2021-08-16T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1629072000000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springer.com\/tdm"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Environ Sci Pollut Res"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,1]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/s11356-021-15902-2","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,16]],"date-time":"2021-08-16T20:03:32Z","timestamp":1629144212000},"page":"3944-3957","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":22,"title":["System dynamics analysis of COVID-19 prevention and control strategies"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"29","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9765-6935","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Shuwei","family":"Jia","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Yao","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Tianhui","family":"Fang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,16]]},"reference":[{"key":"15902_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"101682","DOI":"10.1016\/j.erss.2020.101682","volume":"68","author":"A Abu-Rayash","year":"2020","unstructured":"Abu-Rayash A, Dincer I (2020) Analysis of the electricity demand trends amidst the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic. Energy Res Soc Sci 68:101682","journal-title":"Energy Res Soc Sci"},{"key":"15902_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"6167","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph18116167","volume":"18","author":"M Ahmad","year":"2021","unstructured":"Ahmad M, Akhtar N, Jabeen G, Irfan M, Anser MK, Wu H, I\u015f\u0131k C (2021) Intention-based critical factors affecting willingness to adopt novel coronavirus prevention in Pakistan: implications for future pandemics. Int J Environ Res Public Health 18:6167","journal-title":"Int J Environ Res Public Health"},{"issue":"1","key":"15902_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"17","DOI":"10.1007\/s13721-021-00295-6","volume":"10","author":"CAH Buhat","year":"2021","unstructured":"Buhat CAH, Torres MC, Olave YH, Gavina MKA, Felix EFO, Gamilla GB, Verano KVB, Babierra AL, Rabajante JF (2021) A mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission between frontliners and the general public. Netw Model Anal Health Inform Bioinform 10(1):17","journal-title":"Netw Model Anal Health Inform Bioinform"},{"key":"15902_CR4","unstructured":"Carmen RS, Reinhart M (2020) How can we prevent a COVID-19 food crisis? World Economic Forum May 2020. https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/agenda\/2020\/05\/preventing-a-covid-19-food-crisis\/. Accessed 31 Mar 2021"},{"key":"15902_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"138882","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2020.138882","volume":"728","author":"I Chakraborty","year":"2020","unstructured":"Chakraborty I, Maity P (2020) COVID-19 outbreak: migration, effects on society, global environment and prevention. Sci Total Environ 728:138882","journal-title":"Sci Total Environ"},{"key":"15902_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"110155","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2020.110155","volume":"19","author":"M Coccia","year":"2020","unstructured":"Coccia M (2020a) An index to quantify environmental risk of exposure to future epidemics of the COVID-19 and similar viral agents: theory and practice. Environ Res 19:110155","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"15902_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"9709","DOI":"10.3390\/su12229709","volume":"12","author":"M Coccia","year":"2020","unstructured":"Coccia M (2020b) How (un)sustainable environments are related to the diffusion of COVID-19: the relation between coronavirus disease 2019, air pollution, wind resource and energy. Sustainability 12:9709","journal-title":"Sustainability"},{"key":"15902_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"19147","DOI":"10.1007\/s11356-020-11662-7","volume":"28","author":"M Coccia","year":"2021","unstructured":"Coccia M (2021a) Effects of the spread of COVID-19 on public health of polluted cities: results of the first wave for explaining the dej\u00e0 vu in the second wave of COVID-19 pandemic and epidemics of future vital agents. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28:19147\u201319154","journal-title":"Environ Sci Pollut Res"},{"key":"15902_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"11133","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2021.111339","volume":"199","author":"M Coccia","year":"2021","unstructured":"Coccia M (2021b) High health expenditures and low exposure of population to air pollution as critical factors that can reduce fatality rate in COVID-19 pandemic crisis: a global analysis. Environ Res 199:11133","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"15902_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"111099","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2021.111099","volume":"197","author":"M Coccia","year":"2021","unstructured":"Coccia M (2021c) The impact of first and second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in society: comparative analysis to support control measures to cope with negative effects of future infectious diseases. Environ Res 197:111099","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"15902_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"115739","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apenergy.2020.115739","volume":"279","author":"RM Elavarasan","year":"2020","unstructured":"Elavarasan RM, Shafiullah G, Raju K, Mudgal V, Arif MT, Jamal T, Subramanian S, Balaguru VS, Reddy KS, Subramaniam U (2020) COVID-19: impact analysis and recommendations for power sector operation. Appl Energy 279:115739","journal-title":"Appl Energy"},{"key":"15902_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"102789","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scs.2021.102789","volume":"68","author":"RM Elavarasan","year":"2021","unstructured":"Elavarasan RM, Pugazhendhi R, Shafiullah GM, Irfan M, Anvari-Moghaddam A (2021) A hover view over effectual approaches on pandemic management for sustainable cities \u2013 the endowment of prospective technologies with revitalization strategies. Sustain Cities Soc 68:102789","journal-title":"Sustain Cities Soc"},{"key":"15902_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Hamed A, Sobhy A, Nassar H (2021) Accurate classification of COVID-19 based on incomplete heterogeneous data using a KNN variant algorithm. Arab J Sci Eng. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s13369-020-05212-z","DOI":"10.1007\/s13369-020-05212-z"},{"key":"15902_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"93","DOI":"10.1007\/s13369-020-04792-0","volume":"46","author":"HB Hassen","year":"2021","unstructured":"Hassen HB, Elaoud A, Salah NB, Masmoudi A (2021) A SIR-Poisson model for COVID-19: evolution and transmission inference in the Maghreb central regions. Arab J Sci Eng 46:93\u2013102","journal-title":"Arab J Sci Eng"},{"key":"15902_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"S359","DOI":"10.1093\/oxrep\/graa015","volume":"36","author":"C Hepburn","year":"2020","unstructured":"Hepburn C, O\u2019Callaghan B, Stern N, Stiglitz J, Zenghelis D (2020) Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change? Oxf Rev Econ Polit 36:S359\u2013S381","journal-title":"Oxf Rev Econ Polit"},{"key":"15902_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"112322","DOI":"10.1016\/j.enpol.2021.112322","volume":"154","author":"A Hoang","year":"2021","unstructured":"Hoang A, Ni\u017eeti\u0107 S, Olcer AI, Ong H, Chen W, Chong C, Thomas S, Bandh SA, Nguyen X (2021) Impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on the global energy system and the shift progress to renewable energy: opportunities, challenges, and policy implications. Energy Policy 154:112322","journal-title":"Energy Policy"},{"key":"15902_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"138","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolmodel.2018.05.016","volume":"383","author":"T Hoch","year":"2018","unstructured":"Hoch T, Touzeau S, Viet AF, Ezanno P (2018) Between-group pathogen transmission: from processes to modeling. Ecol Model 383:138\u2013149","journal-title":"Ecol Model"},{"key":"15902_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Hu Z, Ge Q, Li S, Jin L, Xiong M (2020) Artificial intelligence forecasting of covid-19 in China. arXiv preprint arXiv:2002.07112. Accessed 31 Mar 2021","DOI":"10.18562\/IJEE.054"},{"key":"15902_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"557","DOI":"10.1016\/j.psep.2021.04.039","volume":"150","author":"W Iqbal","year":"2021","unstructured":"Iqbal W, Tang YM, Chau KY, Irfan M, Mohsin M (2021) Nexus between air pollution and NCOV-2019 in China: application of negative binomial regression analysis. Proc Saf Environ 150:557\u2013565","journal-title":"Proc Saf Environ"},{"key":"15902_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"8747","DOI":"10.3390\/su12208747","volume":"12","author":"M Irfan","year":"2020","unstructured":"Irfan M, Zhang Q, Sroufe R, Ferasso M (2020) The social dimensions of corporate sustainability: an integrative framework including COVID-19 insights. Sustainability 12:8747","journal-title":"Sustainability"},{"key":"15902_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","unstructured":"Irfan M, Ikram M, Ahmad M, Wu H, Hao Y (2021a) Does temperature matter for COVID-19 transmissibility? Evidence across Pakistani provinces. Environ Sci Pollut Res. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s11356-021-14875-6","DOI":"10.1007\/s11356-021-14875-6"},{"key":"15902_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"4577","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph18094577","volume":"18","author":"M Irfan","year":"2021","unstructured":"Irfan M, Akhtar N, Ahmad M, Shahzad F, Elavarasan RM, Wu H, Yang C (2021b) Assessing public willingness to wear face masks during the COVID-19 pandemic: fresh insights from the theory of planned behavior. Int J Environ Res Public Health 18:4577","journal-title":"Int J Environ Res Public Health"},{"key":"15902_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1080\/09603123.2021.1874888","volume":"2","author":"M Irfan","year":"2021","unstructured":"Irfan M, Ahmad M, Fareed Z, Iqbal N, Sharif A, Wu H (2021c) On the indirect environmental outcomes of COVID-19: short-term revival with futuristic long-term implications. Int J Environ Health Res 2:1\u201311","journal-title":"Int J Environ Health Res"},{"key":"15902_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"101685","DOI":"10.1016\/j.erss.2020.101685","volume":"68","author":"C Kuzemko","year":"2020","unstructured":"Kuzemko C, Bradshaw M, Bridge G, Goldthau A, Jewell J, Overland I, Scholten D, de Graaf T, Westphal K (2020) COVID-19 and the politics of sustainable energy transitions. Energy Res Soc Sci 68:101685","journal-title":"Energy Res Soc Sci"},{"issue":"3","key":"15902_CR25","first-page":"315","volume":"39","author":"D Li","year":"2020","unstructured":"Li D (2020) Community prevention guidance for novel coronavirus pneumonia. Herald Med 39(3):315\u2013318 (in Chinese)","journal-title":"Herald Med"},{"issue":"3","key":"15902_CR26","first-page":"661","volume":"35","author":"J Li","year":"2015","unstructured":"Li J, Zhang W, Bai X, Li S, He K (2015) System-dynamics-based factor analysis for the speed of emergency materials transportation. Syst Eng-Theory Pract 35(3):661\u2013670 (in Chinese)","journal-title":"Syst Eng-Theory Pract"},{"key":"15902_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"40496","DOI":"10.1007\/s11356-021-13824-7","volume":"28","author":"Z Malki","year":"2021","unstructured":"Malki Z, Atlam ES, Ewis A, Dagnew G, Ghoneim O, Mohamed A, Abdel-Daim M, Gad I (2021) The COVID-19 pandemic: prediction study based on machine learning models. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28:40496\u201340506. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s11356-021-13824-7","journal-title":"Environ Sci Pollut Res"},{"key":"15902_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"9895","DOI":"10.1007\/s13369-020-04950-4","volume":"45","author":"D Marbouh","year":"2020","unstructured":"Marbouh D, Abbasi T, Maasmi F, Omar I, Debe M, Salah K, Jayaraman R, Ellahham S (2020) Blockchain for COVID-19: review, opportunities and a trusted tracking system. Arab J Sci Eng 45:9895\u20139911","journal-title":"Arab J Sci Eng"},{"issue":"5","key":"15902_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1001\/jamahealthforum.2020.0553","volume":"1","author":"P Mehrotra","year":"2020","unstructured":"Mehrotra P, Malani P, Yadav P (2020) Personal protective equipment shortages during COVID-19\u2014supply chain\u2013related causes and mitigation strategies. JAMA Health Forum 1(5):e200553","journal-title":"JAMA Health Forum"},{"issue":"6","key":"15902_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.3390\/su12062427","volume":"12","author":"B Pirouz","year":"2020","unstructured":"Pirouz B, Haghshenas SS, Haghshenas SS, Piro P (2020) Investigating a serious challenge in the sustainable development process: analysis of confirmed cases of COVID-19 (new type of coronavirus) through a binary classification using artificial intelligence and regression analysis. Sustainability 12(6):1\u201321","journal-title":"Sustainability"},{"key":"15902_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"110692","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2020.110692","volume":"194","author":"NR Rahimi","year":"2021","unstructured":"Rahimi NR, Fouladi-Fard R, Aali R, Shahryari A, Rezaali M, Ghafouri Y, Ghalhari MR, Asadi-Ghalhari M, Farzinnia B, Gea OC, Fiore M (2021) Bidirectional association between COVID-19 and the environment: a systematic review. Environ Res 194:110692","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"15902_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"110189","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2020.110189","volume":"191","author":"A Razzaq","year":"2020","unstructured":"Razzaq A, Sharif A, Aziz N, Irfan M, Jermsittiparsert K (2020) Asymmetric link between environmental pollution and COVID-19 in the top ten affected states of US: a novel estimations from quantile-on-quantile approach. Environ Res 191:110189","journal-title":"Environ Res"},{"key":"15902_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"3581","DOI":"10.1007\/s13369-020-05196-w","volume":"46","author":"O Reyad","year":"2021","unstructured":"Reyad O, Karar ME (2021) Secure CT-image encryption for COVID-19 infections using HBBS-based multiple key-streams. Arab J Sci Eng 46:3581\u20133593","journal-title":"Arab J Sci Eng"},{"issue":"4","key":"15902_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.2807\/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058","volume":"25","author":"J Riou","year":"2020","unstructured":"Riou J, Althaus CL (2020) Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020. Eurosurveillance 25(4):1\u20135","journal-title":"Eurosurveillance"},{"key":"15902_CR35","first-page":"256","volume":"5","author":"K Roosa","year":"2020","unstructured":"Roosa K, Lee Y, Luo R, Kirpich A, Rothenberg R, Hyman JM, Yan P, Chowell G (2020) Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020. Infect Dis Model 5:256\u2013263","journal-title":"Infect Dis Model"},{"issue":"1","key":"15902_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"7809","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-021-87034-z","volume":"11","author":"H Wang","year":"2021","unstructured":"Wang H, Ghosh A, Ding J, Sarkar R, Gao J (2021) Heterogeneous interventions reduce the spread of COVID-19 in simulations on real mobility data. Sci Rep 11(1):7809","journal-title":"Sci Rep"},{"key":"15902_CR37","unstructured":"World Health Organization (2020) Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) situation report, 72"},{"key":"15902_CR38","unstructured":"Wright R (2020) The world\u2019s largest coronavirus lockdown is having a dramatic impact on pollution in India. CNN 1 April 2020. https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2020\/03\/31\/asia\/coronaviruslockdown-impact-pollution-india-intl-hnk\/index.html. Accessed 31 Mar 2021"},{"issue":"10","key":"15902_CR39","first-page":"2687","volume":"35","author":"L Yu","year":"2015","unstructured":"Yu L, Li L, Wu J, Tang L (2015) Emergency policy exploration for network public opinion crisis in water pollution accident by hazardous chemicals leakage based on systematic dynamics. Syst Eng-Theory Pract 35(10):2687\u20132697 (in Chinese)","journal-title":"Syst Eng-Theory Pract"},{"issue":"3","key":"15902_CR40","first-page":"616","volume":"35","author":"Y Zhao","year":"2015","unstructured":"Zhao Y, Peng Y, Xiao L, Li L (2015) On opinion propagation mechanism of collective panic buying under emergences. Syst Eng-Theory Pract 35(3):616\u2013622 (in Chinese)","journal-title":"Syst Eng-Theory Pract"},{"issue":"1","key":"15902_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"30","DOI":"10.1186\/s12874-021-01225-w","volume":"21","author":"S Zhao","year":"2021","unstructured":"Zhao S, Shen M, Musa SS, Guo Z, Ran J, Peng Z, Zhao Y, Chong MKC, He D, Wang MH (2021) Inferencing superspreading potential using zero-truncated negative binomial model: exemplification with COVID-19. BMC Med Res Methodol 21(1):30","journal-title":"BMC Med Res Methodol"},{"key":"15902_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"270","DOI":"10.1038\/s41586-020-2012-7","volume":"579","author":"P Zhou","year":"2020","unstructured":"Zhou P, Yang XL, Wang XG, Hu B, Zhang L, Zhang W, Si HR, Zhu Y, Li B, Huang CL, Chen HD, Chen J, Luo Y, Guo H, Jiang RD, Liu MQ, Chen Y, Shen XR, Wang X, Zheng XS, Zhao K, Chen QJ, Deng F, Liu LL, Yan B, Zhan FX, Wang YY, Xiao GF, Shi ZL (2020) A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin. Nature 579:270\u2013273","journal-title":"Nature"}],"container-title":["Environmental Science and Pollution Research"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s11356-021-15902-2.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s11356-021-15902-2\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s11356-021-15902-2.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2022,1,7]],"date-time":"2022-01-07T09:45:42Z","timestamp":1641548742000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s11356-021-15902-2"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,16]]},"references-count":42,"journal-issue":{"issue":"3","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,1]]}},"alternative-id":["15902"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s11356-021-15902-2","relation":{},"ISSN":["0944-1344","1614-7499"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0944-1344","type":"print"},{"value":"1614-7499","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2021,8,16]]},"assertion":[{"value":"23 May 2021","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"6 August 2021","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"16 August 2021","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"order":1,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}},{"value":"This article does not involve the ethical problem.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Ethics approval and consent to participate"}},{"value":"Not applicable.","order":3,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Consent for publication"}},{"value":"The authors declare no competing interests.","order":4,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Competing interests"}},{"value":"This content has been made available to all.","name":"free","label":"Free to read"}]}}