{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,11]],"date-time":"2026-10-11T14:47:03Z","timestamp":1791730023462,"version":"4.3.4"},"reference-count":46,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"11","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,11]],"date-time":"2026-10-11T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1791676800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,11]],"date-time":"2026-10-11T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1791676800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Bull Math Biol"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,11]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>\n                    Black Sigatoka disease (BSD), also known as black leaf streak disease, is an airborne fungal infection caused by\n                    <jats:italic>Pseudocercospora fijiensis<\/jats:italic>\n                    that severely impacts global banana and plantain production. Its persistence and resistance to eradication make it one of the most challenging plant diseases to manage. In this paper, we propose a deterministic pathogen-host model to describe BSD dynamics. Due to dual transmission pathways (ascospores and conidia) and mate limitation in sexual reproduction, the model exhibits a backward bifurcation: a stable endemic equilibrium coexists with the disease-free equilibrium for certain parameter values in which the basic reproduction number,\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$$\\mathcal {R}_0$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                        <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                          <mml:msub>\n                            <mml:mi>R<\/mml:mi>\n                            <mml:mn>0<\/mml:mn>\n                          <\/mml:msub>\n                        <\/mml:math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    , is less than 1. This phenomenon explains why control strategies that solely reduce\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$$\\mathcal {R}_0$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                        <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                          <mml:msub>\n                            <mml:mi>R<\/mml:mi>\n                            <mml:mn>0<\/mml:mn>\n                          <\/mml:msub>\n                        <\/mml:math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    below one may fail. For the backward bifurcation regime, we perform sensitivity analysis of the endemic equilibrium using normalized forward sensitivity indices, Latin Hypercube Sampling, and Partial Rank Correlation Coefficients. Results indicate that effective control must extend beyond\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$$\\mathcal {R}_0$$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                        <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1998\/Math\/MathML\">\n                          <mml:msub>\n                            <mml:mi>R<\/mml:mi>\n                            <mml:mn>0<\/mml:mn>\n                          <\/mml:msub>\n                        <\/mml:math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    reduction and prioritize (1) limiting production of new susceptible leaves during high-risk periods and (2) developing and deploying disease-resistant plant varieties. To incorporate transmission variability, we also formulate a stochastic version of the model using the Stochastic Simulation Algorithm (SSA). Extensive numerical simulations compare stochastic realizations with deterministic predictions and quantify variability in disease dynamics. To identify the principal drivers of persistence and variability, we analyze the endemic equilibrium using Sobol\u2019s variance-based sensitivity method, which highlights the role of nonlinear parameter interactions in shaping variability.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1007\/s11538-026-01769-2","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,11]],"date-time":"2026-10-11T14:11:39Z","timestamp":1791727899000},"update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["The Curse of Black Sigatoka: A Backward Bifurcation Perspective"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"88","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8123-5757","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Bernard Asamoah","family":"Afful","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Luis F.","family":"Gordillo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,11]]},"reference":[{"issue":"1","key":"1769_CR1","first-page":"198","volume":"1","author":"C Abadie","year":"2024","unstructured":"Abadie C, Corrales E, Decouture B, Zaffaroni M, Rey J-F, Guzm\u00e1n J, Valverde E, Chaves N, Rimbaud L (2024) Designing innovative spatial strategies to control black leaf streak disease of banana through modeling approach. Acorbat Revista de Tecnolog\u00eda y Ciencia\/Acorbat Journal of Technology and Science 1(1):198","journal-title":"Acorbat Revista de Tecnolog\u00eda y Ciencia\/Acorbat Journal of Technology and Science"},{"key":"1769_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Agouanet FP, Yatat-Djeumen V, Tankam-Chedjou I, Tewa JJ (2024) Control model of banana black sigatoka disease with seasonality. Differ Equ Dyn Syst pp 1\u201340","DOI":"10.1007\/s12591-024-00692-z"},{"key":"1769_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"380","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apm.2021.06.030","volume":"99","author":"FP Agouanet","year":"2021","unstructured":"Agouanet FP, Tankam-Chedjou I, Etoua RM, Tewa JJ (2021) Mathematical modeling of banana black sigatoka disease with delay and seasonality. Appl Math Model 99:380\u2013399","journal-title":"Appl Math Model"},{"issue":"7257","key":"1769_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"890","DOI":"10.1038\/nature08252","volume":"460","author":"K Alby","year":"2009","unstructured":"Alby K, Schaefer D, Bennett RJ (2009) Homothallic and heterothallic mating in the opportunistic pathogen candida albicans. Nature 460(7257):890\u2013893","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"1769_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Anggriani N, Mardiyah M, Istifadah N, Supriatna A (2018) Optimal control issues in plant disease with host demographic factor and botanical fungicides. In: IOP conference series: materials science and engineering, IOP Publishing, vol 332, pp 012036","DOI":"10.1088\/1757-899X\/332\/1\/012036"},{"issue":"1775","key":"1769_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"20180269","DOI":"10.1098\/rstb.2018.0269","volume":"374","author":"DP Bebber","year":"2019","unstructured":"Bebber DP (2019) Climate change effects on black sigatoka disease of banana. Philos Trans R Soc B 374(1775):20180269","journal-title":"Philos Trans R Soc B"},{"issue":"sup1","key":"1769_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"325","DOI":"10.1080\/17513758.2019.1622808","volume":"13","author":"VA Bokil","year":"2019","unstructured":"Bokil VA, Allen L, Jeger M, Lenhart S (2019) Optimal control of a vectored plant disease model for a crop with continuous replanting. J Biol Dyn 13(sup1):325\u2013353","journal-title":"J Biol Dyn"},{"issue":"2","key":"1769_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"361","DOI":"10.3934\/mbe.2004.1.361","volume":"1","author":"C Castillo-Chavez","year":"2004","unstructured":"Castillo-Chavez C, Song B (2004) Dynamical models of tuberculosis and their applications. Math Biosci Eng 1(2):361","journal-title":"Math Biosci Eng"},{"key":"1769_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1272","DOI":"10.1007\/s11538-008-9299-0","volume":"70","author":"N Chitnis","year":"2008","unstructured":"Chitnis N, Hyman JM, Cushing JM (2008) Determining important parameters in the spread of malaria through the sensitivity analysis of a mathematical model. Bull Math Biol 70:1272\u20131296","journal-title":"Bull Math Biol"},{"key":"1769_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"48","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cropro.2013.03.016","volume":"51","author":"DC Cook","year":"2013","unstructured":"Cook DC, Liu S, Edwards J, Villalta ON, Aurambout J-P, Kriticos DJ, Drenth A, De Barro PJ (2013) Predicted economic impact of black sigatoka on the australian banana industry. Crop Prot 51:48\u201356","journal-title":"Crop Prot"},{"key":"1769_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"6","DOI":"10.1016\/j.epidem.2014.06.002","volume":"10","author":"NJ Cunniffe","year":"2015","unstructured":"Cunniffe NJ, Koskella B, Metcalf CJE, Parnell S, Gottwald TR, Gilligan CA (2015) Thirteen challenges in modeling plant diseases. Epidemics 10:6\u201310","journal-title":"Epidemics"},{"key":"1769_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"365","DOI":"10.1007\/BF00178324","volume":"28","author":"O Diekmann","year":"1990","unstructured":"Diekmann O, Heesterbeek JAP, Metz JAJ (1990) On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio $$\\cal{R} _0$$ in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations. J Math Biol 28:365\u2013382","journal-title":"J Math Biol"},{"issue":"1\u20132","key":"1769_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"29","DOI":"10.1016\/S0025-5564(02)00108-6","volume":"180","author":"P Driessche","year":"2002","unstructured":"Driessche P, Watmough J (2002) Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission. Math Biosci 180(1\u20132):29\u201348","journal-title":"Math Biosci"},{"issue":"1","key":"1769_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2440837","DOI":"10.1080\/08839514.2024.2440837","volume":"39","author":"CA Elinisa","year":"2025","unstructured":"Elinisa CA, Wa Maina C, Vodacek A, Mduma N (2025) Image segmentation deep learning model for early detection of banana diseases. Appl Artif Intell 39(1):2440837","journal-title":"Appl Artif Intell"},{"key":"1769_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Freire A, Roque RDL, Leandro HDS, Fernandes BJ (2023) Interpretable diagnosis of banana leaf sigatoka disease using cnns and shapley values. In: 2023 IEEE Latin American conference on computational intelligence (LA-CCI). IEEE, pp 1\u20136","DOI":"10.1109\/LA-CCI58595.2023.10409324"},{"issue":"21","key":"1769_CR16","first-page":"1939","volume":"31","author":"YH Genet","year":"2025","unstructured":"Genet YH, Sinshaw NT, Assefa BG, Mohapatra SK (2025) Sigatoka and xanthomonas banana leaf disease detection via transfer learning. Scientia Iranica 31(21):1939\u20131947","journal-title":"Scientia Iranica"},{"issue":"25","key":"1769_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2340","DOI":"10.1021\/j100540a008","volume":"81","author":"DT Gillespie","year":"1977","unstructured":"Gillespie DT (1977) Exact stochastic simulation of coupled chemical reactions. J Phys Chem 81(25):2340\u20132361","journal-title":"J Phys Chem"},{"issue":"4","key":"1769_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"695","DOI":"10.1007\/s11538-016-0157-1","volume":"78","author":"FM Hamelin","year":"2016","unstructured":"Hamelin FM, Castella F, Doli V, Mar\u00e7ais B, Ravign\u00e9 V, Lewis MA (2016) Mate finding, sexual spore production, and the spread of fungal plant parasites. Bull Math Biol 78(4):695\u2013712","journal-title":"Bull Math Biol"},{"key":"1769_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Henao-Ochoa DC, Rey-Valenzuela VE, Zapata-Henao S, Arango-Isaza RE, Rodr\u00edguez-Cabal HA, Morales J (2025) Application of defense inducers reduces the severity of black sigatoka (pseudocercospora fijiensis) in musa acuminata aaa cavendish. Eur J Plant Pathol 1\u201319","DOI":"10.1007\/s10658-024-02997-9"},{"issue":"2","key":"1769_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"181","DOI":"10.1071\/AP06017","volume":"35","author":"J Henderson","year":"2006","unstructured":"Henderson J, Pattemore J, Porchun S, Hayden H, Van Brunschot S, Grice KR, Peterson R, Thomas-Hall S, Aitken E (2006) Black sigatoka disease: new technologies to strengthen eradication strategies in australia. Australas Plant Pathol 35(2):181\u2013193","journal-title":"Australas Plant Pathol"},{"issue":"2","key":"1769_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"324","DOI":"10.3934\/mbe.2025013","volume":"22","author":"MB Hridoy","year":"2025","unstructured":"Hridoy MB (2025) An exploration of modeling approaches for capturing seasonal transmission in stochastic epidemic models. Math Biosci Eng 22(2):324\u2013354. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3934\/mbe.2025013","journal-title":"Math Biosci Eng"},{"issue":"2","key":"1769_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"279","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1469-8137.2007.02028.x","volume":"174","author":"MJ Jeger","year":"2007","unstructured":"Jeger MJ, Pautasso M, Holdenrieder O, Shaw MW (2007) Modeling disease spread and control in networks: implications for plant sciences. New Phytol 174(2):279\u2013297","journal-title":"New Phytol"},{"issue":"2","key":"1769_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1098\/rsos.171135","volume":"5","author":"J Lehtonen","year":"2018","unstructured":"Lehtonen J, Schwanz LE (2018) Mate limitation and sex ratio evolution. R Soc Open Sci 5(2):171135","journal-title":"R Soc Open Sci"},{"issue":"5","key":"1769_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"334","DOI":"10.1007\/s40808-025-02504-x","volume":"11","author":"JJ Mapinda","year":"2025","unstructured":"Mapinda JJ, Hugo AK, Shinzeh JK, Edward S (2025) Mathematical modeling and optimal control of banana bunchy top disease dynamics. Model Earth Syst Environ 11(5):334","journal-title":"Model Earth Syst Environ"},{"issue":"21","key":"1769_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"14123","DOI":"10.3390\/su142114123","volume":"14","author":"BO Olivares","year":"2022","unstructured":"Olivares BO, Vega A, Rueda Calder\u00f3n MA, Montenegro-Gracia E, Araya-Alm\u00e1n M, Marys E (2022) Prediction of banana production using epidemiological parameters of black sigatoka: an application with random forest. Sustainability 14(21):14123","journal-title":"Sustainability"},{"issue":"2","key":"1769_CR26","first-page":"2","volume":"14","author":"R Peterson","year":"2005","unstructured":"Peterson R, Grice K, Goebel R (2005) Eradication of black leaf streak disease from banana growing areas in Australia. InfoMusa 14(2):2","journal-title":"InfoMusa"},{"issue":"4","key":"1769_CR27","first-page":"0284263","volume":"18","author":"MC Ram\u00edrez-Soto","year":"2023","unstructured":"Ram\u00edrez-Soto MC, Machuca JVB, Stalder DH, Champin D, M\u00e1rtinez-Fern\u00e1ndez MG, Schaerer CE (2023) SIR-SI model with a Gaussian transmission rate: understanding the dynamics of dengue outbreaks in Lima. Peru Plos one 18(4):0284263","journal-title":"Peru Plos one"},{"key":"1769_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"430","DOI":"10.1007\/s11538-016-0240-7","volume":"79","author":"V Ravign\u00e9","year":"2017","unstructured":"Ravign\u00e9 V, Lemesle V, Walter A, Mailleret L, Hamelin FM (2017) Mate limitation in fungal plant parasites can lead to cyclic epidemics in perennial host populations. Bull Math Biol 79:430\u2013447","journal-title":"Bull Math Biol"},{"issue":"1","key":"1769_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"53","DOI":"10.1002\/jemt.24681","volume":"88","author":"A Rehman","year":"2025","unstructured":"Rehman A, Abunadi I, Alamri FS, Ali H, Bahaj SA, Saba T (2025) An intelligent deep augmented model for detection of banana leaves diseases. Microsc Res Tech 88(1):53\u201364","journal-title":"Microsc Res Tech"},{"issue":"3","key":"1769_CR30","first-page":"1523","volume":"24","author":"NM Said","year":"2021","unstructured":"Said NM, Madzin H, Ali SK, Beng NS (2021) Comparison of color-based feature extraction methods in banana leaf diseases classification using svm and k-nn. Indones J Electr Eng Comput Sci 24(3):1523\u20131533","journal-title":"Indones J Electr Eng Comput Sci"},{"key":"1769_CR31","unstructured":"Saltelli A, Tarantola S, Campolongo F, Ratto M (2004) Sensitivity Analysis in Practice: a Guide to Assessing Scientific Models, Wiley Online Library, vol 1"},{"key":"1769_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Singh S, Prakash P, Baghel G, Singh A, Raj D, Agrawal AK (2024) Banana crop health: a deep learning-based model for disease detection and classification. In: 2024 27th international symposium on wireless personal multimedia communications (WPMC), IEEE, pp 1\u20136","DOI":"10.1109\/WPMC63271.2024.10863138"},{"issue":"1","key":"1769_CR33","first-page":"112","volume":"2","author":"IM Sobol\u2019","year":"1990","unstructured":"Sobol\u2019 IM (1990) On sensitivity estimation for nonlinear mathematical models. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie 2(1):112\u2013118","journal-title":"Matematicheskoe modelirovanie"},{"issue":"1\u20133","key":"1769_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"271","DOI":"10.1016\/S0378-4754(00)00270-6","volume":"55","author":"IM Sobol","year":"2001","unstructured":"Sobol IM (2001) Global sensitivity indices for nonlinear mathematical models and their monte carlo estimates. Math Comput Simul 55(1\u20133):271\u2013280","journal-title":"Math Comput Simul"},{"issue":"4","key":"1769_CR35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"621","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-3059.2009.02042.x","volume":"58","author":"M Sosnowski","year":"2009","unstructured":"Sosnowski M, Fletcher J, Daly A, Rodoni B, Viljanen-Rollinson S (2009) Techniques for the treatment, removal and disposal of host material during programs for plant pathogen eradication. Plant Pathol 58(4):621\u2013635","journal-title":"Plant Pathol"},{"issue":"9","key":"1769_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"947","DOI":"10.3390\/atmos11090947","volume":"11","author":"E Strobl","year":"2020","unstructured":"Strobl E, Mohan P (2020) Climate and the global spread and impact of bananas\u2019 black leaf sigatoka disease. Atmosphere 11(9):947","journal-title":"Atmosphere"},{"issue":"1","key":"1769_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"110","DOI":"10.1007\/s00248-018-1211-3","volume":"77","author":"F Suffert","year":"2019","unstructured":"Suffert F, Delestre G, G\u00e9lisse S (2019) Sexual reproduction in the fungal foliar pathogen zymoseptoria tritici is driven by antagonistic density dependence mechanisms. Microb Ecol 77(1):110\u2013123","journal-title":"Microb Ecol"},{"issue":"1","key":"1769_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"11552","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-024-72197-2","volume":"15","author":"R Sujatha","year":"2025","unstructured":"Sujatha R, Krishnan S, Chatterjee JM, Gandomi AH (2025) Advancing plant leaf disease detection integrating machine learning and deep learning. Sci Rep 15(1):11552","journal-title":"Sci Rep"},{"issue":"1","key":"1769_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"15041","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-024-63930-y","volume":"14","author":"JD Thiagarajan","year":"2024","unstructured":"Thiagarajan JD, Kulkarni SV, Jadhav SA, Waghe AA, Raja S, Rajagopal S, Poddar H, Subramaniam S (2024) Analysis of banana plant health using machine learning techniques. Sci Rep 14(1):15041","journal-title":"Sci Rep"},{"issue":"1","key":"1769_CR40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.34312\/jjbm.v4i1.18443","volume":"4","author":"ST Tresna","year":"2023","unstructured":"Tresna ST, Anggriani N, Supriatna AK (2023) Study of mathematical modeling for plant disease transmission: a systematic literature review during 2012\u20132022. Jambura J Biomath (JJBM) 4(1):1\u201314","journal-title":"Jambura J Biomath (JJBM)"},{"issue":"2","key":"1769_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"463","DOI":"10.1007\/s10658-021-02337-1","volume":"161","author":"CDN Uch\u00f4a","year":"2021","unstructured":"Uch\u00f4a CDN, Pozza EA, Moraes WS, Rocha HS, Costa FCL (2021) Modelling black sigatoka epidemics with seasonal dispersal of mycosphaerella fijiensis ascospores over a banana plantation in the ribeira valley, s\u00e3o paulo, brazil. Eur J Plant Pathol 161(2):463\u2013474","journal-title":"Eur J Plant Pathol"},{"issue":"8","key":"1769_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"11383","DOI":"10.1002\/aps3.11383","volume":"8","author":"J Ugarte Fajardo","year":"2020","unstructured":"Ugarte Fajardo J, Bayona Andrade O, Criollo Bonilla R, Cevallos-Cevallos J, Mariduena-Zavala M, Ochoa Donoso D, Vicente Villard\u00f3n JL (2020) Early detection of black sigatoka in banana leaves using hyperspectral images. Appl Plant Sci 8(8):11383","journal-title":"Appl Plant Sci"},{"issue":"19","key":"1769_CR43","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2581","DOI":"10.3390\/plants11192581","volume":"11","author":"J Ugarte Fajardo","year":"2022","unstructured":"Ugarte Fajardo J, Maridue\u00f1a-Zavala M, Cevallos-Cevallos J, Ochoa Donoso D (2022) Effective methods based on distinct learning principles for the analysis of hyperspectral images to detect black sigatoka disease. Plants 11(19):2581","journal-title":"Plants"},{"issue":"6","key":"1769_CR44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"360","DOI":"10.1007\/s40974-016-0033-8","volume":"1","author":"E Venturino","year":"2016","unstructured":"Venturino E, Roy PK, Al Basir F, Datta A (2016) A model for the control of the mosaic virus disease in jatropha curcas plantations. Energy Ecol Environ 1(6):360\u2013369","journal-title":"Energy Ecol Environ"},{"key":"1769_CR45","unstructured":"Wang Y, Chee MC, Edher Z, Hoang MD, Fujimori S, Kathirgamanathan S, Bettencourt J (2020) Forecasting black sigatoka infection risks with latent neural odes. arXiv preprint arXiv:2012.00752"},{"issue":"8","key":"1769_CR46","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"0220601","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0220601","volume":"14","author":"T Yonow","year":"2019","unstructured":"Yonow T, Ramirez-Villegas J, Abadie C, Darnell RE, Ota N, Kriticos DJ (2019) Black sigatoka in bananas: ecoclimatic suitability and disease pressure assessments. PLoS ONE 14(8):0220601","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"}],"container-title":["Bulletin of Mathematical Biology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s11538-026-01769-2.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s11538-026-01769-2","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s11538-026-01769-2.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,11]],"date-time":"2026-10-11T14:11:42Z","timestamp":1791727902000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s11538-026-01769-2"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,11]]},"references-count":46,"journal-issue":{"issue":"11","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,11]]}},"alternative-id":["1769"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s11538-026-01769-2","relation":{},"ISSN":["0092-8240","1522-9602"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0092-8240","type":"print"},{"value":"1522-9602","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,11]]},"assertion":[{"value":"2 May 2026","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"24 September 2026","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"11 October 2026","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"The authors declare no conflict of interest.","order":1,"name":"Ethics","label":"Conflict of interest","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}},{"value":"Not applicable.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","label":"Consent to participate","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}},{"value":"Not applicable.","order":3,"name":"Ethics","label":"Consent for publication","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}}],"article-number":"202"}}