{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,8]],"date-time":"2026-06-08T12:50:07Z","timestamp":1780923007649,"version":"3.54.1"},"reference-count":45,"publisher":"Duke University Press","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,1,21]],"date-time":"2021-01-21T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1611187200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":1591,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2016,9,13]],"date-time":"2016-09-13T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1473724800000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2016,10,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title><jats:p>Marriage is a risky undertaking that people enter with incomplete information about their partner and their future life circumstances. A large literature has shown how new information gained from unforeseen but long-lasting or permanent changes in life circumstances may trigger a divorce. We extend this literature by considering how information gained from a temporary change in life circumstances\u2014in our case, a couple having a child with infantile colic\u2014may affect divorce behavior. Although persistent life changes are known to induce divorce, we argue that a temporary stressful situation allows couples more quickly to discern the quality of their relationship, in some cases leading them to divorce sooner than they otherwise would have. We formalize this argument in a model of Bayesian updating and test it using data from Denmark. We find that the incidence of infantile colic shortens the time to divorce or disruption among couples who would have split up anyway.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1007\/s13524-016-0498-2","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2016,9,13]],"date-time":"2016-09-13T19:25:32Z","timestamp":1473794732000},"page":"1377-1398","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":15,"title":["Temporary Life Changes and the Timing of Divorce"],"prefix":"10.1215","volume":"53","author":[{"given":"Peter","family":"Fallesen","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Swedish Institute for Social Research, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden"},{"name":"Rockwool Foundation Research Unit, Copenhagen, Denmark"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Richard","family":"Breen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Nuffield College, Oxford University, Oxford, United Kingdom"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"73","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2016,9,13]]},"reference":[{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"611","DOI":"10.1353\/jhr.2008.0025","article-title":"The effect of marital breakup on the income distribution of women with children","volume":"43","author":"Ananat","year":"2008","journal-title":"Journal of Human Resources"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"357","DOI":"10.2307\/2061823","article-title":"The relationship between cohabitation and divorce: Selectivity or causal influence?","volume":"29","author":"Axinn","year":"1992","journal-title":"Demography"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1141","DOI":"10.1086\/260631","article-title":"An economic analysis of marital instability","volume":"85","author":"Becker","year":"1977","journal-title":"Journal of Political Economy"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"579","DOI":"10.1542\/peds.29.4.579","article-title":"Crying in infancy","volume":"29","author":"Brazelton","year":"1962","journal-title":"Pediatrics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"899","DOI":"10.1086\/342895","article-title":"Bayesian learning and gender segregation","volume":"20","author":"Breen","year":"2002","journal-title":"Journal of Labor Economics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"571","DOI":"10.1177\/0049124114544224","article-title":"Correlations and non-linear probability models","volume":"43","author":"Breen","year":"2014","journal-title":"Sociological Methods & Research"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"404","DOI":"10.1080\/0022250X.2001.9990262","article-title":"The dissolution of marriages: The role of information and marital-specific capital","volume":"25","author":"Br\u00fcderl","year":"2001","journal-title":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13","DOI":"10.1080\/080352500750028988","article-title":"Infantile colic. Follow-up at four years of age: Still more \u201cemotional.\u201d","volume":"89","author":"Canivet","year":"2000","journal-title":"Acta Paediatrica"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1183","DOI":"10.1001\/archpedi.156.12.1183","article-title":"Sequelae of infant colic: Evidence of transient infant distress and absence of lasting effects on maternal mental health","volume":"156","author":"Clifford","year":"2002","journal-title":"Archives of Pediatrics & Adolescent Medicine"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"319","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-985X.2006.00403.x","article-title":"Do divorcing couples become happier by breaking up?","volume":"169","author":"Gardner","year":"2006","journal-title":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A"},{"issue":"Suppl. 1","key":"2021012120284403200_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"184","DOI":"10.1542\/peds.106.S1.184","article-title":"A systematic review of treatments for infantile colic","volume":"106","author":"Garrison","year":"2000","journal-title":"Pediatrics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR12","volume-title":"Elective affinities","author":"Goethe","year":"1978"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"501","DOI":"10.1093\/esr\/jcl011","article-title":"Stability and change in the educational gradient of divorce. A comparison of seventeen countries","volume":"22","author":"H\u00e4rk\u00f6nen","year":"2006","journal-title":"European Sociological Review"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1214","DOI":"10.1111\/j.0022-2445.2004.00088.x","article-title":"The role of cohabitation in family formation: The United States in comparative perspective","volume":"66","author":"Heuveline","year":"2004","journal-title":"Journal of Marriage and Family"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR15","volume-title":"The second shift: Working parents and the revolution at home","author":"Hochschild","year":"1989"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"30","DOI":"10.1016\/j.socscimed.2013.04.001","article-title":"The importance of children's ADHD for parents\u2019 relationship stability and labor supply","volume":"88","author":"Kvist","year":"2013","journal-title":"Social Science & Medicine"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"591","DOI":"10.1016\/j.labeco.2005.04.001","article-title":"Men and islands: Dealing with the family in empirical labor economics","volume":"12","author":"Lundberg","year":"2005","journal-title":"Labour Economics"},{"issue":"article 5","key":"2021012120284403200_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"121","DOI":"10.4054\/DemRes.2004.10.5","article-title":"The impact of parents\u2019 and spouses\u2019 education on divorce rates in Norway","volume":"10","author":"Lyngstad","year":"2004","journal-title":"Demographic Research"},{"issue":"article 10","key":"2021012120284403200_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"257","DOI":"10.4054\/DemRes.2010.23.10","article-title":"A review of the antecedents of union dissolution","volume":"23","author":"Lyngstad","year":"2010","journal-title":"Demographic Research"},{"issue":"2","key":"2021012120284403200_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"322","DOI":"10.1257\/0002828041301911","article-title":"Occupation, sex-integration, and divorce","volume":"94","author":"McKinnish","year":"2004","journal-title":"American Economic Review"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"331","DOI":"10.3368\/jhr.XLII.2.331","article-title":"Sexually integrated workplaces and divorce: Another form of on-the-job search","volume":"42","author":"McKinnish","year":"2007","journal-title":"Journal of Human Resources"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"652","DOI":"10.1542\/peds.2011-2281","article-title":"Nicotine replacement therapy during pregnancy and infantile colic in the offspring","volume":"129","author":"Milidou","year":"2012","journal-title":"Pediatrics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"657","DOI":"10.2307\/1911313","article-title":"The encompassing principle and its application to testing non-nested hypotheses","volume":"154","author":"Mizon","year":"1986","journal-title":"Econometrica"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"67","DOI":"10.1093\/esr\/jcp006","article-title":"Logistic regression: Why we cannot do what we think we can do, and what we can do about it","volume":"26","author":"Mood","year":"2010","journal-title":"European Sociological Review"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S215","DOI":"10.1086\/228947","article-title":"Matching: Finding a partner for life or otherwise","volume":"94","author":"Mortensen","year":"1988","journal-title":"American Journal of Sociology"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR26","volume-title":"B\u00f8rns familier","author":"Petersen","year":"2008"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"43","DOI":"10.1542\/peds.96.1.43","article-title":"Infantile colic: Child and family three years later","volume":"96","author":"Rautava","year":"1995","journal-title":"Pediatrics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"719","DOI":"10.1353\/dem.0.0122","article-title":"Reassessing the link between premarital cohabitation and marital instability","volume":"47","author":"Reinhold","year":"2010","journal-title":"Demography"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR29","first-page":"735","article-title":"Infantile colic","volume":"70","author":"Roberts","year":"2004","journal-title":"American Family Physician"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1259","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1651-2227.2007.00428.x","article-title":"Focus on infantile colic","volume":"96","author":"Savino","year":"2007","journal-title":"Acta Paediatrica"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR31","first-page":"239","article-title":"Infantile colic: From symptoms to diagnosis - A practical approach","volume":"2","author":"Savino","year":"2013","journal-title":"Journal of Symptoms and Signs"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"700","DOI":"10.1017\/thg.2012.55","article-title":"Offspring ADHD as a risk factor for parental marital problems: Controls for genetic and environmental confounds","volume":"15","author":"Schermerhorn","year":"2012","journal-title":"Twin Research and Human Genetics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"25","DOI":"10.1007\/BF00709925","article-title":"Infantile colic and transient developmental lag in the first year of life","volume":"21","author":"Sloman","year":"1990","journal-title":"Child Psychiatry and Human Development"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev.soc.26.1.1","article-title":"Cohabitation in the United States: An appraisal of research themes, findings, and implications","volume":"26","author":"Smock","year":"2000","journal-title":"Annual Review of Sociology"},{"issue":"2","key":"2021012120284403200_CR35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"27","DOI":"10.1257\/jep.21.2.27","article-title":"Marriage and divorce: Changes and their driving forces","volume":"21","author":"Stevenson","year":"2007","journal-title":"Journal of Economic Perspectives"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"339","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-2214.2002.00088.x","article-title":"The effect of infant colic on maternal self-perceptions and mother-infant attachment","volume":"24","author":"Stifter","year":"1998","journal-title":"Child: Care, Health and Development"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"523","DOI":"10.2307\/3559025","article-title":"Is your love in vain? Another look at premarital cohabitation and divorce","volume":"39","author":"Svarer","year":"2004","journal-title":"Journal of Human Resources"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"395","DOI":"10.1007\/s00148-006-0084-9","article-title":"Do children stabilize relationships in Denmark?","volume":"21","author":"Svarer","year":"2008","journal-title":"Journal of Population Economics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1789","DOI":"10.1007\/s13524-013-0203-7","article-title":"The compositional and institutional sources of union dissolution for married and unmarried parents in the United States","volume":"50","author":"Tach","year":"2013","journal-title":"Demography"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR40","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1007","DOI":"10.1542\/peds.110.5.1007","article-title":"Parental separation and divorce: Can we provide an ounce of prevention?","volume":"110","author":"Tanner","year":"2002","journal-title":"Pediatrics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1111\/jomf.12084","article-title":"Assortative mating among Dutch married and cohabiting same-sex and different-sex couples","volume":"76","author":"Verbakel","year":"2014","journal-title":"Journal of Marriage and Family"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1344","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1651-2227.2009.01317.x","article-title":"Infantile colic, prolonged crying and maternal postnatal depression","volume":"98","author":"Vik","year":"2009","journal-title":"Acta Paediatrica"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR43","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S293","DOI":"10.1086\/209864","article-title":"Match quality, new information, and marital dissolution","volume":"15","author":"Weiss","year":"1997","journal-title":"Journal of Labor Economics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR44","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"421","DOI":"10.1542\/peds.14.5.421","article-title":"Paroxysmal fussing in infancy, sometimes called \u201ccolic.\u201d","volume":"14","author":"Wessel","year":"1954","journal-title":"Pediatrics"},{"key":"2021012120284403200_CR45","unstructured":"WHO. (2010). International statistical classification of diseases and related health problems (10th Revision (ICD-10) Version for 2010). Retrieved from http:\/\/apps.who.int\/classifications\/icd10\/browse\/2010\/en"}],"container-title":["Demography"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s13524-016-0498-2.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s13524-016-0498-2\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/read.dukeupress.edu\/demography\/article-pdf\/53\/5\/1377\/837568\/1377fallesen.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"syndication"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s13524-016-0498-2.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"},{"URL":"http:\/\/read.dukeupress.edu\/demography\/article-pdf\/53\/5\/1377\/837568\/1377fallesen.pdf","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2022,7,8]],"date-time":"2022-07-08T10:27:07Z","timestamp":1657276027000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/read.dukeupress.edu\/demography\/article\/53\/5\/1377\/167634\/Temporary-Life-Changes-and-the-Timing-of-Divorce"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2016,9,13]]},"references-count":45,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2016,9,13]]},"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2016,10,1]]}},"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s13524-016-0498-2","relation":{},"ISSN":["0070-3370","1533-7790"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0070-3370","type":"print"},{"value":"1533-7790","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2016,9,13]]}}}