{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,16]],"date-time":"2026-10-16T11:59:31Z","timestamp":1792151971555,"version":"4.4.0"},"reference-count":30,"publisher":"Duke University Press","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2018,9,21]],"date-time":"2018-09-21T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1537488000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/www.springer.com\/tdm"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2018,10,1]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n               <jats:p>This article presents an assessment of individual uncertainty about longevity. A survey performed on 3,331 French people enables us to record several survival probabilities per individual. On this basis, we compute subjective life expectancies (SLE) and subjective uncertainty regarding longevity (SUL), the standard deviation of each individual\u2019s subjective distribution of her or his own longevity. It is large and equal to more than 10 years for men and women. Its magnitude is comparable to the variability of longevity observed in life tables for individuals under 60, but it is smaller for those older than 60, which suggests use of private information by older respondents. Our econometric analysis confirms that individuals use private information\u2014mainly their parents\u2019 survival and longevity\u2014to adjust their level of uncertainty. Finally, we find that SUL has a sizable impact, in addition to SLE, on risky behaviors: more uncertainty on longevity significantly decreases the probability of unhealthy lifestyles. Given that individual uncertainty about longevity affects prevention behavior, retirement decisions, and demand for long-term care insurance, these results have important implications for public policy concerning health care and retirement.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1007\/s13524-018-0713-4","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2018,9,21]],"date-time":"2018-09-21T22:07:06Z","timestamp":1537567626000},"page":"1829-1854","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":25,"title":["Individual Uncertainty About Longevity"],"prefix":"10.1215","volume":"55","author":[{"given":"Brigitte","family":"Dormont","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"Universit\u00e9 Paris-Dauphine, PSL University, LEDa, Place du Mar\u00e9chal de Lattre de Tassigny, 75775 Paris Cedex 16, France"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Anne-Laure","family":"Samson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Universit\u00e9 Paris-Dauphine, PSL University, LEDa, Place du Mar\u00e9chal de Lattre de Tassigny, 75775 Paris Cedex 16, France"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Marc","family":"Fleurbaey","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"St\u00e9phane","family":"Luchini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Aix-Marseille University (Aix-Marseille School of Economics), CNRS & EHESS, GREQAM, Centre de la Vieille Charit\u00e9, 2 Rue de la Charit\u00e9, 13002 Marseille, France"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Erik","family":"Schokkaert","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Department of Economics, KU Leuven, Naamsestraat 69 - bus 3565, 3000 Leuven, Belgium"},{"name":"CORE, Universit\u00e9 Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium"}],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"73","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2018,9,21]]},"reference":[{"key":"2021012719101684800_CR1","article-title":"Who can predict their own demise? 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