{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,23]],"date-time":"2026-10-23T19:24:49Z","timestamp":1792783489781,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":40,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"6","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,13]],"date-time":"2025-10-13T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1760313600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,13]],"date-time":"2025-10-13T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1760313600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/researchers\/text-and-data-mining"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001809","name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["82373666"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["82373666"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001809","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"name":"the Department of Science and Technology of Jilin Province","award":["20210101464JC"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["20210101464JC"]}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["High Blood Press Cardiovasc Prev"],"DOI":"10.1007\/s40292-025-00747-4","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,13]],"date-time":"2025-10-13T13:52:24Z","timestamp":1760363544000},"page":"677-686","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":3,"title":["Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases Attributable to Hypertension in Population Aged 60 Years or Older from 1990 to 2040 across BRICS-plus Countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa)"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"32","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0008-5895-468X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Hongrui","family":"Zhang","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Bin","family":"Wang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jiake","family":"Guo","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yichen","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Zhuoshuai","family":"Liang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Xiaoyang","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ruofei","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yuyang","family":"Tian","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Shuan","family":"Qiu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yong","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yulu","family":"Gu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Huan","family":"He","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yichun","family":"Qiao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Siyu","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yunkai","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7352-3641","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Yi","family":"Cheng","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2859-4771","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Yawen","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,13]]},"reference":[{"key":"747_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"653","DOI":"10.1161\/CIRCULATIONAHA.117.030898","volume":"137","author":"R Pazoki","year":"2018","unstructured":"Pazoki R, Dehghan A, Evangelou E, Warren H, Gao H, Caulfield M, et al. Genetic predisposition to high blood pressure and lifestyle factors: Associations with midlife blood pressure levels and cardiovascular events. Circulation. 2018;137:653\u201361.","journal-title":"Circulation"},{"key":"747_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"790","DOI":"10.1161\/CIRCULATIONAHA.119.042864","volume":"141","author":"Z Zou","year":"2020","unstructured":"Zou Z, Cini K, Dong B, Ma Y, Ma J, Burgner DP, et al. Time trends in cardiovascular disease mortality across the BRICS: An age-period-cohort analysis of key nations with emerging economies using the global burden of disease study 2017. Circulation. 2020;141:790\u20139.","journal-title":"Circulation"},{"key":"747_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"137","DOI":"10.1186\/s12889-025-21310-9","volume":"25","author":"F Cheng","year":"2025","unstructured":"Cheng F, Cheng P, Xie S, Wang H, Tang Y, Liu Y, et al. Epidemiological trends and age-period-cohort effects on ischemic stroke burden across the BRICS-plus from 1992 to 2021. BMC Public Health. 2025;25:137.","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"747_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jenvman.2020.110330","volume":"262","author":"X Tian","year":"2020","unstructured":"Tian X, Sarkis J, Geng Y, Bleischwitz R, Qian Y, Xu L, et al. Examining the role of BRICS countries at the global economic and environmental resources nexus. J Environ Manage. 2020;262:110330.","journal-title":"J Environ Manage"},{"key":"747_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"394","DOI":"10.2471\/BLT.14.030614","volume":"92","author":"A Harmer","year":"2014","unstructured":"Harmer A, Fleck F. The BRICS countries: A new force in global health? Bull World Health Organ. 2014;92:394\u20135.","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"747_CR6","first-page":"CD000028","volume":"6","author":"VM Musini","year":"2019","unstructured":"Musini VM, Tejani AM, Bassett K, Puil L, Wright JM. Pharmacotherapy for hypertension in adults 60 years or older. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2019;6:CD000028.","journal-title":"Cochrane Database Syst Rev"},{"key":"747_CR7","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.arr.2024.102597","volume":"103","author":"X Xia","year":"2025","unstructured":"Xia X, Tian X, Xu Q, Zhang Y, Zhang X, Li J, et al. Global trends and regional differences in mortality of cardiovascular disease and its impact on longevity, 1980\u20132021: Age-period-cohort analyses and life expectancy decomposition based on the global burden of disease study 2021. Ageing Res Rev. 2025;103:102597.","journal-title":"Ageing Res Rev"},{"key":"747_CR8","unstructured":"Cui, S. Study on the problems and countermeasures of an aging society. Int J Front Sociol [Internet]. 2023 [cited 2025 Feb 1];5. Available from: http:\/\/francis-press.com\/papers\/13046#abstract."},{"key":"747_CR9","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1136\/rmdopen-2023-003650","volume":"9","author":"F Zhang","year":"2023","unstructured":"Zhang F, Cui Y, Gao X. Time trends in the burden of autoimmune diseases across the BRICS: An age-period-cohort analysis for the GBD 2019. RMD Open. 2023;9:e003650.","journal-title":"RMD Open"},{"key":"747_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2804","DOI":"10.1097\/j.pain.0000000000003298","volume":"165","author":"S Cheng","year":"2024","unstructured":"Cheng S, Cao J, Hou L, Li S, Sun W, Shan S, et al. Temporal trends and projections in the global burden of neck pain: Findings from the global burden of disease study 2019. Pain. 2024;165:2804\u201313.","journal-title":"Pain"},{"key":"747_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"808","DOI":"10.1161\/CIRCRESAHA.120.318729","volume":"128","author":"AE Schutte","year":"2021","unstructured":"Schutte AE, Srinivasapura Venkateshmurthy N, Mohan S, Prabhakaran D. Hypertension in low- and middle-income countries. Circ Res. 2021;128:808\u201326.","journal-title":"Circ Res"},{"key":"747_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2838","DOI":"10.1186\/s12889-024-20346-7","volume":"24","author":"K Hua","year":"2024","unstructured":"Hua K, Pan Y, Fang J, Wu H, Hua Y. Integrating social, climate and environmental changes to confront accelerating global aging. BMC Public Health. 2024;24:2838.","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"issue":"62","key":"747_CR13","first-page":"18","volume":"2013","author":"S Basu","year":"1979","unstructured":"Basu S, Millett C. Social epidemiology of hypertension in middle-income countries: determinants of prevalence, diagnosis, treatment, and control in the WHO SAGE study. Hypertens (Dallas Tex:1979). 1979;2013(62):18\u201326.","journal-title":"Hypertens (Dallas Tex:1979)"},{"key":"747_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0048255","volume":"7","author":"RV Picon","year":"2012","unstructured":"Picon RV, Fuchs FD, Moreira LB, Riegel G, Fuchs SC. Trends in prevalence of hypertension in brazil: A systematic review with meta-analysis. PLoS ONE. 2012;7:e48255.","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"},{"key":"747_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"301","DOI":"10.1007\/s40256-013-0033-4","volume":"13","author":"KC Ferdinand","year":"2013","unstructured":"Ferdinand KC, Nasser SA. A review of the efficacy and tolerability of combination amlodipine\/valsartan in non-white patients with hypertension. Am J Cardiovasc Drugs: Drugs Devices Other Interv. 2013;13:301\u201313.","journal-title":"Am J Cardiovasc Drugs: Drugs Devices Other Interv."},{"key":"747_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.pmedr.2021.101469","volume":"23","author":"KE Charlton","year":"2021","unstructured":"Charlton KE, Corso B, Ware L, Schutte AE, Wepener L, Minicuci N, et al. Effect of south africa\u2019s interim mandatory salt reduction programme on urinary sodium excretion and blood pressure. Prev Med Rep. 2021;23:101469.","journal-title":"Prev Med Rep."},{"key":"747_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1457","DOI":"10.1097\/HJH.0000000000001326","volume":"35","author":"AM Yusufali","year":"2017","unstructured":"Yusufali AM, Khatib R, Islam S, Alhabib KF, Bahonar A, Swidan HM, et al. Prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension in four middle east countries. J Hypertens. 2017;35:1457\u201364.","journal-title":"J Hypertens"},{"key":"747_CR18","first-page":"579","volume":"41","author":"PP Joshi","year":"1993","unstructured":"Joshi PP, Kate SK, Shegokar V. Blood pressure trends and life style risk factors in rural India. J Assoc Physicians India. 1993;41:579\u201381.","journal-title":"J Assoc Physicians India"},{"key":"747_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"886","DOI":"10.1161\/01.HYP.26.6.886","volume":"26","author":"MM Ibrahim","year":"1995","unstructured":"Ibrahim MM, Rizk H, Appel LJ, el Aroussy W, Helmy S, Sharaf Y, et al. Hypertension prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control in Egypt. Results from the Egyptian national hypertension project (NHP). NHP investigative team. Hypertens (Dallas Tex:1979). 1995;26:886\u201390.","journal-title":"Hypertens (Dallas Tex:1979)"},{"key":"747_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"129","DOI":"10.1186\/s12872-020-01414-3","volume":"20","author":"F Amare","year":"2020","unstructured":"Amare F, Hagos B, Sisay M, Molla B. Uncontrolled hypertension in ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis of institution-based observational studies. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2020;20:129.","journal-title":"BMC Cardiovasc Disord"},{"key":"747_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"113","DOI":"10.2174\/1573402115666190118142818","volume":"15","author":"MJ Oori","year":"2019","unstructured":"Oori MJ, Mohammadi F, Norozi K, Fallahi-Khoshknab M, Ebadi A, Gheshlagh RG. Prevalence of HTN in iran: Meta-analysis of published studies in 2004\u20132018. Curr Hypertens Rev. 2019;15:113\u201322.","journal-title":"Curr Hypertens Rev"},{"key":"747_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1155\/2014\/564679","volume":"2014","author":"C El Bcheraoui","year":"2014","unstructured":"El Bcheraoui C, Memish ZA, Tuffaha M, Daoud F, Robinson M, Jaber S, et al. Hypertension and its associated risk factors in the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, 2013: a national survey. Int J Hypertens. 2014;2014:564679.","journal-title":"Int J Hypertens"},{"key":"747_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"2488","DOI":"10.1097\/HJH.0000000000002958","volume":"39","author":"J Liu","year":"2021","unstructured":"Liu J, Bu X, Wei L, Wang X, Lai L, Dong C, et al. Global burden of cardiovascular diseases attributable to hypertension in young adults from 1990 to 2019. J Hypertens. 2021;39:2488\u201396.","journal-title":"J Hypertens"},{"key":"747_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"586","DOI":"10.1161\/CIRCULATIONAHA.121.055239","volume":"144","author":"S Matskeplishvili","year":"2021","unstructured":"Matskeplishvili S, Kontsevaya A. Cardiovascular health, disease, and care in russia. Circulation. 2021;144:586\u20138.","journal-title":"Circulation"},{"issue":"345","key":"747_CR25","volume":"2024","author":"C Cui","year":"1982","unstructured":"Cui C, Zhang Y, Ding R, He P. Impact of the essential public health service program on financial protection and health outcomes among hypertensive patients: A quasi-experimental study in China. Soc Sci Med. 1982;2024(345):116705.","journal-title":"Soc Sci Med"},{"key":"747_CR26","volume":"4","author":"M Mrejen","year":"2021","unstructured":"Mrejen M, Rocha R, Millett C, Hone T. The quality of alternative models of primary health care and morbidity and mortality in brazil: A national longitudinal analysis. Lancet Reg Health, Am. 2021;4:100034.","journal-title":"Lancet Reg Health, Am."},{"key":"747_CR27","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"81","DOI":"10.1186\/s12992-024-01084-2","volume":"20","author":"E Mohamadi","year":"2024","unstructured":"Mohamadi E, Kraemer A, Majdzadeh R, Mohamadzade M, Mohammadshahi M, Kiani MM, et al. Impacts of economic sanctions on population health and health system: A study at national and sub-national levels from 2000 to 2020 in iran. Glob Health. 2024;20:81.","journal-title":"Glob Health"},{"key":"747_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1155\/2012\/859176","volume":"2012","author":"B Gil-Extremera","year":"2012","unstructured":"Gil-Extremera B, C\u00eda-G\u00f3mez P. Hypertension in the elderly. Int J Hypertens. 2012;2012:859176.","journal-title":"Int J Hypertens"},{"issue":"336","key":"747_CR29","volume":"2023","author":"H Shokr","year":"1982","unstructured":"Shokr H, Rishworth A, Wilson K. Access to emergency care in egypt: Tiered health care and manifestations of inequity. Soc Sci Med. 1982;2023(336):116212.","journal-title":"Soc Sci Med"},{"key":"747_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1016\/S0167-4943(02)00174-7","volume":"37","author":"SA Margolis","year":"2003","unstructured":"Margolis SA, Carter T, Dunn EV, Reed RL. The health status of community based elderly in the united arab emirates. Arch Gerontol Geriatr. 2003;37:1\u201312.","journal-title":"Arch Gerontol Geriatr"},{"key":"747_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"371","DOI":"10.1038\/s41569-018-0004-1","volume":"15","author":"FJ He","year":"2018","unstructured":"He FJ, MacGregor GA. Role of salt intake in prevention of cardiovascular disease: Controversies and challenges. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2018;15:371\u20137.","journal-title":"Nat Rev Cardiol"},{"key":"747_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cdnut.2024.103794","volume":"8","author":"SM Saje","year":"2024","unstructured":"Saje SM, Gashu D, Joy EJ, Adams KP, Moges T, Tesemma M, et al. Modeling the contribution of multiple micronutrient fortification of salt to daily nutrient intake among the ethiopian population. Curr Dev Nutr. 2024;8:103794.","journal-title":"Curr Dev Nutr."},{"key":"747_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"39","DOI":"10.1186\/s12883-020-1620-z","volume":"20","author":"M Zamani","year":"2020","unstructured":"Zamani M, Skagen K, Scott H, Russell D, Skjelland M. Advanced ultrasound methods in assessment of carotid plaque instability: A prospective multimodal study. BMC Neurol. 2020;20:39.","journal-title":"BMC Neurol"},{"key":"747_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"120","DOI":"10.1186\/s12939-023-01910-w","volume":"22","author":"L Xue","year":"2023","unstructured":"Xue L, Cai M, Liu Q, Ying X, Wu S. Trends and regional variations in chronic diseases and their risk factors in China: An observational study based on national health service surveys. Int J Equity Health. 2023;22:120.","journal-title":"Int J Equity Health."},{"key":"747_CR35","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1155\/2013\/287869","volume":"2013","author":"YE Razvodovsky","year":"2013","unstructured":"Razvodovsky YE. Alcohol-attributable fraction of ischemic heart disease mortality in russia. ISRN Cardiol. 2013;2013:287869.","journal-title":"ISRN Cardiol."},{"key":"747_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"126","DOI":"10.20882\/adicciones.14","volume":"26","author":"ER Razvodovsky","year":"2014","unstructured":"Razvodovsky ER. Fraction of stroke mortality attributable to alcohol consumption in russia. Adicciones. 2014;26:126\u201333.","journal-title":"Adicciones"},{"key":"747_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"38","DOI":"10.18565\/cardio.2016.11.38-42","volume":"56","author":"AE Manoilov","year":"2016","unstructured":"Manoilov AE. Diagnosis, prognosis, monitoring of cardiac complications of arterial hypertension. Hypertensive heart disease. Kardiologiia. 2016;56:38\u201342.","journal-title":"Kardiologiia"},{"key":"747_CR38","first-page":"74","volume":"17","author":"MA Shkolnikova","year":"2020","unstructured":"Shkolnikova MA, Jdanov DA, Ildarova RA, Shcherbakova NV, Polyakova EB, Mikhaylov EN, et al. Atrial fibrillation among russian men and women aged 55 years and older: Prevalence, mortality, and associations with biomarkers in a population-based study. J Geriatr Cardiol: JGC. 2020;17:74\u201384.","journal-title":"J Geriatr Cardiol: JGC."},{"key":"747_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"779","DOI":"10.1161\/CIRCULATIONAHA.122.063196","volume":"147","author":"A Parkhomenko","year":"2023","unstructured":"Parkhomenko A. Russia\u2019s war in ukraine and cardiovascular health care. Circulation. 2023;147:779\u201381.","journal-title":"Circulation"},{"key":"747_CR40","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"1365","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(22)00485-8","volume":"399","author":"S Roborgh","year":"2022","unstructured":"Roborgh S, Coutts AP, Chellew P, Novykov V, Sullivan R. Conflict in Ukraine undermines an already challenged health system. Lancet (lond Engl). 2022;399:1365\u20137.","journal-title":"Lancet (lond Engl)."}],"container-title":["High Blood Pressure & Cardiovascular Prevention"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s40292-025-00747-4.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s40292-025-00747-4\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s40292-025-00747-4.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,25]],"date-time":"2025-11-25T18:26:15Z","timestamp":1764095175000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s40292-025-00747-4"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,13]]},"references-count":40,"journal-issue":{"issue":"6","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,11]]}},"alternative-id":["747"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s40292-025-00747-4","relation":{},"ISSN":["1179-1985"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1179-1985","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,13]]},"assertion":[{"value":"3 May 2025","order":1,"name":"received","label":"Received","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"20 September 2025","order":2,"name":"accepted","label":"Accepted","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"value":"13 October 2025","order":3,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ArticleHistory","label":"Article History"}},{"order":1,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Declarations"}},{"value":"The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.","order":2,"name":"Ethics","group":{"name":"EthicsHeading","label":"Conflict of interest"}}]}}