{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,2,23]],"date-time":"2026-02-23T13:24:57Z","timestamp":1771853097937,"version":"3.50.1"},"publisher-location":"Singapore","reference-count":29,"publisher":"Springer Nature Singapore","isbn-type":[{"value":"9789811697005","type":"print"},{"value":"9789811697012","type":"electronic"}],"license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,1,1]],"date-time":"2022-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1640995200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springer.com\/tdm"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,1,1]],"date-time":"2022-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1640995200000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.springer.com\/tdm"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":[],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/978-981-16-9701-2_2","type":"book-chapter","created":{"date-parts":[[2022,5,27]],"date-time":"2022-05-27T11:04:27Z","timestamp":1653649467000},"page":"11-21","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":4,"title":["Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Time Series Model for Tourism Demand: The Case of Sal Island, Cape Verde"],"prefix":"10.1007","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1817-292X","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Gilberto A.","family":"Neves","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-8357-0994","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Catarina S.","family":"Nunes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8714-4901","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Paula Odete","family":"Fernandes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2022,5,28]]},"reference":[{"key":"2_CR1","volume-title":"A practical guide to forecasting financial market volatility","author":"S Poon","year":"2005","unstructured":"Poon, S.: A practical guide to forecasting financial market volatility. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester (2005)"},{"issue":"2008","key":"2_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"203","DOI":"10.1016\/j.tourman.2007.07.016","volume":"29","author":"H Song","year":"2008","unstructured":"Song, H., Li, G.: Tourism demand modelling and forecasting\u2014A review of recent research. Tour. Manage. 29(2008), 203\u2013220 (2008)","journal-title":"Tour. Manage."},{"issue":"2019","key":"2_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"338","DOI":"10.1016\/j.annals.2018.12.001","volume":"75","author":"H Song","year":"2019","unstructured":"Song, H., Qiu, R.T.R., Park, J.: A review of research on tourism demand forecasting. Ann. Tour. Res. 75(2019), 338\u2013362 (2019)","journal-title":"Ann. Tour. Res."},{"issue":"1","key":"2_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"507","DOI":"10.1108\/IJCHM-05-2015-0249","volume":"29","author":"DC Wu","year":"2017","unstructured":"Wu, D.C., Song, H., Shen, S.: New developments in tourism and hotel demand modeling and forecasting. Int. J. Contemp. Hosp. Manag. 29(1), 507\u2013529 (2017)","journal-title":"Int. J. Contemp. Hosp. Manag."},{"issue":"3","key":"2_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"296","DOI":"10.1080\/10548408.2011.562856","volume":"28","author":"C Goh","year":"2011","unstructured":"Goh, C., Law, R.: The methodological progress of tourism demand forecasting: A review of related literature. J. Travel Tour. Mark. 28(3), 296\u2013317 (2011)","journal-title":"J. Travel Tour. Mark."},{"key":"2_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"447","DOI":"10.1016\/0169-2070(95)00591-7","volume":"11","author":"SF Witt","year":"1995","unstructured":"Witt, S.F., Witt, C.A.: Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research. Int. J. Forecast. 11, 447\u2013475 (1995)","journal-title":"Int. J. Forecast."},{"key":"2_CR7","volume-title":"Tourism Development","author":"DG Pearce","year":"1989","unstructured":"Pearce, D.G.: Tourism Development, 1st edn. John Wiley, New York (1989)","edition":"1"},{"key":"2_CR8","volume-title":"Tourism demand modelling and forecasting: Modern econometric approaches","author":"H Song","year":"2000","unstructured":"Song, H., Witt, S.F.: Tourism demand modelling and forecasting: Modern econometric approaches, 1st edn. Taylor & Francis, New York (2000)","edition":"1"},{"key":"2_CR9","unstructured":"Cooper, C., Fletcher, J., Wanhill, S., Gilbert, D., Sheperd, R.: Turismo, Princ\u00edpios e Pr\u00e1tica, 3rd ed. Bookman, Porto Alegre (2007)"},{"key":"2_CR10","unstructured":"Cunha, L., Abrantes, A.: Introdu\u00e7\u00e3o ao Turismo, 6th ed. Lidel, Lisboa (2019)"},{"key":"2_CR11","unstructured":"Matias, A.: Economia do turismo: teoria e pr\u00e1tica, 1st ed. Instituto Piaget, Lisboa (2007)"},{"key":"2_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Neves, G.A., Nunes, C.S., Fernandes, P.O.: Challenges and opportunities for Island tourist destinations: The case of the Island of Sal, Cape Verde. In: Abreu A., Liberato D., Gonz\u00e1lez E.A., Garcia Ojeda J.C. (eds) Advances in Tourism, Technology and Systems. ICOTTS 2020. Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, vol. 209, pp. 498\u2013508. Springer, Singapore (2021)","DOI":"10.1007\/978-981-33-4260-6_42"},{"issue":"3","key":"2_CR13","first-page":"30","volume":"5","author":"PO Fernandes","year":"2008","unstructured":"Fernandes, P.O., Teixeira, J., Ferreira, J., Azevedo, S.: Modelling tourism demand: A comparative study between artificial neural networks and the box jenkins methodology. Rom. J. Econ. Forecast. 5(3), 30\u201350 (2008)","journal-title":"Rom. J. Econ. Forecast."},{"key":"2_CR14","unstructured":"CMS: C\u00e2mara Municipal do Sal\u2014Relat\u00f3rio de Atividade (2017)"},{"key":"2_CR15","unstructured":"CMS: C\u00e2mara Municipal do Sal\u2014Relat\u00f3rio de Atividade (2018)"},{"key":"2_CR16","unstructured":"Xavier, N.M.J.: An\u00e1lise e Previs\u00e3o de S\u00e9ries Temporais com Modelos ARIMA e An\u00e1lise Espectral Singular. Disserta\u00e7\u00e3o de Mestrado, Universidade Aberta (2016)"},{"key":"2_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Chen, L., Li, G., Wu, C., Shen, S.: Forecasting seasonal tourism demand using a multi-series structural time series method. J. Travel Res. (2017)","DOI":"10.1177\/0047287517737191"},{"key":"2_CR18","unstructured":"Butler, R.W.: Seasonality in tourism: Issues and problems. In: Seaton A.V. (eds.) Tourism: the State of the Art. Wiley & Sons, Chichester (1994)"},{"key":"2_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Butler, R.W.: Seasonality in tourism: Issues and implications. In: Baum, T., Lundtorp, S., (eds.) Seasonality in Tourism, Advances in Tourism Research Series. Elsevier Science, Pergamon, UK (2001)","DOI":"10.1016\/B978-0-08-043674-6.50005-2"},{"key":"2_CR20","unstructured":"Biederman, P.S.: Travel and tourism: An industry example, Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River (2008)"},{"key":"2_CR21","unstructured":"Cannas, R.: An overview of tourism seasonality: Key concepts and policies. Alma Tour. J. Tour. Cult. Territ. Develop. 3(5), 40\u201358 (2012)"},{"key":"2_CR22","unstructured":"Morettin, P.A., Toloi, C.M.C.: An\u00e1lise de S\u00e9ries Temporais. Editora Blucher (2006)"},{"key":"2_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Cryer, J. D., Chan, K.S.: Time Series Analysis with Application in, 2nd Edn, p. 491. Springer, New York. ISBN-10: 0387759581 (2008)","DOI":"10.1007\/978-0-387-75959-3"},{"key":"2_CR24","unstructured":"Mishra, P.K., Rout, H.B., Pradhan, B.B.: Seasonality in tourism and forecasting foreign tourist arrivals in India. Iran. J. Manag. Stud. (IJMS) 11(4), 629\u2013658 (2018)"},{"key":"2_CR25","unstructured":"Ehlers, R.S.: An\u00e1lise de S\u00e9ries Temporais. Departamento de Estat\u00edstica, UFPR (2005). http:\/\/www.each.usp.br\/rvicente\/AnaliseDeSeriesTemporais.pdf. Last accessed 16 Apr 2018"},{"key":"2_CR26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Chatfield, C.: Time Series Forecasting. Chapman & Hall\/CRC (2000)","DOI":"10.1201\/9781420036206"},{"key":"2_CR27","unstructured":"Morettin, P.A., Toloi, C. M.: Modelos para Previs\u00e3o de S\u00e9ries Temporais. Edgard Blucher (1981)"},{"key":"2_CR28","unstructured":"Maddala, G.S., Lahiri, K.: Introdution to Econometrics, 4th Edi\u00e7\u00e3o. John Wiley & Sons Ltd, UK (2009)"},{"key":"2_CR29","volume-title":"Industrial and Business Forecasting Method","author":"CD Lewis","year":"1982","unstructured":"Lewis, C.D.: Industrial and Business Forecasting Method. Butterworth Scientific, London (1982)"}],"container-title":["Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies","Advances in Tourism, Technology and Systems"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/978-981-16-9701-2_2","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2022,5,27]],"date-time":"2022-05-27T11:05:31Z","timestamp":1653649531000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/978-981-16-9701-2_2"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2022]]},"ISBN":["9789811697005","9789811697012"],"references-count":29,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-981-16-9701-2_2","relation":{},"ISSN":["2190-3018","2190-3026"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2190-3018","type":"print"},{"value":"2190-3026","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2022]]},"assertion":[{"value":"28 May 2022","order":1,"name":"first_online","label":"First Online","group":{"name":"ChapterHistory","label":"Chapter History"}}]}}