{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,23]],"date-time":"2026-04-23T21:37:45Z","timestamp":1776980265152,"version":"3.51.4"},"reference-count":88,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"3","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2015,3,26]],"date-time":"2015-03-26T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1427328000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/www.springer.com\/tdm"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Reg Environ Change"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2016,3]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-015-0786-1","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2015,3,25]],"date-time":"2015-03-25T15:19:30Z","timestamp":1427296770000},"page":"709-716","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":34,"title":["Environmental influence on commercial fishery landings of small pelagic fish in Portugal"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"16","author":[{"given":"C\u00e9lia M.","family":"Teixeira","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Rita","family":"Gamito","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Francisco","family":"Leit\u00e3o","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Alberto G.","family":"Murta","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Henrique N.","family":"Cabral","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Karim","family":"Erzini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Maria Jos\u00e9","family":"Costa","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2015,3,26]]},"reference":[{"key":"786_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"27","DOI":"10.1023\/A:1026334532390","volume":"13","author":"P Abaunza","year":"2003","unstructured":"Abaunza P, Gordo L, Karlou-Riga C, Murta A, Eltink ATGW, Garcia Santamaria MT, Zimmermann C, Hammer C, Lucio P, Iversen SA, Molloy J, Gallo E (2003) Growth and reproduction of horse mackerel, Trachurus trachurus (carangidae). Rev Fish Biol Fish 13:27\u201361. doi: 10.1023\/A:1026334532390","journal-title":"Rev Fish Biol Fish"},{"key":"786_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"173","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-2979.2008.00310.x","volume":"10","author":"EH Allison","year":"2009","unstructured":"Allison EH, Perry AL, Badjeck M-C, Neil Adger W, Brown K, Conway D, Halls AS, Pilling GM, Reynolds JD, Andrew NL, Dulvy NK (2009) Vulnerability of national economies to the impacts of climate change on fisheries. Fish Fish 10:173\u2013196. doi: 10.1111\/j.1467-2979.2008.00310.x","journal-title":"Fish Fish"},{"key":"786_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.3354\/meps006001","volume":"6","author":"KM Bailey","year":"1981","unstructured":"Bailey KM (1981) Larval transport and recruitment of Pacific hake Merluccius productus. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 6:1\u20139","journal-title":"Mar Ecol Prog Ser"},{"key":"786_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"198","DOI":"10.1126\/science.247.4939.198","volume":"247","author":"A Bakun","year":"1990","unstructured":"Bakun A (1990) Global climate change and intensification of coastal ocean upwelling. Science 247:198\u2013201. doi: 10.1126\/science.247.4939.198","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"786_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"361","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jmarsys.2008.12.008","volume":"79","author":"A Bakun","year":"2010","unstructured":"Bakun A (2010) Linking climate to population variability in marine ecosystems characterized by non-simple dynamics: conceptual templates and schematic constructs. J Mar Syst 79:361\u2013374. doi: 10.1016\/j.jmarsys.2008.12.008","journal-title":"J Mar Syst"},{"key":"786_CR6","first-page":"265","volume":"2","author":"H Belv\u00e8ze","year":"1983","unstructured":"Belv\u00e8ze H, Erzini K (1983) The influence of hydroclimatic factors on the availability of the sardine (Sardina pilchardus Walbaum) in the Moroccan Atlantic fishery. FAO Fish Rep 2:265\u2013309","journal-title":"FAO Fish Rep"},{"key":"786_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2979","DOI":"10.1098\/rstb.2012.0231","volume":"367","author":"JL Blanchard","year":"2012","unstructured":"Blanchard JL, Jennings S, Holmes R, Harle J, Merino G, Allen JI, Holt J, Dulvy NK, Barange M (2012) Potential consequences of climate change for primary production and fish production in large marine ecosystems. Phil Trans R Soc B 367:2979\u20132989. doi: 10.1098\/rstb.2012.0231","journal-title":"Phil Trans R Soc B"},{"key":"786_CR9","unstructured":"Borges MF, Gordo LS (1991) Spatial distribution by season and some biological parameters of horse mackerel (Trachurus trachurus L.) in the Portuguese continental waters (Division Ixa). ICES C.M. 1991\/H:54, Pelagic Fish Cttee, 15 p"},{"key":"786_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"235","DOI":"10.3989\/scimar.2003.67s1235","volume":"67","author":"MF Borges","year":"2003","unstructured":"Borges MF, Santos AMP, Crato N, Mendes H, Mota B (2003) Sardine regime shifts off Portugal: a time series analysis of catches and wind conditions. Sci Mar 67:235\u2013244","journal-title":"Sci Mar"},{"key":"786_CR11","first-page":"179","volume":"60","author":"A Borja","year":"1996","unstructured":"Borja A, Uriarte A, Valencia V, Motos L, Uriarte A (1996) Relationships between anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus L.) recruitment and the environment in the Bay of Biscay. Sci Mar 60:179\u2013192","journal-title":"Sci Mar"},{"key":"786_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"389","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jmarsys.2008.12.015","volume":"79","author":"K Brander","year":"2010","unstructured":"Brander K (2010) Impacts of climate change on fisheries. J Mar Syst 79:389\u2013402. doi: 10.1016\/j.jmarsys.2008.12.015","journal-title":"J Mar Syst"},{"key":"786_CR14","volume-title":"Marine zoogeography","author":"JC Briggs","year":"1974","unstructured":"Briggs JC (1974) Marine zoogeography. McGraw-Hill, New York"},{"key":"786_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"139","DOI":"10.1006\/jmsc.1996.0014","volume":"53","author":"J Castillo","year":"1996","unstructured":"Castillo J, Barbieri MA, Gonzalez A (1996) Relationship between sea surface temperature, salinity, and pelagic fish distribution off northern Chile. ICES J Mar Sci 53:139\u2013146. doi: 10.1006\/jmsc.1996.0014","journal-title":"ICES J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9780511596681","volume-title":"Climate change and small pelagic fish","author":"D Checkley","year":"2009","unstructured":"Checkley D, Alheit J, Oozeki Y, Roy C (2009) Climate change and small pelagic fish. Cambridge University Press Cambridge, UK"},{"key":"786_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"187","DOI":"10.3354\/meps07414","volume":"365","author":"WWL Cheung","year":"2008","unstructured":"Cheung WWL, Close C, Lam VWY, Watson R, Pauly D (2008) Application of macroecological theory to predict effects of climate change on global fisheries potential. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 365:187\u2013197. doi: 10.3354\/meps07414","journal-title":"Mar Ecol Prog Ser"},{"key":"786_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"24","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2486.2009.01995.x","volume":"16","author":"WWL Cheung","year":"2010","unstructured":"Cheung WWL, Lam VWY, Sarmiento KL, Kearney K, Watson R, Zeller D, Pauly D (2010) Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change. Glob Change Biol 16:24\u201335. doi: 10.1111\/j.1365-2486.2009.01995.x","journal-title":"Glob Change Biol"},{"key":"786_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"365","DOI":"10.1038\/nature12156","volume":"497","author":"WWL Cheung","year":"2013","unstructured":"Cheung WWL, Watson R, Pauly P (2013) Signature of ocean warming in global fisheries catch. Nature 497:365\u2013369. doi: 10.1038\/nature12156","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"786_CR20","unstructured":"Collete BB, Nauen CE (1983) FAO species catalogue, vol. 2. Scombrids of the world. Annotated and illustrated catalogue of tunas, mackerels, bonitos and related species known to date. FAO Fish Synop No. 125, 2:137 pp"},{"key":"786_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1245","DOI":"10.1017\/S0025315406014251","volume":"86","author":"SH Coombs","year":"2006","unstructured":"Coombs SH, Smyth TJ, Conway DVP, Halliday NC, Bernal M, Stratoudakis Y, Alvarez P (2006) Spawning season and temperature relationships for sardine (Sardina pilchardus) in the eastern North Atlantic. J Mar Biol Assoc UK 86:1245\u20131252. doi: 10.1017\/S0025315406014251","journal-title":"J Mar Biol Assoc UK"},{"key":"786_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"670","DOI":"10.1139\/f89-086","volume":"46","author":"P Cury","year":"1989","unstructured":"Cury P, Roy C (1989) Optimal environmental window and pelagic fish recruitment success in upwelling areas. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 46:670\u2013680. doi: 10.1139\/f89-086","journal-title":"Can J Fish Aquat Sci"},{"key":"786_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"195","DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-013-0466-y","volume":"14","author":"J-M Rocha Da","year":"2014","unstructured":"Da Rocha J-M, Guti\u00e9rrez M-J, Villasante S (2014) Economic effects of global warming under stock growth uncertainty: the European sardine fishery. Reg Environ Change 14:195\u2013205. doi: 10.1007\/s10113-013-0466-y","journal-title":"Reg Environ Change"},{"key":"786_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"926","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1156401","volume":"321","author":"RJ Diaz","year":"2008","unstructured":"Diaz RJ, Rosenberg R (2008) Spreading dead zones and consequences for marine ecosystems. Science 321:926\u2013929. doi: 10.1126\/science.1156401","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"786_CR25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"151","DOI":"10.1093\/plankt\/10.1.151","volume":"10","author":"RR Dickson","year":"1988","unstructured":"Dickson RR, Kelly PM, Colebrook JM, Wooster WS, Cushing DH (1988) North winds and production in the eastern North Atlantic. J Plankton Res 10:151\u2013169. doi: 10.1093\/plankt\/10.1.151","journal-title":"J Plankton Res"},{"key":"786_CR26","unstructured":"Directorate General for Fisheries and Aquaculture (2000\u20132012) Fishery Resources\u2014Statistics Series (in Portuguese)"},{"key":"786_CR27","unstructured":"Directorate of Fisheries (1965\u20131969) Fisheries Statistics of the Mainland and Adjacent Islands\u2014Navy Department (in Portuguese)"},{"key":"786_CR28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"169","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev.marine.010908.163834","volume":"1","author":"SC Doney","year":"2009","unstructured":"Doney SC, Fabry VJ, Feely RA, Kleypas JA (2009) Ocean acidification: the other CO2 problem. Ann Rev Mar Sci 1:169\u2013192. doi: 10.1146\/annurev.marine.010908.163834","journal-title":"Ann Rev Mar Sci"},{"issue":"1","key":"786_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"36","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2419.2008.00495.x","volume":"18","author":"S Ehrich","year":"2009","unstructured":"Ehrich S, Stelzenm\u00fcller V, Adlerstein S (2009) Linking spatial pattern of bottom fish assemblages with water masses in the North Sea. Fish Oceanogr 18(1):36\u201350. doi: 10.1111\/j.1365-2419.2008.00495.x","journal-title":"Fish Oceanogr"},{"key":"786_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"266","DOI":"10.1111\/j.2517-6161.1988.tb01725.x","volume":"50","author":"D Firth","year":"1988","unstructured":"Firth D (1988) Multiplicative errors: log-normal or gamma? JR Stat Soc B 50:266\u2013268","journal-title":"JR Stat Soc B"},{"key":"786_CR31","first-page":"385","volume":"76","author":"P Fr\u00e9on","year":"2005","unstructured":"Fr\u00e9on P, Cury P, Shannon L, Roy C (2005) Sustainable exploitation of small pelagic fish stocks challenged by environmental and ecosystem changes: a review. Bull Mar Sci 76:385\u2013462","journal-title":"Bull Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"413","DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-012-0358-6","volume":"13","author":"R Gamito","year":"2013","unstructured":"Gamito R, Teixeira CM, Costa MJ, Cabral HN (2013) Climate-induced changes in fish landings of different fleet components of Portuguese fisheries. Reg Environ Change 13:413\u2013421. doi: 10.1007\/s10113-012-0358-6","journal-title":"Reg Environ Change"},{"key":"786_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"207","DOI":"10.1016\/j.fishres.2014.07.014","volume":"161","author":"R Gamito","year":"2015","unstructured":"Gamito R, Teixeira CM, Costa MJ, Cabral HN (2015) Are regional fisheries\u2019 catches changing with climate? Fish Res 161:207\u2013216. doi: 10.1016\/j.fishres.2014.07.014","journal-title":"Fish Res"},{"key":"786_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"87","DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-010-0121-9","volume":"11","author":"MD Garza-Gil","year":"2011","unstructured":"Garza-Gil MD, Torralba-Canom J, Varela-Lafuente MM (2011) Evaluating the economic effects of climate change on the European sardine fishery. Reg Environ Change 11:87\u201395. doi: 10.1007\/s10113-010-0121-9","journal-title":"Reg Environ Change"},{"key":"786_CR35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"241","DOI":"10.3354\/cr020241","volume":"20","author":"B Grbec","year":"2002","unstructured":"Grbec B, Dul\u010di\u0107 J, Morovi\u0107 M (2002) Long-term changes in landings of small pelagic fish in the eastern Adriatic\u2014possible influence of climate oscillations over the Northern Hemisphere. Clim Res 20:241\u2013252. doi: 10.3354\/cr020241","journal-title":"Clim Res"},{"key":"786_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"71","DOI":"10.1038\/nature02708","volume":"430","author":"TB Hallett","year":"2004","unstructured":"Hallett TB, Coulson T, Pilkingston JG, Clutton-Brock TH, Pemberton JM, Grenfell BT (2004) Why large-scale climate indices seem to predict ecological processes better than local weather. Nature 430:71\u201375. doi: 10.1038\/nature02708","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"786_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"31","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2419.2006.00407.x","volume":"16","author":"JA Hare","year":"2007","unstructured":"Hare JA, Able KW (2007) Mechanistic links between climate and fisheries along the east coast of the United States: explaining population outbursts of Atlantic croacker (Micropogonis undulatus). Fish Oceanogr 16:31\u201345. doi: 10.1111\/j.1365-2419.2006.00407.x","journal-title":"Fish Oceanogr"},{"key":"786_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"55","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jmarsys.2013.07.001","volume":"133","author":"V Harris","year":"2014","unstructured":"Harris V, Edwards M, Olhede SC (2014) Multidecadal Atlantic climate variability and its impact on marine pelagic communities. J Mar Syst 133:55\u201369. doi: 10.1016\/j.jmarsys.2013.07.001","journal-title":"J Mar Syst"},{"key":"786_CR39","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1640","DOI":"10.1093\/icesjms\/fsp133","volume":"66","author":"KD Higgason","year":"2009","unstructured":"Higgason KD, Brown M (2009) Local solutions to manage the effects of global climate change on a marine ecosystem: a process guide for marine resource managers. ICES J Mar Sci 66:1640\u20131646. doi: 10.1093\/icesjms\/fsp133","journal-title":"ICES J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR40","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1523","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1189930","volume":"328","author":"O Hoegh-Guldberg","year":"2010","unstructured":"Hoegh-Guldberg O, Bruno JF (2010) The impact of climate change on the World\u2019s marine ecosystems. Science 328:1523\u20131528. doi: 10.1126\/science.1189930","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"786_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"676","DOI":"10.1126\/science.269.5224.676","volume":"269","author":"JW Hurrell","year":"1995","unstructured":"Hurrell JW (1995) Decadal trends in the North Atlantic oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269:676\u2013679. doi: 10.1126\/science.269.5224.676","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"786_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G, Visbeck M (2003) An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G, Visbeck M (Eds), The North Atlantic Oscillation: Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact, vol. 134. Geophys Monogr Ser. pp. 1\u201335. doi: 10.1029\/134GM01","DOI":"10.1029\/134GM01"},{"key":"786_CR43","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9780511546013.003","volume-title":"Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis","author":"IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)","year":"2007","unstructured":"IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2007a) Summary for policymakers. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Mannin M et al (eds) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, pp 1\u201318"},{"key":"786_CR44","unstructured":"IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2007b) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 976 p"},{"key":"786_CR45","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1375","DOI":"10.1098\/rspb.2008.0192","volume":"275","author":"S Jennings","year":"2008","unstructured":"Jennings S, Melin F, Blanchard J, Foster R, Dulvy N, Wilson R (2008) Global-scale predictions of community and ecosystem properties from simple ecological theory. Proc R Soc B Biol Sci 275:1375\u20131383. doi: 10.1098\/rspb.2008.0192","journal-title":"Proc R Soc B Biol Sci"},{"key":"786_CR46","first-page":"251","volume":"42","author":"EM Kitahara","year":"1995","unstructured":"Kitahara EM, Matsuura Y (1995) Growth mortality estimate of the southwest Atlantic anchovy Engraulis anchoita larvae from Cape Santa Marta Grande in southern Brazil. Arch Fish Mar Res 42:251\u2013262","journal-title":"Arch Fish Mar Res"},{"key":"786_CR47","volume-title":"Marine fish larvae. Morphology, ecology, and relation to fisheries","author":"R Lasker","year":"1981","unstructured":"Lasker R (1981) Marine fish larvae. Morphology, ecology, and relation to fisheries. University of Washington Press, Seattle"},{"key":"786_CR48","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"259","DOI":"10.3989\/scimar.2003.67s1259","volume":"67","author":"D Levi","year":"2003","unstructured":"Levi D, Andreoli MG, Bonanno A, Fiorentino F, Garofalo G, Mazzola S, Norrito G, Patti B, Pernice G, Ragonese S, Giusto GB, Rizzo P (2003) Embedding sea surface temperature anomalies into the stock recruitment relationship of red mullet (Mullus barbatus L. 1758) in the Strait of Sicily. Sci Mar 67:259\u2013268","journal-title":"Sci Mar"},{"key":"786_CR49","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"33","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-2419.2001.00151.x","volume":"10","author":"J Lloret","year":"2001","unstructured":"Lloret J, Lleonart J, Sol\u00e9 I, Fromentinc J-M (2001) Fluctuations of landings and environmental conditions in the northwestern Mediterranean Sea. Fish Oceanogr 10:33\u201350. doi: 10.1046\/j.1365-2419.2001.00151.x","journal-title":"Fish Oceanogr"},{"key":"786_CR50","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"102","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-2419.2003.00279.x","volume":"13","author":"J Lloret","year":"2004","unstructured":"Lloret J, Palomera I, Salat J, Sole I (2004) Impact of freshwater input and wind on landings of anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) and sardine (Sardina pilchardus) in shelf waters surrounding the Ebre (Ebro) River delta (north-western Mediterranean). Fish Oceanogr 13:102\u2013110. doi: 10.1046\/j.1365-2419.2003.00279.x","journal-title":"Fish Oceanogr"},{"key":"786_CR51","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"195","DOI":"10.2989\/02577618909504561","volume":"8","author":"D Lluch-Belda","year":"1989","unstructured":"Lluch-Belda D, Crawford RJM, Kawasaki T, MacCall AD, Parrish RH, Schwartzlose RA, Smith PE (1989) World-wide fluctuations of sardine and anchovy stocks: the regime problem. S Afr J Mar Sci 8:195\u2013205. doi: 10.2989\/02577618909504561","journal-title":"S Afr J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR52","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1806","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1128035","volume":"312","author":"HK Lotze","year":"2006","unstructured":"Lotze HK, Lenihan HS, Bourque BJ, Bradbury RH, Cooke RG, Kay MC, Kidwell SM, Kirby MX, Peterson CH, Jackson JBC (2006) Depletion, degradation, and recovery potential of estuaries and coastal seas. Science 312:1806\u20131809. doi: 10.1126\/science.1128035","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"786_CR53","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"150","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jmarsys.2013.04.014","volume":"135","author":"D Mac\u00edas","year":"2014","unstructured":"Mac\u00edas D, Castilla-Espino D, Garc\u00eda-del-Hoyo JJ, Navarro G, Catal\u00e1n IA, Renault L, Ruiz J (2014) Consequences of a future climatic scenario for the anchovy fishery in the Alboran Sea (SW Mediterranean): a modeling study. J Mar Syst 135:150\u2013159. doi: 10.1016\/j.jmarsys.2013.04.014","journal-title":"J Mar Syst"},{"key":"786_CR54","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"137","DOI":"10.1016\/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.008","volume":"22","author":"EMP Madin","year":"2012","unstructured":"Madin EMP, Ban NC, Doubleday ZA, Holmes TH, Pecl GT, Smith F (2012) Socio-economic and management implications of range shifting species in marine systems. Glob Environ Change 22:137\u2013146. doi: 10.1016\/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.008","journal-title":"Glob Environ Change"},{"key":"786_CR55","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"925","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-011-0091-z","volume":"110","author":"P Mart\u00edn","year":"2012","unstructured":"Mart\u00edn P, Sabat\u00e9s A, Lloret J, Martin-Vide J (2012) Climate modulation of fish populations: the role of the Western Mediterranean Oscillation (WeMO) in sardine (Sardina pilchardus) and anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) production in the north-western Mediterranean. Clim Change 110:925\u2013939. doi: 10.1007\/s10584-011-0091-z","journal-title":"Clim Change"},{"key":"786_CR56","unstructured":"Martins MM (1996) New biological data on growth and maturity of Spanish mackerel (Scomber japonicus) off the Portuguese coast (ICES Division IX a). ICES CM1996\/H:23"},{"key":"786_CR57","unstructured":"Martins MMB, Jorge IM, Gordo LS (1983) On the maturity, morphological characteristics and growth of Scomber japonicus Houttuyn, 1780 of west continental coast of Portugal. ICES CM1983\/H:39:9\u00a0pp"},{"key":"786_CR58","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"551","DOI":"10.3989\/scimar.03861.07B","volume":"77","author":"MM Martins","year":"2013","unstructured":"Martins MM, Skagen D, Marques V, Zwolinski J, Silva A (2013) Changes in the abundance and spatial distribution of the Atlantic chub mackerel (Scomber colias) in the pelagic ecosystem and fisheries off Portugal. Sci Mar 77:551\u2013563. doi: 10.3989\/scimar.03861.07B","journal-title":"Sci Mar"},{"key":"786_CR59","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1007\/978-1-4899-3242-6","volume-title":"Generalized Linear Models","author":"P McCullagh","year":"1989","unstructured":"McCullagh P, Nelder JA (1989) Generalized Linear Models. Chapman and Hall, London"},{"key":"786_CR60","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"95","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2419.2006.00415.x","volume":"16","author":"F M\u00e9nard","year":"2007","unstructured":"M\u00e9nard F, Marsac F, Bellier E, Cazelles B (2007) Climatic oscillations and tuna catch rates in the Indian Ocean: a wavelet approach to time series analysis. Fish Oceanogr 16:95\u2013104. doi: 10.1111\/j.1365-2419.2006.00415.x","journal-title":"Fish Oceanogr"},{"key":"786_CR61","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1185","DOI":"10.2307\/2532460","volume":"46","author":"RA Myers","year":"1990","unstructured":"Myers RA, Pepin P (1990) The robustness of lognormal based estimators of abundance. Biometrics 46:1185\u20131192. doi: 10.2307\/2532460","journal-title":"Biometrics"},{"key":"786_CR62","unstructured":"National Institute of Statistics (1970\u20131999) Fisheries Statistics of the Mainland and Adjacent Islands (in Portuguese)"},{"key":"786_CR63","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1007\/s004420100655","volume":"128","author":"G Ottersen","year":"2001","unstructured":"Ottersen G, Planque B, Belgrano A, Post E, Reid PC, Stenseth NC (2001) Ecological effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Oecologia 128:1\u201314. doi: 10.1007\/s004420100655","journal-title":"Oecologia"},{"key":"786_CR64","first-page":"175","volume":"1","author":"RC Parrish","year":"1981","unstructured":"Parrish RC, Nelson CS, Bakun A (1981) Transport mechanisms and reproductive success of fishes in the California Current. Biol Oceanogr 1:175\u2013203. doi: 10.1080\/01965581.1981.10749438","journal-title":"Biol Oceanogr"},{"key":"786_CR65","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"689","DOI":"10.1038\/nature01017","volume":"418","author":"D Pauly","year":"2002","unstructured":"Pauly D, Christensen V, Gu\u0115\u0131nette S, Pitcher TJ, Sumaila UR, Walters CJ (2002) Towards sustainability in world fisheries. Nature 418:689\u2013695. doi: 10.1038\/nature01017","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"786_CR66","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1623","DOI":"10.2307\/2532157","volume":"47","author":"M Pennington","year":"1991","unstructured":"Pennington M, Myers RA, Pepin P (1991) On testing the robustness of lognormal based estimators. Biometrics 47:1623\u20131624","journal-title":"Biometrics"},{"key":"786_CR67","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1912","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1111322","volume":"308","author":"AL Perry","year":"2005","unstructured":"Perry AL, Low PJ, Ellis JR, Reynolds JD (2005) Climate change and distribution shifts in marine fishes. Science 308:1912\u20131915. doi: 10.1126\/science.1111322","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"786_CR68","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"690","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1163156","volume":"322","author":"HO P\u00f6rtner","year":"2008","unstructured":"P\u00f6rtner HO, Farrell AP (2008) Physiology and climate change. Science 322:690\u2013692. doi: 10.1126\/science.1163156","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"786_CR69","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"197","DOI":"10.1016\/S0990-7440(02)01182-8","volume":"15","author":"J-C Poulard","year":"2002","unstructured":"Poulard J-C, L\u00e9aut\u00e9 J-P (2002) Interaction between marine populations and fishing activities: temporal patterns of landings of La Rochelle trawlers in the Bay of Biscay. Aquat Living Resour 15:197\u2013210. doi: 10.1016\/S0990-7440(02)01182-8","journal-title":"Aquat Living Resour"},{"key":"786_CR70","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"281","DOI":"10.1093\/icesjms\/fsq045","volume":"68","author":"IG Priede","year":"2011","unstructured":"Priede IG, Godbold JA, Niedzielski T, Collins MA, Bailey DM, Gordon JDM, Zuur AF (2011) A review of the spatial extent of fishery effects and species vulnerability of the deep-sea demersal fish assemblage of the Porcupine Seabight, Northeast Atlantic Ocean (ICES Subarea VII). ICES J Mar Sci 68:281\u2013289. doi: 10.1093\/icesjms\/fsq045","journal-title":"ICES J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR85","unstructured":"R Core Team (2012) R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, http:\/\/www.R-project.org\/"},{"key":"786_CR71","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"21","DOI":"10.1051\/alr:1989003","volume":"2","author":"CP Roy","year":"1989","unstructured":"Roy CP, Cury P, Fontana A, Belv\u00e8ze H (1989) Strat\u00e9gies spatio-temporelles de la reproduction des clup\u00e9id\u00e9s des zones d\u2019upwelling d\u2019Afrique de l\u2019Ouest. Aquat Living Resour 2:21\u201329. doi: 10.1051\/alr:1989003","journal-title":"Aquat Living Resour"},{"key":"786_CR72","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2209","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2486.2006.01246.x","volume":"12","author":"A Sabat\u00e9s","year":"2006","unstructured":"Sabat\u00e9s A, Mart\u00edn P, Lloret J, Raya V (2006) Sea warming and fish distribution: the case of the small pelagic fish, Sardinella aurita, in the western Mediterranean. Glob Change Biol 12:2209\u20132219. doi: 10.1111\/j.1365-2486.2006.01246.x","journal-title":"Glob Change Biol"},{"key":"786_CR73","unstructured":"Santos FD, Miranda P (2006) In: Santos FD, Miranda P (Eds.) Climate change in Portugal: Scenarios, impacts and adaptation measures. Projeto SIAM II. Gradiva, Lisboa, Portugal, 506 p (in Portuguese)"},{"key":"786_CR74","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"589","DOI":"10.1006\/jmsc.2001.1060","volume":"58","author":"AMP Santos","year":"2001","unstructured":"Santos AMP, Borges MF, Groom S (2001) Sardine and horse mackerel recruitment and upwelling off Portugal. ICES J Mar Sci 58:589\u2013596. doi: 10.1006\/jmsc.2001.1060","journal-title":"ICES J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR75","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"739","DOI":"10.1093\/icesjms\/fsr186","volume":"69","author":"MB Santos","year":"2012","unstructured":"Santos MB, Gonz\u00e1lez-Quir\u00f3s R, Riveiro I, Cabanas JM, Porteiro C, Pierce GJ (2012) Cycles, trends, and residual variation in the Iberian sardine (Sardina pilchardus) recruitment series and their relationship with the environment. ICES J Mar Sci 69:739\u2013750. doi: 10.1093\/icesjms\/fsr186","journal-title":"ICES J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR76","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"289","DOI":"10.2989\/025776199784125962","volume":"21","author":"RA Schwartzlose","year":"1999","unstructured":"Schwartzlose RA, Alheit J, Bakun A, Baumgartner TR, Cloete R, Crawford RJM, Fletcher WJ, Green-Ruiz Y, Hagen E, Kawasaki T, Lluch-Belda D, Lluch-Cota SE, MacCall AD, Matsuura Y, Nev\u00e1rez-Mart\u00ednez MO, Parrish RH, Roy C, Serra R, Shust KV, Ward MN, Zuzunaga JZ (1999) Worldwide large-scale fluctuations of sardines and anchovy populations. S Afr J Mar Sci 21:289\u2013347. doi: 10.2989\/025776199784125962","journal-title":"S Afr J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR77","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"663","DOI":"10.1016\/j.icesjms.2006.01.005","volume":"63","author":"A Silva","year":"2006","unstructured":"Silva A, Santos MB, Caneco B, Pestana G, Porteiro C, Carrera P, Stratoudakis Y (2006) Temporal and geographic variability of sardine maturity at length in the northeastern Atlantic and the western Mediterranean. ICES J Mar Sci 63:663\u2013676. doi: 10.1016\/j.icesjms.2006.01.005","journal-title":"ICES J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR78","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"577","DOI":"10.1006\/jmsc.1996.0079","volume":"53","author":"G Stef\u00e1nsson","year":"1996","unstructured":"Stef\u00e1nsson G (1996) Analysis of groundfish survey abundance data: combining the GLM and delta approaches. ICES J Mar Sci 53:577\u2013588. doi: 10.1006\/jmsc.1996.0079","journal-title":"ICES J Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR79","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2087","DOI":"10.1098\/rspb.2003.2415","volume":"270","author":"NC Stenseth","year":"2003","unstructured":"Stenseth NC, Ottersen G, Hurrell JW, Mysterud A, Lima M, Chan K-S, Yoccoz NG, Adlandsvik B (2003) Studying climate effects on ecology through the use of climate indices: the North Oscillation, El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation and beyond. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 270:2087\u20132096. doi: 10.1098\/rspb.2003.2415","journal-title":"Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci"},{"key":"786_CR80","first-page":"264","volume-title":"Marine ecosystems and climate variation","author":"NC Stenseth","year":"2004","unstructured":"Stenseth NC, Ottersen G, Hurrell JW, Belgrano A (2004) Marine ecosystems and climate variation. Oxford University Press, New York, p 264"},{"key":"786_CR81","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"201","DOI":"10.1007\/s00227-007-0674-4","volume":"152","author":"Y Stratoudakis","year":"2007","unstructured":"Stratoudakis Y, Coombs S, Lanz\u00f3s AL, Halliday N, Costas G, Caneco B, Franco C, Conway D, Santos MB, Silva A, Bernal M (2007) Sardine (Sardina pilchardus) spawning seasonality in European waters of the northeast Atlantic. Mar Biol 152:201\u2013212. doi: 10.1007\/s00227-007-0674-4","journal-title":"Mar Biol"},{"key":"786_CR82","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"449","DOI":"10.1038\/nclimate1301","volume":"1","author":"UR Sumaila","year":"2011","unstructured":"Sumaila UR, Cheung WWL, Lam VWY, Pauly D, Herrick S (2011) Climate change impacts on the biophysics and economics of world fisheries. Nat Clim Chang 1:449\u2013456. doi: 10.1038\/nclimate1301","journal-title":"Nat Clim Chang"},{"key":"786_CR83","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1823","DOI":"10.1098\/rspb.2010.1295","volume":"278","author":"JM Sunday","year":"2011","unstructured":"Sunday JM, Bates AE, Dulvy NK (2011) Global analysis of thermal tolerance and latitude in ectotherms. Proc R Soc Lond B 278:1823\u20131830. doi: 10.1098\/rspb.2010.1295","journal-title":"Proc R Soc Lond B"},{"key":"786_CR84","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"305","DOI":"10.1080\/10641260802677074","volume":"17","author":"A Tacon","year":"2009","unstructured":"Tacon A, Metian M (2009) Fishing for aquaculture: non-food use of small pelagic forage fish\u2014a global perspective. Rev Fish Sci 17:305\u2013317. doi: 10.1080\/10641260802677074","journal-title":"Rev Fish Sci"},{"key":"786_CR86","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"657","DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-013-0524-5","volume":"14","author":"CM Teixeira","year":"2014","unstructured":"Teixeira CM, Gamito R, Leit\u00e3o F, Cabral HN, Erzini K, Costa MJ (2014) Trends in landings of fish species potentially affected by climate change in Portuguese fisheries. Reg Environ Change 14:657\u2013669. doi: 10.1007\/s10113-013-0524-5","journal-title":"Reg Environ Change"},{"key":"786_CR87","first-page":"1","volume":"84","author":"GH Theilacker","year":"1986","unstructured":"Theilacker GH (1986) Starvation-induced mortality of young sea-caught jack mackerel, Trachurus symmetricus, determined with histological and morphological methods. Fish Bull 84:1\u201317","journal-title":"Fish Bull"},{"key":"786_CR88","first-page":"43","volume":"29","author":"J Vasconcelos","year":"2012","unstructured":"Vasconcelos J, Afonso-Dias M, Faria G (2012) Atlantic chub mackerel (Scomber colias) spawning season, size and age at first maturity in Madeira waters. Arquipel Life Mar Sci 29:43\u201351","journal-title":"Arquipel Life Mar Sci"},{"key":"786_CR89","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"787","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1132294","volume":"314","author":"B Worm","year":"2006","unstructured":"Worm B, Barbier EB, Beaumont N, Duffy JE, Folke C, Halpern BS, Jackson JBC, Lotze HK, Micheli F, Palumbi SR, Sala E, Selkoe KA, Stachowicz JJ, Watson R (2006) Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem services. Science 314:787\u2013790. doi: 10.1126\/science.1132294","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"786_CR90","unstructured":"Wyatt T, P\u00e9rez-G\u00e1ndaras G (1988) Ekman transport and sardine yields in western Iberia. In: International symposium on long-term changes in marine fish populations, Vigo, pp. 125\u2013138"}],"container-title":["Regional Environmental Change"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s10113-015-0786-1.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10113-015-0786-1\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s10113-015-0786-1","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,21]],"date-time":"2025-05-21T16:23:49Z","timestamp":1747844629000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s10113-015-0786-1"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2015,3,26]]},"references-count":88,"journal-issue":{"issue":"3","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2016,3]]}},"alternative-id":["786"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10113-015-0786-1","relation":{},"ISSN":["1436-3798","1436-378X"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1436-3798","type":"print"},{"value":"1436-378X","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2015,3,26]]}}}