{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,9]],"date-time":"2025-11-09T03:38:39Z","timestamp":1762659519457},"reference-count":49,"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","issue":"1-2","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2016,6,23]],"date-time":"2016-06-23T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1466640000000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/www.springer.com\/tdm"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["link.springer.com"],"crossmark-restriction":false},"short-container-title":["Climatic Change"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2016,9]]},"DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-016-1719-9","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2016,6,24]],"date-time":"2016-06-24T05:51:52Z","timestamp":1466747512000},"page":"239-251","update-policy":"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":23,"title":["The impact of climate change on the winegrape vineyards of the Portuguese Douro region"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"138","author":[{"given":"Mario","family":"Cunha","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Christian","family":"Richter","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2016,6,23]]},"reference":[{"key":"1719_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"351","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1469-8137.2004.01224.x","volume":"165","author":"EA Ainsworth","year":"2005","unstructured":"Ainsworth EA, Long SP (2005) What have we learned from 15 years of free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE)? A meta-analytic review of the responses of photosynthesis, canopy properties and plant production to rising CO2. New Phytol 165:351\u2013372","journal-title":"New Phytol"},{"key":"1719_CR2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"213","DOI":"10.3354\/cr007213","volume":"7","author":"M Bindi","year":"1996","unstructured":"Bindi M, Fibbi L, Gozzini B, Orlandini S, Miglietta F (1996) Modelling the impact of future climate scenarios on yield and yield variability of grapevine. Clim Res 7:213\u2013224","journal-title":"Clim Res"},{"key":"1719_CR3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"135","DOI":"10.1016\/S1161-0301(00)00092-7","volume":"14","author":"M Bindi","year":"2001","unstructured":"Bindi M, Fibbi L, Lanini M, Miglietta F (2001) Free Air CO2 enrichment (FACE) of grapevine (Vitis vinifera L.): I. development and testing of the system for CO2 enrichment. Eur J Agron 14:135\u2013143","journal-title":"Eur J Agron"},{"key":"1719_CR4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/annotation\/5c16bd9b-5a6b-4d29-bafa-4d0a92552db2","volume":"8","author":"A Bock","year":"2013","unstructured":"Bock A, Sparks TH, Estrella N, Menzel A (2013) Climate-induced changes in grapevine yield and must sugar content in Franconia (Germany) between 1805 and 2010. PLoS One 8, e69015","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"1719_CR5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"171","DOI":"10.1016\/0308-521X(96)00011-X","volume":"52","author":"BAM Bouman","year":"1996","unstructured":"Bouman BAM, vanKeulen H, vanLaar HH, Rabbinge R (1996) The \u2018School of de Wit\u2019 crop growth simulation models: a pedigree and historical overview. Agric Syst 52:171\u2013198","journal-title":"Agric Syst"},{"key":"1719_CR6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"241","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-013-1044-5","volume":"123","author":"E Briche","year":"2014","unstructured":"Briche E, Beltrando G, Somot S, Quenol H (2014) Critical analysis of simulated daily temperature data from the ARPEGE-climate model: application to climate change in the champagne wine-producing region. Clim Chang 123:241\u2013254","journal-title":"Clim Chang"},{"key":"1719_CR7","first-page":"279","volume-title":"Plant response to stress-functional analyses in Mediterranean ecosystems","author":"M Chaves","year":"1987","unstructured":"Chaves M, Rodrigues L (1987) Photosynthesis and water relations in grapevines response to environmental factors. In: Dea TJ (ed) Plant response to stress-functional analyses in Mediterranean ecosystems. Springer, Berlin, pp 279\u2013290"},{"key":"1719_CR8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Chen C, Chang C (2005) The impact of weather on crop yield distribution in Taiwan: some new evidence from panel data models and implications for crop insurance. Agric Econ 33(S3):503\u2013511","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1574-0864.2005.00097.x"},{"key":"1719_CR9","unstructured":"Clingeleffer P, Dunn G, Krstic M, Martin S (2001) Crop development, crop estimation and crop control to secure quality and production of major wine grape varieties: a national approach. Technical report, Australian Grape and Wine Authority, Adelaide, Australia, 136 pp"},{"key":"1719_CR10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"117","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agrformet.2013.09.008","volume":"184","author":"G Cola","year":"2014","unstructured":"Cola G, Mariani L, Salinari F, Civardi S, Bernizzoni F, Gatti M, Poni S (2014) Description and testing of a weather-based model for predicting phenology, canopy development and source-sink balance in Vitis vinifera L. cv. Barbera. Agric For Meteorol 184:117\u2013136","journal-title":"Agric For Meteorol"},{"key":"1719_CR11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"357","DOI":"10.1007\/s00484-011-0439-0","volume":"56","author":"M Cunha","year":"2012","unstructured":"Cunha M, Richter C (2012) Measuring the impact of temperature changes on the wine production in the Douro region using the short time Fourier transform. Int J Biometeorol 56:357\u2013370","journal-title":"Int J Biometeorol"},{"key":"1719_CR12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"6156","DOI":"10.1109\/TGRS.2013.2295321","volume":"52","author":"M Cunha","year":"2014","unstructured":"Cunha M, Richter C (2014) A time-frequency analysis on the impact of climate variability on semi-natural mountain meadows. IEEE Trans Geosci Remote Sens 52:6156\u20136164","journal-title":"IEEE Trans Geosci Remote Sens"},{"key":"1719_CR13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"189","DOI":"10.5344\/ajev.2003.54.3.189","volume":"54","author":"M Cunha","year":"2003","unstructured":"Cunha M, Abreu I, Pinto P, Castro R (2003) Airborne pollen samples for early-season estimates of wine production in a Mediterranean climate of northern Portugal. Am J Enol Vitic 54:189\u2013194","journal-title":"Am J Enol Vitic"},{"key":"1719_CR14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3125","DOI":"10.1080\/01431160903154382","volume":"31","author":"M Cunha","year":"2010","unstructured":"Cunha M, Marcal ARS, Silva L (2010) Very early prediction of wine yield based on satellite data from vegetation. Int J Remote Sens 31:3125\u20133142","journal-title":"Int J Remote Sens"},{"key":"1719_CR15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"42","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eja.2015.10.008","volume":"73","author":"M Cunha","year":"2016","unstructured":"Cunha M, Ribeiro H, Abreu I (2016) Pollen-based predictive modelling of wine production: application to an arid region. Eur J Agron 73:42\u201354","journal-title":"Eur J Agron"},{"key":"1719_CR16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"365","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-011-0322-3","volume":"109","author":"O Deschenes","year":"2011","unstructured":"Deschenes O, Kolstad C (2011) Economic impacts of climate change on California agriculture. Clim Chang 109:365\u2013386","journal-title":"Clim Chang"},{"key":"1719_CR17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"226","DOI":"10.1111\/ajgw.12138","volume":"21","author":"MR Dunn","year":"2015","unstructured":"Dunn MR, Lindesay JA, Howden M (2015) Spatial and temporal scales of future climate information for climate change adaptation in viticulture: a case study of user needs in the Australian winegrape sector. Aust J Grape Wine Res 21:226\u2013239","journal-title":"Aust J Grape Wine Res"},{"key":"1719_CR18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"26","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agrformet.2013.11.003","volume":"185","author":"H Fraga","year":"2014","unstructured":"Fraga H, Malheiro AC, Moutinho-Pereira J, Santos JA (2014) Climate factors driving wine production in the Portuguese Minho region. Agric For Meteorol 185:26\u201336","journal-title":"Agric For Meteorol"},{"key":"1719_CR19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"482","DOI":"10.5344\/ajev.2015.15031","volume":"66","author":"H Fraga","year":"2015","unstructured":"Fraga H, Costa R, Moutinho-Pereira J, Correia CM, Dinis L-T, Goncalves I, Silvestre J, Eiras-Dias J, Malheiro AC, Santos JA (2015) Modeling phenology, water status, and yield components of three Portuguese grapevines using the STICS crop model. Am J Enol Vitic 66:482\u2013491","journal-title":"Am J Enol Vitic"},{"key":"1719_CR20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.4325","volume":"36","author":"H Fraga","year":"2016","unstructured":"Fraga H, Santos JA, Malheiro AC, Oliveira AA, Moutinho-Pereira J, Jones GV (2016) Climatic suitability of Portuguese grapevine varieties and climate change adaptation. Int J Climatol 36:1\u201312","journal-title":"Int J Climatol"},{"key":"1719_CR21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"90","DOI":"10.1016\/j.gloplacha.2007.09.005","volume":"63","author":"F Giorgi","year":"2008","unstructured":"Giorgi F, Lionello P (2008) Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Glob Planet Chang 63:90\u2013104","journal-title":"Glob Planet Chang"},{"key":"1719_CR22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"349","DOI":"10.3354\/cr01006","volume":"48","author":"C Gouveia","year":"2011","unstructured":"Gouveia C, Liberato MLR, Da Camara CC, Trigo RM, Ramos AM (2011) Modelling past and future wine production in the Portuguese Douro Valley. Clim Res 48:349\u2013362","journal-title":"Clim Res"},{"key":"1719_CR23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"9","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eja.2013.11.002","volume":"54","author":"N Guilpart","year":"2014","unstructured":"Guilpart N, Metay A, Gary C (2014) Grapevine bud fertility and number of berries per bunch are determined by water and nitrogen stress around flowering in the previous year. Eur J Agron 54:9\u201320","journal-title":"Eur J Agron"},{"key":"1719_CR24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Hughes H, Richter AC (2009) Economics in the backyard: how much convergence is there between China and her special regions? World Econ 32:819\u2013861","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-9701.2009.01171.x"},{"key":"1719_CR25","volume-title":"Head of technical support unit, the core writing team. Published by IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 114 pp. Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change","author":"IPCC","year":"2007","unstructured":"IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: the AR4 synthesis report. In: Pachauri RK, IPCC Chairman, Resinger A (eds) Head of technical support unit, the core writing team. Published by IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 114 pp. Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge"},{"key":"1719_CR26","unstructured":"IVDP (2015) Instituto dos Vinhos do Douro e Porto, dados estat\u00edsticos sobre a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de vinho do Douro e Porto na Regi\u00e3o Demarcada do Douro. http:\/\/www.ivdp.pt\/statistics . Accessed 29 Jan 2015"},{"key":"1719_CR27","volume-title":"Remote sensing and water balance modelling in California drip-irrigated vineyards","author":"L Johnson","year":"2006","unstructured":"Johnson L, Pierce L, Michaelis A, Scholasch T, Nemani R (2006) Remote sensing and water balance modelling in California drip-irrigated vineyards. ASCE World Environmental & Water Resources, Omaha, NB"},{"key":"1719_CR28","unstructured":"Jones GV (2012) A climate assessment for the Douro wine region: an examination of the past, present, and future climate conditions for wine production. Associa\u00e7\u00e3o para o Desenvolvimento da Viticultura Duriense. http:\/\/www.advid.pt\/imagens\/outros\/1368437718350.pdf . Accessed 19 June 2015, 67 pp"},{"key":"1719_CR29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"249","DOI":"10.5344\/ajev.2000.51.3.249","volume":"51","author":"GV Jones","year":"2000","unstructured":"Jones GV, Davis RE (2000) Climate influences on grapevine phenology, grape composition, and wine production and quality for Bordeaux, France. Am J Enol Vitic 51:249\u2013261","journal-title":"Am J Enol Vitic"},{"key":"1719_CR30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Jones G, White M, Cooper O, Storchmann K (2005a) Climate change and global wine quality. Clim Chang 73:319\u2013343","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-005-4704-2"},{"key":"1719_CR31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Jones GV, White MA, Cooper OR, Storchmann K (2005b) Climate change and global wine quality. Clim Chang 73:319\u2013343","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-005-4704-2"},{"key":"1719_CR32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"187","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-006-9141-3","volume":"81","author":"D Lobell","year":"2007","unstructured":"Lobell D, Cahill K, Field C (2007) Historical effects of temperature and precipitation on California crop yields. Clim Chang 81:187\u2013203","journal-title":"Clim Chang"},{"key":"1719_CR33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"887","DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-012-0387-1","volume":"13","author":"MN Lorenzo","year":"2013","unstructured":"Lorenzo MN, Taboada JJ, Lorenzo JF, Ramos AM (2013) Influence of climate on grape production and wine quality in the R\u00edas Baixas, north-western Spain. Reg Environ Chang 13:887\u2013896","journal-title":"Reg Environ Chang"},{"key":"1719_CR34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"73","DOI":"10.1111\/ajgw.12158","volume":"22","author":"JT Maxwell","year":"2016","unstructured":"Maxwell JT, Ficklin DL, Harley GL, Jones GV (2016) Projecting future winegrape yields using a combination of Vitis vinifera L., growth rings and soil moisture simulations, northern California, USA. Aust J Grape Wine Res 22:73\u201380","journal-title":"Aust J Grape Wine Res"},{"key":"1719_CR35","volume-title":"Flowering and fruitset in grapevines","author":"P May","year":"2004","unstructured":"May P (2004) Flowering and fruitset in grapevines. Lythrum, Adelaide, Australia"},{"key":"1719_CR36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"825","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-013-0739-y","volume":"119","author":"M Moriondo","year":"2013","unstructured":"Moriondo M, Jones GV, Bois B, Dibari C, Ferrise R, Trombi G, Bindi M (2013) Projected shifts of wine regions in response to climate change. Clim Chang 119:825\u2013839","journal-title":"Clim Chang"},{"key":"1719_CR37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"387","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envsoft.2014.12.016","volume":"72","author":"M Moriondo","year":"2015","unstructured":"Moriondo M, Ferrise R, Trombi G, Brilli L, Dibari C, Bindi M (2015) Modelling olive trees and grapevines in a changing climate. Environ Model Softw 72:387\u2013401","journal-title":"Environ Model Softw"},{"key":"1719_CR38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"96","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eja.2010.11.003","volume":"34","author":"JE Olesen","year":"2011","unstructured":"Olesen JE, Trnka M, Kersebaum KC, Skjelv\u00e5g AO, Seguin B, Peltonen-Sainio P, Rossi F, Kozyra J, Micale F (2011) Impacts and adaptation of European crop production systems to climate change. Eur J Agron 34:96\u2013112","journal-title":"Eur J Agron"},{"key":"1719_CR39","volume-title":"Compendium of grape diseases","author":"R Pearson","year":"1990","unstructured":"Pearson R, Goheen A (1990) Compendium of grape diseases. American Phytopathological Society, St. Paul, MN"},{"key":"1719_CR40","unstructured":"Pierce L, Nemani R, Johnson L (2015) VSIM - Vineyard Soil Irrigation Model, release 3\/1\/06: user guide. Available online at http:\/\/geo.arc.nasa.gov\/sge\/vintage\/vsim_050103_guide.pdf . Accessed 29 January 2015"},{"key":"1719_CR41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"91","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agsy.2009.03.006","volume":"101","author":"S Quiroga","year":"2009","unstructured":"Quiroga S, Iglesias A (2009) A comparison of the climate risks of cereal, citrus, grapevine and olive production in Spain. Agric Syst 101:91\u2013100","journal-title":"Agric Syst"},{"key":"1719_CR42","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Santos J, Malheiro AC, Karremann MK, Pinto JG (2010) Statistical modelling of grapevine yield in the Port Wine region under present and future climate conditions. Int J Biometeorol 55(2):119\u2013131","DOI":"10.1007\/s00484-010-0318-0"},{"key":"1719_CR43","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"211","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-012-0538-x","volume":"117","author":"JA Santos","year":"2013","unstructured":"Santos JA, Gr\u00e4tsch SD, Karremann MK, Jones GV, Pinto JG (2013) Ensemble projections for wine production in the Douro Valley of Portugal. Clim Chang 117:211\u2013225","journal-title":"Clim Chang"},{"key":"1719_CR44","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"96","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agrformet.2012.05.005","volume":"164","author":"I Supit","year":"2012","unstructured":"Supit I, van Diepen CA, de Wit AJW, Wolf J, Kabat P, Baruth B, Ludwig F (2012) Assessing climate change effects on European crop yields using the crop growth monitoring system and a weather generator. Agric For Meteorol 164:96\u2013111","journal-title":"Agric For Meteorol"},{"key":"1719_CR45","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"349","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-011-0059-z","volume":"109","author":"S Urhausen","year":"2011","unstructured":"Urhausen S, Brienen S, Kapala A, Simmer C (2011) Climatic conditions and their impact on viticulture in the upper Moselle region. Clim Chang 109:349\u2013373","journal-title":"Clim Chang"},{"key":"1719_CR46","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"207","DOI":"10.5344\/ajev.2004.55.3.207","volume":"55","author":"C Leeuwen van","year":"2004","unstructured":"van Leeuwen C, Friant P, Chone X, Tregoat O, Koundouras S, Dubourdieu D (2004) Influence of climate, soil, and cultivar on terroir. Am J Enol Vitic 55:207\u2013217","journal-title":"Am J Enol Vitic"},{"key":"1719_CR47","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"411","DOI":"10.5344\/ajev.2009.60.4.411","volume":"60","author":"MC Vasconcelos","year":"2009","unstructured":"Vasconcelos MC, Greven M, Winefield CS, Trought MCT, Raw V (2009) The flowering process of Vitis vinifera: a review. Am J Enol Vitic 60:411\u2013434","journal-title":"Am J Enol Vitic"},{"key":"1719_CR48","unstructured":"Vossen P, Rijks D (2001) Early crop yield assessment of the EU countries: the system implemented by the Join Research Centre. Technical report, Publications of the European Communities, Brussels"},{"key":"1719_CR49","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Wells C (1996) The Kalman Filter in Finance, vol. 32. Advanced studies in theoretical and applied econometrics. Kluwer, Dordrecht, Netherlands","DOI":"10.1007\/978-94-015-8611-5"}],"container-title":["Climatic Change"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s10584-016-1719-9.pdf","content-type":"application\/pdf","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10584-016-1719-9\/fulltext.html","content-type":"text\/html","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/content\/pdf\/10.1007\/s10584-016-1719-9","content-type":"unspecified","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"similarity-checking"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,6,17]],"date-time":"2024-06-17T21:33:28Z","timestamp":1718660008000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/10.1007\/s10584-016-1719-9"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2016,6,23]]},"references-count":49,"journal-issue":{"issue":"1-2","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2016,9]]}},"alternative-id":["1719"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s10584-016-1719-9","relation":{},"ISSN":["0165-0009","1573-1480"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0165-0009","type":"print"},{"value":"1573-1480","type":"electronic"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2016,6,23]]}}}