{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,3,24]],"date-time":"2026-03-24T06:27:01Z","timestamp":1774333621944,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":53,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-017"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-037"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-012"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-029"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,3,1]],"date-time":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1740787200000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-004"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100001459","name":"Government of Singapore Ministry of Education","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["A-8001949-00-00"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["A-8001949-00-00"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100001459","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Computational Statistics &amp; Data Analysis"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,3]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2024,11,8]],"date-time":"2024-11-08T21:43:38Z","timestamp":1731102218000},"page":"108080","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":2,"special_numbering":"C","title":["Statistical modeling of Dengue transmission dynamics with environmental factors"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"203","author":[{"given":"Lengyang","family":"Wang","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Mingke","family":"Zhang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0010","article-title":"Influenza seasonality and its environmental driving factors in mainland China and Hong Kong","volume":"818","author":"Ali","year":"2021","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0020","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0165944","article-title":"Environmental factors related to pulmonary tuberculosis in HIV-infected patients in the combined antiretroviral therapy (cart) era","volume":"11","author":"Alvaro-Meca","year":"2016","journal-title":"PLoS ONE"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0030","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0006935","article-title":"Statistical modeling of the effect of rainfall flushing on Dengue transmission in Singapore","volume":"12","author":"Benedum","year":"2018","journal-title":"PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0040","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5730","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-019-13628-x","article-title":"Impacts of Zika emergence in Latin America on endemic Dengue transmission","volume":"10","author":"Borchering","year":"2019","journal-title":"Nat. Commun."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0050","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"791","DOI":"10.1080\/01621459.1976.10480949","article-title":"Science and statistics","volume":"71","author":"Box","year":"1976","journal-title":"J. Am. Stat. Assoc."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0060","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2619","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-021-22921-7","article-title":"Lying in wait: the resurgence of Dengue virus after the Zika epidemic in Brazil","volume":"12","author":"Brito","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat. Commun."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0070","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"123","DOI":"10.2307\/3318584","article-title":"Sieve bootstrap for time series","volume":"3","author":"B\u00fchlmann","year":"1997","journal-title":"Bernoulli"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0080","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1233","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-021-21496-7","article-title":"Climate predicts geographic and temporal variation in mosquito-borne disease dynamics on two continents","volume":"12","author":"Caldwell","year":"2021","journal-title":"Nat. Commun."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0090","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"6319","DOI":"10.3390\/ijerph10126319","article-title":"Assessing weather effects on Dengue disease in Malaysia","volume":"10","author":"Cheong","year":"2013","journal-title":"Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0100","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"241","DOI":"10.1186\/s12889-016-2923-2","article-title":"Effects of weather factors on Dengue fever incidence and implications for interventions in Cambodia","volume":"16","author":"Choi","year":"2016","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0110","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0002503","article-title":"The effects of weather and climate change on Dengue","volume":"7","author":"Col\u00f3n-Gonz\u00e1lez","year":"2013","journal-title":"PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0120","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"42","DOI":"10.1186\/s40249-015-0075-8","article-title":"A study of the correlation between Dengue and weather in Kandy City, Sri Lanka (2003\u20132012) and lessons learned","volume":"4","author":"Ehelepola","year":"2015","journal-title":"Infect. Dis. Poverty"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0130","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.8306","article-title":"Untangling serially dependent under-reported count data for gender-based violence","volume":"38","author":"Fern\u00e1ndez-Fontelo","year":"2019","journal-title":"Stat. Med."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0140","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"187","DOI":"10.1111\/1467-9876.00187","article-title":"Time series modelling of childhood diseases: a dynamical systems approach","volume":"49","author":"Finkenst\u00e4dt","year":"2000","journal-title":"J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. C, Appl. Stat."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0150","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"979","DOI":"10.1093\/infdis\/jiw102","article-title":"Dengue viruses and lifelong immunity: reevaluating the conventional wisdom","volume":"214","author":"Forshey","year":"2016","journal-title":"J. Infect. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0160","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"6872","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0810762106","article-title":"The spread of awareness and its impact on epidemic outbreaks","volume":"106","author":"Funk","year":"2009","journal-title":"Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0170","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3","DOI":"10.2149\/tmh.2011-S05","article-title":"Dengue, urbanization and globalization: the unholy trinity of the 21st century","volume":"39","author":"Gubler","year":"2011","journal-title":"Trop. Med. Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0180","article-title":"Ozone as an environmental driver of influenza","volume":"15","author":"Guo","year":"2024","journal-title":"Nat. Commun."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0190","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"124","DOI":"10.3402\/gha.v2i0.2036","article-title":"Climate variability and increase in intensity magnitude of Dengue incidence in Singapore","volume":"2","author":"Hii","year":"2009","journal-title":"Glob. Health Action"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0200","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0001908","article-title":"Forecast of Dengue incidence using temperature and rainfall","volume":"6","author":"Hii","year":"2012","journal-title":"PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0220","first-page":"1618","article-title":"Estimation of semivarying coefficient time series models with arma errors","volume":"44","author":"Huang","year":"2016","journal-title":"Ann. Stat."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0210","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.csda.2018.12.012","article-title":"A novel partial-linear single-index model for time series data","volume":"134","author":"Huang","year":"2019","journal-title":"Comput. Stat. Data Anal."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0230","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"693","DOI":"10.1214\/009053604000000148","article-title":"Selecting optimal multistep predictors for autoregressive processes of unknown order","volume":"32","author":"Ing","year":"2004","journal-title":"Ann. Stat."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0240","author":"Khalik"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0250","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0009631","article-title":"The role of urbanisation in the spread of Aedes mosquitoes and the diseases they transmit\u2014a systematic review","volume":"15","author":"Kolimenakis","year":"2021","journal-title":"PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0540","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.5705\/ss.202022.0348","article-title":"Power boosting: fusion of multiple test statistics via resampling","author":"Kong","year":"2025","journal-title":"Stat. Sin."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0270","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"578","DOI":"10.1093\/fampra\/cmaa047","article-title":"Roles and challenges of primary care physicians facing a dual outbreak of COVID-19 and Dengue in Singapore","volume":"37","author":"Lam","year":"2020","journal-title":"Fam. Pract."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0280","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1186\/s12879-022-07539-4","article-title":"Spatio-temporal distribution of tuberculosis and the effects of environmental factors in China","volume":"22","author":"Li","year":"2022","journal-title":"BMC Infect. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0290","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3624","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1806094116","article-title":"Climate-driven variation in mosquito density predicts the spatiotemporal dynamics of Dengue","volume":"116","author":"Li","year":"2019","journal-title":"Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0300","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"399","DOI":"10.1093\/infdis\/jiaa619","article-title":"Increased Dengue transmissions in Singapore attributable to SARS-CoV-2 social distancing measures","volume":"223","author":"Lim","year":"2020","journal-title":"J. Infect. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0310","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"395","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2458-9-395","article-title":"Time series analysis of dengue fever and weather in Guangzhou, China","volume":"9","author":"Lu","year":"2009","journal-title":"BMC Public Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0320","series-title":"NEA urges continued vigilance as Aedes Aegypti mosquito population remains high and Dengue cases rise at start of 2022","author":"NEA","year":"2022"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0330","author":"Ng"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0340","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"442","DOI":"10.1111\/tmi.13200","article-title":"The decline of Dengue in the Americas in 2017: discussion of multiple hypotheses","volume":"24","author":"Perez","year":"2019","journal-title":"Trop. Med. Int. Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0350","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"44","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijid.2016.01.015","article-title":"A comparative study on active and passive epidemiological surveillance for Dengue in five countries of Latin America","volume":"44","author":"Sarti","year":"2016","journal-title":"Int. J. Infect. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0360","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2021.145117","article-title":"The effects of maximum ambient temperature and heatwaves on Dengue infections in the tropical city-state of Singapore \u2014 a time series analysis","volume":"775","author":"Seah","year":"2021","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0370","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ijar.2017.04.002","article-title":"Dealing with under-reported variables: an information theoretic solution","volume":"85","author":"Sechidis","year":"2017","journal-title":"Int. J. Approx. Reason."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0380","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"218","DOI":"10.1038\/s41577-019-0123-x","article-title":"Adaptive immune responses to primary and secondary Dengue virus infections","volume":"19","author":"St. John","year":"2019","journal-title":"Nat. Rev. Immunol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0390","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1529","DOI":"10.1093\/aje\/kwz110","article-title":"Force of infection and true infection rate of Dengue in Singapore: implications for Dengue control and management","volume":"188","author":"Tan","year":"2019","journal-title":"Am. J. Epidemiol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0400","author":"Tani"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0410","article-title":"Temperature drives Zika virus transmission: evidence from empirical and mathematical models","volume":"285","author":"Tesla","year":"2018","journal-title":"Proc. R. Soc. B, Biol. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0420","first-page":"613","article-title":"Correlation analysis of air pollutant index levels and Dengue cases across five different zones in Selangor, Malaysia","volume":"13","author":"Thiruchelvam","year":"2018","journal-title":"Geosp. Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0430","author":"Timothy"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0440","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"245","DOI":"10.1111\/j.2517-6161.1980.tb01126.x","article-title":"Threshold autoregression, limit cycles and cyclical data","volume":"42","author":"Tong","year":"1980","journal-title":"J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. B, Methodol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0450","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"241","DOI":"10.1080\/07350015.2021.2008407","article-title":"Bootstrap tests for high-dimensional white-noise","volume":"41","author":"Wang","year":"2023","journal-title":"J. Bus. Econ. Stat."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0460","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2005","DOI":"10.4269\/ajtmh.20-0703","article-title":"Experience of a tertiary hospital in Singapore with management of a dual outbreak of COVID-19 and Dengue","volume":"103","author":"Wee","year":"2020","journal-title":"Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0470","author":"WHO"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0480","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pntd.0000996","article-title":"Dengue in Thailand and Cambodia: an assessment of the degree of underrecognized disease burden based on reported cases","volume":"5","author":"Wichmann","year":"2011","journal-title":"PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0490","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"50","DOI":"10.1016\/j.actatropica.2007.05.014","article-title":"Weather as an effective predictor of occurrence of Dengue fever in Taiwan","volume":"103","author":"Wu","year":"2007","journal-title":"Acta Trop."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0500","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2224","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2008.11.034","article-title":"Higher temperature and urbanization affect the spatial patterns of Dengue fever transmission in subtropical Taiwan","volume":"407","author":"Wu","year":"2009","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0520","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"21","DOI":"10.1214\/10-STS345","article-title":"Feature matching in time series modeling","volume":"26","author":"Xia","year":"2011","journal-title":"Stat. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0510","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"659","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-9876.2005.05383.x","article-title":"Semiparametric estimation of the duration of immunity from infectious disease time series: influenza as a case-study","volume":"54","author":"Xia","year":"2005","journal-title":"J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. C, Appl. Stat."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080_br0530","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"113","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1618558114","article-title":"Climate variation drives Dengue dynamics","volume":"114","author":"Xu","year":"2017","journal-title":"Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci."}],"container-title":["Computational Statistics &amp; Data Analysis"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0167947324001646?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0167947324001646?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,11,26]],"date-time":"2024-11-26T23:32:04Z","timestamp":1732663924000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S0167947324001646"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,3]]},"references-count":53,"alternative-id":["S0167947324001646"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080","relation":{},"ISSN":["0167-9473"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0167-9473","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,3]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Statistical modeling of Dengue transmission dynamics with environmental factors","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Computational Statistics & Data Analysis","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.csda.2024.108080","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}],"article-number":"108080"}}