{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,25]],"date-time":"2026-01-25T19:33:35Z","timestamp":1769369615516,"version":"3.49.0"},"reference-count":44,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","issue":"5","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2014,10,1]],"date-time":"2014-10-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1412121600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["cancerepidemiology.net","elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Cancer Epidemiology"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2014,10]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2014,9,15]],"date-time":"2014-09-15T18:30:04Z","timestamp":1410805804000},"page":"496-503","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":21,"title":["Past trends and future prediction of mesothelioma incidence in an industrialized area of Italy, the Veneto Region"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"38","author":[{"given":"Paolo","family":"Girardi","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3870-6178","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Vittoria","family":"Bressan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Enzo","family":"Merler","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0005","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"142","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.20820","article-title":"Predictions of mortality from pleural mesothelioma in Italy: a model based on asbestos consumption figures supports results from age-period-cohort models","volume":"115","author":"Marinaccio","year":"2005","journal-title":"Int J Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0010","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2146","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.26229","article-title":"Pleural malignant mesothelioma epidemic: incidence, modalities of asbestos exposure and occupations involved from the Italian National Register","author":"Marinaccio","year":"2012","journal-title":"Int J Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0015","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1932","DOI":"10.1183\/09031936.96.09091932","article-title":"The epidemiology of mesothelioma in historical context","volume":"9","author":"McDonald","year":"1996","journal-title":"Eur Respir J"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0020","series-title":"IARC Monographs on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans, vol. 100. A Review of Human Carcinogens Part C: Arsenic, Metals, Fibres, and Dusts","first-page":"219","article-title":"Asbestos (chrysotile, amosite, crocidolite, tremolite, actinolite, and anthophyllite)","author":"IARC","year":"2012"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0025","first-page":"491","article-title":"Malignant pleural mesothelioma: an epidemiological perspective","volume":"1","author":"Robinson","year":"2012","journal-title":"Ann Cardiothorac Surg"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0030","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"576","DOI":"10.1080\/10408440903044928","article-title":"Time trend of mesothelioma incidence in the United States and projection of future cases: an update based on SEER data for 1973 through 2005","volume":"39","author":"Price","year":"2009","journal-title":"Crit Rev Toxicol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0035","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S3","DOI":"10.1038\/bjc.2012.112","article-title":"Occupational cancer burden in Great Britain","volume":"107","author":"Rushton","year":"2012","journal-title":"Br J Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0040","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"435","DOI":"10.1016\/j.thorsurg.2004.06.009","article-title":"Malignant pleural mesothelioma: overview of the north american and european experience","volume":"14","author":"Kukreja","year":"2004","journal-title":"Thorac Surg Clin"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0045","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"844","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(07)60412-7","article-title":"Ecological association between asbestos-related diseases and historical asbestos consumption: an international analysis","volume":"369","author":"Lin","year":"2007","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0050","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"767","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1440-1843.2011.01975.x","article-title":"Asbestos use and asbestos-related diseases in Asia: past, present and future","volume":"16","author":"LE","year":"2001","journal-title":"Respirology"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0055","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"9","DOI":"10.1179\/oeh.2006.12.1.9","article-title":"Malignant mesothelioma mortality in the United States, 1999\u20132001","volume":"12","author":"Bang","year":"2006","journal-title":"Int J Occup Environ Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0060","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"179","DOI":"10.1097\/00008469-200006000-00005","article-title":"An age, period and cohort analysis of pleural cancer mortality in Europe","volume":"9","author":"La Vecchia","year":"2000","journal-title":"Eur J Cancer Prev"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0065","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1002\/ajim.20246","article-title":"Estimation of future mortality from pleural malignant mesothelioma in Japan based on an age-cohort model","volume":"49","author":"Murayama","year":"2006","journal-title":"Am J Ind Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0070","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"279","DOI":"10.1136\/oem.2007.034769","article-title":"Mesothelioma mortality in men: trends during 1977\u20132001 and projections for 2002\u20132016 in Spain","volume":"65","author":"Pitarque","year":"2008","journal-title":"Occup Environ Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0075","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"430","DOI":"10.1038\/sj.bjc.6605781","article-title":"Projection of mesothelioma mortality in Britain using Bayesian methods","volume":"103","author":"Tan","year":"2010","journal-title":"Br J Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0080","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"50","DOI":"10.1136\/oem.60.1.50","article-title":"Update of predictions of mortality from pleural mesothelioma in the Netherlands","volume":"60","author":"Segura","year":"2003","journal-title":"Occup Environ Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0085","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"528","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2407-13-528","article-title":"Pleural cancer mortality in Spain: time-trends and updating of predictions up to 2020","volume":"13","author":"Lopez-Abente","year":"2013","journal-title":"BMC Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0090","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"791","DOI":"10.1023\/A:1026300619747","article-title":"Pleural mesothelioma incidence in Europe: evidence of some deceleration in the increasing trends","volume":"14","author":"Montanaro","year":"2003","journal-title":"Cancer Causes Control"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0095","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"145","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.10806","article-title":"Mesothelioma incidence seems to have leveled off in Sweden","volume":"103","author":"Hemminki","year":"2003","journal-title":"Int J Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0100","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"232","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.24711","article-title":"Evolution of pleural cancers and malignant pleural mesothelioma incidence in France between 1980 and 2005","volume":"126","author":"Le Stang","year":"2010","journal-title":"Int J Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0105","first-page":"316","article-title":"Trends in mortality from primary pleural tumor and incidence of pleural mesothelioma in Italy: a particularly serious situation","volume":"23","author":"Merler","year":"1999","journal-title":"Epidemiol Prev"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0110","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"666","DOI":"10.1038\/sj.bjc.6690105","article-title":"The European mesothelioma epidemic","volume":"79","author":"Peto","year":"1999","journal-title":"Br J Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0115","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"488","DOI":"10.1136\/oem.57.7.488","article-title":"Future trends in mortality of French men from mesothelioma","volume":"57","author":"Banaei","year":"2000","journal-title":"Occup Environ Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0120","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"587","DOI":"10.1038\/sj.bjc.6602307","article-title":"The expected burden of mesothelioma mortality in Great Britain from 2002 to 2050","volume":"92","author":"Hodgson","year":"2005","journal-title":"Br J Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0125","series-title":"Il mercato del lavoro nel Veneto. Tendenze e politiche. Rapporto 2008","author":"Veneto Lavoro","year":"2008"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0130","first-page":"147","article-title":"Surveillance of malignant mesothelioma cases and definition of asbestos exposure: 1997 ReNaM data","volume":"27","author":"Nesti","year":"2003","journal-title":"Epidemiol Prev"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0135","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"311","DOI":"10.2307\/2531004","article-title":"The estimation of age, period and cohort effects for vital rates","volume":"39","author":"Holford","year":"1983","journal-title":"Biometrics"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0140","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"449","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.4780060405","article-title":"Models for temporal variation in cancer rates. I: Age-period and age-cohort models","volume":"6","author":"Clayton","year":"1987","journal-title":"Stat Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0145","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3018","DOI":"10.1002\/sim.2764","article-title":"Age-period-cohort models for the lexis diagram","volume":"26","author":"Carstensen","year":"2007","journal-title":"Stat Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0150","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13","DOI":"10.1016\/S0022-510X(01)00572-X","article-title":"Predicting secondary progression in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: a Bayesian analysis","volume":"189","author":"Bergamaschi","year":"2001","journal-title":"J Neurol Sci"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0155","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"70","DOI":"10.1002\/gepi.10291","article-title":"Bayesian trio models for association in the presence of genotyping errors","volume":"26","author":"Bernardinelli","year":"2004","journal-title":"Genet Epidemiol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0160","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.18637\/jss.v021.i08","article-title":"Bayesian age-period-cohort modeling and prediction \u2013 BAMP","volume":"21","author":"Schmid","year":"2007","journal-title":"J Stat Softw"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0165","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"109","DOI":"10.1093\/biostatistics\/2.1.109","article-title":"Projections of lung cancer mortality in West Germany: a case study in Bayesian prediction","volume":"2","author":"Knorr-Held","year":"2001","journal-title":"Biostatistics"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0170","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"282","DOI":"10.1016\/j.lungcan.2007.10.012","article-title":"Lung cancer mortality in France. Trend analysis and projection between 1975 and 2012, using a Bayesian age-period-cohort model","volume":"59","author":"Eilstein","year":"2008","journal-title":"Lung Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0175","series-title":"R: a language and environment for statistical computing","author":"R Core Team","year":"2013"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0180","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"716","DOI":"10.2471\/BLT.11.086678","article-title":"Global mesothelioma deaths reported to the World Health Organization between 1994 and 2008","volume":"89","author":"Delgermaa","year":"2001","journal-title":"Bull World Health Organ"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0185","series-title":"Il ruolo dell\u2019esposizione lavorativa ed ambientale ad amianto nella genesi dei casi di mesotelioma insorti in residenti del veneto. Registro regionale veneto dei casi di mesotelioma, secondo report","author":"Merler","year":"2006"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0190","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"206","DOI":"10.1179\/oeh.2003.9.3.206","article-title":"Malignant mesothelioma in Australia, 1945\u20132002","volume":"9","author":"Leigh","year":"2003","journal-title":"Int J Occup Environ Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0195","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"197","DOI":"10.2486\/indhealth.MS1184","article-title":"Future trends of mesothelioma mortality in Japan based on a risk function","volume":"50","author":"Myojin","year":"2012","journal-title":"Ind Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0200","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"965","DOI":"10.1183\/09031936.00168111","article-title":"Mesothelioma incidence projections in South East England","volume":"40","author":"Riaz","year":"2012","journal-title":"Eur Respir J"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0205","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1179\/2049396712Y.0000000016","article-title":"Mesothelioma incidence in 50 states and the District of Columbia, United States, 2003\u20132008","volume":"19","author":"Henley","year":"2013","journal-title":"Int J Occup Environ Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0210","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1858","DOI":"10.1097\/JTO.0b013e318275b346","article-title":"Incidence and survival of malignant pleural mesothelioma in Norway: a population-based study of 1686 cases","volume":"7","author":"Helland","year":"2012","journal-title":"J Thorac Oncol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0215","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"112","DOI":"10.5271\/sjweh.520","article-title":"Incidence rates of malignant mesothelioma in Denmark and predicted future number of cases among men","volume":"26","author":"Kjaergaard","year":"2000","journal-title":"Scand J Work Environ Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007_bib0220","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"94","DOI":"10.1002\/ijc.11357","article-title":"Incidence trends of mesothelioma in Norway, 1965\u20131999","volume":"107","author":"Ulvestad","year":"2003","journal-title":"Int J Cancer"}],"container-title":["Cancer Epidemiology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S1877782114001477?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S1877782114001477?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2019,8,14]],"date-time":"2019-08-14T20:36:38Z","timestamp":1565814998000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S1877782114001477"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2014,10]]},"references-count":44,"journal-issue":{"issue":"5","published-print":{"date-parts":[[2014,10]]}},"alternative-id":["S1877782114001477"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007","relation":{},"ISSN":["1877-7821"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1877-7821","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2014,10]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Past trends and future prediction of mesothelioma incidence in an industrialized area of Italy, the Veneto Region","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Cancer Epidemiology","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.canep.2014.08.007","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"Copyright \u00a9 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}]}}