{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,27]],"date-time":"2026-05-27T14:02:37Z","timestamp":1779890557884,"version":"3.53.1"},"reference-count":21,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,1,1]],"date-time":"2021-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1609459200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,1,1]],"date-time":"2021-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1609459200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,9,24]],"date-time":"2021-09-24T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1632441600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":266,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine Update"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2021]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,9,27]],"date-time":"2021-09-27T16:19:13Z","timestamp":1632759553000},"page":"100029","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":18,"special_numbering":"C","title":["Forecasting COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta, Canada using modified ARIMA models"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"1","author":[{"given":"Jian","family":"Sun","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"issue":"2020","key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0001","first-page":"727","article-title":"A Novel Coronavirus from Patients with Pneumonia in China","volume":"382","author":"Zhu","year":"2019","journal-title":"N. Engl. J. Med."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0002","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"497","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(20)30183-5","article-title":"Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China","volume":"395","author":"Huang","year":"2020","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0003","first-page":"157","article-title":"WHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic","volume":"91","author":"Cucinotta","year":"2020","journal-title":"Acta Biomed."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0004","unstructured":"Countries where COVID-19 has spread. https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/countries-where-coronavirus-has-spread\/ (accessed September 1, 2021)."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0005","unstructured":"Government of Alberta, COVID-19 Alberta statistics, Interactive aggregate data on COVID- 19 cases in Alberta. https:\/\/www.alberta.ca\/stats\/covid-19-alberta-statistics.htm (accessed August 27, 2021)."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0006","first-page":"103","author":"ArunKumar","year":"2021","journal-title":"Appl. Soft. Comput."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0007","first-page":"729","article-title":"Estimation of COVID-19 prevalence in Italy, Spain, and France","volume":"2020","author":"Ceylan","year":"2020","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"issue":"6","key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0008","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"781","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-3156.2006.01630.x","article-title":"Potential of environmental models to predict meningitis epidemics in Africa","volume":"11","author":"Thomson","year":"2006","journal-title":"Trop. Med. Int. Health"},{"issue":"9","key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0009","article-title":"Comparison of ARIMA and GM(1,1) models for prediction of hepatitis B in China","volume":"13","author":"Wang","year":"2018","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0010","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2311","DOI":"10.2147\/IDR.S207809","article-title":"Forecasting the seasonality and trend of pulmonary tuberculosis in Jiangsu Province of China using advanced statistical time-series analyses","volume":"12","author":"Liu","year":"2019","journal-title":"Infect Drug Resist."},{"issue":"6","key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0011","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0067164","article-title":"A simulation optimization approach to epidemic forecasting","volume":"8","author":"Nsoesie","year":"2013","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0012","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.chaos.2020.109942","article-title":"A python based support vector regression model for prediction of COVID19 cases in India","volume":"138","author":"Parbat","year":"2020","journal-title":"Chaos Solitons Fractals"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0013","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.chaos.2020.109853","article-title":"Short-term forecasting COVID- 19 cumulative confirmed cases: Perspectives for Brazil","volume":"135","author":"Ribeiro","year":"2020","journal-title":"Chaos Solitons Fractals"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0014","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.chaos.2020.109864","article-title":"Time series forecasting of COVID-19 transmission in Canada using LSTM networks","volume":"135","author":"Chimmula","year":"2020","journal-title":"Chaos Solitons Fractals"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0015","series-title":"Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control","author":"Box","year":"1976"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0016","unstructured":"R.A. Yaffee, M. McGee, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting with Applications of SAS and SPSS, Academic Press Inc., 2000."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0017","series-title":"SAS\/ETS\u00ae 13.2 User's Guide","year":"2014"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0018","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"461","DOI":"10.1214\/aos\/1176344136","article-title":"Estimating the dimension of a model","volume":"6","author":"Schwarz","year":"1978","journal-title":"Ann. Stat."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0019","first-page":"68","article-title":"Improving stepwise logistic regression using a SAS macro","volume":"7","author":"Sun","year":"2021","journal-title":"J. Math. Stat. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0020","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3335","DOI":"10.2147\/IDR.S265292","article-title":"Estimating the Prevalence and Mortality of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the USA, the UK, Russia, and India","volume":"13","author":"Wang","year":"2020","journal-title":"Infect Drug Resist."},{"issue":"6","key":"10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029_bib0021","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"716","DOI":"10.1109\/TAC.1974.1100705","article-title":"A new look at the statistical model identification","volume":"19","author":"Akaike","year":"1974","journal-title":"IEEE Trans. Autom. Control"}],"container-title":["Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine Update"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S2666990021000288?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S2666990021000288?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,24]],"date-time":"2025-06-24T15:21:03Z","timestamp":1750778463000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S2666990021000288"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2021]]},"references-count":21,"alternative-id":["S2666990021000288"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029","relation":{},"ISSN":["2666-9900"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2666-9900","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2021]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Forecasting COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta, Canada using modified ARIMA models","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine Update","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.cmpbup.2021.100029","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2021 Published by Elsevier B.V.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}],"article-number":"100029"}}