{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,31]],"date-time":"2026-10-31T05:06:46Z","timestamp":1793423206243,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":34,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2015,5,1]],"date-time":"2015-05-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1430438400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2015,5,1]],"date-time":"2015-05-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1430438400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["clinicalkey.com","clinicalkey.com.au","clinicalkey.es","clinicalkey.fr","clinicalkey.jp","ejog.org","elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2015,5]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2015,3,10]],"date-time":"2015-03-10T13:31:44Z","timestamp":1425994304000},"page":"88-94","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":63,"special_numbering":"C","title":["Predicting the chance of vaginal delivery after one cesarean section: validation and elaboration of a published prediction model"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"188","author":[{"given":"Marie C.","family":"Fagerberg","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Karel","family":"Mar\u0161\u00e1l","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Karin","family":"K\u00e4ll\u00e9n","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0175","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1143","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ajog.2006.06.045","article-title":"Is vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) or elective repeat cesarean safer in women with a prior vaginal delivery?","volume":"195","author":"Cahill","year":"2006","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0180","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"282","DOI":"10.1097\/01.AOG.0000110544.42128.7a","article-title":"Predicting failed trial of labor after primary cesarean delivery","volume":"103","author":"Dinsmoor","year":"2004","journal-title":"Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0185","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1151","DOI":"10.1111\/aogs.12202","article-title":"Neonatal outcome after trial of labor or elective cesarean section in relation to the indication for the previous cesarean delivery","volume":"92","author":"Fagerberg","year":"2013","journal-title":"Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand"},{"issue":"56","key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0190","first-page":"e1","article-title":"Can a prediction model for vaginal birth after cesarean also predict the probability of morbidity related to a trial of labor?","volume":"200","author":"Grobman","year":"2009","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0195","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"420","DOI":"10.1097\/01.AOG.0000116259.41678.f1","article-title":"Safety of vaginal birth after cesarean: a systematic review","volume":"103","author":"Guise","year":"2004","journal-title":"Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0200","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2581","DOI":"10.1056\/NEJMoa040405","article-title":"Maternal and perinatal outcomes associated with a trial of labor after prior cesarean delivery","volume":"351","author":"Landon","year":"2004","journal-title":"N Engl J Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0205","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"907","DOI":"10.1016\/S0029-7844(97)00531-0","article-title":"Vaginal birth after cesarean delivery: an admission scoring system","volume":"90","author":"Flamm","year":"1997","journal-title":"Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0210","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"806","DOI":"10.1097\/01.AOG.0000259312.36053.02","article-title":"Development of a nomogram for prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery","volume":"109","author":"Grobman","year":"2007","journal-title":"Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0215","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e22","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ajog.2006.10.884","article-title":"Vaginal birth after cesarean: a prenatal scoring tool","volume":"196","author":"Hashima","year":"2007","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0220","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1016","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ajog.2005.05.066","article-title":"The MFMU Cesarean Registry: factors affecting the success of trial of labor after previous cesarean delivery","volume":"193","author":"Landon","year":"2005","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0225","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"224","DOI":"10.3109\/01443615.2010.544426","article-title":"Trial of labour after previous caesarean section: the predictive factors affecting outcome","volume":"31","author":"Madaan","year":"2011","journal-title":"J Obstet Gynaecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0230","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"714","DOI":"10.1067\/S0002-9378(03)00833-0","article-title":"Vaginal birth after cesarean section: trial of labor or repeat cesarean section? A decision analysis","volume":"189","author":"Mankuta","year":"2003","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0235","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"571","DOI":"10.1097\/AOG.0b013e31829f8ced","article-title":"Simple, validated vaginal birth after cesarean delivery prediction model for use at the time of admission","volume":"122","author":"Metz","year":"2013","journal-title":"Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0240","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"517","DOI":"10.1007\/s00404-007-0373-x","article-title":"Once a cesarean always a cesarean? A computer-assisted decision analysis","volume":"276","author":"Sadan","year":"2007","journal-title":"Arch Gynecol Obstet"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0245","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"e252","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.0020252","article-title":"Predicting cesarean section and uterine rupture among women attempting vaginal birth after prior cesarean section","volume":"2","author":"Smith","year":"2005","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0250","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"800","DOI":"10.1097\/01.AOG.0000259313.46842.71","article-title":"Predicting failure of a vaginal birth attempt after cesarean delivery","volume":"109","author":"Srinivas","year":"2007","journal-title":"Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0255","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"192","DOI":"10.1016\/S0002-9378(96)70393-9","article-title":"Predictive score for vaginal birth after cesarean section","volume":"174","author":"Weinstein","year":"1996","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0260","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1029","DOI":"10.1097\/AOG.0b013e3181bb0dde","article-title":"Validation of the prediction model for success of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery","volume":"114","author":"Costantine","year":"2009","journal-title":"Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0265","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"293","DOI":"10.1055\/s-0030-1271214","article-title":"Does information available at delivery improve the accuracy of predicting vaginal birth after cesarean? Validation of the published models in an independent patient cohort","volume":"28","author":"Costantine","year":"2011","journal-title":"Am J Perinatol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0270","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"693","DOI":"10.1055\/s-0029-1239494","article-title":"Does information available at admission for delivery improve prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean?","volume":"26","author":"Grobman","year":"2009","journal-title":"Am J Perinatol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0275","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"488","DOI":"10.7150\/ijms.4682","article-title":"Validation of the prediction model for success of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery in Japanese women","volume":"9","author":"Yokoi","year":"2012","journal-title":"Int J Med Sci"},{"issue":"204","key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0280","first-page":"e1","article-title":"Trial of labor versus repeat cesarean: are patients making an informed decision?","volume":"207","author":"Bernstein","year":"2012","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0285","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1088","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1471-0528.2010.02614.x","article-title":"Apgar score and perinatal death after one previous caesarean, delivery","volume":"117","author":"Carlsson Wallin","year":"2010","journal-title":"BJOG"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0290","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"72","DOI":"10.1111\/ppe.12024","article-title":"Indications for first caesarean and delivery mode in subsequent trial of labour","volume":"27","author":"Fagerberg","year":"2013","journal-title":"Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0295","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"143","DOI":"10.1177\/140349489001800209","article-title":"A quality study of a medical birth registry","volume":"18","author":"Cnattingius","year":"1990","journal-title":"Scand J Soc Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0300","series-title":"Applied logistic, regression","author":"Hosmer","year":"1989"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0305","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"837","DOI":"10.2307\/2531595","article-title":"Comparing the areas under two or more correlated receiver operating characteristic curves: a nonparametric approach","volume":"44","author":"DeLong","year":"1988","journal-title":"Biometrics"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0310","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"524","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.1994.03520070044036","article-title":"Socioeconomic factors and the odds of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery","volume":"272","author":"King","year":"1994","journal-title":"J Am Med Assoc"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0315","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"308","DOI":"10.1053\/j.semperi.2012.04.012","article-title":"Epidemiology of cesarean delivery: the scope of the problem","volume":"36","author":"Boyle","year":"2012","journal-title":"Semin Perinatol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0320","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1305","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.39217.671019.55","article-title":"Two decision aids for mode of delivery among women with previous caesarean section: randomised controlled trial","volume":"334","author":"Montgomery","year":"2007","journal-title":"BMJ"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0325","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1256","DOI":"10.1111\/aogs.12240","article-title":"Trial of labor compared to repeat cesarean section in women with no other risk factors than a prior cesarean delivery","volume":"92","author":"Studsgaard","year":"2013","journal-title":"Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0330","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"194","DOI":"10.1111\/1471-0528.12539","article-title":"Vaginal birth after a caesarean section: the development of a Western European population-based prediction model for deliveries at term","volume":"121","author":"Schoorel","year":"2014","journal-title":"BJOG"},{"issue":"458","key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0335","first-page":"e1","article-title":"How do good candidates for trial of labor after cesarean (TOLAC) who undergo elective repeat cesarean differ from those who choose TOLAC?","volume":"208","author":"Metz","year":"2013","journal-title":"Am J Obstet Gynecol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031_bib0340","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"843","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1651-2227.1996.tb14164.x","article-title":"Intrauterine growth curves based on ultrasonically estimated foetal weights","volume":"85","author":"Marsal","year":"1996","journal-title":"Acta Paediatr"}],"container-title":["European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0301211515000664?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0301211515000664?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,4]],"date-time":"2025-10-04T05:34:17Z","timestamp":1759556057000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S0301211515000664"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2015,5]]},"references-count":34,"alternative-id":["S0301211515000664"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031","relation":{},"ISSN":["0301-2115"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0301-2115","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2015,5]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Predicting the chance of vaginal delivery after one cesarean section: validation and elaboration of a published prediction model","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ejogrb.2015.02.031","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"Copyright \u00a9 2015 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}]}}