{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,6,23]],"date-time":"2026-06-23T01:27:37Z","timestamp":1782178057237,"version":"3.54.5"},"reference-count":84,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,10,1]],"date-time":"2021-10-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1633046400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,10,1]],"date-time":"2021-10-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1633046400000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2021,7,16]],"date-time":"2021-07-16T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1626393600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100000900","name":"European Commission Joint Research Centre","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100000900","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Environmental Science & Policy"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2021,10]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2021,7,22]],"date-time":"2021-07-22T03:28:36Z","timestamp":1626924516000},"page":"380-392","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":233,"special_numbering":"C","title":["Projections of soil loss by water erosion in Europe by 2050"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"124","author":[{"given":"Panos","family":"Panagos","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Cristiano","family":"Ballabio","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3923-9898","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Mihaly","family":"Himics","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Simone","family":"Scarpa","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-0038-4481","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Francis","family":"Matthews","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mariia","family":"Bogonos","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jean","family":"Poesen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Pasquale","family":"Borrelli","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0005","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"203","DOI":"10.1016\/j.iswcr.2019.05.004","article-title":"Using the USLE: chances, challenges and limitations of soil erosion modelling","volume":"7","author":"Alewell","year":"2019","journal-title":"Int. Soil Water Conserv. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0010","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"767","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.13447","article-title":"Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections","volume":"23","author":"Alexander","year":"2017","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0015","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1298","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2016.11.123","article-title":"Mapping monthly rainfall erosivity in Europe","volume":"579","author":"Ballabio","year":"2017","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0020","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"610","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2018.08.257","article-title":"Assessment of promising agricultural management practices","volume":"649","author":"Bar\u00e3o","year":"2019","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0025","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1179","DOI":"10.2136\/sssaj2017.03.0077","article-title":"The impact of continuous living cover on soil hydrologic properties: a meta\u2010analysis","volume":"81","author":"Basche","year":"2017","journal-title":"Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0030","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2020.125372","article-title":"Reconstruction of past rainfall erosivity and trend detection based on the REDES database and reanalysis rainfall","volume":"590","author":"Bezak","year":"2020","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0035","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"376","DOI":"10.1016\/j.catena.2017.10.009","article-title":"Tillage management impacts on soil compaction, erosion and crop yield in Stagnosols (Croatia)","volume":"160","author":"Bogunovic","year":"2018","journal-title":"Catena"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0040","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.landusepol.2020.104467","article-title":"An indicator to reflect the mitigating effect of Common Agricultural Policy on soil erosion","volume":"92","author":"Borrelli","year":"2020","journal-title":"Land Use Policy"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0045","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1038\/s41467-017-02142-7","article-title":"An assessment of the global impact of 21st century land use change on soil erosion","volume":"8","author":"Borrelli","year":"2017","journal-title":"Nat. Commun."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0050","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"21994","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.2001403117","article-title":"Land use and climate change impacts on global soil erosion by water (2015-2070)","volume":"117","author":"Borrelli","year":"2020","journal-title":"Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0055","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"546","DOI":"10.1111\/sum.12289","article-title":"How to characterize \u2018good\u2019and \u2018greening\u2019in the EU Common Agricultural Policy (CAP): the case of clay soils in the Netherlands","volume":"32","author":"Bouma","year":"2016","journal-title":"Soil Use Manag."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0060","first-page":"363","article-title":"Automated model linkages: the example of CAPRI","volume":"57","author":"Britz","year":"2008","journal-title":"German J. Agric. Economics"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0065","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"129","DOI":"10.1016\/j.atmosres.2012.04.002","article-title":"Severe thunderstorms and climate change","volume":"123","author":"Brooks","year":"2013","journal-title":"Atmos. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0070","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"734","DOI":"10.1016\/j.landusepol.2017.12.052","article-title":"Policies can help to apply successful strategies to control soil and water losses. The case of chipped pruned branches (CPB) in Mediterranean citrus plantations","volume":"75","author":"Cerd\u00e0","year":"2018","journal-title":"Land Use Policy"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0075","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1155\/2016\/7626505","article-title":"Modelling the rainfall erosivity of the Rhone region (Southeastern France) associated with climate variability and storminess","volume":"2016","author":"Diodato","year":"2016","journal-title":"Adv. Meteorol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0080","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-017-1971-7","article-title":"Impacts of climate change on European hydrology at 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees mean global warming above preindustrial level","volume":"143","author":"Donnelly","year":"2017","journal-title":"Clim. Change"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0085","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"212","DOI":"10.1177\/0309133319871937","article-title":"How soil erosion model conceptualization affects soil loss projections under climate change","volume":"44","author":"Eekhout","year":"2020","journal-title":"Prog. Physical Geo. Earth Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0090","series-title":"Cap 2021-2027, Commission Staff Working Document Impact Assessment Swd(2018) 301 Final","author":"European Commission","year":"2018"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0095","series-title":"EU Agricultural Outlook for Markets and Income, 2018-2030","author":"European Commission, DG Agriculture and Rural","year":"2018"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0100","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2019.135016","article-title":"Land susceptibility to water and wind erosion risks in the East Africa region","volume":"703","author":"Fenta","year":"2020","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0105","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4302","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.5086","article-title":"WorldClim 2: new 1\u2010km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas","volume":"37","author":"Fick","year":"2017","journal-title":"Int. J. Climatol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0110","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"904","DOI":"10.3390\/w11050904","article-title":"Recent and future changes in rainfall erosivity and implications for the soil erosion risk in brandenburg, ne germany","volume":"11","author":"Gericke","year":"2019","journal-title":"Water"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0115","first-page":"23","article-title":"Evaluation of soil erosion rates in the southern half of the Russian Plain: methodology and initial results","volume":"375","author":"Golosov","year":"2017","journal-title":"Proc. Int. Assoc. Hydrol. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0120","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.catena.2020.104625","article-title":"Past and projected climate change impacts on rainfall erosivity: advancing our knowledge for the eastern Mediterranean island of Crete","volume":"193","author":"Grillakis","year":"2020","journal-title":"Catena"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0125","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1833","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.4463","article-title":"Trends in characteristics of sub\u2010daily heavy precipitation and rainfall erosivity in the Czech Republic","volume":"36","author":"Hanel","year":"2016","journal-title":"Int. J. Climatol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0130","first-page":"1","article-title":"The Common Agricultural Policy beyond 2020: a critical review in light of global environmental goals","author":"Heyl","year":"2020","journal-title":"Rev. Eur. Comp. Int. Environ. Law"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0135","series-title":"Calibrating the CAPRI and ESIM Models to the Mid-term Commodity Market Outlook of the European Commission. JRC Science and Policy Reports","author":"Himics","year":"2014"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0140","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"120","DOI":"10.1016\/j.foodpol.2018.01.011","article-title":"Does the current trade liberalization agenda contribute to greenhouse gas emission mitigation in agriculture?","volume":"76","author":"Himics","year":"2018","journal-title":"Food Policy"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0145","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1344","DOI":"10.1021\/acs.est.8b02193","article-title":"Cropping system diversity effects on nutrient discharge, soil erosion, and agronomic performance","volume":"53","author":"Hunt","year":"2019","journal-title":"Environ. Sci. Technol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0150","series-title":"Future Climate Changes, Risks and Impacts","author":"IPCC","year":"2014"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0155","series-title":"Climate Change and Land: an IPCC Special Report on Climate Change, Desertification, Land Degradation, Sustainable Land Management, Food Security, and Greenhouse Gas Fluxes in Terrestrial Ecosystems","author":"IPCC","year":"2019"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0160","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"543","DOI":"10.5194\/gmd-4-543-2011","article-title":"The HadGEM2-ES implementation of CMIP5 centennial simulations","volume":"4","author":"Jones","year":"2011","journal-title":"Geosci. Model. Dev."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0165","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4","DOI":"10.1007\/s13593-016-0410-x","article-title":"Using cover crops to mitigate and adapt to climate change. A review","volume":"37","author":"Kaye","year":"2017","journal-title":"Agron. Sustain. Dev."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0170","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"671","DOI":"10.1126\/science.220.4598.671","article-title":"Optimization by simulated annealing","volume":"220","author":"Kirkpatrick","year":"1983","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0175","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"529","DOI":"10.1017\/S0021859610000158","article-title":"Impact of climate change on soil erosion and the efficiency of soil conservation practices in Austria","volume":"148","author":"Klik","year":"2010","journal-title":"J. Agric. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0180","first-page":"1","article-title":"Updated CLC illustrated nomenclature guidelines","author":"Kosztra","year":"2017","journal-title":"European Environment Agency: Wien, Austria"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0185","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"94","DOI":"10.1016\/j.earscirev.2016.10.004","article-title":"Impacts of climate change on water erosion: a review","volume":"163","author":"Li","year":"2016","journal-title":"Earth. Rev."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0190","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"367","DOI":"10.1002\/ldr.2215","article-title":"Soil erosion assessment in kondoa eroded area in Tanzania using universal soil loss equation, geographic information systems and socioeconomic approach","volume":"26","author":"Ligonja","year":"2015","journal-title":"Land Degrad. Dev."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0195","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"77","DOI":"10.1016\/j.geodrs.2017.05.003","article-title":"Evaluation of RUSLE2015 erosion model for boreal conditions","volume":"10","author":"Lilja","year":"2017","journal-title":"Geoderma Reg."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0200","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2019.135389","article-title":"Climate and land use change effects on soil erosion in two small agricultural catchment systems Fugnitz\u2013Austria, can Revull\u2013Spain","volume":"704","author":"Luetzenburg","year":"2020","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0205","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"664","DOI":"10.1515\/geo-2019-0053","article-title":"Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin","volume":"11","author":"Luki\u0107","year":"2019","journal-title":"Open Geosci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0210","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"21","DOI":"10.1016\/j.earscirev.2012.08.003","article-title":"How effective are soil conservation techniques in reducing plot runoff and soil loss in Europe and the Mediterranean?","volume":"115","author":"Maetens","year":"2012","journal-title":"Earth. Rev."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0215","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"231","DOI":"10.1614\/WT-D-12-00066.1","article-title":"European perspectives on the adoption of nonchemical weed management in reduced-tillage systems for arable crops","volume":"27","author":"Melander","year":"2013","journal-title":"Weed Technol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0220","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"231","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agee.2016.04.033","article-title":"Tillage impact on soil erosion by water: discrepancies due to climate and soil characteristics","volume":"230","author":"Mhazo","year":"2016","journal-title":"Agric. Ecosyst. Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0225","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"18","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agrformet.2011.12.004","article-title":"Addressing key limitations associated with modelling soil erosion under the impacts of future climate change","volume":"156","author":"Mullan","year":"2012","journal-title":"Agric. For. Meteorol."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0230","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"94","DOI":"10.1002\/ldr.3214","article-title":"Climate impacts on soil erosion and muddy flooding at 1.5 versus 2\u00b0 C warming","volume":"30","author":"Mullan","year":"2019","journal-title":"Land Degrad. Dev."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0235","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1830","DOI":"10.1038\/s41559-018-0724-y","article-title":"Towards a greener common agricultural policy","volume":"2","author":"Navarro","year":"2018","journal-title":"Nat. Ecol. Evol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0240","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"229","DOI":"10.1080\/00224561.2001.12457384","article-title":"Potential changes in rainfall erosivity in the US with climate change during the 21st century","volume":"56","author":"Nearing","year":"2001","journal-title":"J. Soil Water Conserv."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0245","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"43","DOI":"10.1080\/00224561.2004.12435709","article-title":"Expected climate change impacts on soil erosion rates: a review","volume":"59","author":"Nearing","year":"2004","journal-title":"J. Soil Water Conserv."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0250","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"140","DOI":"10.1016\/j.still.2011.09.007","article-title":"Soil erosion assessment on tillage and alternative soil managements in a Sicilian vineyard","volume":"117","author":"Novara","year":"2011","journal-title":"Soil Tillage Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0255","series-title":"Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Ipcc","author":"Pachauri","year":"2014"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0260","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"470","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envres.2019.02.043","article-title":"Soil erosion modelling: the new challenges as the result of policy developments in Europe","volume":"172","author":"Panagos","year":"2019","journal-title":"Environ. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0265","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"801","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2015.01.008","article-title":"Rainfall erosivity in Europe","volume":"511","author":"Panagos","year":"2015","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0270","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"38","DOI":"10.1016\/j.landusepol.2015.05.021","article-title":"Estimating the soil erosion cover-management factor at the European scale","volume":"48","author":"Panagos","year":"2015","journal-title":"Land Use Policy"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0275","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"438","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2015.08.012","article-title":"The new assessment of soil loss by water erosion in Europe","volume":"54","author":"Panagos","year":"2015","journal-title":"Environ. Sci. Policy"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0280","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"251","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2017.03.006","article-title":"Towards estimates of future rainfall erosivity in Europe based on REDES and WorldClim datasets","volume":"548","author":"Panagos","year":"2017","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0285","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1365","DOI":"10.3390\/rs12091365","article-title":"A soil Erosion Indicator for supporting agricultural, environmental and climate policies in the european union","volume":"12","author":"Panagos","year":"2020","journal-title":"Remote Sens."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0290","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"57","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jenvman.2014.10.034","article-title":"A method for modeling the effects of climate and land use changes on erosion and sustainability of soil in a Mediterranean watershed (Languedoc, France)","volume":"150","author":"Paroissien","year":"2015","journal-title":"J. Environ. Manage."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0295","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"305","DOI":"10.1002\/pan3.10080","article-title":"Action needed for the EU Common Agricultural Policy to address sustainability challenges","volume":"2","author":"Pe\u2019er","year":"2020","journal-title":"People and Nature"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0300","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"64","DOI":"10.1002\/esp.4250","article-title":"Soil erosion in the Anthropocene: research needs","volume":"43","author":"Poesen","year":"2018","journal-title":"Earth Surf. Process. Landf."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0305","series-title":"Predicting Soil Erosion by Water: a Guide to Conservation Planning With the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE)","author":"Renard","year":"1997"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0310","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"446","DOI":"10.1016\/j.landusepol.2012.04.005","article-title":"Policy reform and agricultural land abandonment in the EU","volume":"30","author":"Renwick","year":"2013","journal-title":"Land Use Policy"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0315","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"99","DOI":"10.1016\/j.catena.2014.04.019","article-title":"Impact of climate change on soil erosion\u2014a high-resolution projection on catchment scale until 2100 in Saxony\/Germany","volume":"121","author":"Routschek","year":"2014","journal-title":"Catena"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0320","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"69","DOI":"10.1111\/agec.12090","article-title":"Land\u2010use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro\u2010economic model comparison","volume":"45","author":"Schmitz","year":"2014","journal-title":"Agric. Econ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0325","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"46","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2009.09.008","article-title":"Modelling the European Farmland Bird Indicator in response to forecast land-use change in Europe","volume":"11","author":"Scholefield","year":"2011","journal-title":"Ecol. Indic."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0330","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"44","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jaridenv.2014.01.016","article-title":"Achieving zero net land degradation: challenges and opportunities","volume":"112","author":"Stavi","year":"2015","journal-title":"J. Arid Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0335","series-title":"Climate Change 2013: the Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of IPCC the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change","author":"Stocker","year":"2014"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0340","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1900","DOI":"10.1017\/S1368980013000232","article-title":"Replacement of meat and dairy by plant-derived foods: estimated effects on land use, iron and SFA intakes in young Dutch adult females","volume":"16","author":"Temme","year":"2013","journal-title":"Public Health Nutr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0345","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1359","DOI":"10.5194\/hess-21-1359-2017","article-title":"Weather radar rainfall data in urban hydrology","volume":"21","author":"Thorndahl","year":"2017","journal-title":"Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0350","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"139","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-014-1287-9","article-title":"Temporal trends in extreme rainfall intensity and erosivity in the Mediterranean region: a case study in southern Tuscany","volume":"128","author":"Vallebona","year":"2015","journal-title":"Italy. Climatic Change"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0355","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"231","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eja.2010.05.008","article-title":"Assessing the effect of soil tillage on crop growth: a meta-regression analysis on European crop yields under conservation agriculture","volume":"33","author":"Van den Putte","year":"2010","journal-title":"Eur. J. Agron."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0360","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"687","DOI":"10.3390\/w12030687","article-title":"Estimating current and future rainfall erosivity in Greece using regional climate models and spatial quantile regression forests","volume":"12","author":"Vantas","year":"2020","journal-title":"Water"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0365","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ancene.2017.01.002","article-title":"Impact of historical land use and soil management change on soil erosion and agricultural sustainability during the Anthropocene","volume":"17","author":"Vanwalleghem","year":"2017","journal-title":"Anthropocene"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0370","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1167","DOI":"10.1007\/s10980-009-9355-7","article-title":"Combining top-down and bottom-up dynamics in land use modeling: exploring the future of abandoned farmlands in Europe with the Dyna-CLUE model","volume":"24","author":"Verburg","year":"2009","journal-title":"Landsc. Ecol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0375","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"386","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1475-2743.2002.tb00257.x","article-title":"Evaluating an integrated approach to catchment management to reduce soil loss and sediment pollution through modelling","volume":"18","author":"Verstraeten","year":"2002","journal-title":"Soil Use Manag."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0380","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"505","DOI":"10.1080\/10106049.2016.1273398","article-title":"Effect of cover management factor in quantification of soil loss: case study of Sungai Akah subwatershed, Baram River basin Sarawak, Malaysia","volume":"33","author":"Vijith","year":"2018","journal-title":"Geocarto international"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0385","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"239","DOI":"10.1016\/j.still.2006.05.005","article-title":"Developments in conservation tillage in rainfed regions of North China","volume":"93","author":"Wang","year":"2007","journal-title":"Soil Tillage Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0390","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"86","DOI":"10.1016\/j.landusepol.2009.02.009","article-title":"Adoption of soil conservation practices in Belgium: an examination of the theory of planned behaviour in the agri-environmental domain","volume":"27","author":"Wauters","year":"2010","journal-title":"Land Use Policy"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0395","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1016\/j.gloplacha.2017.10.002","article-title":"Livestock and human use of land: productivity trends and dietary choices as drivers of future land and carbon dynamics","volume":"159","author":"Weindl","year":"2017","journal-title":"Glob. Planet. Change"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0400","series-title":"Gaussian Processes for Machine Learning","author":"Williams","year":"2006"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0405","series-title":"CAPRI Agricultural Model. Uncertainty Treatment. European Consortium for Modelling of Air Pollution and Climate Strategies - EC4MACS","author":"Wirzke","year":"2012"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0410","series-title":"CMIP5 Data","author":"WorldClim","year":"2019"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0415","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2913","DOI":"10.1002\/hyp.1441","article-title":"Global potential soil erosion with reference to land use and climate changes","volume":"17","author":"Yang","year":"2003","journal-title":"Hydrol. Process."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012_bib0420","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"35","DOI":"10.3390\/agriculture7040035","article-title":"Reduced tillage and no-till in organic farming systems, Germany\u2014status quo, potentials and challenges","volume":"7","author":"Zikeli","year":"2017","journal-title":"Agriculture"}],"container-title":["Environmental Science & Policy"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S1462901121001970?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S1462901121001970?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,25]],"date-time":"2025-10-25T20:36:34Z","timestamp":1761424594000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S1462901121001970"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2021,10]]},"references-count":84,"alternative-id":["S1462901121001970"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012","relation":{},"ISSN":["1462-9011"],"issn-type":[{"value":"1462-9011","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2021,10]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Projections of soil loss by water erosion in Europe by 2050","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Environmental Science & Policy","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.envsci.2021.07.012","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}]}}