{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,1,10]],"date-time":"2026-01-10T23:14:44Z","timestamp":1768086884042,"version":"3.49.0"},"reference-count":39,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,1,1]],"date-time":"2020-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1577836800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,1,1]],"date-time":"2020-01-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1577836800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,10,6]],"date-time":"2020-10-06T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1601942400000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":279,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100000038","name":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100000038","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Infectious Disease Modelling"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2020]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,10,14]],"date-time":"2020-10-14T23:40:36Z","timestamp":1602718836000},"page":"905-917","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":6,"special_numbering":"C","title":["Modelling the daily risk of Ebola in the presence and absence of a potential vaccine"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"5","author":[{"given":"St\u00e9phanie M.C.","family":"Abo","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Robert","family":"Smith","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib1","article-title":"Estimating the reproduction number of Ebola virus (EBOV) during the 2014 outbreak in West Africa","volume":"6","author":"Althaus","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLOS Currents Outbreaks"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"87","DOI":"10.1137\/15S013806","article-title":"Mathematical modeling of the 2014\/2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa","volume":"9","author":"Bartlett","year":"2016","journal-title":"SIAM Undergraduate Research Online"},{"issue":"S2","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"142","DOI":"10.1086\/520545","article-title":"Assessment of the risk of Ebola virus transmission from bodily fluids and fomites","volume":"196","author":"Bausch","year":"2007","journal-title":"The Journal of Infectious Diseases"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1016","DOI":"10.1038\/nm0901-1016","article-title":"Predicting the unpredictable: Transmission of drug-resistant HIV","volume":"7","author":"Blower","year":"2001","journal-title":"Nature Medicine"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"229","DOI":"10.2307\/1403510","article-title":"Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of complex models of disease transmission: An HIV model, as an example","volume":"2","author":"Blower","year":"1994","journal-title":"International Statistical Review"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"650","DOI":"10.1126\/science.287.5453.650","article-title":"A\u00a0tale of two futures: HIV and antiretroviral therapy in san francisco","volume":"287","author":"Blower","year":"2000","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"33","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jtbi.2015.08.004","article-title":"Modeling contact tracing in outbreaks with application to Ebola","volume":"384","author":"Browne","year":"2015","journal-title":"Journal of Theoretical Biology"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1038\/srep34598","article-title":"Testing modeling assumptions in the West Africa Ebola outbreak","volume":"6","author":"Burghardt","year":"2016","journal-title":"Scientific Reports"},{"issue":"9","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1740","DOI":"10.2105\/AJPH.2015.302771","article-title":"Public health intelligence: Learning from the Ebola crisis","volume":"105","author":"Carney","year":"2015","journal-title":"American Journal of Public Health"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"119","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jtbi.2004.03.006","article-title":"The basic reproductive number of Ebola and the effects of public health measures: The cases of Congo and Uganda","volume":"229","author":"Chowell","year":"2004","journal-title":"Journal of Theoretical Biology"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"196","DOI":"10.1186\/s12916-014-0196-0","article-title":"Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease (EVD): A review","volume":"12","author":"Chowell","year":"2014","journal-title":"BMC Medicine"},{"issue":"1721","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1098\/rstb.2016.0297","article-title":"The Ebola outbreak, 2013\u20132016: Old lessons for new epidemics","volume":"372","author":"Coltart","year":"2017","journal-title":"Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"43","DOI":"10.1016\/j.phrp.2015.12.012","article-title":"Modeling the spread of Ebola","volume":"7","author":"Do","year":"2016","journal-title":"Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives"},{"issue":"9768","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"849","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(10)60667-8","article-title":"Ebola haemorrhagic fever","volume":"377","author":"Feldmann","year":"2011","journal-title":"The Lancet"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib15","article-title":"Early epidemic dynamics of the West African 2014 Ebola outbreak: Estimates Derived with a simple two-parameter model","volume":"6","author":"Fisman","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS Currents"},{"issue":"10068","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"505","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(16)32621-6","article-title":"Efficacy and effectiveness of an rVSV-vectored vaccine in preventing Ebola virus disease: Final results from the Guinea ring vaccination, open-label, cluster-randomised trial (Ebola \u00c7a Suffit!)","volume":"389","author":"Henao-Restrepo","year":"2017","journal-title":"The Lancet"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib17","first-page":"81","article-title":"An overview of Ebola virus disease","volume":"2","author":"Kadanali","year":"2015","journal-title":"Northern Clinics of Istanbul"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"452","DOI":"10.1089\/apc.2006.0165","article-title":"Global cardiovascular risk in patients with HIV infection: Concordance and differences in estimates according to three risk equations (framingham, SCORE, and PROCAM)","volume":"21","author":"Knobel","year":"2007","journal-title":"AIDS Patient Care and STDs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"610","DOI":"10.1017\/S0950268806007217","article-title":"Understanding the dynamics of Ebola epidemics","volume":"135","author":"Legrand","year":"2007","journal-title":"Epidemiology and Infection"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"964","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1469-0691.2011.03535.x","article-title":"Ebola and Marburg haemorrhagic fever viruses: Major scientific advances, but a relatively minor public health threat for Africa","volume":"17","author":"Leroy","year":"2011","journal-title":"Clinical Microbiology and Infections"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"323","DOI":"10.1016\/j.idm.2017.06.004","article-title":"Modeling the role of public health education in Ebola virus disease outbreaks in Sudan","volume":"2","author":"Levy","year":"2017","journal-title":"Infectious Disease Modelling"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1189","DOI":"10.1016\/S1473-3099(14)70995-8","article-title":"Dynamics and control of Ebola virus transmission in Montserrado, Liberia: A mathematical modelling analysis","volume":"12","author":"Lewnard","year":"2014","journal-title":"The Lancet Infectious Diseases"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"88","DOI":"10.1016\/j.coviro.2017.03.008","article-title":"Immunomonitoring of human responses to the rVSV-ZEBOV Ebola vaccine","volume":"23","author":"Medaglini","year":"2017","journal-title":"Current Opinion in Virology"},{"issue":"14","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1406","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.2014.2630","article-title":"Validation of the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease Pooled Cohort risk equations","volume":"311","author":"Muntner","year":"2014","journal-title":"Jama"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib27","first-page":"20","article-title":"Improving burial practices and cemetery management during an Ebola virus disease epidemic \u2013 Sierra Leone, 2014","volume":"64","author":"Nielsen","year":"2015","journal-title":"MMWR. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report"},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"595","DOI":"10.1111\/hiv.12162","article-title":"Increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) with age in HIV?positive men: A comparison of the D: A: D CVD risk equation and general population CVD risk equations","volume":"15","author":"Petoumenos","year":"2014","journal-title":"HIV Medicine"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib29","first-page":"1531","article-title":"The survival of filoviruses in liquids, on solid substrates and in a dynamic aerosol","author":"Piercy","year":"2010","journal-title":"Journal of Applied Microbiology"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"856","DOI":"10.3201\/eid2105.150041","article-title":"Postmortem stability of Ebola virus","volume":"21","author":"Prescott","year":"2015","journal-title":"Emerging Infectious Diseases"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib31","article-title":"Modeling the impact of interventions on an epidemic of Ebola in Sierra Leone and Liberia","volume":"6","author":"Rivers","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS Currents Outbreaks"},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"283","DOI":"10.3201\/eid1102.040533","article-title":"Wild animal mortality Monitoring and human Ebola outbreaks, Gabon and Republic of Congo, 2001\u20132003","volume":"11","author":"Rouquet","year":"2005","journal-title":"Emerging Infectious Diseases"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib33","first-page":"33","article-title":"Ebola virus: Promising vaccine candidates","volume":"1","author":"Sameem","year":"2017","journal-title":"Vaccination Research"},{"issue":"4","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"708","DOI":"10.2337\/dc08-1918","article-title":"Performance of the UK prospective diabetes study risk engine and the Framingham risk equations in estimating cardiovascular disease in the EPIC-Norfolk cohort","volume":"32","author":"Simmons","year":"2009","journal-title":"Diabetes Care"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"423","DOI":"10.1097\/01.aids.0000161771.44276.92","article-title":"Evaluating the potential impact of vaginal microbicides in reducing the risk of HIV acquisition in female sex workers","volume":"19","author":"Smith","year":"2005","journal-title":"AIDS"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib37","article-title":"Computational modelling and optimal control of Ebola virus disease with non-linear incidence rate","volume":"818","author":"Takaidza","year":"2017","journal-title":"Journal of Physics: Conference Series"},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"164","DOI":"10.1001\/jama.2015.18202","article-title":"Multinational assessment of accuracy of equations for predicting risk of kidney failure: A meta-analysis","volume":"315","author":"Tangri","year":"2016","journal-title":"Jama"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib39","first-page":"61","article-title":"Using Sensitivity analysis to examine the effects of an Ebola vaccine","author":"Waife","year":"2017","journal-title":"Proceedings of the SummerSim-SCSC 2017 conference"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"18","DOI":"10.1080\/17513758.2015.1090632","article-title":"A\u00a0model of the Ebola epidemics in West Africa incorporating age of infection","volume":"10","author":"Webb","year":"2016","journal-title":"Journal of Biological Dynamics"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib43","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"384","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jfma.2015.01.012","article-title":"Ebola virus disease in nonendemic countries","volume":"114","author":"Wong","year":"2015","journal-title":"Journal of the Formosan Medical Association"},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003_bib44","first-page":"271","article-title":"Ebola haemorrhagic fever in Zaire, 1976","volume":"56","author":"World Health Organization","year":"1978","journal-title":"Bulletin of the World Health Organization"}],"container-title":["Infectious Disease Modelling"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S2468042720300579?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S2468042720300579?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,11]],"date-time":"2025-11-11T04:08:08Z","timestamp":1762834088000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S2468042720300579"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2020]]},"references-count":39,"alternative-id":["S2468042720300579"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003","relation":{},"ISSN":["2468-0427"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2468-0427","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2020]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Modelling the daily risk of Ebola in the presence and absence of a potential vaccine","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Infectious Disease Modelling","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.idm.2020.10.003","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2020 The Authors. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}]}}