{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,7,17]],"date-time":"2026-07-17T17:31:13Z","timestamp":1784309473996,"version":"3.55.0"},"reference-count":38,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,12,1]],"date-time":"2023-12-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1701388800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,12,1]],"date-time":"2023-12-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1701388800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2023,8,25]],"date-time":"2023-08-25T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1692921600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Journal of Cancer Policy"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2023,12]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2023,11,20]],"date-time":"2023-11-20T16:01:19Z","timestamp":1700496079000},"page":"100441","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":6,"special_numbering":"C","title":["A tailored approach to horizon scanning for cancer medicines"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"38","author":[{"given":"Jennifer A.","family":"Soon","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yat Hang","family":"To","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Marliese","family":"Alexander","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3257-9147","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Karen","family":"Trapani","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Paolo A.","family":"Ascierto","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sophy","family":"Athan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Michael P.","family":"Brown","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Matthew","family":"Burge","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4631-5855","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Andrew","family":"Haydon","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1811-0537","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Brett","family":"Hughes","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Malinda","family":"Itchins","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Thomas","family":"John","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Steven","family":"Kao","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Miriam","family":"Koopman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Bob T.","family":"Li","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Georgina V.","family":"Long","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jonathan M.","family":"Loree","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Ben","family":"Markman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Tarek M.","family":"Meniawy","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Alexander M.","family":"Menzies","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8646-1585","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Louise","family":"Nott","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1738-0316","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Nick","family":"Pavlakis","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Teresa M.","family":"Petrella","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sanjay","family":"Popat","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9244-2057","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jeanne","family":"Tie","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Wen","family":"Xu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2806-2401","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Desmond","family":"Yip","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"John","family":"Zalcberg","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Benjamin J.","family":"Solomon","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Peter","family":"Gibbs","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Grant A.","family":"McArthur","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-4522-3385","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Fanny","family":"Franchini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5788-5805","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Maarten","family":"IJzerman","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib1","series-title":"Availability of New, Innovative and Specialist Cancer Drugs in Australia","year":"2015"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib2","series-title":"Strategic Agreement in Relation to Reimbursement, Health Technology Assessment and Other Matters","year":"2022"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib3","unstructured":"Services Australia, Budget October 2022\u20132023: Plan for Cheaper Medicines, Australian Government, Canberra, Oct. 2022. Accessed: Nov. 15, 2022. [Online]. Available: \u3008https:\/\/www.servicesaustralia.gov.au\/sites\/default\/files\/2022\u201310\/budget-2022\u201323-october-19.pdf\u3009."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib4","unstructured":"B. Sola, T. Wang, and N. McAuslane, R&D Briefing 86: Review of HTA outcomes and timelines in Australia, Canada and Europe 2017\u20132021, Centre for Innovation in Regulatory Science, London, UK, 86, Oct. 2022."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib5","unstructured":"IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science, \u2018Global Oncology Trends 2022: Outlook to 2026\u2032, New Jersey, USA, May 2022."},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"224","DOI":"10.1017\/S026646232000029X","article-title":"Analysis of PBAC submissions and outcomes for medicines (2010\u20132018)","volume":"vol. 36","author":"Lybrand","year":"2020","journal-title":"Int. J. Technol. Assess. Health Care"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib7","series-title":"Wonder Drug Consulting","article-title":"Analysis of PBAC submissions and outcomes for medicines for patients with cancer (2010-2016)","year":"2020"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib8","unstructured":"F. Pichler, \u2018Around the World\u2019, presented at the Medicines of Tomorrow, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Dec. 07, 2022."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib9","article-title":"Australian Horizon Scanning: Fiscal Forecasting or Future Focus?","author":"Pichler","year":"2022","journal-title":"Conflu. Health Consult."},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"297","DOI":"10.2217\/cer-2021-0296","article-title":"Health technology assessments and real-world evidence: tell us what you want, what you really, really want","volume":"11","author":"Griesinger","year":"2022","journal-title":"J. Comp. Eff. Res."},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"161","DOI":"10.1016\/0270-0255(87)90473-8","article-title":"The analytic hierarchy process\u2014what it is and how it is used","volume":"9","author":"Saaty","year":"1987","journal-title":"Math. Model."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib12","series-title":"The Delphi Technique in Nursing and Health Research","author":"Keeney","year":"2011"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib13","first-page":"001","article-title":"The Delphi Method for Graduate Research","volume":"6","author":"Skulmoski","year":"2007","journal-title":"J. Inf. Technol. Educ. Res."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"37","DOI":"10.1186\/1471-2288-5-37","article-title":"Stability of response characteristics of a Delphi panel: application of bootstrap data expansion","volume":"5","author":"Akins","year":"2005","journal-title":"BMC Med. Res. Methodol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib15","series-title":"Handbook of Research Methods in Health Social Sciences","first-page":"715","article-title":"The Delphi technique","author":"Chalmers","year":"2019"},{"issue":"4","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.2217\/cer-2018-0102","article-title":"Comparison of weighting methods used in multicriteria decision analysis frameworks in healthcare with focus on low-and middle-income countries","volume":"8","author":"N\u00e9meth","year":"2019","journal-title":"J. Comp. Eff. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib17","unstructured":"National Library of Medicine, ClinicalTrials.gov, ClinicalTrials.gov. https:\/\/clinicaltrials.gov\/ (accessed Feb. 04, 2023)."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib18","unstructured":"M. Wonder, MAESTrO: Global insights for smarter market access strategies. MAESTrO, 2021. Accessed: Apr. 27, 2021. [Online]. Available: \u3008https:\/\/maestrodatabase.com\/\u3009."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib19","unstructured":"Zorginstituut Nederland, Overview of future innovative medicines and expected indication extensions, Horizon Scan Medicines. https:\/\/www.horizonscangeneesmiddelen.nl\/geneesmiddelen (accessed Jun. 08, 2021)."},{"issue":"4","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1008","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-2648.2000.t01-1-01567.x","article-title":"Research guidelines for the Delphi survey technique","volume":"32","author":"Hasson","year":"2000","journal-title":"J. Adv. Nurs."},{"issue":"9","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1695","DOI":"10.1016\/j.techfore.2011.04.005","article-title":"Enhancing rigour in the Delphi technique research","volume":"78","author":"Hasson","year":"2011","journal-title":"Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change"},{"issue":"6","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"891","DOI":"10.1007\/s10198-019-01052-3","article-title":"Multi-criteria decision analysis for health technology assessment: addressing methodological challenges to improve the state of the art","volume":"20","author":"Oliveira","year":"2019","journal-title":"Eur. J. Health Econ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib23","unstructured":"C.-C. Hsu and B.A. Sandford, The Delphi Technique: Making Sense of Consensus, doi: 10.7275\/PDZ9-TH90."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib24","unstructured":"N.C. Dalkey and D.L. Rourke, Experimental Assessment of Delphi Procedures with Group Value Judgments, Advanced Research Projects Agency, Santa Monica, California, USA, Feb. 1971. Accessed: Feb. 09, 2023. [Online]. Available: \u3008https:\/\/www.semanticscholar.org\/paper\/Experimental-Assessment-of-Delphi-Procedures-with-Dalkey-Rourke\/04585fc21df86938adce48cc166897765b42c8b5\u3009."},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"331","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1365-2648.1997.1997025331.x","article-title":"Studying the future: a Delphi survey of how multi\u2010disciplinary clinical staff view the likely development of two community mental health centres over the course of the next two years","volume":"25","author":"Beech","year":"1997","journal-title":"J. Adv. Nurs."},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"111","DOI":"10.1016\/0261-5177(90)90026-6","article-title":"Assessing the environmental impact of tourism development","volume":"11","author":"Green","year":"1990","journal-title":"Tour. Manag."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1016\/S0001-6918(99)00050-5","article-title":"Optimal number of response categories in rating scales: reliability, validity, discriminating power, and respondent preferences","volume":"104","author":"Preston","year":"2000","journal-title":"Acta Psychol."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"103","DOI":"10.1007\/s10100-011-0212-9","article-title":"On the extraction of weights from pairwise comparison matrices","volume":"21","author":"Dijkstra","year":"2013","journal-title":"Cent. Eur. J. Oper. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"97","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eswa.2018.06.060","article-title":"Aggregation in the analytic hierarchy process: Why weighted geometric mean should be used instead of weighted arithmetic mean","volume":"114","author":"Krej\u010d\u00ed","year":"2018","journal-title":"Expert Syst. Appl."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib30","article-title":"Melanoma cancer statistics - Cancer council Victoria\u2019","year":"2022","journal-title":"Cancer Counc. Vic."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2093","DOI":"10.2147\/PPA.S248295","article-title":"The value of hope: Patients and physicians preferences for survival in advanced non-small cell lung cancer\u2019","volume":"14","author":"Hauber","year":"2020","journal-title":"Patient Prefer. Adher."},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1313","DOI":"10.1634\/theoncologist.2018-0711","article-title":"What is important when making treatment decisions in metastatic breast cancer? A qualitative analysis of decision\u2010making in patients and oncologists","volume":"24","author":"Rocque","year":"2019","journal-title":"Oncologist"},{"issue":"15","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3534","DOI":"10.1002\/cncr.32961","article-title":"Importance of quality-of-life priorities and preferences surrounding treatment decision making in patients with cancer and oncology clinicians","volume":"126","author":"Williams","year":"2020","journal-title":"Cancer"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1389","DOI":"10.2147\/PPA.S140226","article-title":"Patient and oncologist preferences for attributes of treatments in advanced melanoma: a discrete choice experiment","volume":"11","author":"Liu","year":"2017","journal-title":"Patient Prefer. Adher."},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib35","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"217","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jval.2016.11.028","article-title":"Patient versus physician valuation of durable survival gains: implications for value framework assessments","volume":"20","author":"Shafrin","year":"2017","journal-title":"Value Health"},{"issue":"11","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0111237","article-title":"Therapy preferences in melanoma treatment - willingness to pay and preference of quality versus length of life of patients, physicians and healthy controls","volume":"9","author":"Krammer","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLOS One"},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib37","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2340","DOI":"10.1093\/annonc\/mdx310","article-title":"ESMO-magnitude of clinical benefit scale version 1.1","volume":"28","author":"Cherny","year":"2017","journal-title":"Ann. Oncol."},{"issue":"24","key":"10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441_bib38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2925","DOI":"10.1200\/JCO.2016.68.2518","article-title":"Updating the American society of clinical oncology value framework: revisions and reflections in response to comments received","volume":"34","author":"Schnipper","year":"2016","journal-title":"J. Clin. Oncol."}],"container-title":["Journal of Cancer Policy"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S2213538323000589?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S2213538323000589?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2024,6,25]],"date-time":"2024-06-25T16:13:37Z","timestamp":1719332017000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S2213538323000589"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2023,12]]},"references-count":38,"alternative-id":["S2213538323000589"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441","relation":{},"ISSN":["2213-5383"],"issn-type":[{"value":"2213-5383","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2023,12]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"A tailored approach to horizon scanning for cancer medicines","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Journal of Cancer Policy","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jcpo.2023.100441","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}],"article-number":"100441"}}