{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,29]],"date-time":"2026-09-29T19:09:57Z","timestamp":1790708997276,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":43,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,2,1]],"date-time":"2020-02-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1580515200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2020,2,1]],"date-time":"2020-02-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1580515200000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100000025","name":"National Institute of Mental Health","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100000025","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["clinicalkey.com","clinicalkey.com.au","clinicalkey.es","clinicalkey.fr","clinicalkey.jp","elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Journal of Psychiatric Research"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2020,2]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2019,12,6]],"date-time":"2019-12-06T04:46:01Z","timestamp":1575607561000},"page":"189-196","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":27,"special_numbering":"C","title":["Developing algorithms to predict adult onset internalizing disorders: An ensemble learning approach"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"121","author":[{"given":"Anthony J.","family":"Rosellini","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Siyu","family":"Liu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Grace N.","family":"Anderson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Sophia","family":"Sbi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Esther S.","family":"Tung","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Evdokia","family":"Knyazhanskaya","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib1","author":"American Heart Association\/American College of Cardiology"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3","DOI":"10.1002\/mpr.138","article-title":"The epidemiology of major depressive episodes: results from the International Consortium of Psychiatric Epidemiology (ICPE) surveys","volume":"12","author":"Andrade","year":"2003","journal-title":"Int. J. Methods Psychiatr. Res."},{"issue":"11","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1134","DOI":"10.1097\/00004583-199811000-00012","article-title":"Children of affectively Ill parents: a review of the past 10 years","volume":"37","author":"Beardselee","year":"1998","journal-title":"J. Am. Acad. Child Adolesc. Psychiatry"},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2075","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291711000468","article-title":"Predicting the onset of major depression in primary care: international validation of a risk prediction algorithm from Spain","volume":"41","author":"Bell\u00f3n","year":"2011","journal-title":"Psychol. Med."},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib5","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"572","DOI":"10.4088\/JCP.15r10003","article-title":"Risk prediction models in psychiatry: toward a new frontier for the prevention of mental illnesses","volume":"78","author":"Bernardini","year":"2017","journal-title":"J. Clin. Psychiatry"},{"issue":"12","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib6","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1007","DOI":"10.1097\/NMD.0000000000000049","article-title":"The role of early life stress in adult psychiatric disorders: a systematic review according to childhood trauma subtypes","volume":"201","author":"Carr","year":"2013","journal-title":"J. Nerv. Ment. Dis."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"310","DOI":"10.1186\/s12888-017-1473-1","article-title":"eHealth interventions for the prevention of depression and anxiety in the general population: a systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"17","author":"Deady","year":"2017","journal-title":"BMC Psychiatry"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"68","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2014.08.017","article-title":"Quantitative forecasting of PTSD from early trauma responses: a machine learning application","volume":"59","author":"Galatzer-Levy","year":"2014","journal-title":"J. Psychiatr. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib43","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1177\/2470547017747553","article-title":"Data science in the Research Domain Criteria era: relevance of machine learning to the study of stress pathology, recovery, and resilience","volume":"2","author":"Galatzer-Levy","year":"2018","journal-title":"Chronic Stress"},{"issue":"1\u20133","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"119","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jad.2011.05.054","article-title":"A predictive model for diagnosing bipolar disorder based on the clinical characteristics of major depressive episodes in Chinese population","volume":"134","author":"Gan","year":"2011","journal-title":"J. Affect. Disord."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib10","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"7","DOI":"10.1016\/S0376-8716(03)00070-X","article-title":"The Alcohol Use Disorder and Associated Disabilities Interview Schedule-IV (AUDADIS-IV): reliability of alcohol consumption, tobacco use, family history of depression and psychiatric diagnostic modules in a general population sample","volume":"71","author":"Grant","year":"2003","journal-title":"Drug Alcohol Depend."},{"issue":"11","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1051","DOI":"10.1038\/mp.2008.41","article-title":"Sociodemographic and psychopathologic predictors of first incidence of DSM-IV substance use, mood, and anxiety disorders: results from the Wave 2 National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions","volume":"14","author":"Grant","year":"2009","journal-title":"Mol. Psychiatry"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib12","article-title":"Source and accuracy statement: Wave 1 national epidemiologic survey on alcohol and related conditions (NESARC)","volume":"52","author":"Grant","year":"2003","journal-title":"Natl. Inst. Alcohol. Abuse. Alcohol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"293","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev.clinpsy.1.102803.143938","article-title":"Stress and depression","volume":"1","author":"Hammen","year":"2005","journal-title":"Annu. Rev. Clin. Psychol."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"28","DOI":"10.1176\/appi.ajp.2017.16111223","article-title":"Exercise and the prevention of depression: results of the HUNT Cohort Study","volume":"175","author":"Harvey","year":"2017","journal-title":"Am. J. Psychiatry"},{"issue":"11","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib15","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1609","DOI":"10.1007\/s00127-015-1088-0","article-title":"The national epidemiologic survey on alcohol and related conditions (NESARC) Waves 1 and 2: review and summary of findings","volume":"50","author":"Hasin","year":"2015","journal-title":"Soc. Psychiatry Psychiatr. Epidemiol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"81","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cpr.2018.08.002","article-title":"Childhood adversity as a transdiagnostic risk factor for affective disorders in adulthood: a systematic review focusing on biopsychosocial moderating and mediating variables","volume":"65","author":"Hoppen","year":"2018","journal-title":"Clin. Psychol. Rev."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib17","volume":"vol. 398","author":"Hosmer","year":"2013"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib18","series-title":"An Introduction to Statistical Learning with Applications in R","author":"James","year":"2013"},{"issue":"10159","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1789","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(18)32279-7","article-title":"Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990\u20132017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017","volume":"392","author":"James","year":"2018","journal-title":"Lancet. Lond. Engl."},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib20","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"206","DOI":"10.1192\/bjp.bp.110.080572","article-title":"Psychiatric history and subthreshold symptoms as predictors of the occurrence of depressive or anxiety disorder within 2 years","volume":"198","author":"Karsten","year":"2011","journal-title":"Br. J. Psychiatry"},{"issue":"6","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib21","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"593","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.62.6.593","article-title":"Lifetime prevalence and age-of-onset distributions of DSM-IV disorders in the national comorbidity survey replication","volume":"62","author":"Kessler","year":"2005","journal-title":"Arch. Gen. Psychiatr."},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib22","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"265","DOI":"10.1002\/wps.20150","article-title":"How well can post-traumatic stress disorder be predicted from pre-trauma risk factors? An exploratory study in the WHO World Mental Health Surveys","volume":"13","author":"Kessler","year":"2014","journal-title":"World Psychiatry"},{"issue":"7","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib23","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"709","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.60.7.709","article-title":"Prior juvenile diagnoses in adults with mental disorder: developmental follow-back of a prospective-longitudinal cohort","volume":"60","author":"Kim-Cohen","year":"2003","journal-title":"Arch. Gen. Psychiatr."},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1625","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291710002400","article-title":"An international risk prediction algorithm for the onset of generalized anxiety and panic syndromes in general practice attendees: PredictA","volume":"41","author":"King","year":"2011","journal-title":"Psychol. Med."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib25","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1929","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291712002693","article-title":"Predicting onset of major depression in general practice attendees in Europe: extending the application of the PredictD risk algorithm from 12 to 24 months","volume":"43","author":"King","year":"2013","journal-title":"Psychol. Med."},{"issue":"12","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1368","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.65.12.1368","article-title":"Development and validation of an international risk prediction algorithm for episodes of major depression in general practice attendees: the PredictD Study","volume":"65","author":"King","year":"2008","journal-title":"Arch. Gen. Psychiatr."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"39","DOI":"10.1111\/1467-6494.00047","article-title":"Personality traits in late adolescence predict mental disorders in early adulthood: a perspective-epidemiological study","volume":"67","author":"Krueger","year":"1999","journal-title":"J. Personal."},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"203","DOI":"10.1515\/ijb-2015-0035","article-title":"AUC-maximizing ensembles through metalearning","volume":"12","author":"LeDell","year":"2016","journal-title":"Int. J. Biostat."},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib29","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"359","DOI":"10.1007\/s00038-013-0519-5","article-title":"Sexual and physical abuse in childhood is associated with depression and anxiety over the life course: systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"59","author":"Lindert","year":"2014","journal-title":"Int. J. Public Health"},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1647","DOI":"10.1017\/S0033291709992121","article-title":"Childhood adversity, adult stressful life events, and risk of past-year psychiatric disorder: a test of the stress sensitization hypothesis in a population-based sample of adults","volume":"40","author":"McLaughlin","year":"2010","journal-title":"Psychol. Med."},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib31","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"993","DOI":"10.1001\/archpsyc.60.9.993","article-title":"Longitudinal trajectories of depression and anxiety in a prospective community study: the Zurich Cohort Study","volume":"60","author":"Merikangas","year":"2003","journal-title":"Arch. Gen. Psychiatr."},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"266","DOI":"10.1037\/abn0000044","article-title":"Enhanced error-related brain activity in children predicts the onset of anxiety disorders between the ages of 6 and 9","volume":"124","author":"Meyer","year":"2015","journal-title":"J. Abnorm. Psychol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib33","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"488","DOI":"10.1016\/j.psychres.2017.11.027","article-title":"Adverse life events and the onset of anxiety disorders","volume":"259","author":"Miloyan","year":"2018","journal-title":"Psychiatry Res."},{"issue":"9","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib34","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0106370","article-title":"Predicting the onset of anxiety syndromes at 12 months in primary care attendees. The PredictA-Spain study","volume":"9","author":"Moreno-Peral","year":"2014","journal-title":"PloS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib35","series-title":"SuperLearner: Super Learner Prediction","author":"Polley","year":"2018"},{"issue":"1\u20133","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib36","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"113","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jad.2007.01.015","article-title":"Depression\u2013anxiety relationships with chronic physical conditions: results from the World Mental Health surveys","volume":"103","author":"Scott","year":"2007","journal-title":"J. Affect. Disord."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib37","series-title":"R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing","author":"Team","year":"2013"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib38","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"167","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jclinepi.2015.12.005","article-title":"A calibration hierarchy for risk models was defined: from utopia to empirical data","volume":"74","author":"Van Calster","year":"2016","journal-title":"J. Clin. Epidemiol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib39","series-title":"Targeted Learning: Causal Inference for Observational and Experimental Data","author":"Van der Laan","year":"2011"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib40","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"51","DOI":"10.1177\/0969141313517497","article-title":"Is the area under an ROC curve a valid measure of the performance of a screening or diagnostic test?","volume":"21","author":"Wald","year":"2014","journal-title":"J. Med. Screen"},{"issue":"5","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib41","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"418","DOI":"10.1136\/jech-2013-202845","article-title":"A prediction algorithm for first onset of major depression in the general population: development and validation","volume":"68","author":"Wang","year":"2014","journal-title":"J. Epidemiol. Community Health"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006_bib42","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"173","DOI":"10.1002\/da.10106","article-title":"Chronicity, relapse, and illness-course of panic disorder, social phobia, and generalized anxiety disorder: findings in men and women from 8 years of follow-up","volume":"17","author":"Yonkers","year":"2003","journal-title":"Depress. Anxiety"}],"container-title":["Journal of Psychiatric Research"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0022395619308878?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0022395619308878?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,20]],"date-time":"2025-09-20T11:15:39Z","timestamp":1758366939000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S0022395619308878"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2020,2]]},"references-count":43,"alternative-id":["S0022395619308878"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006","relation":{},"ISSN":["0022-3956"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0022-3956","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2020,2]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Developing algorithms to predict adult onset internalizing disorders: An ensemble learning approach","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Journal of Psychiatric Research","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jpsychires.2019.12.006","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}]}}