{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,11,6]],"date-time":"2026-11-06T22:44:30Z","timestamp":1794005070030,"version":"4.8.0"},"reference-count":178,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,1]],"date-time":"2025-10-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1759276800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,10,1]],"date-time":"2025-10-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1759276800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,5]],"date-time":"2025-06-05T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1749081600000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100008344","name":"Australian Institute of Marine Science","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100008344","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100015344","name":"Great Barrier Reef Foundation","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100015344","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100003550","name":"Queensland Government","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100003550","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"name":"Commonwealth of Australia and Queensland Government"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Marine Pollution Bulletin"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,10]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,6,6]],"date-time":"2025-06-06T20:34:56Z","timestamp":1749242096000},"page":"118267","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":12,"special_numbering":"C","title":["The seven sins of climate change: A review of rates of change, and quantitative impacts on ecosystems and water quality in the Great Barrier Reef"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"219","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-7671-4358","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Katharina E.","family":"Fabricius","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Aimee","family":"Brown","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Catherine","family":"Collier","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Mari-Carmen","family":"Pineda","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1811-3527","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Barbara","family":"Robson","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-3476-6595","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Sven","family":"Uthicke","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3075-3671","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Jane","family":"Waterhouse","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0005","first-page":"381","article-title":"Phenology of sexual reproduction in the common coral reef sponge, Carteriospongia foliascens","volume":"33","author":"Abdul Wahab","year":"2014","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0010","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"10705","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-017-10947-1","article-title":"Sponge bioerosion on changing reefs: Ocean warming poses physiological constraints to the success of a photosymbiotic excavating sponge","volume":"7","author":"Achlatis","year":"2017","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0015","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"338","DOI":"10.1126\/science.aac7125","article-title":"Climate change disables coral bleaching protection on the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"352","author":"Ainsworth","year":"2016","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0020","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"362","DOI":"10.1038\/nature17155","article-title":"Reversal of ocean acidification enhances net coral reef calcification","volume":"531","author":"Albright","year":"2016","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0025","series-title":"Critical Review of Climate Change and Water Modelling in Queensland \u2013 Final Report","first-page":"115","author":"Alluvium","year":"2019"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0030","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.7717\/peerj.1511","article-title":"Marine microbial communities of the Great Barrier Reef lagoon are influenced by riverine floodwaters and seasonal weather events","volume":"4","author":"Angly","year":"2016","journal-title":"PeerJ"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0035","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2021.112223","article-title":"Responses of marine ecosystems to climate change impacts and their treatment in biogeochemical ecosystem models","volume":"166","author":"Ani","year":"2021","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0040","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecss.2023.108306","article-title":"eReefs modelling suggests Trichodesmium may be a major nitrogen source in the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"285","author":"Ani","year":"2023","journal-title":"Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0045","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1623","DOI":"10.1007\/s00227-006-0573-0","article-title":"Coral mortality following extreme low tides and high solar radiation","volume":"151","author":"Anthony","year":"2007","journal-title":"Mar. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0050","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"17442","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0804478105","article-title":"Ocean acidification causes bleaching and productivity loss in coral reef builders","volume":"105","author":"Anthony","year":"2008","journal-title":"Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0055","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3655","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2486.2011.02510.x","article-title":"Coral reefs modify their seawater carbon chemistry - implications for impacts of ocean acidification","volume":"17","author":"Anthony","year":"2011","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0060","first-page":"16","article-title":"Temperature and light patterns at four reefs along the Great Barrier Reef during the 2015\u20132016 austral summer: understanding patterns of observed coral bleaching","volume":"10","author":"Bainbridge","year":"2017","journal-title":"J. Oper. Oceanogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0065","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"29","DOI":"10.3354\/meps12760","article-title":"Effects of tropical storms on the demography of reef corals","volume":"606","author":"Baird","year":"2018","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0070","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0121272","article-title":"Impacts and recovery from severe tropical cyclone Yasi on the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"10","author":"Beeden","year":"2015","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0075","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"752","DOI":"10.1038\/nature05317","article-title":"Climate-driven trends in contemporary ocean productivity","volume":"444","author":"Behrenfeld","year":"2006","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0080","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"119","DOI":"10.3354\/meps186119","article-title":"Nitrogen fixation by Trichodesmium spp. in the central and northern Great Barrier Reef lagoon: relative importance of the fixed-nitrogen load","volume":"186","author":"Bell","year":"1999","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0085","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"74","DOI":"10.1007\/s00338-003-0353-y","article-title":"A comparison of the 1998 and 2002 coral bleaching events on the Great Barrier Reef: spatial correlation, patterns, and predictions","volume":"23","author":"Berkelmans","year":"2004","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0090","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2634","DOI":"10.4319\/lo.2010.55.6.2634","article-title":"Upwelling linked to warm summers and bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"55","author":"Berkelmans","year":"2010","journal-title":"Limnol. Oceanogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0095","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1103","DOI":"10.1007\/s00338-012-0930-z","article-title":"Salinity thresholds of Acropora spp. on the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"31","author":"Berkelmans","year":"2012","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0100","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0208010","article-title":"Phenology of Trichodesmium spp. blooms in the Great Barrier Reef lagoon, Australia, from the ESA-MERIS 10-year mission","volume":"13","author":"Blondeau-Patissier","year":"2018","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0105","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2021.148679","article-title":"Ocean acidification impairs the physiology of symbiotic phyllosoma larvae of the lobster Thenus australiensis and their ability to detect cues from jellyfish","volume":"793","author":"Boco","year":"2021","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0110","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"205","DOI":"10.3354\/meps245205","article-title":"Changes in a fish assemblage after a coral bleaching event","volume":"245","author":"Booth","year":"2002","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0115","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1002\/ecm.1494","article-title":"Cumulative impacts across Australia's Great Barrier Reef: a mechanistic evaluation","volume":"92","author":"Bozec","year":"2022","journal-title":"Ecol. Monogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0120","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"591","DOI":"10.1007\/s00338-019-01813-9","article-title":"Unravelling the links between heat stress, bleaching and disease: fate of tabular corals following a combined disease and bleaching event","volume":"38","author":"Brodnicke","year":"2019","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0125","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"13","DOI":"10.1007\/s00227-020-03818-3","article-title":"Temporal variability in gametogenesis and spawning patterns of crown-of-thorns starfish within the outbreak initiation zone in the northern Great Barrier Reef","volume":"168","author":"Caballes","year":"2021","journal-title":"Mar. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0130","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.coastaleng.2020.103652","article-title":"Near-reef and nearshore tropical cyclone wave climate in the Great Barrier Reef with and without reef structure","volume":"157","author":"Callaghan","year":"2020","journal-title":"Coast. Eng."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0135","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"647","DOI":"10.1007\/s00382-010-0883-2","article-title":"Variability and decline in the number of severe tropical cyclones making land-fall over eastern Australia since the late nineteenth century","volume":"37","author":"Callaghan","year":"2011","journal-title":"Clim. Dyn."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0140","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5244","DOI":"10.1002\/ece3.7412","article-title":"Ecological impact assessment of climate change and habitat loss on wetland vertebrate assemblages of the Great Barrier Reef catchment and the influence of survey bias","volume":"11","author":"Canning","year":"2021","journal-title":"Ecol. Evol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0145","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jenvman.2022.115059","article-title":"Community-specific \u201cdesired\u201d states for seagrasses through cycles of loss and recovery","volume":"314","author":"Carter","year":"2022","journal-title":"J. Environ. Manag."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0150","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"101","DOI":"10.1016\/j.margeo.2009.08.009","article-title":"Long-shelf sediment transport and storm-bed formation by cyclone Winifred, central Great Barrier Reef, Australia","volume":"267","author":"Carter","year":"2009","journal-title":"Mar. Geol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0155","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0156232","article-title":"Post-disturbance stability of fish assemblages measured at coarse taxonomic resolution masks change at finer scales","volume":"11","author":"Ceccarelli","year":"2016","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0160","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"26","DOI":"10.3390\/rs13153032","article-title":"Mangrove forest cover and phenology with Landsat dense time series in Central Queensland, Australia","volume":"13","author":"Chamberlain","year":"2021","journal-title":"Remote Sens."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0165","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cub.2021.09.078","article-title":"Cumulative bleaching undermines systemic resilience of the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"31","author":"Cheung","year":"2021","journal-title":"Curr. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0170","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"47","DOI":"10.3354\/meps08775","article-title":"Upwelling areas do not guarantee refuge for coral reefs in a warming ocean","volume":"416","author":"Chollett","year":"2010","journal-title":"Marine ecology. Progress series (Halstenbek)"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0175","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"85","DOI":"10.3354\/meps10077","article-title":"Temperature affects the early life history stages of corals more than near future ocean acidification","volume":"475","author":"Chua","year":"2013","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0180","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"483","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2014.03.050","article-title":"Temperature extremes reduce seagrass growth and induce mortality","volume":"83","author":"Collier","year":"2014","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0185","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2200","DOI":"10.4319\/lo.2011.56.6.2200","article-title":"Thermal tolerance of two seagrass species at contrasting light levels: implications for future distribution in the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"56","author":"Collier","year":"2011","journal-title":"Limnol. Oceanogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0190","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0094014","article-title":"Seagrass proliferation precedes mortality during hypo-salinity events: a stress-induced morphometric response","volume":"9","author":"Collier","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0195","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1446","DOI":"10.3389\/fpls.2017.01446","article-title":"Optimum temperatures for net primary productivity of three tropical seagrass species","volume":"8","author":"Collier","year":"2017","journal-title":"Front. Plant Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0200","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1005","DOI":"10.1111\/nph.15234","article-title":"Losing a winner: thermal stress and local pressures outweigh the positive effects of ocean acidification for tropical seagrasses","volume":"219","author":"Collier","year":"2018","journal-title":"New Phytol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0205","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1802","DOI":"10.1890\/14-0112.1","article-title":"Stochastic dynamics of a warmer Great Barrier Reef","volume":"96","author":"Cooper","year":"2015","journal-title":"Ecology"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0210","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"311","DOI":"10.1016\/j.compbiolchem.2008.04.001","article-title":"Climate change, global warming and coral reefs: modelling the effects of temperature","volume":"32","author":"Crabbe","year":"2008","journal-title":"Comput. Biol. Chem."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0215","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1444","DOI":"10.1002\/esp.3430","article-title":"Channel-floodplain connectivity during an extreme flood event; implications for sediment erosion, deposition, and delivery","volume":"38","author":"Croke","year":"2013","journal-title":"Earth Surf. Process. Landf."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0220","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"592","DOI":"10.3390\/d3040592","article-title":"Monitoring coral health to determine coral bleaching response at high latitude eastern Australian reefs: an applied model for a changing climate","volume":"3","author":"Dalton","year":"2011","journal-title":"Diversity"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0225","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0075873","article-title":"Spatial and temporal patterns of eastern Australia subtropical coral communities","volume":"8","author":"Dalton","year":"2013","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0230","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"17995","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.1208909109","article-title":"27\u2013year decline of coral cover on the Great Barrier Reef and its causes","volume":"109","author":"De'ath","year":"2012","journal-title":"Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0235","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1175","DOI":"10.1890\/08-0634.1","article-title":"Sensitivity of tropical seabirds to El Ni\u00f1o precursors","volume":"90","author":"Devney","year":"2009","journal-title":"Ecology"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0240","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2021EF002600","article-title":"Coral reef exposure to damaging tropical cyclone waves in a warming climate","volume":"10","author":"Dixon","year":"2022","journal-title":"Earths Future"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0245","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"859","DOI":"10.1016\/0278-4343(92)90048-O","article-title":"Effects of tropical cyclone waves on ecological and geomorphological structures on the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"12","author":"Done","year":"1992","journal-title":"Cont. Shelf Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0250","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"169","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev.marine.010908.163834","article-title":"Ocean acidification: the other CO2 problem","volume":"1","author":"Doney","year":"2009","journal-title":"Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0255","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"83","DOI":"10.1146\/annurev-environ-012320-083019","article-title":"The impacts of ocean acidification on marine ecosystems and reliant human communities","volume":"45","author":"Doney","year":"2020","journal-title":"Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0260","series-title":"Climate Change in Australia Projections for Australia's Natural Resource Management Regions: Cluster Reports","article-title":"East Coast cluster report","author":"Dowdy","year":"2015"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0265","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3257","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.15642","article-title":"Current and future carbon stocks in coastal wetlands within the Great Barrier Reef catchments","volume":"27","author":"Duarte de Paula Costa","year":"2021","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0270","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"350","DOI":"10.1007\/s00442-005-0210-5","article-title":"The effect of sub-lethal increases in temperature on the growth and population trajectories of three scleractinian corals on the southern Great Barrier Reef","volume":"146","author":"Edmunds","year":"2005","journal-title":"Oecologia"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0275","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"908","DOI":"10.1126\/science.aao1118","article-title":"Coral reefs will transition to net dissolving before end of century","volume":"359","author":"Eyre","year":"2018","journal-title":"Science"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0280","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0279699","article-title":"Macroalgal cover on coral reefs: spatial and environmental predictors, and decadal trends in the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"18","author":"Fabricius","year":"2023","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0285","series-title":"2022 Scientific Consensus Statement on land-based impacts on Great Barrier Reef water quality and ecosystem condition","article-title":"Question 2.2 what are the current and predicted impacts of climate change on Great Barrier Reef ecosystems (including spatial and temporal distribution of impacts)?","author":"Fabricius","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0290","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"690","DOI":"10.4319\/lo.2008.53.2.0690","article-title":"Disturbance gradients on inshore and offshore coral reefs caused by a severe tropical cyclone","volume":"53","author":"Fabricius","year":"2008","journal-title":"Limnol. Oceanogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0295","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"A1","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecss.2016.03.001","article-title":"Changes in water clarity in response to river discharges on the Great Barrier Reef continental shelf: 2002\u20132013","volume":"173","author":"Fabricius","year":"2016","journal-title":"Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0300","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-020-75293-1","article-title":"Progressive seawater acidification on the Great Barrier Reef continental shelf","volume":"10","author":"Fabricius","year":"2020","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0305","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3581","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.12334","article-title":"Sponge biomass and bioerosion rates increase under ocean warming and acidification","volume":"19","author":"Fang","year":"2013","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0310","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"83","DOI":"10.1038\/s41558-021-01248-7","article-title":"Global warming decreases connectivity among coral populations","volume":"12","author":"Figueiredo","year":"2022","journal-title":"Nat. Clim. Chang."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0315","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.3389\/fmars.2017.00073","article-title":"Ocean acidification changes abiotic processes but not biotic processes in coral reef sediments","volume":"4","author":"Fink","year":"2017","journal-title":"Front. Mar. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0320","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2021.112582","article-title":"Combined effects of climate change and the herbicide diuron on the coral Acropora millepora","volume":"169","author":"Flores","year":"2021","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0325","series-title":"Climate change: observed impacts on planet Earth","first-page":"427","article-title":"Changes in coral reef ecosystems as an indication of climate and global change","author":"Foster","year":"2021"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0330","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"132","DOI":"10.1002\/aqc.1088","article-title":"Potential impacts of projected sea-level rise on sea turtle rookeries","volume":"20","author":"Fuentes","year":"2010","journal-title":"Aquat. Conserv."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0335","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"150","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolmodel.2012.12.020","article-title":"Using a microclimate model to evaluate impacts of climate change on sea turtles","volume":"251","author":"Fuentes","year":"2013","journal-title":"Ecol. Model."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0340","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"56","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jembe.2009.11.003","article-title":"Past, current and future thermal profiles of green turtle nesting grounds: implications from climate change","volume":"383","author":"Fuentes","year":"2010","journal-title":"J. Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0345","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"456","DOI":"10.1306\/212F91BF-2B24-11D7-8648000102C1865D","article-title":"Shelf-wide erosion, deposition, and suspended sediment transport during cyclone Winifred, central Great Barrier Reef, Australia","volume":"60","author":"Gagan","year":"1990","journal-title":"J. Sediment. Petrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0350","series-title":"The Blue Compendium: From Knowledge to Action for a Sustainable Ocean Economy","first-page":"15","article-title":"The expected impacts of climate change on the ocean economy","author":"Gaines","year":"2023"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0355","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"519","DOI":"10.1038\/nclimate1507","article-title":"Rising CO2 and increased light exposure synergistically reduce marine primary productivity","volume":"2","author":"Gao","year":"2012","journal-title":"Nat. Clim. Chang."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0360","series-title":"Water quality guidelines for the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park, Townsville","author":"GBRMPA","year":"2010"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0365","series-title":"Great Barrier Reef Outlook Report 2019","author":"GBRMPA","year":"2019"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0370","series-title":"Great Barrier Reef Outlook Report 2024","first-page":"614","author":"GBRMPA","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0375","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0128831","article-title":"Suitable environmental ranges for potential coral reef habitats in the tropical ocean","volume":"10","author":"Guan","year":"2015","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb2375","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2019GL086761","article-title":"Ocean acidification has impacted coral growth on the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"47","author":"Guo","year":"2020","journal-title":"Geophys. Res. Lett."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0380","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"151","DOI":"10.1016\/j.geomorph.2014.03.006","article-title":"Simulating reef response to sea-level rise at Lizard Island: a geospatial approach","volume":"222","author":"Hamylton","year":"2014","journal-title":"Geomorphology"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0385","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"993","DOI":"10.1007\/s00267-007-9009-y","article-title":"Assessment of the water quality and ecosystem health of the Great Barrier Reef (Australia): conceptual models","volume":"40","author":"Haynes","year":"2007","journal-title":"Environ. Manag."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0390","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"89","DOI":"10.1093\/icesjms\/fsaa195","article-title":"Physiological responses to temperature and ocean acidification in tropical fleshy macroalgae with varying affinities for inorganic carbon","volume":"78","author":"Ho","year":"2021","journal-title":"ICES J. Mar. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0395","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"227","DOI":"10.1016\/j.pocean.2015.12.014","article-title":"A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves","volume":"141","author":"Hobday","year":"2016","journal-title":"Prog. Oceanogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0400","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1523","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1189930","article-title":"The impact of climate change on the world\u2019s marine ecosystems","volume":"328","author":"Hoegh-Guldberg","year":"2010","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0405","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"135","DOI":"10.1080\/13287982.2020.1717842","article-title":"Land-falling tropical cyclones on the Queensland coast -and implications of climate change for wind loads","volume":"21","author":"Holmes","year":"2020","journal-title":"Aust. J. Struct. Eng."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0410","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"423","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1442-9993.2003.01300.x","article-title":"Climate change and Australia: trends, projections and impacts","volume":"28","author":"Hughes","year":"2003","journal-title":"Austral Ecol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0415","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"373","DOI":"10.1038\/nature21707","article-title":"Global warming and recurrent mass bleaching of corals","volume":"543","author":"Hughes","year":"2017","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0420","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"492","DOI":"10.1038\/s41586-018-0041-2","article-title":"Global warming transforms coral reef assemblages","volume":"556","author":"Hughes","year":"2018","journal-title":"Nature"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0425","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5393","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cub.2021.10.046","article-title":"Emergent properties in the responses of tropical corals to recurrent climate extremes","volume":"31","author":"Hughes","year":"2021","journal-title":"Curr. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0430","series-title":"Climate change 2021: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; technical summary","author":"IPCC","year":"2021"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0435","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"247","DOI":"10.1016\/0031-0182(96)80502-5","article-title":"The role of sea-surface temperature as a control on carbonate platform development in the western Coral Sea","volume":"124","author":"Isern","year":"1996","journal-title":"Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0440","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-018-32470-7","article-title":"Effects of ocean warming and coral bleaching on aerosol emissions in the Great Barrier Reef, Australia","volume":"8","author":"Jackson","year":"2018","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0445","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.3389\/fmars.2022.910420","article-title":"CMIP6 projections of ocean warming and the impact on dimethylsulfide emissions from the Great Barrier Reef, Australia","volume":"9","author":"Jackson","year":"2022","journal-title":"Front. Mar. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0450","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"154","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cub.2017.11.057","article-title":"Environmental warming and feminization of one of the largest sea turtle populations in the world","volume":"28","author":"Jensen","year":"2018","journal-title":"Curr. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0455","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0084739","article-title":"Flood impacts in Keppel Bay, southern Great Barrier Reef in the aftermath of cyclonic rainfall","volume":"9","author":"Jones","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0460","first-page":"813","article-title":"The flux and emission of Dimethylsulfide from the Great Barrier Reef region and potential influence on the climate of NE Australia","volume":"123, 13","author":"Jones","year":"2018","journal-title":"J. Geophys. Res. Atmos."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0465","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.3389\/fmars.2018.00283","article-title":"Reconstructing four centuries of temperature-induced coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"5","author":"Kamenos","year":"2018","journal-title":"Front. Mar. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0470","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"E303","DOI":"10.1175\/BAMS-D-18-0194.1","article-title":"Tropical cyclones and climate change assessment: part II: projected response to anthropogenic warming","volume":"101","author":"Knutson","year":"2020","journal-title":"Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0475","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"690","DOI":"10.1111\/1758-2229.12782","article-title":"Thermal stress modifies the marine sponge virome","volume":"11","author":"Laffy","year":"2019","journal-title":"Environ. Microbiol. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0480","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"207","DOI":"10.1007\/s00338-013-1112-3","article-title":"The thermal tolerance of crown-of-thorns (Acanthaster planci) embryos and bipinnaria larvae: implications for spatial and temporal variation in adult populations","volume":"33","author":"Lamare","year":"2014","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0485","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2021.112494","article-title":"Connecting targets for catchment sediment loads to ecological outcomes for seagrass using multiple lines of evidence","volume":"169","author":"Lambert","year":"2021","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0490","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"107","DOI":"10.1016\/j.quascirev.2003.10.003","article-title":"Cyclone pumping, sediment partitioning and the development of the Great Barrier Reef shelf system: a review","volume":"23","author":"Larcombe","year":"2004","journal-title":"Quat. Sci. Rev."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0495","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2620","DOI":"10.1111\/fwb.12515","article-title":"Ecological effects of extreme climatic events on riverine ecosystems: insights from Australia","volume":"60","author":"Leigh","year":"2015","journal-title":"Freshw. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0500","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1753","DOI":"10.5194\/bg-13-1753-2016","article-title":"Historical reconstruction of ocean acidification in the Australian region","volume":"13","author":"Lenton","year":"2016","journal-title":"Biogeosciences"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0505","series-title":"2022 Scientific Consensus Statement on land-based impacts on Great Barrier Reef water quality and ecosystem condition","article-title":"Question 3.1 What are the spatial and temporal distributions of terrigenous sediments and associated indicators within the Great Barrier Reef?","author":"Lewis","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0510","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"14322","DOI":"10.1007\/s11356-020-08176-7","article-title":"A scientometric review of the research on the impacts of climate change on water quality during 1998\u20132018","volume":"27","author":"Li","year":"2020","journal-title":"Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. Int."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0515","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"265","DOI":"10.3354\/meps11031","article-title":"Habitat bleaching disrupts threat responses and persistence in anemonefish","volume":"517","author":"L\u00f6nnstedt","year":"2014","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0520","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"181","DOI":"10.1007\/BF00301197","article-title":"Climate variation and El-Nino southern oscillation event on the Great Barrier Reef - 1958 to 1987","volume":"13","author":"Lough","year":"1994","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0525","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"739","DOI":"10.1007\/s00338-015-1297-8","article-title":"Freshwater impacts in the central Great Barrier Reef: 1648\u20132011","volume":"34","author":"Lough","year":"2015","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0530","series-title":"Climate change and the Great Barrier Reef: a vulnerability assessment","article-title":"Vulnerability of mangroves and tidal wetlands of the great barrier reef to climate change","author":"Lovelock","year":"2007"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0535","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"55","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jembe.2012.02.008","article-title":"Behavioral and morphological changes caused by thermal stress in the Great Barrier Reef sponge Rhopaloeides odorabile","volume":"416-417","author":"Massaro","year":"2012","journal-title":"J. Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol."},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0540","first-page":"601","article-title":"ENSO weather and coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia","volume":"44","author":"McGowan","year":"2017","journal-title":"Geophys. Res. Lett."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0545","series-title":"Climate Change in Australia Information for Australia\u2019s Natural Resource Management Regions: Technical Report","article-title":"Chapter 7.3: WINDS, STORMS AND WEATHER SYSTEMS, CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology 2015","author":"McInnes","year":"2015"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0550","series-title":"Climate Change in Australia Projections for Australia's Natural Resource Management Regions: Cluster Reports","first-page":"54","article-title":"Wet tropics cluster report","author":"McInnes","year":"2015"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0555","series-title":"CHAPTER 8 PROJECTIONS (AND RECENT TRENDS): MARINE AND COASTS, CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology 2015, Climate Change in Australia Information for Australia\u2019s Natural Resource Management Regions: Technical Report","author":"McInnes","year":"2015"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0560","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"389","DOI":"10.1007\/s12038-015-9516-6","article-title":"Declines of seagrasses in a tropical harbour, North Queensland, Australia, are not the results of a single event","volume":"40","author":"McKenna","year":"2015","journal-title":"J. Biosci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0565","series-title":"Marine Monitoring Program: Annual Report for Inshore Seagrass Monitoring 2020\u20132021","author":"McKenzie","year":"2022"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0570","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"129","DOI":"10.3354\/meps11136","article-title":"Latitudinal variation in larval development of coral reef fishes: implications of a warming ocean","volume":"521","author":"McLeod","year":"2015","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0575","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5768","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.16323","article-title":"Climate refugia on the Great Barrier Reef fail when global warming exceeds 3\u00b0C","volume":"28","author":"McWhorter","year":"2022","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0580","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1332","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.15994","article-title":"The importance of 1.5\u00b0C warming for the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"28","author":"McWhorter","year":"2022","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0585","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2230","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.13552","article-title":"Global warming may disproportionately affect larger adults in a predatory coral reef fish","volume":"23","author":"Messmer","year":"2017","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0590","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3037","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.12259","article-title":"Increased CO2 stimulates reproduction in a coral reef fish","volume":"19","author":"Miller","year":"2013","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0595","series-title":"Climate change in Australia projections for Australia's natural resource management regions: cluster reports","article-title":"Monsoonal north cluster report","author":"Moise","year":"2015"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0600","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1038\/ncomms10732","article-title":"The exposure of the Great Barrier Reef to ocean acidification","volume":"7","author":"Mongin","year":"2016","journal-title":"Nat. Commun."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0605","article-title":"Projections of coral cover and habitat change on turbid reefs under future sea-level rise","volume":"287","author":"Morgan","year":"2020","journal-title":"Proc. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0610","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pclm.0000080","article-title":"Bleaching, mortality and lengthy recovery on the coral reefs of Lord Howe Island. The 2019 marine heatwave suggests an uncertain future for high-latitude ecosystems","volume":"2","author":"Moriarty","year":"2023","journal-title":"PLOS Climate"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0615","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"261","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1467-2979.2008.00281.x","article-title":"Climate change and the future for coral reef fishes","volume":"9","author":"Munday","year":"2008","journal-title":"Fish and fisheries (Oxford, England)"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0620","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"927","DOI":"10.1007\/s00338-008-0393-4","article-title":"Elevated temperature restricts growth potential of the coral reef fish Acanthochromis polyacanthus","volume":"27","author":"Munday","year":"2008","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0625","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"235","DOI":"10.3354\/meps08137","article-title":"Interacting effects of elevated temperature and ocean acidification on the aerobic performance of coral reef fishes","volume":"388","author":"Munday","year":"2009","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0630","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1102","DOI":"10.1021\/acs.est.9b05961","article-title":"Adjusting tropical marine water quality guideline values for Elevated Ocean temperatures","volume":"54","author":"Negri","year":"2020","journal-title":"Environ. Sci. Technol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0635","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1405","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2486.2008.01767.x","article-title":"Elevated temperature reduces the respiratory scope of coral reef fishes","volume":"15","author":"Nilsson","year":"2009","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0640","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"389","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cbpa.2010.03.009","article-title":"Effects of elevated temperature on coral reef fishes: loss of hypoxia tolerance and inability to acclimate","volume":"156","author":"Nilsson","year":"2010","journal-title":"Comp. Biochem. Physiol. A Mol. Integr. Physiol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0645","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"883","DOI":"10.1046\/j.1440-0952.1999.00751.x","article-title":"Assessment of the relative importance of major sediment-transport mechanisms in the central Great Barrier Reef lagoon","volume":"46","author":"Orpin","year":"1999","journal-title":"Aust. J. Earth Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0650","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1126\/sciadv.aar6127","article-title":"Impaired recovery of the Great Barrier Reef under cumulative stress","volume":"4","author":"Ortiz","year":"2018","journal-title":"Sci. Adv."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0655","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3869","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.13707","article-title":"Delayed coral recovery in a warming ocean","volume":"23","author":"Osborne","year":"2017","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0660","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3467","DOI":"10.1007\/s00382-018-4091-9","article-title":"The response of land-falling tropical cyclone characteristics to projected climate change in Northeast Australia","volume":"51","author":"Parker","year":"2018","journal-title":"Clim. Dyn."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0665","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"68","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marenvres.2014.03.006","article-title":"Using MODIS data for understanding changes in seagrass meadow health: a case study in the Great Barrier Reef (Australia)","volume":"98","author":"Petus","year":"2014","journal-title":"Mar. Environ. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0670","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.3389\/fmars.2019.00575","article-title":"Multi-decadal change in reef-scale production and calcification associated with recent disturbances on a Lizard Island reef flat","volume":"6","author":"Pisapia","year":"2019","journal-title":"Front. Mar. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0675","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"157","DOI":"10.1007\/s12038-013-9299-6","article-title":"Seagrasses in tropical Australia, productive and abundant for decades decimated overnight","volume":"38","author":"Pollard","year":"2013","journal-title":"J. Biosci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0680","first-page":"407","article-title":"Climate change and Australian marine life","volume":"45","author":"Poloczanska","year":"2007","journal-title":"Oceanogr. Mar. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0685","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"53","DOI":"10.1007\/s00382-016-3326-x","article-title":"Apparent limitations in the ability of CMIP5 climate models to simulate recent multi-decadal change in surface temperature: implications for global temperature projections","volume":"49","author":"Power","year":"2017","journal-title":"Clim. Dyn."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0690","series-title":"Oceanography and Marine Biology: An Annual Review","first-page":"251","article-title":"Effects Of Climate-Induced Coral Bleaching On Coral-Reef Fishes-Ecological And Economic Consequences","volume":"46","author":"Pratchett","year":"2008"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0695","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1269","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1095-8649.2006.01161.x","article-title":"Declines in the abundance of Chaetodon butterflyfishes following extensive coral depletion","volume":"69","author":"Pratchett","year":"2006","journal-title":"J. Fish Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0700","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"8302","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-018-26535-w","article-title":"The bioeroding sponge Cliona orientalis will not tolerate future projected ocean warming","volume":"8","author":"Ramsby","year":"2018","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0705","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1002\/ecy.2918","article-title":"Upwelling buffers climate change impacts on coral reefs of the eastern tropical Pacific","volume":"101","author":"Randall","year":"2020","journal-title":"Ecology (Durham)"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0710","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2019.135908","article-title":"Growth responses of branching versus massive corals to ocean warming on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia","volume":"705","author":"Razak","year":"2020","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0715","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"34","DOI":"10.1071\/MF11151","article-title":"Climate variability of the Great Barrier Reef in relation to the tropical Pacific and El Ni\u00f1o-southern oscillation","volume":"63","author":"Redondo-Rodriguez","year":"2012","journal-title":"Mar. Freshw. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0720","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"291","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.12035","article-title":"Decline in growth of foraminifer Marginopora rossi under eutrophication and ocean acidification scenarios","volume":"19","author":"Reymond","year":"2013","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0725","series-title":"2022 Scientific consensus statement: methods for the synthesis of evidence","first-page":"59","author":"Richards","year":"2023"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0730","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3117","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.14119","article-title":"Mass coral bleaching causes biotic homogenization of reef fish assemblages","volume":"24","author":"Richardson","year":"2018","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0735","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"34003","DOI":"10.1088\/1748-9326\/8\/3\/034003","article-title":"Risks to coral reefs from ocean carbonate chemistry changes in recent earth system model projections","volume":"8","author":"Ricke","year":"2013","journal-title":"Environ. Res. Lett."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0740","series-title":"2022 scientific consensus statement on land-based impacts on Great Barrier Reef water quality and ecosystem condition","article-title":"Question 4.1 what is the spatial and temporal distribution of nutrients and associated indicators within the Great Barrier Reef?","author":"Robson","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0745","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"885","DOI":"10.1177\/0959683614534739","article-title":"Mid-Holocene Sea surface conditions and riverine influence on the inshore Great Barrier Reef","volume":"24","author":"Roche","year":"2014","journal-title":"Holocene"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0750","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0084305","article-title":"Coral luminescence identifies the Pacific decadal oscillation as a primary driver of river runoff variability impacting the southern Great Barrier Reef","volume":"9","author":"Rodriguez-Ramirez","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0755","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1093\/conphys\/cot023","article-title":"Elevated CO2 enhances aerobic scope of a coral reef fish","volume":"1","author":"Rummer","year":"2013","journal-title":"Conserv. Physiol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0760","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"724","DOI":"10.1038\/nclimate2274","article-title":"Interdependency of tropical marine ecosystems in response to climate change","volume":"4","author":"Saunders","year":"2014","journal-title":"Nat. Clim. Chang."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0765","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"249","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2011.10.031","article-title":"Water quality in the inshore Great Barrier Reef lagoon: implications for long-term monitoring and management","volume":"65","author":"Schaffelke","year":"2012","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0770","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.3389\/fmars.2019.00636","article-title":"Upwelling amplifies ocean acidification on the east Australian shelf: implications for marine ecosystems","volume":"6","author":"Schulz","year":"2019","journal-title":"Front. Mar. Sci."},{"issue":"C3","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0775","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2011JC007655","article-title":"Impacts of ocean acidification in naturally variable coral reef flat ecosystems","volume":"117","author":"Shaw","year":"2012","journal-title":"J. Geophys. Res. Oceans"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0780","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"777","DOI":"10.1002\/lno.10048","article-title":"Natural in situ relationships suggest coral reef calcium carbonate production will decline with ocean acidification","volume":"60","author":"Shaw","year":"2015","journal-title":"Limnol. Oceanogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0785","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2149","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.14985","article-title":"Shifts in coralline algae, macroalgae, and coral juveniles in the Great Barrier Reef associated with present-day ocean acidification","volume":"26","author":"Smith","year":"2020","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0790","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2020GL090811","article-title":"Late afternoon seasonal transition to dissolution in a coral reef: an early warning of a net dissolving ecosystem?","volume":"48","author":"Stoltenberg","year":"2021","journal-title":"Geophys. Res. Lett."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0795","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"856","DOI":"10.1071\/MF11278","article-title":"Influence of seasonal and latitudinal temperature variation on early life-history traits of a coral reef fish","volume":"63","author":"Takahashi","year":"2012","journal-title":"Mar. Freshw. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0800","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"791","DOI":"10.1002\/joc.1736","article-title":"An analysis of late twentieth century trends in Australian rainfall","volume":"29","author":"Taschetto","year":"2009","journal-title":"Int. J. Climatol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0805","series-title":"Marine monitoring program: annual report inshore coral reef monitoring 2020\u201321, Townsville","author":"Thompson","year":"2022"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0810","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1002\/ecs2.2571","article-title":"Reef-to-ridge ecological perspectives of high-energy storm events in Northeast Australia","volume":"10","author":"Turton","year":"2019","journal-title":"Ecosphere"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0815","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"401","DOI":"10.1007\/s00338-011-0851-2","article-title":"Interactive effects of climate change and eutrophication on the dinoflagellate-bearing benthic foraminifer Marginopora vertebralis","volume":"31","author":"Uthicke","year":"2012","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0820","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"8402","DOI":"10.1038\/srep08402","article-title":"Climate change as an unexpected co-factor promoting coral eating seastar (Acanthaster planci) outbreaks","volume":"5","author":"Uthicke","year":"2015","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0825","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"261","DOI":"10.3354\/meps128261","article-title":"Effects of cyclone \u201cjoy\u201d on nearshore coral communities of the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"128","author":"van Woesik","year":"1995","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0830","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2755","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2486.2008.01644.x","article-title":"Will increased storm disturbance affect the biodiversity of intertidal, nonscleractinian sessile fauna on coral reefs?","volume":"14","author":"Walker","year":"2008","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0835","series-title":"Scientific Consensus Statement on land-based impacts on Great Barrier Reef water quality and ecosystem condition","author":"Waterhouse","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0840","series-title":"2022 Scientific Consensus Statement on land-based impacts on Great Barrier Reef water quality and ecosystem condition","article-title":"2022 Scientific Consensus Statement: Conclusions","author":"Waterhouse","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0845","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"975","DOI":"10.1007\/s00338-010-0644-z","article-title":"Capricorn Eddy: a prominent driver of the ecology and future of the southern Great Barrier Reef","volume":"29","author":"Weeks","year":"2010","journal-title":"Coral Reefs"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0850","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"247","DOI":"10.3354\/meps10398","article-title":"Oceanography and seabird foraging: within-season impacts of increasing sea-surface temperature on the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"490","author":"Weeks","year":"2013","journal-title":"Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0855","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2332","DOI":"10.1016\/j.gca.2009.02.009","article-title":"Evidence for ocean acidification in the Great Barrier Reef of Australia","volume":"73","author":"Wei","year":"2009","journal-title":"Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0860","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1038\/srep45404","article-title":"Combined effects of temperature and the herbicide diuron on photosystem II activity of the tropical seagrass Halophila ovalis","volume":"7","author":"Wilkinson","year":"2017","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0865","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"267","DOI":"10.1016\/0924-7963(95)00002-X","article-title":"The response of tropical Australian estuaries to a sea level rise","volume":"7","author":"Wolanski","year":"1996","journal-title":"J. Mar. Syst."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0870","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"197","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecohyd.2022.01.001","article-title":"Dams and climate change accelerate channel avulsion and coastal erosion and threaten Ramsar-listed wetlands in the largest Great Barrier Reef watershed","volume":"22","author":"Wolanski","year":"2022","journal-title":"Ecohydrol. Hydrobiol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0875","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1978","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.14043","article-title":"Vulnerability of the Great Barrier Reef to climate change and local pressures","volume":"24","author":"Wolff","year":"2018","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0880","first-page":"2513","article-title":"Surface ocean pH variations since 1689 CE and recent ocean acidification in the tropical South Pacific","volume":"9","author":"Wu","year":"2018","journal-title":"Nat. Commun."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267_bb0885","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1029\/2021GL093936","article-title":"The role of clouds in coral bleaching events over the Great Barrier Reef","volume":"48","author":"Zhao","year":"2021","journal-title":"Geophys. Res. Lett."}],"container-title":["Marine Pollution Bulletin"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0025326X25007428?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0025326X25007428?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,15]],"date-time":"2025-07-15T08:23:05Z","timestamp":1752567785000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S0025326X25007428"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,10]]},"references-count":178,"alternative-id":["S0025326X25007428"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267","relation":{},"ISSN":["0025-326X"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0025-326X","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,10]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"The seven sins of climate change: A review of rates of change, and quantitative impacts on ecosystems and water quality in the Great Barrier Reef","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Marine Pollution Bulletin","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2025.118267","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}],"article-number":"118267"}}