{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,11,11]],"date-time":"2026-11-11T10:20:49Z","timestamp":1794392449435,"version":"4.9.0"},"reference-count":93,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,1]],"date-time":"2026-09-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1788220800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,9,1]],"date-time":"2026-09-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1788220800000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,14]],"date-time":"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1778716800000},"content-version":"vor","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/100010661","name":"Horizon 2020 Framework Programme","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["869710"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["869710"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100010661","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100008904","name":"Universit\u00e0 Ca' Foscari di Venezia","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100008904","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100018693","name":"Horizon Europe","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["101112972"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["101112972"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100018693","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Marine Pollution Bulletin"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,9]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2026,5,18]],"date-time":"2026-05-18T03:59:07Z","timestamp":1779076747000},"page":"119871","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"special_numbering":"C","title":["A bottom-up approach to model water quality changes along the Apulia region coastline: a Bayesian Network application to seagrass meadows under a changing climate"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"230","author":[{"given":"Elena","family":"Allegri","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Francesc","family":"Maynou","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Angelica","family":"Bianconi","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Elisa","family":"Furlan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Hung Vuong","family":"Pham","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Silvia","family":"de Juan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Andrea","family":"Critto","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Antonio","family":"Marcomini","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0005","author":"AMAre project"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0010","series-title":"Arctic sea ice decline: observations, projections, mechanisms, and implications","first-page":"213","article-title":"A Bayesian network modeling approach to forecasting the 21st century worldwide status of polar bears","volume":"180","author":"Amstrup","year":"2008"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9005","first-page":"64","article-title":"A methodological approach to understand functional relationships between ecological indices and human-induced pressures: the case of the Posidonia oceanica meadows","volume":"27","author":"Bacci","year":"2013","journal-title":"Glob. Environ. Chang."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0015","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"64","DOI":"10.1016\/j.gloenvcha.2014.04.018","article-title":"Assessing interactions of multiple stressors when data are limited: a Bayesian belief network applied to coral reefs","volume":"27","author":"Ban","year":"2014","journal-title":"Glob. Environ. Chang."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9010","series-title":"Mediterranean Sensitive Habitats (MEDISEH) Final Report, DG MARE Specific Contract SI2.600741, April","article-title":"Seagrass beds distribution along the Mediterranean coasts","author":"Belluscio","year":"2013"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9015","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1657","DOI":"10.1111\/nph.17885","article-title":"Resilience of seagrass populations to thermal stress does not reflect regional differences in ocean climate","volume":"233","author":"Bennett","year":"2022","journal-title":"New Phytol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0030","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S1","DOI":"10.1175\/BAMS_1039_684-692_SoCExecSummary","article-title":"State of the climate in 2021","volume":"103","author":"Blunden","year":"2022","journal-title":"B. Am. Meteorol. Soc."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0035","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.indic.2025.100587","article-title":"Habitat suitability modelling for Posidonia oceanica distribution along a Mediterranean region (NW Italy)","volume":"25","author":"Bordoni","year":"2025","journal-title":"Environmental and Sustainability Indicators"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9020","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"20","DOI":"10.3389\/fmars.2016.00020","article-title":"Overview of integrative assessment of marine systems: the ecosystem approach in practice","volume":"3","author":"Borja","year":"2016","journal-title":"Front. Mar. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0045","series-title":"Protection and conservation of Posidonia Oceanica meadows","first-page":"1","author":"Bouduresque","year":"2012"},{"issue":"27","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9025","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"26809","DOI":"10.1007\/s11356-017-0848-7","article-title":"Cumulative impacts from multiple human activities on seagrass meadows in eastern Mediterranean waters: the case of Saronikos gulf (Aegean Sea, Greece)","volume":"25","author":"Brodersen","year":"2018","journal-title":"Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res."},{"issue":"1\u20132","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0055","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"391","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2015.05.061","article-title":"The seagrass Posidonia oceanica: ecosystem services identification and economic evaluation of goods and benefits","volume":"97","author":"Campagne","year":"2015","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0065","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Chambers J.M. , C. Wyborn, N.L. Klenk, M. Ryan, A. Serban, N.J. Bennet, R. Brennan, L. Charli-Joseph, M.E. Fern\u00e1ndezGim\u00e9nez, K.A. Galvin, B.E. Goldstein, T. Haller, R. Hill, C. Munera, J.L. Nel, H. \u00d6sterblom,R.S. Reid, M. Riechers, M. Spierenburg, M. Teng\u00f6, E. Bennett, A. Brandeis, P. Chatterton,J.J. Cockburn, C. Cvitanovic, P. Dumrongrojwatthana, A. Paz Dur\u00e1n, J. D. Gerber, J.M.H. Green, R. Gruby, A.M. Guerrero, A.-I. Horcea Milcu, J. Montana, P. Stevaert, J.G. Zaehringer, A.T. Bednarek, K. Curran, S.J. Fada, J. Hutton, B. Leimona, T. Pickering, R. Rondeau, 2022. Co-productive agility and four pathways to sustainability transformations. Glob. Environ. Chang., 72 (2022), Article 102422.","DOI":"10.1016\/j.gloenvcha.2021.102422"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0070","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-017-03006-2","article-title":"Palaeoclimatic conditions in the Mediterranean explain genetic diversity of Posidonia oceanica seagrass meadows","volume":"7","author":"Chefaoui","year":"2017","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0075","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4919","DOI":"10.1111\/gcb.14401","article-title":"Dramatic loss of seagrass habitat under projected climate change in the Mediterranean Sea","volume":"24","author":"Chefaoui","year":"2018","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0080","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"119","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpol.2018.04.015","article-title":"Conflict analysis and reallocation opportunities in the framework of marine spatial planning: a novel, spatially explicit Bayesian belief network approach for artisanal fishing and aquaculture","volume":"94","author":"Coccoli","year":"2018","journal-title":"Mar. Policy"},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9030","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0011842","article-title":"The biodiversity of the Mediterranean Sea: estimates, patterns, and threats","volume":"5","author":"Coll","year":"2010","journal-title":"PloS One"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0085","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"358","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2016.02.050","article-title":"Thresholds for morphological response to light reduction for four tropical seagrass species","volume":"67","author":"Collier","year":"2016","journal-title":"Ecol. Indic."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0090","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"340","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jenvman.2018.08.053","article-title":"The science-policy interface of risk-based freshwater and marine management systems: from concepts to practical tools","volume":"226","author":"Cormier","year":"2018","journal-title":"J. Environ. Manag."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0095","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Crisp, D., Dolman, H., Tanhua, T., McKinley, G. A., Hauck, J., Bastos, A., Sitch, S., Eggleston, S., and Aich, V., 2022. How well do we understand the land-ocean-atmosphere carbon cycle?, Rev. Geophys., 60, e2021RG000736, doi:https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2021RG000736, 2022.","DOI":"10.1029\/2021RG000736"},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0100","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"387","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2013.06.001","article-title":"Seagrass meadows globally as a coupled social\u2013ecological system: implications for human wellbeing","volume":"83","author":"Cullen-Unsworth","year":"2014","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0105","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1183","DOI":"10.3389\/fmars.2020.603722","article-title":"Investing in blue natural capital to secure a future for the Red Sea ecosystems","volume":"7","author":"Cziesielski","year":"2021","journal-title":"Front. Mar. Sci."},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9035","first-page":"163","article-title":"Is tourism a driver for smart specialization? Evidence from Apulia, and Italian region with a tourism vocation","volume":"6","author":"Del Vecchio","year":"2017","journal-title":"J. Destin. Mark. Manag."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0120","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2170","DOI":"10.4319\/lo.2009.54.6.2170","article-title":"Seasonal dynamics of Posidonia oceanica in Magalluf Bay (Mallorca, Spain): temperature effects on seagrass mortality","volume":"54","author":"D\u00edaz-Almela","year":"2009","journal-title":"Limnol. Oceanogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0125","first-page":"2655","article-title":"A review of seagrass ecosystem services: providing nature-based solutions for a changing world","volume":"850","author":"Do Amaral Camara Lima","year":"2023","journal-title":"Aquatic Ecosystem Services"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0130","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"5","DOI":"10.1017\/S0376892910000044","article-title":"From hope to crisis and back again? A critical history of the global CBNRM narrative","volume":"37","author":"Dressler","year":"2010","journal-title":"Environ. Conserv."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9040","series-title":"Marine Strategy Framework Directive","first-page":"19","article-title":"Directive 2008\/56\/EC of the European Parliament and of the council of 17 June 2008 establishing a framework for community action in the field of marine environmental policy","author":"EC","year":"2008"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0140","author":"Emission Trading Scheme"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9045","series-title":"EU Missions to Address Climate Change in Cities and Regions. A Project Info Pack by Cordis","author":"European Commission","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9050","series-title":"Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks","first-page":"660","author":"Fenton","year":"2018"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0150","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cliser.2023.100364","article-title":"Perceptions of co-design, co-development and co-delivery (co-3D) as part of the co-production process \u2013 insights for climate services","volume":"30","author":"Fleming","year":"2023","journal-title":"Climate Services"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9055","series-title":"Habitat Protection under the Mediterranean Sea Regulation: A Missed Opportunity?","author":"Fournier","year":"2020"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9060","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"391","DOI":"10.1002\/(SICI)1099-0755(199907\/08)9:4<391::AID-AQC356>3.0.CO;2-8","article-title":"Effects of boat anchoring in Posidonia oceanica seagrass beds in the port-Cros National Park (North-Western Mediterranean Sea)","volume":"9","author":"Francour","year":"1999","journal-title":"Aquat. Conserv."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0155","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M. W., Andrew, R. M., Gregor, L., Hauck, J., Le Qu\u00e9r\u00e9, C., Luijkx, I. T., Olsen, A., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Alkama, R., Arneth, A., Arora, V. K., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., Bittig, H. C., Bopp, L., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Cronin, M., Evans, W., Falk, S., Feely, R. A., Gasser, T., Gehlen, M., Gkritzalis, T., Gloege, L., Grassi, G., Gruber, N., G\u00fcrses, \u00d6., Harris, I., Hefner, M., Houghton, R. A., Hurtt, G. C., Iida, Y., Ilyina, T., Jain, A. K., Jersild, A., Kadono, K., Kato, E., Kennedy, D., Klein Goldewijk, K., Knauer, J., Korsbakken, J. I., Landsch\u00fctzer, P., Lef\u00e8vre, N., Lindsay, K., Liu, J., Liu, Z., Marland, G., Mayot, N., McGrath, M. J., Metzl, N., Monacci, N. M., Munro, D. R., Nakaoka, S.-I., Niwa, Y., O'Brien, K., Ono, T., Palmer, P. I., Pan, N., Pierrot, D., Pocock, K., Poulter, B., Resplandy, L., Robertson, E., R\u00f6denbeck, C., Rodriguez, C., Rosan, T. M., Schwinger, J., S\u00e9f\u00e9rian, R., Shutler, J. D., Skjelvan, I., Steinhoff, T., Sun, Q., Sutton, A. J., Sweeney, C., Takao, S., Tanhua, T., Tans, P. P., Tian, X., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Tsujino, H., Tubiello, F., van der Werf, G. R., Walker, A. P., Wanninkhof, R., Whitehead, C., Willstrand Wranne, A., Wright, R., Yuan, W., Yue, C., Yue, X., Zaehle, S., Zeng, J., and Zheng, B., 2022. Global carbon budget 2022, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 4811\u20134900, doi:https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/essd-14-4811-2022, 2022.","DOI":"10.5194\/essd-14-4811-2022"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0160","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2019.134972","article-title":"Multi-scenario analysis in the Adriatic Sea: a GIS-based Bayesian network to support maritime spatial planning","volume":"703","author":"Furlan","year":"2020","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0165","unstructured":"Gamble C., Debney, a., glover, a., Bertelli, C., green, B., Hendy, I., Lilley, R., Nuuttila, H., Potouroglou, M., Ragazzola, F., Unsworth, R. And Preston, J, 2021. Seagrass restoration handbook. Zoological Society of London, UK., London, UK."},{"issue":"533","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0170","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"253","DOI":"10.1007\/s10750-004-2487-5","article-title":"C, N, P concentrations and requirements of flowering Posidonia oceanica","volume":"2005","author":"Gobert","year":"2005","journal-title":"Hydrobiologia"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0175","series-title":"The Mediterranean Sea. Its history and present challenges","author":"Goffredo","year":"2014"},{"issue":"5865","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0180","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"948","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1149345","article-title":"A global map of human impact on marine ecosystems","volume":"319","author":"Halpern","year":"2008","journal-title":"Science"},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0185","first-page":"2673","article-title":"Density dependence governs when population responses to multiple stressors are magnified or mitigated","volume":"98","author":"Hodgson","year":"2017","journal-title":"Ecology, 98 (10), 2673-2683"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0190","unstructured":"IOC-UNESCO, 2022. State of the ocean report, pilot edition, Paris, IOC-UNESCO, IOC Technical Series, 172, 2022."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0195","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"IPCC, 2019. IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, edited by: P\u00f6rtner, H.-O., Roberts, D. C., Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Tignor, M., Poloczanska, E., Mintenbeck, K., Alegr\u00eda, A., Nicolai, M., Okem, A., Petzold, J., Rama, B., and Weyer, N. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 755 pp., doi:https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/9781009157964, 2019.","DOI":"10.1017\/9781009157964"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9065","series-title":"Climate Change 2021. The Physical Science Basis WGI","author":"IPCC","year":"2021"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0200","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"IPCC: Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: P\u00f6rtner, H.-O., Roberts, D. C., Tignor, M., Poloczanska, E. S., Mintenbeck, K., Alegr\u00eda, A., Craig, M., Langsdorf, S., L\u00f6schke, S., M\u00f6ller, V., Okem, A., and Rama, B., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 3056 pp., doi:https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/9781009325844, 2022.","DOI":"10.1017\/9781009325844"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9070","author":"ISTAT"},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9075","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"473","DOI":"10.1002\/ieam.262","article-title":"Integrating Bayesian networks and geographic infomration systems: good practice examples","volume":"8","author":"Johnson","year":"2012","journal-title":"Integr. Environ. Assess. Manage."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0210","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Juza M. and Tintor\u00e9 J., 2021. Multivariate sub-regional ocean indicators in the Mediterranean Sea: from event detection to climate change estimations. Front. Mar. Sci., 8 (2021), https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3389\/fmars.2021.610589.","DOI":"10.3389\/fmars.2021.610589"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9080","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"62","DOI":"10.1002\/ieam.4332","article-title":"Bayesian networks in environmental risk assessment: a review","volume":"17","author":"Kaikkonen","year":"2021","journal-title":"Integrated Environemental Assessment and Management"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9085","series-title":"A beginners guide to Bayesian network modelling for integrated catchment","author":"Kragt","year":"2009"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0225","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"117","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2018.12.053","article-title":"Evaluating complex relationships between ecological indicators and environmental factors in the Baltic Sea: a machine learning approach","volume":"101","author":"Lehikoinen","year":"2019","journal-title":"Ecol. Indic."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0230","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"685","DOI":"10.1007\/s00267-010-9564-5","article-title":"A global analysis of protected area management effectiveness","volume":"46","author":"Leverington","year":"2010","journal-title":"Environ. Manag."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0235","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"27","DOI":"10.1641\/B580107","article-title":"Resilience, robustness, and marine ecosystem-based management","volume":"58","author":"Levin","year":"2008","journal-title":"Bioscience"},{"issue":"8","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0245","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2366","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1365-2486.2009.02130.x","article-title":"Mediterranean warming triggers seagrass (Posidonia oceanica) shoot mortality","volume":"16","author":"Marb\u00e0","year":"2010","journal-title":"Glob. Chang. Biol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0255","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Marcelli, M., Scanu, S., Frattarelli, F.M., Mancini, E., Carli, F.M., 2018. A benthic zonation system as a fundamental tool for natural capital assessment in a marine environment: a case study in the northern Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy. Sustainability 2018, 10, 3786.","DOI":"10.3390\/su10103786"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0260","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"L. Mar\u00edn-Guirao, L. Entrambasaguas, J.M. Ruiz, G. Procaccini, 2019. Heat-stress induced flowering can be a potential adaptive response to ocean warming for the iconic seagrass Posidonia oceanica. Mol. Ecol., 28 (10) (2019), pp. 2486\u20132501.","DOI":"10.1111\/mec.15089"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0265","series-title":"Climate Models at their Limits? Nature 486, pages183\u2013184 (2012)","author":"Maslin","year":"2012"},{"issue":"12","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9090","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pone.0079889","article-title":"Cumulative human impacts on Mediterranean and Black Sea marine ecosystems: assessing current pressures and opportunities","volume":"8","author":"Micheli","year":"2013","journal-title":"PloS One"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9095","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"51","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jembe.2003.09.003","article-title":"Boat anchoring on Posidonia oceanica beds in a marine protected area (Italy, western Mediterranean): effect on anchor types in different anchoring stages","volume":"299","author":"Milazzo","year":"2004","journal-title":"J. Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0270","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Moore E., Howson P., Grainger M., Teh Y.A:, and Pfeifer M., 2022. The roel of participatory scenarios in ecological restoration: a systematic map control. Environ. Evid. 11(1):23. doi:https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s13750-022-00276-w.","DOI":"10.1186\/s13750-022-00276-w"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0275","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"166","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2017.09.006","article-title":"Seagrass ecosystem trajectory depends on the relative timescales of resistance, recovery and disturbance","volume":"134","author":"O'Brien","year":"2018","journal-title":"Marine Pollution Boulletin"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0280","series-title":"The ocean economy in 2030","volume":"2016","author":"OECD","year":"2016"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0285","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"987","DOI":"10.1641\/0006-3568(2006)56[987:AGCFSE]2.0.CO;2","article-title":"A global crisis for seagrass ecosystems","author":"Orth","year":"2006","journal-title":"BioScience"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0290","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2024.176803","article-title":"A GIS-MCDA approach to map environmental suitability of Posidonia oceanica meadows as blue nature-based solutions in the Mediterranean eco-region","volume":"955","author":"Ozkiper","year":"2024","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9100","series-title":"Bayesian Networks","author":"Pearl","year":"2011"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0295","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marenvres.2020.105236","article-title":"A. Valette-Sansevin Contribution of Posidonia oceanica meadows in the context of climate change mitigation in the Mediterranean Sea","volume":"165","author":"Pergent-Martini","year":"2021","journal-title":"Mar. Environ. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0300","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"306","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2019.02.268","article-title":"A modelling approach for offshore wind farm feasibility with respect to ecosystem-based marine spatial planning","volume":"667","author":"P\u0131narbas","year":"2019","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9105","author":"Politecnico di Bari"},{"issue":"4","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9110","article-title":"Bayesian networks: a guide for their application in natural resource management and policy","volume":"14","author":"Pollino","year":"2010","journal-title":"Landsc. Logic, Tech. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0310","author":"Regione Puglia"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0315","series-title":"EU Nature Restoration Regulation and REST-COAST: setting the basis for coastal restoration","author":"REST-COAST Policy Brief","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0320","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"499","DOI":"10.3390\/d13100499","article-title":"The natural capital value of the seagrass Posidonia oceanica in the North-Western Mediterranean","volume":"13","author":"Rigo","year":"2021","journal-title":"Diversity"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0330","series-title":"Seagrasses: Biology, Ecology and Conservation","first-page":"227","article-title":"Nutrient dynamics in seagrass ecosystems","author":"Romero","year":"2006"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0335","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Ruiz J.M., L. Marin-Guirao, R. Garcia-Munoz, A. Ramos-Segura, J. Bernardeau-Esteller, M. Perez, N. Sanmarti, Y. Ontoria, J. Romero, R. Arthur, T. Alcoverro, G. Procaccini, 2018. Experimental evidence of warming-induced flowering in the Mediterranean seagrass Posidonia oceanica Mar. Pollut. Bull., 134 (2018), pp. 49\u201354, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2017.10.037.","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2017.10.037"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0340","article-title":"Economic evaluation of Posidonia oceanica ecosystem services along the Italian coast","volume":"13","author":"Scanu","year":"2022","journal-title":"Sustainability"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0345","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"190","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2016.01.030","article-title":"Understanding seagrass resilience in temperate systems: the importance of timing of the disturbance","volume":"66","author":"Soissons","year":"2016","journal-title":"Ecol. Indic."},{"issue":"10","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9120","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1743","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2010.06.024","article-title":"Assessment of a Bayesian belief network-GIS framework as a practical tool to support marine planning","volume":"60","author":"Stelzenm\u00fcller","year":"2010","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0355","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1022","DOI":"10.1093\/icesjms\/fsu206","article-title":"Quantitative environmental risk assessments in the context of marine spatial management: current approaches and some perspectives","volume":"72","author":"Stelzenm\u00fcller","year":"2014","journal-title":"ICES J. Mar. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0350","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1132","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2017.08.289","article-title":"A risk-based approach to cumulative effect assessment for marine management","volume":"612","author":"Stelzenm\u00fcller","year":"2018","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0360","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"12505","DOI":"10.1038\/srep12505","article-title":"Seagrass meadows (Posidonia oceanica) distribution and trajectories of change","volume":"5","author":"Telesca","year":"2015","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0365","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Tr\u00e9garot E., D'Olivo J.P., Botelho A.Z., Cabrito A., Cardoso G.O., Casal G., Cornet C.C., Cragg S.M., Degia A.K., Fredriksen S., Furlan E., Heiss G., Kersting D.K., Mar\u00e9chal J-P., Meesters E., O'Leary B.C., P\u00e9rez G., Seijo-Nunez C., Simide R., van der Geest M., and de Juan S., 2024. Effects of climate change on marine coastal ecosystems \u2013 a review to guide research and management. Biol. Conserv., 289, 110394.","DOI":"10.1016\/j.biocon.2023.110394"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0370","series-title":"A Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Network Approach for Revealing Functional Ecological Networks in Fisheries, (October)","author":"Trifonova","year":"2014"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0375","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ecolind.2021.107997","article-title":"Bayesian network modelling provides spatial and temporal understanding of ecosystem dynamics within shallow shelf seas","volume":"129","author":"Trifonova","year":"2021","journal-title":"Ecol. Indic."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0380","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"94","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marenvres.2017.10.011","article-title":"Antioxidant response to heat stress in seagrasses. A gene expression study","volume":"132","author":"Tutar","year":"2017","journal-title":"Mar. Environ. Res."},{"issue":"2016","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0385","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"48","DOI":"10.1016\/j.csr.2015.11.002","article-title":"Exploring methods for predicting multiple pressures on ecosystem recovery: a case study on marine eutrophication and fisheries","volume":"121","author":"Uusitalo","year":"2016","journal-title":"Cont. Shelf Res."},{"issue":"2013","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0390","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"157","DOI":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2013.07.044","article-title":"The value of the seagrass Posidonia oceanica: a natural capital assessment","volume":"75","author":"Vassallo","year":"2013","journal-title":"Mar. Pollut. Bull."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0395","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"20220315","DOI":"10.1098\/rstb.2022.0315","article-title":"Incorporating diverse values of nature in decision-making\u2014theory and practice","volume":"379","author":"Vatn","year":"2024","journal-title":"Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb9115","series-title":"8th edition of the Copernicus Ocean State Report (OSR8)","article-title":"The state of the global ocean","author":"von Schuckmann","year":"2024"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0400","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"12355","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-025-90965-6","article-title":"Assessing the impact of land use change on habitat quality in Zhongwei through multiscenario simulation using the PLUS and InVEST models","volume":"15","author":"Wang","year":"2025","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0405","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"12377","DOI":"10.1073\/pnas.0905620106","article-title":"Accelerating loss of seagrasses across the globe threatens coastal ecosystems","volume":"106","author":"Waycott","year":"2009","journal-title":"Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0410","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"S64","DOI":"10.1890\/05-1554.1","article-title":"Linking water quality to living resources in a mid-Atlantic lagoon system, USA","volume":"17","author":"Wazniak","year":"2007","journal-title":"Ecol. Appl."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0415","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","unstructured":"Williams D., and Jacob D., 2021. From participatory to inclusive climate services for enhancing societal uptake. Clim. Serv., 24 (2021), Article 100266, https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.cliser.2021.100266.","DOI":"10.1016\/j.cliser.2021.100266"},{"issue":"1","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0420","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1080\/17538947.2026.2622141","article-title":"Quantitative assessment of coastal zone scene changes and drivers in the coastal zone of the Guangdong\u2013Hong Kong\u2013Macao Greater Bay Area","volume":"19","author":"Yan","year":"2026","journal-title":"Int. J. Digit. Earth"},{"issue":"2","key":"10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871_bb0425","first-page":"189","article-title":"Learning from experience: lessons from community-based engagement for improving participatory marine spatial planning","volume":"37","author":"Yet","year":"2022","journal-title":"Planning & Research"}],"container-title":["Marine Pollution Bulletin"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0025326X26006582?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0025326X26006582?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2026,11,11]],"date-time":"2026-11-11T09:21:12Z","timestamp":1794388872000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S0025326X26006582"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2026,9]]},"references-count":93,"alternative-id":["S0025326X26006582"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871","relation":{},"ISSN":["0025-326X"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0025-326X","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2026,9]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"A bottom-up approach to model water quality changes along the Apulia region coastline: a Bayesian Network application to seagrass meadows under a changing climate","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Marine Pollution Bulletin","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.marpolbul.2026.119871","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2026 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}],"article-number":"119871"}}