{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,11,2]],"date-time":"2026-11-02T07:28:32Z","timestamp":1793604512951,"version":"4.5.0"},"reference-count":35,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,1]],"date-time":"2025-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1751328000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,7,1]],"date-time":"2025-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1751328000000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"}],"funder":[{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100018561","name":"Sichuan Education and Scientific Research Grant Project","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100018561","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/501100004829","name":"Science and Technology Department of Sichuan Province","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","id":[{"id":"10.13039\/501100004829","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]},{"DOI":"10.13039\/100012542","name":"Sichuan Province Science and Technology Support Program","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","award":["2022JDR0329"],"award-info":[{"award-number":["2022JDR0329"]}],"id":[{"id":"10.13039\/100012542","id-type":"DOI","asserted-by":"publisher"}]}],"content-domain":{"domain":["clinicalkey.com","clinicalkey.com.au","clinicalkey.es","clinicalkey.fr","clinicalkey.jp","elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Public Health"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2025,7]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,5,9]],"date-time":"2025-05-09T15:18:53Z","timestamp":1746803933000},"page":"105744","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":8,"special_numbering":"C","title":["Risk prediction models for patients with recurrent diabetic foot ulcers: A systematic review"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"244","author":[{"ORCID":"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0001-6072-7207","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Zitong","family":"Zhou","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Yu","family":"Jia","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Hong","family":"Yan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jialan","family":"Xu","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Siyu","family":"Wang","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jun","family":"Wen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib1","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.diabres.2019.107843","article-title":"Global and regional diabetes prevalence estimates for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045: results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9(th) edition","volume":"157","author":"Saeedi","year":"2019","journal-title":"Diabetes Res Clin Pract"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib2","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.3389\/fendo.2021.753181","article-title":"Editorial: understanding diabetic foot disease: current status and emerging treatment approaches","volume":"12","author":"Tentolouris","year":"2021","journal-title":"Front Endocrinol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib3","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1719","DOI":"10.1016\/S0140-6736(05)67698-2","article-title":"The global burden of diabetic foot disease","volume":"366","author":"Boulton","year":"2005","journal-title":"Lancet"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib4","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"106","DOI":"10.1080\/07853890.2016.1231932","article-title":"Global epidemiology of diabetic foot ulceration: a systematic review and meta-analysis (\u2020)","volume":"49","author":"Zhang","year":"2017","journal-title":"Ann Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib5","first-page":"105","article-title":"Factors associated with foot ulcer recurrence in diabetic patients","volume":"34","author":"Xu","year":"2019","journal-title":"J Nursing Sci"},{"issue":"suppl 1","key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib6","article-title":"Diagnosis of infection in the foot in diabetes: a systematic review","volume":"36","author":"Senneville","year":"2020","journal-title":"Diabetes Metab Res Rev"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib7","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2021","DOI":"10.2337\/dc12-0200","article-title":"Long-term prognosis of diabetic foot patients and their limbs: amputation and death over the course of a decade","volume":"35","author":"Morbach","year":"2012","journal-title":"Diabetes Care"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib8","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jdiacomp.2021.107960","article-title":"Patient perspectives on the physical, psycho-social, and financial impacts of diabetic foot ulceration and amputation","volume":"35","author":"Crocker","year":"2021","journal-title":"J Diabet Complicat"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib9","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"261","DOI":"10.1016\/S1262-3636(07)70117-9","article-title":"Smoking is associated with increased HbA1c values and microalbuminuria in patients with diabetes--data from the National Diabetes Register in Sweden","volume":"30","author":"Nilsson","year":"2004","journal-title":"Diabetes Metab"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib10","first-page":"724","article-title":"Application and establishment of disease incidence risk prediction models","volume":"32","author":"Zhang","year":"2015","journal-title":"Chin J Health Statistics"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib11","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1480","DOI":"10.1111\/dme.13797","article-title":"The development and validation of a multivariable prognostic model to predict foot ulceration in diabetes using a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analyses","volume":"35","author":"Crawford","year":"2018","journal-title":"Diabet Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib12","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"n71","DOI":"10.1136\/bmj.n71","article-title":"The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews","volume":"372","author":"Page","year":"2021","journal-title":"Br Med J"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib13","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1371\/journal.pmed.1001744","article-title":"Critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews of prediction modelling studies: the CHARMS checklist","volume":"11","author":"Moons","year":"2014","journal-title":"PLoS Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib14","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"51","DOI":"10.7326\/M18-1376","article-title":"PROBAST: a tool to assess the risk of bias and applicability of prediction model studies","volume":"170","author":"Wolff","year":"2019","journal-title":"Ann Intern Med"},{"issue":"suppl 1","key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib15","article-title":"Practical Guidelines on the prevention and management of diabetic foot disease (IWGDF 2019 update)","volume":"36","author":"Schaper","year":"2020","journal-title":"Diabetes Metab Res Rev"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib16","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1136\/bmjdrc-2021-002257","article-title":"Development of a prediction model for foot ulcer recurrence in people with diabetes using easy-to-obtain clinical variables","volume":"9","author":"Aan de Stegge","year":"2021","journal-title":"BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib17","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"287","DOI":"10.2217\/bmm-2022-0837","article-title":"Value of cystatin C in predicting recurrence in patients with severe diabetic foot and diabetic foot ulcer","volume":"17","author":"An","year":"2023","journal-title":"Biomarkers Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib18","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1002\/dmrr.3616","article-title":"Development and validation of a risk prediction model for the recurrence of foot ulcer in type 2 diabetes in China: a longitudinal cohort study based on a systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"39","author":"Wang","year":"2023","journal-title":"Diabetes Metab Res Rev"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib19","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"59","DOI":"10.1007\/s12020-020-02431-0","article-title":"Predictors of healing, ulcer recurrence and persistence, amputation and mortality in type 2 diabetic patients with diabetic foot: a 10-year retrospective cohort study","volume":"71","author":"Gazzaruso","year":"2021","journal-title":"Endocrine"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib20","first-page":"993","article-title":"Construction of risk prediction model for recurrence of diabetic foot ulcer","volume":"36","author":"Lu","year":"2022","journal-title":"Nurs Res"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib21","first-page":"54","article-title":"Risk factors of recurrence of diabetic foot ulcer after healing and construction of risk model","volume":"50","author":"Wang","year":"2023","journal-title":"Chin J Prev Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib22","first-page":"62","article-title":"Development of A Prediction model for recurrence of healing diabetic foot ulcer","volume":"40","author":"Wang","year":"2023","journal-title":"Military Nursing"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib23","first-page":"4013","article-title":"Construction of recurrence risk prediction model for diabetic foot ulcer on the basis of logistic Regression,Support vector machine and BP neural Network mode","volume":"26","author":"Zhang","year":"2023","journal-title":"Chinese General Practice"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib24","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"388","DOI":"10.1177\/107110079501600702","article-title":"Long-term costs for foot ulcers in diabetic patients in a multidisciplinary setting","volume":"16","author":"Apelqvist","year":"1995","journal-title":"Foot Ankle Int"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib25","article-title":"Calculating the sample size required for developing a clinical prediction model","volume":"368","author":"Riley","year":"2020","journal-title":"Br Med J"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib26","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"907","DOI":"10.1016\/0895-4356(96)00025-X","article-title":"Inappropriate use of bivariable analysis to screen risk factors for use in multivariable analysis","volume":"49","author":"Sun","year":"1996","journal-title":"J Clin Epidemiol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib27","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"107","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jad.2023.04.026","article-title":"Predictive models for predicting the risk of maternal postpartum depression: a systematic review and evaluation","volume":"333","author":"Qi","year":"2023","journal-title":"J Affect Disord"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib28","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"230","DOI":"10.1186\/s12916-019-1466-7","article-title":"Calibration: the Achilles heel of predictive analytics","volume":"17","author":"Van Calster","year":"2019","journal-title":"BMC Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib29","article-title":"Risk prediction models for deep venous thrombosis in patients with acute stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis","volume":"149","author":"Fu","year":"2023","journal-title":"Int J Nurs Stud"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib30","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"368","DOI":"10.1097\/CCM.0000000000001571","article-title":"Multicenter comparison of machine learning methods and conventional regression for predicting clinical deterioration on the wards","volume":"44","author":"Churpek","year":"2016","journal-title":"Crit Care Med"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib31","first-page":"227","article-title":"Five-year follow-up analysis of recurrence and death after ulcer healing in patients with diabetic foot","author":"Wang","year":"2021","journal-title":"Chin J Diabetes Mellitus"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib32","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"179","DOI":"10.2174\/1573399811666150609160219","article-title":"Pathogenesis and treatment of callus in the diabetic foot","volume":"12","author":"Arosi","year":"2016","journal-title":"Curr Diabetes Rev"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib33","series-title":"Interpretation of the Chinese Guideline on Prevention and Treatment of Diabetic Foot","first-page":"88","author":"Xue","year":"2019"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib34","first-page":"4911","article-title":"Risk factors affecting the diabetic foot and the effect of ulcer severity on prognosis","volume":"41","author":"Zhang","year":"2021","journal-title":"Chin J Gerontol"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744_bib35","first-page":"3121","article-title":"Onset, healing, recurrence and risk factors in patients with diabetic feet","volume":"39","author":"Xiong","year":"2019","journal-title":"Chin J Gerontol"}],"container-title":["Public Health"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0033350625001908?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0033350625001908?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,4]],"date-time":"2025-11-04T01:05:23Z","timestamp":1762218323000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S0033350625001908"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2025,7]]},"references-count":35,"alternative-id":["S0033350625001908"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744","relation":{},"ISSN":["0033-3506"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0033-3506","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2025,7]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Risk prediction models for patients with recurrent diabetic foot ulcers: A systematic review","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Public Health","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.puhe.2025.105744","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2025 The Royal Society for Public Health. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}],"article-number":"105744"}}