{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,10,1]],"date-time":"2026-10-01T02:17:20Z","timestamp":1790821040004,"version":"4.1.0"},"reference-count":88,"publisher":"Elsevier BV","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,7,1]],"date-time":"2022-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1656633600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/tdm\/userlicense\/1.0\/"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,7,1]],"date-time":"2022-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1656633600000},"content-version":"tdm","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/www.elsevier.com\/legal\/tdmrep-license"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,7,1]],"date-time":"2022-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1656633600000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-017"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,7,1]],"date-time":"2022-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1656633600000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-037"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,7,1]],"date-time":"2022-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1656633600000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-012"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,7,1]],"date-time":"2022-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1656633600000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-029"},{"start":{"date-parts":[[2022,7,1]],"date-time":"2022-07-01T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1656633600000},"content-version":"stm-asf","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15223\/policy-004"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["elsevier.com","sciencedirect.com"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["Science of The Total Environment"],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2022,7]]},"DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2022,3,21]],"date-time":"2022-03-21T21:21:16Z","timestamp":1647897676000},"page":"154671","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/elsevier_cm_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":27,"special_numbering":"C","title":["Impacts of land use, climate change and hydrological model structure on nitrate fluxes: Magnitudes and uncertainties"],"prefix":"10.1016","volume":"830","author":[{"given":"Ida Karlsson","family":"Seidenfaden","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Torben Obel","family":"Sonnenborg","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Christen Duus","family":"B\u00f8rgesen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Dennis","family":"Trolle","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"J\u00f8rgen Eivind","family":"Olesen","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]},{"given":"Jens Christian","family":"Refsgaard","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"vocabulary":"crossref","role":"author"}]}],"member":"78","reference":[{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0005","series-title":"International Congress on Modelling and Simulation","first-page":"1596","article-title":"SWAT-CUP - calibration and uncertainty programs for SWAT. MODSIM 2007","author":"Abbaspour","year":"2007"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb1000","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"61","DOI":"10.1016\/0022-1694(86)90115-0","article-title":"An introduction to the European hydrological system \u2013 systeme hydrologique europeen, \u201cShe\u201d, 2: structure of a physically-based, distributed modeling system","volume":"87","author":"Abbott","year":"1986","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb2000","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"313","DOI":"10.1016\/S1364-8152(00)00003-7","article-title":"Daisy: an open soil-crop-atmosphere system model","volume":"15","author":"Abrahamsen","year":"2000","journal-title":"Environ. Model. Softw."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0010","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"600","DOI":"10.1007\/s13280-012-0323-0","article-title":"Climate change impact on riverine nutrient load and land-based remedial measures of the Baltic Sea action plan","volume":"41","author":"Arheimer","year":"2012","journal-title":"Ambio"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0015","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"73","DOI":"10.1111\/j.1752-1688.1998.tb05961.x","article-title":"Large area hydrologic modelling and assessment part 1: model development","volume":"34","author":"Arnold","year":"1998","journal-title":"J. Am. Water Res. Assoc."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0020","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1325","DOI":"10.1007\/s13280-019-01243-5","article-title":"Future socioeconomic conditions may have a larger impact than climate change on nutrient loads to the Baltic Sea","volume":"48","author":"Bartosova","year":"2019","journal-title":"Ambio"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0025","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"385","DOI":"10.1016\/j.agee.2017.01.038","article-title":"Assessing the impact of changes in land-use intensity and climate on simulated trade-offs between crop yield and nitrogen leaching","volume":"239","author":"Blanke","year":"2017","journal-title":"Agric. Ecosyst. Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0030","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1523","DOI":"10.1029\/2011WR011533","article-title":"Quantifying uncertainty sources in an ensemble of hydrological climate-impact projections","volume":"49","author":"Bosshard","year":"2013","journal-title":"Water Resour. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0035","series-title":"Nitrate Contamination of Groundwater: Sources and Potential Health Effects","first-page":"85","volume":"84","author":"Bouchard","year":"1992"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0040","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"197","DOI":"10.5194\/hess-6-197-2002","article-title":"Climate change impacts on nutrient loads in the Yorkshire Ouse catchment (UK)","volume":"6","author":"Bouraoui","year":"2002","journal-title":"Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0045","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"410","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2012.11.012","article-title":"Hydrological model parameter instability: a source of additional uncertainty in estimating the hydrological impacts of climate change?","volume":"476","author":"Brigode","year":"2013","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0050","series-title":"DCA rapport. 031","article-title":"Udviklingen i kv\u00e6lstofudvaskning of n\u00e6ringsstofoverskud fra dansk landbrug for perioden 2007-2011. Evaluering af implementerede virkemidler til reduktion af kv\u00e6lstofudvaskning samt en fremskrivning af planlagte virkemidlers effekt frem til 2015","author":"B\u00f8rgesen","year":"2013"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0055","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2541","DOI":"10.5194\/nhess-11-2541-2011","article-title":"A probabilistic assessment of climate change impacts on yield and nitrogen leaching from winter wheat in Denmark","volume":"11","author":"B\u00f8rgesen","year":"2011","journal-title":"Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0060","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","DOI":"10.1088\/1748-9326\/9\/11\/115002","article-title":"Policies for agricultural nitrogen management\u2014trends, challenges and prospects for improved efficiency in Denmark","volume":"9","author":"Dalgaard","year":"2014","journal-title":"Environ. Res. Lett."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0065","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"53","DOI":"10.1007\/s10584-006-9228-x","article-title":"An intercomparison of regional climate simulations for Europe: assessing uncertainties in model projections","volume":"81","author":"D\u00e9qu\u00e9","year":"2007","journal-title":"Clim. Chang."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0070","series-title":"AutoCal \u2013 Autocalibration tool. Mike Zero 2009","author":"DHI","year":"2009"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0075","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"926","DOI":"10.1126\/science.1156401","article-title":"Spreading dead zones and consequences for marine ecosystems","volume":"321","author":"Diaz","year":"2008","journal-title":"Science"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0080","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"75","DOI":"10.1017\/S0021859612000846","article-title":"Impacts of projected climate change on productivity and nitrogen leaching of crop rotations in arable and pig farming systems in Denmark","volume":"152","author":"Doltra","year":"2014","journal-title":"J. Agric. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0085","series-title":"Impact of Changing Land Use Practices on Nitrate Export by the Mississippi River","volume":"18","author":"Donner","year":"2004"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0090","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"19","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2012.02.039","article-title":"Relationships between climate, water resources, land use and diffuse pollution and the significance of uncertainty in climate change","volume":"434\u2013435","author":"Dunn","year":"2012","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0095","series-title":"Observational and Predictive Uncertainties for Multiple Variables in a Spatially Distributed Hydrological Model","first-page":"833","volume":"33","author":"Ehlers","year":"2019"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0100","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"599","DOI":"10.1346\/CCMN.1996.0440503","article-title":"Reduction of nitrate by Fe2+ in clay minerals","volume":"44","author":"Ernstsen","year":"1996","journal-title":"Clay Clay Miner."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0105","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1001","DOI":"10.1007\/BF02397497","article-title":"Nitrate reduction in clayey till by Fe(II) in clay minerals","volume":"70","author":"Ernstsen","year":"1992","journal-title":"Hyperfine Interact."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0110","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1889","DOI":"10.1007\/s11269-021-02817-3","article-title":"From changing environment to changing extremes: exploring the future streamflow and associated uncertainties through integrated modelling system","volume":"35","author":"Gaur","year":"2021","journal-title":"Water Resour. Manag."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0115","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1997","DOI":"10.1080\/02626667.2021.1976408","article-title":"Projecting land use growth and associated impacts on hydrological balance through scenario-based modelling in the Subarnarekha basin,India","volume":"66","author":"Gaur","year":"2021","journal-title":"Hydrol. Sci. J."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0120","first-page":"1","article-title":"Generating a Danish raster-based topsoil property map combining choropleth maps and point information","volume":"107","author":"Greve","year":"2007","journal-title":"Geogr. Tidsskr.-Dan. J. Geogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0125","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"575","DOI":"10.1007\/s40710-015-0099-x","article-title":"Dynamic modelling of land use change impacts on nitrate loads in rivers","volume":"2","author":"Guse","year":"2015","journal-title":"Environ. Process."},{"issue":"4","key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb3000","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1315","DOI":"10.13031\/2013.42244","article-title":"Daisy: model use, calibration, and validation","volume":"55","author":"Hansen","year":"2012","journal-title":"Trans. ASABE"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0130","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1639","DOI":"10.1007\/s10040-014-1152-y","article-title":"A concept for estimating depth of the redox interface for catchment-scale nitrate modelling in a till area in Denmark","volume":"22","author":"Hansen","year":"2014","journal-title":"Hydrogeol. J."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0135","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"58","DOI":"10.1016\/j.advwatres.2017.10.024","article-title":"Simulation of nitrate reduction in groundwater - an upscaling approach from small catchments to the Baltic Sea basin","volume":"111","author":"Hansen","year":"2018","journal-title":"Adv. Water Resour."},{"issue":"Part A","key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0140","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"225","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2014.07.013","article-title":"Uncertainty assessment of spatially distributed nitrate reduction potential in groundwater using multiple geological realizations","volume":"519","author":"Hansen","year":"2014","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0145","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"245","DOI":"10.1007\/BF01051131","article-title":"Simulation of nitrogen dynamics and biomass production in winter wheat using the Danish simulation model DAISY","volume":"27","author":"Hansen","year":"1991","journal-title":"Fertil. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0150","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"318","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2018.04.390","article-title":"Potential benefits of farm scale measures versus landscape measures for reducing nitrate loads in a Danish catchment","volume":"637\u2013638","author":"Hashemi","year":"2018","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0155","series-title":"Potential Benefits of Farm Scale Measures Versus Landscape Measures for Reducing Nitrate Loads in a Danish Catchment","first-page":"318","volume":"637-638","author":"Hashemi","year":"2018"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0160","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"3245","DOI":"10.5194\/hess-17-3245-2013","article-title":"Analyzing the effects of geological and parameter uncertainty on prediction of groundwater head and travel time","volume":"17","author":"He","year":"2013","journal-title":"Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0165","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4974","DOI":"10.1038\/s41598-019-41334-7","article-title":"Uncertainty in hydrological analysis of climate change: multi-parameter vs. multi-GCM ensemble predictions","volume":"9","author":"Her","year":"2019","journal-title":"Sci. Rep."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb3050","first-page":"1","article-title":"Ensembles-based predictions of climate changes and their impacts","volume":"85","author":"Hewitt","year":"2004","journal-title":"Eos. Transact. AGU"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0170","series-title":"Hydrologisk Information og Pronose System","author":"HIP","year":"2022"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0175","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"50","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ejrh.2017.04.001","article-title":"Review and assessment of nitrate reduction in groundwater in the Baltic Sea Basin","volume":"12","author":"H\u00f8jberg","year":"2017","journal-title":"J. Hydrol. Reg. Stud."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0180","series-title":"National kv\u00e6lstofmodel - Oplandsmodel til belastning og virkemidler. Metode rapport, revideret udgave september 2015 (National nitrogenmodel - Catchment model for load and measures. Method report, revised version September 2015)","author":"H\u00f8jberg","year":"2015"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb3070","series-title":"Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change","article-title":"Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis","year":"2013"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb3090","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"55","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eja.2014.09.007","article-title":"Effect of changes in temperature and precipitation in Denmark on nitrate leaching in cereal cropping systems","volume":"62","author":"Jabloun","year":"2015","journal-title":"Eur. J. Agron."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0185","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"563","DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-013-0499-2","article-title":"EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research","volume":"14","author":"Jacob","year":"2014","journal-title":"Reg. Environ. Chang."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0190","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"301","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2016.01.069","article-title":"Combined effects of climate models, hydrological model structures and land use scenarios on hydrological impacts of climate change","volume":"535","author":"Karlsson","year":"2016","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0195","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"39","DOI":"10.3354\/cr01265","article-title":"Effect of a high-end CO2-emission scenario on hydrology","volume":"64","author":"Karlsson","year":"2015","journal-title":"Clim. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0200","series-title":"Design and Analysis, and Time-Series","volume":"vol. 3","author":"Kendall","year":"1977"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0205","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"4603","DOI":"10.5194\/hess-23-4603-2019","article-title":"Modelling of the shallow water table at high spatial resolution using random forests","volume":"23","author":"Koch","year":"2019","journal-title":"Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0210","series-title":"(GEUS) DNGUfDoG","article-title":"Dybden til redoxgr\u00e6nsen, 100 m grid","author":"Koch","year":"2019"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0215","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"295","DOI":"10.2166\/nh.2010.007","article-title":"Development and testing of the HYPE (Hydrological Predictions for the Environment) water quality model for different spatial scales","volume":"41","author":"Lindstr\u00f6m","year":"2010","journal-title":"Hydrol. Res."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0220","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"276","DOI":"10.1016\/S0022-1694(00)00279-1","article-title":"Automatic calibration of a conceptual rainfall-runoff model using multiple objectives","volume":"235","author":"Madsen","year":"2000","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0225","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"673","DOI":"10.1016\/j.pce.2011.08.013","article-title":"Potential impact of climate change on nitrate load from the Jizera catchment (Czech Republic)","volume":"36","author":"Mart\u00ednkov\u00e1","year":"2011","journal-title":"Phys. Chem. Earth Parts A\/B\/C"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0230","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"60","DOI":"10.1016\/j.ejrh.2015.04.009","article-title":"Evaluating the impacts of climate change and crop land use change on streamflow, nitrates and phosphorus: a modeling study in Bavaria","volume":"4","author":"Mehdi","year":"2015","journal-title":"J. Hydrol. Reg. Stud."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0235","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"255","DOI":"10.1016\/j.envsoft.2017.03.018","article-title":"The impact of the objective function in multi-site and multi-variable calibration of the SWAT model","volume":"93","author":"Molina-Navarro","year":"2017","journal-title":"Environ. Model Softw."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0240","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1763","DOI":"10.13031\/trans.58.10715","article-title":"Hydrologic and water quality models: performance measures and evaluation criteria","volume":"58","author":"Moriasi","year":"2015","journal-title":"Trans. ASABE"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb4000","series-title":"Emission Scenarios","article-title":"Emission Scenarios","author":"Nakicenovic","year":"2000"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0250","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"96","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eja.2010.11.003","article-title":"Impacts and adaptation of european crop production systems to climate change","volume":"34","author":"Olesen","year":"2011","journal-title":"Eur. J. Agron."},{"issue":"3","key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb4050","first-page":"126","article-title":"Scenarier for fremtidens arealanvendelse i Danmark","volume":"21","author":"Olesen","year":"2014","journal-title":"Vand og Jord"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0245","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1252","DOI":"10.1007\/s13280-019-01254-2","article-title":"Nitrate leaching losses from two Baltic Sea catchments under scenarios of changes in land use, land management and climate","volume":"48","author":"Olesen","year":"2019","journal-title":"Ambio"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0255","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"139","DOI":"10.1017\/S0021859617000971","article-title":"Long-term simulation of temporal change of soil organic carbon in Denmark: comparison of three model performances under climate change","volume":"156","author":"Ozturk","year":"2018","journal-title":"J. Agric. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0260","series-title":"Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland Bulletin","article-title":"Climate change: sources of uncertainty in precipitation and temperature projections for Denmark","volume":"43","author":"Pasten-Zapata","year":"2019"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb5000","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"187","DOI":"10.1007\/s00704-009-0134-9","article-title":"Statistical bias correction for daily precipitation in regional climate models over Europe","volume":"99","author":"Piani","year":"2010","journal-title":"Theor. Appl. Climatol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb6000","series-title":"Vejledning om g\u00f8dskning- og Harmoniregler","volume":"2005\/6","year":"2005"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0265","series-title":"Nitrate Reduction in an Unconfined Sandy Aquifer: Water Chemistry, Reduction Processes, and Geochemical Modeling","first-page":"2027","volume":"27","author":"Postma","year":"1991"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0270","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"337","DOI":"10.1007\/s11027-012-9366-6","article-title":"The role of uncertainty in climate change adaptation strategies \u2013 a Danish water management example","volume":"18","author":"Refsgaard","year":"2013","journal-title":"Mitig. Adapt. Strateg. Glob. Chang."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0275","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1278","DOI":"10.1007\/s13280-019-01195-w","article-title":"Spatially differentiated regulation: can it save the Baltic Sea from excessive N-loads?","volume":"48","author":"Refsgaard","year":"2019","journal-title":"Ambio"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0280","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2312","DOI":"10.1080\/02626667.2015.1131899","article-title":"Climate change impacts on groundwater hydrology \u2013 where are the main uncertainties and can they be reduced?","volume":"61","author":"Refsgaard","year":"2016","journal-title":"Hydrol. Sci. J."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0285","article-title":"The Baltic Sea as a time machine for the future coastal ocean","volume":"4","author":"Reusch","year":"2018","journal-title":"ScienceAdvances"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0290","series-title":"Climate Change and Global Warming","article-title":"Assessing the expected impact of climate change on nitrate load in a small Atlantic agro-forested catchment","author":"Rodr\u00edguez-Blanco","year":"2018"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb7000","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"479","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2013.02.015","article-title":"Assessment of robustness and significance of climate change signals for an ensemble of distribution-based scaled climate projections","volume":"486","author":"Seaby","year":"2013","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0295","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"955","DOI":"10.5194\/hess-26-955-2022","article-title":"Are maps of nitrate reduction in groundwater altered by climate and land use changes?","volume":"26","author":"Seidenfaden","year":"2022","journal-title":"Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0300","series-title":"Future Riverine Inorganic Nitrogen Load to the Baltic Sea From Sweden: An Ensemble Approach to Assessing Climate Change Effects","first-page":"1674","volume":"31","author":"Teutschbein","year":"2017"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0305","first-page":"217","article-title":"The combined effects of fertilizer reduction on high risk areas and increased fertilization on low risk areas, investigated using the SWAT model for a Danish catchment","volume":"65","author":"Thodsen","year":"2015","journal-title":"Acta Agric. Scand. Sect. B Soil Plant Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0310","series-title":"Vandl\u00f8b 2019 - Kemisk vandkvalitet og stoftransport. NOVANA Videnskabelig rapport","first-page":"74","volume":"452","author":"Thodsen","year":"2021"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0315","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"477","DOI":"10.1016\/j.apgeog.2011.06.014","article-title":"Predicting plausible impacts of sets of climate and land use change scenarios on water resources","volume":"32","author":"Tong","year":"2012","journal-title":"Appl. Geogr."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0320","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"27","DOI":"10.1175\/JHM-D-17-0002.1","article-title":"Uncertainty of hydrological model components in climate change studies over two Nordic Quebec catchments","volume":"19","author":"Troin","year":"2018","journal-title":"J. Hydrometeorol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0325","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"627","DOI":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2018.12.055","article-title":"Effects of changes in land use and climate on aquatic ecosystems: coupling of models and decomposition of uncertainties","volume":"657","author":"Trolle","year":"2019","journal-title":"Sci. Total Environ."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0330","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"268","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2009.10.009","article-title":"Combined impact of climate and land use changes on streamflow and water quality in eastern Massachusetts, USA","volume":"379","author":"Tu","year":"2009","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0335","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"594","DOI":"10.1039\/b823112e","article-title":"Comparative study of model prediction of diffuse nutrient losses in response to changes in agricultural practices","volume":"11","author":"Vagstad","year":"2009","journal-title":"J. Environ. Monit."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0340","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"743","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2014.07.062","article-title":"Intercomparison of hydrological model structures and calibration approaches in climate scenario impact projections","volume":"519","author":"Vansteenkiste","year":"2014","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0345","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"565","DOI":"10.5194\/hess-17-565-2013","article-title":"An ensemble approach to assess hydrological models' contribution to uncertainties in the analysis of climate change impact on water resources","volume":"17","author":"Vel\u00e1zquez","year":"2013","journal-title":"Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0350","series-title":"Statistical Analysis in Climate Research","author":"von Storch","year":"1999"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb8000","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"126","DOI":"10.1016\/j.eja.2020.126195","article-title":"How well do crop modeling groups predict wheat phenology, given calibration data from the target population?","volume":"124","author":"Wallach","year":"2021","journal-title":"Eur. J. Agron."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0355","series-title":"Drinking Water Nitrate and Human Health: An Updated Review","first-page":"1557","volume":"15","author":"Ward","year":"2018"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0360","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"220","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2011.04.018","article-title":"Assessing the impact of future land-use changes on hydrological processes in the Elbow River watershed in southern Alberta,Canada","volume":"412\u2013413","author":"Wijesekara","year":"2012","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0365","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"2583","DOI":"10.2166\/wst.2016.067","article-title":"Successful reduction of diffuse nitrogen emissions at catchment scale: example from the pilot River OdenseDenmark","volume":"73","author":"Windolf","year":"2016","journal-title":"Water Sci. Technol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0370","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"26","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jhydrol.2012.08.022","article-title":"Impacts of climate and land-use changes on the migration of non-point source nitrogen and phosphorus during rainfall-runoff in the Jialing River Watershed, China","volume":"475","author":"Wu","year":"2012","journal-title":"J. Hydrol."},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0375","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"11","DOI":"10.1007\/s13280-013-0484-5","article-title":"Reduction of Baltic Sea nutrient inputs and allocation of abatement costs within the Baltic Sea catchment","volume":"43","author":"Wulff","year":"2014","journal-title":"Ambio"},{"key":"10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671_bb0380","doi-asserted-by":"crossref","first-page":"1073","DOI":"10.1007\/s10113-018-1453-0","article-title":"Shared socio-economic pathways extended for the Baltic Sea: exploring long-term environmental problems","volume":"19","author":"Zandersen","year":"2019","journal-title":"Reg. Environ. Chang."}],"container-title":["Science of The Total Environment"],"original-title":[],"language":"en","link":[{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0048969722017648?httpAccept=text\/xml","content-type":"text\/xml","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"},{"URL":"https:\/\/api.elsevier.com\/content\/article\/PII:S0048969722017648?httpAccept=text\/plain","content-type":"text\/plain","content-version":"vor","intended-application":"text-mining"}],"deposited":{"date-parts":[[2025,9,24]],"date-time":"2025-09-24T14:03:16Z","timestamp":1758722596000},"score":1,"resource":{"primary":{"URL":"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S0048969722017648"}},"subtitle":[],"short-title":[],"issued":{"date-parts":[[2022,7]]},"references-count":88,"alternative-id":["S0048969722017648"],"URL":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671","relation":{},"ISSN":["0048-9697"],"issn-type":[{"value":"0048-9697","type":"print"}],"subject":[],"published":{"date-parts":[[2022,7]]},"assertion":[{"value":"Elsevier","name":"publisher","label":"This article is maintained by"},{"value":"Impacts of land use, climate change and hydrological model structure on nitrate fluxes: Magnitudes and uncertainties","name":"articletitle","label":"Article Title"},{"value":"Science of The Total Environment","name":"journaltitle","label":"Journal Title"},{"value":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.scitotenv.2022.154671","name":"articlelink","label":"CrossRef DOI link to publisher maintained version"},{"value":"article","name":"content_type","label":"Content Type"},{"value":"\u00a9 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright"}],"article-number":"154671"}}