{"status":"ok","message-type":"work","message-version":"1.0.0","message":{"indexed":{"date-parts":[[2026,4,7]],"date-time":"2026-04-07T02:06:27Z","timestamp":1775527587189,"version":"3.50.1"},"reference-count":38,"publisher":"Cambridge University Press (CUP)","issue":"1","license":[{"start":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,21]],"date-time":"2025-11-21T00:00:00Z","timestamp":1763683200000},"content-version":"unspecified","delay-in-days":0,"URL":"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/"}],"content-domain":{"domain":["cambridge.org"],"crossmark-restriction":true},"short-container-title":["J. Appl. Probab."],"published-print":{"date-parts":[[2026,3]]},"abstract":"<jats:title>Abstract<\/jats:title>\n                  <jats:p>\n                    Let\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline1.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$\\{X_{i}\\}_{i\\geq1}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables and\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline2.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$T\\in\\{1,2,\\ldots\\}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    a stopping time associated with this sequence. In this paper, the distribution of the minimum observation,\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline3.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$\\min\\{X_{1},X_{2},\\ldots,X_{T}\\}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    , until the stopping time\n                    <jats:italic>T<\/jats:italic>\n                    is provided by proposing a methodology based on an appropriate change of the initial probability measure of the probability space to a truncated (shifted) one on the\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline4.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$X_{i}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    . As an application of the aforementioned general result, the random variables\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline5.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$X_{1},X_{2},\\ldots$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    are considered to be the interarrival times (spacings) between successive appearances of events in a renewal counting process\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline6.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$\\{Y_{t},t\\geq0\\}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    , while the stopping time\n                    <jats:italic>T<\/jats:italic>\n                    is set to be the number of summands until the sum of the\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline7.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$X_{i}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    exceeds\n                    <jats:italic>t<\/jats:italic>\n                    for the first time, i.e.\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline8.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$T=Y_{t}+1$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    . Under this setup, the distribution of the minimal spacing,\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline9.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$D_{t}=\\min\\{X_{1},X_{2},\\ldots,X_{Y_{t}+1}\\}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    , that starts in the interval [0,\n                    <jats:italic>t<\/jats:italic>\n                    ] is investigated and a stochastic ordering relation for\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline10.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$D_{t}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    is obtained. In addition, bounds for the tail probability of\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline11.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$D_{t}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    are provided when the interarrival times have the increasing failure rate \/ decreasing failure rate property. In the special case of a Poisson process, an exact formula, as well as closed-form bounds and an asymptotic result, are derived for the tail probability of\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline12.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$D_{t}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    . Furthermore, for renewal processes with Erlang and uniformly distributed interarrival times, exact and approximation formulae for the tail probability of\n                    <jats:inline-formula>\n                      <jats:alternatives>\n                        <jats:inline-graphic xmlns:xlink=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/1999\/xlink\" mime-subtype=\"png\" xlink:href=\"S0021900225100260_inline13.png\"\/>\n                        <jats:tex-math>$D_{t}$<\/jats:tex-math>\n                      <\/jats:alternatives>\n                    <\/jats:inline-formula>\n                    are also proposed. Finally, numerical examples are presented to illustrate the aforementioned exact and asymptotic results, and practical applications are briefly discussed.\n                  <\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/jpr.2025.10026","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,21]],"date-time":"2025-11-21T05:31:31Z","timestamp":1763703091000},"page":"157-176","update-policy":"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/policypage","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":0,"title":["The distribution of the minimum observation until a stopping time, with an application to the minimal spacing in a Renewal process"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"63","author":[{"given":"Eutichia","family":"Vaggelatou","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"National and Kapodistrian University of Athens"}],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2025,11,21]]},"reference":[{"key":"S0021900225100260_ref30","first-page":"124194","article-title":"General large deviations of longest gaps in homogeneous Poisson processes","volume":"489","author":"Omwonylee","year":"2020","journal-title":"J. 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Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Applied Probability Trust","name":"copyright","label":"Copyright","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}},{"value":"This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/4.0\/), which permits re-use and distribution in any medium or format in unadapted form only, for noncommercial purposes only, provided the original work is properly cited.","name":"license","label":"License","group":{"name":"copyright_and_licensing","label":"Copyright and Licensing"}},{"value":"This content has been made available to all.","name":"free","label":"Free to read"}]}}