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Our model predicts that regimes secure in their survival, including democracies as well as some consolidated authoritarian regimes, will trade more on the extensive margin than vulnerable autocracies, which will block trade in products that would expand interpersonal contact among their citizens. We apply a two-stage Bayesian LASSO estimator to detailed measures of institutional features and highly disaggregated product-level trade data encompassing 131 countries over a half century. Consistent with our model, we find that (a) political institutions matter for the extensive margin of trade but not for the intensive margin and (b) the effects of political institutions on the extensive margin of trade vary across products, falling most heavily on those goods that involve extensive interpersonal contact.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1017\/s0020818319000237","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2019,9,25]],"date-time":"2019-09-25T07:46:52Z","timestamp":1569397612000},"page":"755-792","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":14,"title":["The Effects of Political Institutions on the Extensive and Intensive Margins of Trade"],"prefix":"10.1017","volume":"73","author":[{"given":"In Song","family":"Kim","sequence":"first","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"John","family":"Londregan","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]},{"given":"Marc","family":"Ratkovic","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[],"role":[{"role":"author","vocabulary":"crossref"}]}],"member":"56","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2019,9,25]]},"reference":[{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref26","volume-title":"Correlates of War Formal Interstate Alliance Dataset, 1816-2012","author":"Gibler","year":"2013"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref38","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0003055402000357"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref47","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0003055406062241"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref14","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1257\/aer.98.4.1707"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref73","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/1962581"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref13","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.2307\/20031707"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref33","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1162\/qjec.2008.123.2.441"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref29","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1086\/261953"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref37","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1007\/BF00153394"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref69","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/CBO9780511804946"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref16","volume-title":"On Measuring Democracy: Its Consequences and Comcommitants","author":"Coppedge","year":"1991"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref50","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1017\/S0020818318000243"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref17","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jinteco.2013.08.001"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref71","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1016\/S0022-1996(98)00009-9"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref44","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1080\/01621459.1995.10476572"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref3","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","DOI":"10.1257\/000282803321455214"},{"key":"S0020818319000237_ref7","unstructured":"Barari, Soubhik Barari , Kim, In Song , and Wong, Weihuang . 2018. 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